Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat: 5/8/2026

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12:03
Eric A Longenhagen: Good morning from Tempe, the place the temps are going to hit 100 and (it seems like) keep there for the foreseeable future. Brendan and I are engaged on the Orioles system writeup, I’m engaged on draft replace. Having fun with one other day in within the desert. Thanks for being right here.  

12:04
GB: Lonbard get a grade bump?

12:05
Eric A Longenhagen: Not simply but, it’s gonna be fascinating and instructive to see him and Volpe facet by facet for the following little bit.

12:05
Erick: undecided what you are able to do about this, however christian scott’s stuff+ numbers from final night time aren’t exhibiting on his web page / sport log regardless of final night time’s exhibiting for different gamers. simply thought i’d go it alongside

12:05
Eric A Longenhagen: What I’m taking a look at has them seen:

12:06
Mr. Burrito: Sirota is previous (23?) for his league (excessive A), and it feels apparent that he ought to leap. However he’s kinda caught, because the Dodgers have a bunch of prospects at his place above him. Is that this the precise (and possibly solely) downside with spending free agent cash in the way in which they’ve?

12:10
Eric A Longenhagen: If the issue is “now we have an excessive amount of expertise” it’s not likely an issue. He’s performed 60 video games at Excessive A now, I agree we’re attending to the purpose the place he needs to be promoted to emphasize take a look at his hit software (this man nonetheless has a reasonably sizeable gap in his swing up and away) towards pitchers who can execute that location higher, however then possibly a cause to carry him down is in order that gap isn’t uncovered and he retains commerce worth.

12:10
Eric A Longenhagen: Good prospect tho

12:12
Kate: Brandon Compton is doing fairly nicely at A+, however what’s the sustainability of this sort of method?  He’s like 70% three true outcomes proper now.

12:14
Eric A Longenhagen: Normally if you’re hanging out this a lot at this stage it’s a nasty signal. 34% swing fee (per Synergy, they’re often behind by a couple of week, that is as of finish of April), 57% contact fee (per his participant web page on our website, so cool now we have that now) these are scary numbers indicating an deliberately passive man who can actually make contact

12:14
RVA_Empire: How do 1st spherical draft faculty gamers find yourself going to school within the first place? Are most developed into 1st rounders whereas within the faculty ranks or are they principally already recognized as prime skills however for no matter cause (cash, schooling, and so on.) desire the faculty route?

12:17
Eric A Longenhagen: It’s a combination. Generally the household is doing nicely financially and the quantity required to coax the participant away from faculty is tremendous excessive. Generally the participant feels assured they’ll go to highschool and go tenth as a substitute of fortieth simply due to the arrogance groups achieve within the participant based mostly on faculty efficiency (Matt McLain varieties), generally they develop lots and have the identical path (Chase Burns) generally they develop out of nowhere (Dollander). It’s a combination. There may be solely a lot pool house in any given 12 months, when you have a nutty highschool class they’ll’t all signal

12:17
Oaktown Blues: Is Henry Bolte placing all of it collectively offensively? 73.6% contact fee, 23.5% Ok fee, pulled (!) a 479 ft HR the opposite day

12:18
Eric A Longenhagen: I feel at this level y’all know what I take into consideration Bolte.

12:18
Kate: Guessing you may say I simply want to attend for the Pink Sox checklist, however curious if Enddy Azocar is trying like a doable breakout this 12 months?  He torched the complicated final 12 months and is trying fairly good once more in his second have a look at A ball thus far.

12:18
Eric A Longenhagen: (nods aggressively)

12:20
Eric A Longenhagen: Simply operating into him as I did work on Nationals and now Orioles, he seems superior. Starlyn Nunez‘s instruments proceed to beckon me, as nicely.

12:20
Rayball10: What’s the ceiling on Joshua Baez? And a practical timeline to achieve it?

12:20
Eric A Longenhagen: I don’t suppose he’s going to hit.

12:20
Kate: Any phrase on why we haven’t seen Diego Tornes in any complicated video games but?

