Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat: 10/17/2025

Eric A Longenhagen: Hi there hiya, it’s a stunning Fall day in Tempe and I’ve received a packed schedule that can possible compress at the moment’s chat. I’m going to permit a pair minutes for some extra inquiries to circulate in earlier than we start in earnest.

Alex: What have you ever fabricated from the Nationals’ hirings and the way do you anticipate them to deal with key gamers in another way than the previous regime?

Eric A Longenhagen: I feel the best way issues have trended in Boston from a expertise acquisition and growth standpoint have been very optimistic, and I’d be stoked to have the folks mainly accountable for that helming my membership. They’re younger children with a whole lot of juice, too. Let’s see how issues proceed to development, however this appears like a powerful begin.

Eric A Longenhagen: He’s way more bodily than Black, however the energy piece of it’s nonetheless beneath what I’d take into account impactful at 1B.

Nuxie: Josh Baez- ideas on his prospects and are you a believer within the improved strategy

Eric A Longenhagen: I’m fairly skeptical. He seems nice on a spreadsheet and has draft pedigree, however my Spidey senses tingle watching him swing, I don’t assume there’s really average-ish really feel to hit there and can take the below on him sustaining a 74% contact fee.

Visitor: Has Daniel Eagen made an impression on you along with his season?

Eric A Longenhagen: Yeah, plus breaking ball, using fastball. The vert # on his fastball is inflated considerably due to how excessive his launch top is (it’s up round 80 inches) so don’t take the 20 inch quantity at face worth, it’s extra performed like a mean pitch. HIs curveball is actual, however his slider (which additionally generated one thing close to plus-plus miss) has a unique sufficient launch level that I really feel like large league hitters will be capable of choose it out. I feel he’s a forty five, which continues to be a fantastic end result for the place he was schooled/drafted. His cut up was barely utilized in 2025 (6% utilization towards lefties) and is the one piece that may but develop extra and increase his position.

J Edna Hoover: Ethan Pecko wanting like a rotation mainstay after he received wholesome this yr, eh?

Eric A Longenhagen: I actually like him, yeah.

Eric A Longenhagen: Disappointing regression in strikes lasted all yr, and has me involved about him being much less environment friendly than I believed he’d be a yr in the past. His fastball form wants him to have pretty exact command, it’s very susceptible when it’s not situated properly.

Jackson: Will Crawford be able to contribute in LF/CF in 2026 for the Phillies? The feedback about him within the presser sounded promising and like he was prepared, however they’ve been saying that for some time and haven’t taken motion

Eric A Longenhagen: I feel the pace and protection items could make an influence on an enormous league recreation proper now, however whereas a lot of his knowledge is superior (his combo of contact and exit velos are so spectacular and thrilling) his swing continues to be too lengthy for him to drag fastballs in any respect, he’s driving them into the bottom and enjoying pepper with the third baseman a ton. Powerful to see significant offensive influence proper now.

Eric A Longenhagen: He would possibly get there as he will get stronger, it’s an thrilling basis of really feel for contact and bodily instruments, simply not mechanically practical

Mr. Burrito: Has ABS within the minors modified your analysis of any pitchers?

Eric A Longenhagen: Not off the highest of my head, is there an angle by way of which you assume it’d? I feel among the guys with large overhand curveballs that clip the highest and backside of the zone may need a bonus in comparison with earlier than, these pitches don’t learn as strikes to the attention on a regular basis.

Bencle Mens: What are your largest offseason “to-do” bullet level?

Eric A Longenhagen: -Assist rent one other full time prospect author
-I’m engaged on Asia Professional stories
-40 Man Crunch
-How’s My Driving basis for Prospect Week
-Int’l Amateurs
-2026 draft
-Group Lists

chris: which met pitcher are you highest on?  Mclean, Tong, Sprout

Eric A Longenhagen: McLean

Mr. Burrito: Ought to Sasaki be a starter subsequent yr?

Eric A Longenhagen: Let’s see how their offseason shakes out. Might need a whole lot of turnover on the pitching employees, so many injured guys coming off the 60-day.