12:22
Eric A Longenhagen: Hmmm, idk, I’ll ask somebody there however I don’t suppose I’m getting a solution. I noticed him 3 times whereas I used to be in Florida, regarded OK, not clearly superior. Prototypical energy hitter construct, common bat velocity, under avg barrel really feel

12:22
Joe: Who sometimes handles scouting of MLB groups prospects internally? Does every group have a chosen scout to do their evaluations of their very own prospects or have they got a number of people from totally different departments give evaluations? Thanks

12:25
Eric A Longenhagen: A larger proportion of inner scouting shall be achieved by higher echelon executives. As an example, the Dbacks professional scouting director, or help GM, or participant dev exec will spend time at every of their associates seeing their very own gamers greater than they may go scout Delmarva or no matter…

12:26
Eric A Longenhagen: Whether or not groups make it a degree for the rank and file scouts to see their very own guys varies group to group. If I scout for the Reds and a part of my protection is the Marlins system, I might even see the Jupiter roster after they play Daytona in order that I can get a have a look at our personal guys.

12:27
Elijah: Outcomes have been good for JT Quinn. However, some motion numbers revealed by BA confirmed a reasonably untenable fastball form (14/5), and that’s earlier than accounting for the low-minors ball. Are you able to corroborate these numbers in any respect? And both method, does that write him off as a viable prospect in your thoughts?

12:28
Eric A Longenhagen: I feel he’ll want his peak velo to make it an efficient pitch, which suggests he’s in all probability a reliever. I nonetheless like him: two plus breaking balls, changeup isn’t unhealthy, touched 99 the opposite day. Good multi inning reduction prospect

12:28
Oaktown Blues: Maybe a longshot, however any likelihood you had been in attendance for Shotaro Morii‘s pitching debut yesterday?

12:29
Eric A Longenhagen: No I watched Boston Bateman‘s begin with the stay trackman open and yelled on the refs within the Flyers sport by means of my TV

12:29
Casey Judson: Morning Sunshine. For an intellectually bankruptee, reciriculate is a reasonably cool phrase, eh?   Have you ever heard any intel on the state of affairs with Milwaukee’s Luis Pena? Nonetheless hasn’t performed, little information.

12:29
Eric A Longenhagen: I texted somebody, will let you realize if i hear again

12:31
DJ Tofu: How a lot of Jonah Cox and Scott Bandura‘s enchancment this season is actual vs SSS?

12:33
Eric A Longenhagen: Cox I like as a pinch operating and defensive specialist, Bandura I feel may very well be extra. Massive framed dude, nice long run bodily projection, runs nicely, has moved kinda rapidly for a small faculty man.

12:33
Joe: Why have groups just like the Braves diminished their scouting staffs, notably their Nationwide and Regional Crosscheckers? Is there sufficient knowledge to say if it has had a unfavorable impact or if the impact has been negligible? Thanks

12:37
Eric A Longenhagen: The Braves are a “small room” org, the choice makers there wish to be those who do all of the issues. I can actually sympathize with that as a man who will get to take part in a facsimile of that type of arrange right here on the website, and I additionally don’t adore it from a scouting job surroundings/cultural standpoint. Is there knowledge exhibiting the consequences? I don’t suppose so, it is likely to be consequential after we’re speaking about unearthing and accurately projecting fascinating mid to late rounders if you happen to suppose throwing scouts at that conundrum is the best reply. In the end I feel your draft choose high quality is much less about course of and extra about whether or not the oldsters turning within the card know Jahlil Okafor is unhealthy or not.

12:37
Joe: Is MLB not releasing the worldwide bonus swimming pools for subsequent 12 months similtaneously this years draft swimming pools like that they had achieved in years previous trace at one thing ominous with the upcoming CBA expiring? Thanks

12:38
Eric A Longenhagen: ^^ That is nearly as good a chat query as there might be. I don’t have a solution for you however I like your consideration to element

12:39
JD: Do you see Snelling or Thomas White having a much bigger impression with Miami ROS?