Thomas: Had been you in any respect shocked that the Blue Jays didn’t ship Tiedemann to AFL? I haven’t heard a lot about how his restoration goes and the silence is worrying.

Eric A Longenhagen: I don’t know if I’m fearful, however I agree it might have made sense to ship him right here given the timing of his surgical procedure (which was July of final yr)

Eric A Longenhagen: Lol yeah, when you’d have advised me in the midst of him placing out like 50% of the time that he’d come up and have a productive rookie yr I wouldn’t have believed you.

robertobeers: Heliot Ramos was #38 in your 2023 Giants checklist (he was listed at 6’1 188 lol). A lot of the evaluation was spot on but he’s developed into a mean on a regular basis participant with critical fielding points. His physique is principally Kyle Schwarber, is there any end result for him to remain within the subject?

Eric A Longenhagen: Possibly in sure outfields it’d be okay, most likely not theirs.

Eric A Longenhagen: Within the wilderness

Eric A Longenhagen: He and Brailer Guerrero seem like it’s too quick for them right here

Eric A Longenhagen: White’s swing is so lengthy into the hitting zone I don’t assume the facility actualization piece goes to reach to Rooker’s stage.

Eric A Longenhagen: That’s a good comp for center of the highway end result for him

dannyb: Do the Phillies have the items to commerce for a very good cost-controlled OF?

Eric A Longenhagen: Yeah I feel in the event that they needed to commerce a few the higher prospects they might get an OF. I feel the free agent crop of OF is deep sufficient that they shouldn’t be determined to get one which approach, although.

David: When you’ve had an opportunity to see Farmelo, how’s he wanting operating/fielding?

Eric A Longenhagen: Bodily seems nice, one of many greater/sooner/stronger guys right here no matter age.

Freest Rolexes: Luis Perales seems to have come again from TJ along with his loopy stuff nonetheless in tact.  The command appears fairly dangerous, however that’s not sudden.  My query: does he have an opportunity of getting the walks below management and, in that case, what sort of expertise are we right here from a FV stand level?

Eric A Longenhagen: Within the 40+/45 FV space as a reliever, doable set-up man. Don’t assume he can pitch like this and begin. He’s cutter-heavy partly as a result of the fastball doesn’t play like a 100 mph heater.

Troy Melton: I observed that Melton wasn’t a part of the 2025 graduates replace and in addition doesn’t present on the present Tiger’s prospect checklist. Has his analysis modified a lot for you with what he confirmed down the stretch and within the postseason?

Eric A Longenhagen: I could must push an replace to the center of the board, lemme peek at this actually rapidly…

Eric A Longenhagen: Okay, give it like 5 to 10 minutes to take impact, he graduated.

Eric A Longenhagen: He was on the preseason prime 100 and I nonetheless really feel like he seems like aw good mid-rotation man

JP: What do you do when your eyes don’t line up with the statistical success of a participant? How do you strategy that discrepancy?

Eric A Longenhagen: If what I’m seeing, visually, replicates a sample of success or failure that I’ve seen earlier than, I be at liberty to belief my eyes.

Eric A Longenhagen: If the whole thing of public-facing prospect people are beholden to the info, everybody’s opinions could be the identical. That may suck and render all the ecosystem fairly ineffective.

Evan: Seaver King is off to a pleasant begin within the AFL. How down on him are you in comparison with the place he regarded popping out of the draft?

Eric A Longenhagen: Nonetheless in that 45 FV space as a utility man.

Andrew: I noticed that you just talked concerning the discount of the trip of Painter’s FF, and so far as I do know, it was 18 inches within the first month in aaa after which it got here down to fifteen inches in September. Spin has additionally decreased by almost 300. No important launch level modifications have been noticed, so I’m questioning why.

Eric A Longenhagen: He launch is completely completely different

Eric A Longenhagen: pics in there

Opifijikl: Do you replace the Board as you overview gamers/new data comes up or solely a choose few instances a yr?

Eric A Longenhagen: Little particulars are being up to date ceaselessly, there are a handful of massive rating modifications throughotu a yr.