12:40
Eric A Longenhagen: Snelling due to the roster state of affairs there. Except the Marlins keep scrappy deep into the season, there’s mainly no cause White ought to debut this 12 months.

12:40
mike: is Caleb Bonemer’s begin to the 12 months encouraging or discouraging? on the floor he’s mashing, and being close to the highest of MiLB in dingers is cool for a man who beforehand was considered merely plus by way of energy, however I can’t assist however fear about his contact fee falling to the hazard zone of ~67%. Even with the ability he’s exhibiting, that appears unsustainable

12:41
Eric A Longenhagen: It’s simply so fully totally different than his earlier contact marks that I’m inclined to say it’s a small pattern factor.

12:41
Eric A Longenhagen: I feel he look fairly good, personally.

12:42
Brew Crew Fan: Are you able to give us an replace on Luis Lara? 21 with an influence surge in AAA, regardless of his measurement. Wanting like an elite defender too.

12:45
Eric A Longenhagen: Love the participant general however don’t suppose he immediately has above avg energy or something. Triple A hitting surroundings simply does this. Keep in mind when Tyler Black and Sal Frelick had been slugging .500 at Triple A?

12:46
TJ: Is Jacob Johnson a man? Supply appears a bit tough to me

12:47
Eric A Longenhagen: I truly *like* his supply, he’s an athletic mover. Agree it wants polish. Must go see him in individual, good 300k juco pickup for Texas

12:47
Casey Judson: Has there ever been a participant who didn’t return to regular after a hamate elimination process? Ideas?

12:48
Eric A Longenhagen: Hmmm, there are various examples of gamers who took months and months to really feel and hit like regular, however I’m struggling to recollect if anybody was perma-effed by it.

12:48
DBRuns: Jace LaViolette is operating a 42% Ok-rate (and 17% SwStr%) in 100+ PAs in excessive A. How regarding ought to that be for Cleveland followers?

12:49
Eric A Longenhagen: It’s not good, snake eyes on the “purchase low” man. I get why they did it and so they’ve had success with this method earlier than (DeLauter for one) however generally regressing the participant to his underclass/Cape efficiency is flawed as a result of the participant in reality acquired higher or worse.

12:50
Avilas Angels: Seen or heard something about Malachi Witherspoons early efficiency?  His stroll fee appears to be decrease than what might have been anticipated based mostly on his faculty exhibiting

12:50
Eric A Longenhagen: I used to be at his begin in Ft Myers the place he couldn’t get out of the primary inning. Stuff was good, tho.

12:50
edges64: You beforehand had put down Marco Luciano as somebody who would profit from a change of surroundings. With the Yankees AA affiliate he’s slashing .327/.410/.713 with 10 homeruns. Looks like he’s opened up his stance, is holding the bat extra upright, and swing fee has gone up meaningfully from ~42% to 48%. I do know it’s AA and he’s almost 25 now, however are you shopping for the breakout? I can’t think about the Jap League has a lot worse pitching than the PCL he’s performed within the final a number of season.

12:51
Eric A Longenhagen: I simply suppose it’s an excessive amount of to take at face worth when the man is taking part in a number of ranges under his earlier highest stage of expertise. Take into consideration a giant leaguer who you realize to be unhealthy, image him in your thoughts. Do you suppose he’d crush double A? Me too

12:52
Mookie: Hello Eric, ideas on Brody Bumila? 1st rounder?

12:53
Eric A Longenhagen: Freaky man, I do. Higher breaking ball than Schoolcraft, have to contemplate him a “strictly higher” prospect than Kruz was twelve months in the past.

12:53
Colton: Have you learnt if/when statcast numbers shall be made accessible publicly for AA and A+ stadiums?

12:54
Eric A Longenhagen: I don’t. I feel we might have to attend till after the CBA and have a greater understanding of what associates may once more get reduce earlier than they begin putting in tech within the locations it isn’t but.

12:54
Javier Herrerasaurus: Would a sauropod’s neck size impression his strike zone underneath ABS?  Or would it not be strictly based mostly on his shoulders and thus neck wouldn’t issue into the event?  Would drastically alter his method.

12:54
Eric A Longenhagen: The place is his belt line?

12:55
NatsFan: Out of your (nice) Nats writeup, know you’ve not thought a lot of YoYo Morales, noting he’s been extremely susceptible to fastballs, with a sub-70% contact fee towards because the begin of 2025. He’s now main Rochester in OPS, HRs, +.  Any cause to hope he may’ve figured one thing out?

12:57
Eric A Longenhagen: Once I requested somebody of their org for suggestions on the checklist I used to be instructed they see him and Wallace as having huge league worth. Take that as you’ll. Fairly fringe-y man for me.

12:58
Tyler: With the tip of group checklist season in sight, did you’ve gotten a favourite/least favourite group system to overview this 12 months?

1:00
Eric A Longenhagen: I all the time love doing Tampa and Boston and so they’re nonetheless on deck. I don’t suppose I’ve rolled my eyes at any group but, I kinda get amped to begin from scratch each time we end one and transfer onto the following.

1:01
Eric A Longenhagen: Milwaukee group is bonkers, they had been enjoyable. I assume if there’s one factor I’m bummed about it’s being much less concerned with Dbacks than typical. due to Beeg’s consolation with the org they had been certainly one of his first lists and I’ve achieved little or no on them

1:02
Jay: How shut are the promotions for Tibbs, Waldschmidt, Clark, Condon, Ramirez? Perhaps additional away for Tibbs & Ramirez resulting from mother or father membership success & depth?

1:05
Eric A Longenhagen: I might say Waldschmidt is closest due to group want. Which Ramirez are you speaking about? Pedro? He’s blocked. Condon isn’t precisely killing it proper now (Jim Halpert take to digital camera)

1:05
Peter: On pure upside, Ryan Sloan > Kade Anderson? Looks like Anderson is a reasonably stable guess to be a 2/2.5, whereas Sloan may very well be a real ace or 3?

1:05
Eric A Longenhagen: I’m with you however Anderson *is* trying buck nasty. And let’s keep in mind that, whereas I’d think about LSU a great program, Skenes acquired higher after he left and Eyanson has too

1:06
Eric A Longenhagen: So possibly the notion that the cement was dry on ANderson (which I ascribed to pre draft) was not appropriate

1:07
Will: Did you catch that Keith was the primary man by means of the wall to not mock Roch to Chi? Ought to I’ve not purchased a jersey in each coloration for Christmas?

1:08
Eric A Longenhagen: I feel the final time Keith was an early deviant on this method was mocking Henry Davis 1. I owe him a cellphone name, Keith I’m gonna name you in just a few.

1:08
Visitor: Brendan’s been doing a great job drawing a distinction between “bat velocity” as a scouting time period and as a statcast time period. Have you ever seen that or have something so as to add?

1:12
Eric A Longenhagen: He and I aren’t precisely in settlement there. He’s extra incorporating twitch and quickness, like an absence of size contributes to sensible bat velocity in his view. He would possibly say Benge lacks bat velocity. I feel Benge has good bat velocity however is tremendous duper lengthy to the ball, which is extra in keeping with the way in which statcast defines these phrases. His model of bat velocity is extra like my definition of footspeed: let’s possibly not take such a tough reductionist method and as a substitute take into consideration its most sensible utility

1:12
20longyears: He’s graduated from prospect standing, however Braxton Ashcraft has been fairly good this season and final. What would you anticipate from him going ahead?

1:13
Eric A Longenhagen: Nonetheless actually like him, monster breaking stuff, holds huge velo. Good group’s mid rotation man

1:15
Eric A Longenhagen: Per typical you guys have nice questions stacked up within the queue however my time has expired. I actually suppose during the last 12 months or in order that the standard of those chats have hit a brand new gear due to the regulars right here. Thanks lots. I’m gonna hop again on Orioles earlier than I head to a sport tonight. Speak to you hosers subsequent week

1:15
Eric A Longenhagen: Oh, I acquired no Luis Pena response btw, will replace within the feedback if I do

1:15
Eric A Longenhagen: (peace signal)

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