Evan: Scouting the scout line solely, Gary Gill Hill had an honest sufficient yr within the TB system. Do you anticipate him to stay as a starter and what’s his ceiling?

Eric A Longenhagen: Actually athletic man with enormous command projection, stuff didn’t generate as many whiffs all year long as I hoped, nonetheless assume he matches into the rotation ultimately however most likely towards the again if the whiffs keep like this.

Aldo Rayne: Can T.J. Rumfield be a second division common at first if he was traded?  I’m positive the Yankees received’t make him one

Eric A Longenhagen: Extra fringe 40-man for me. Assume he’s an enormous leaguer however extra of a stopgap than somebody you wanna run on the market on a regular basis.

J: Any ideas on Owen Ayers? Tremendous small pattern within the AFL, however there’s been a bunch of discuss his sizzling begin and he didn’t make your Cubs writeup this yr.

Eric A Longenhagen: Unbelievable trade and above-average arm power, popped sub 1.9 a bunch for me, different facets of protection are dangerous. Mistake energy. Fairly good prospect, gotta see the receiving enhance to be a catcher.

Philip: How loopy would it not be to say Okamoto has a greater MLB Profession than Murakami?

Eric A Longenhagen: Not loopy in any respect, I feel that’s what’ll occur

Philip: Deniel Ortiz has fairly loopy statcast knowledge, what’s the major cause he isn’t getting extra prospect discuss

Eric A Longenhagen: Fastball whiffs. Has energy, although. Roughly common uncooked on a 20-year-old is sweet. He’s modestly projectable, already fairly bodily.

Donowiecz: I’m completely asking this for FYPD functions, the place we will additionally take any minor leaguers not already on rosters.  The place would you place present model of Caden Scarbrough if he had been amongst final yr’s draftees?  above/beneath Kyson Witherspoon?

Eric A Longenhagen: A bit beneath however Scarborough is sweet.

Andrew: What’s your order of pitchers who graduated this season? Sasaki, Miz, Burns, Schlittler, Horton, and so on. Who has modified your thought probably the most?

Eric A Longenhagen: The group you listed is sweet, I’d perhaps substitute Horton with Dollander, long run.

Ozzie: What do you consider Daylen Lile‘s debut? Is that sort of efficiency sustainable for him? What does his ceiling seem like?

Eric A Longenhagen: Have him as extra of a second division LF, the protection piece hurts him and he lacks the facility to make up for it.

Brian: Any change in eval of Luis De Leon primarily based in your seems in AFL to this point?

Eric A Longenhagen: I don’t assume so, he seems good, secondary stuff isn’t monstrous. Seems like a no. 4/5 starter.

Ken: does LDV stick at SS?

Eric A Longenhagen: Kinda don’t assume so, arm power/accuracy weren’t the most effective. I’ll have a extra detailed overview up sooner or later.

Lowe Distribution System: Baltimore has a preposterous 70 guys listed on The Board.  Is there ever a problem with enjoying time within the minors?  They’ve 22 guys listed at AA!

Eric A Longenhagen: So a lot of these guys are pitchers, I skinny package’s okay.

bushupking: Does Franklin Arias appear to be he’ll be a greater IRL participant than fantasy participant?

Eric A Longenhagen: AGreed

Adam: It was a miserable yr within the Rays farm system. Are you able to present me with any glimmers of hope?

Eric A Longenhagen: I’d level to the general success of the final 15 years and notice a whole lot of the identical individuals are round.

Matt: Carlos Lagrange appeared to have cleaned up his command in a reasonably large approach in A+ earlier than having his strike% drop again into the low 60s in AA. If he had been to stay within the 61-62% vary is there any likelihood of beginning or does that make him nearly a sure aid candidate?

Eric A Longenhagen: Permit me to do some fast math…

Eric A Longenhagen: Certified starters from 2025 with strike% 62% or much less:

Eric A Longenhagen: So may be carried out

Eric A Longenhagen: good query, discovered one thing instructive from that

sliderguy35: any likelihood johnny king will get a shot on the hondo subsequent yr? or nonetheless too younger

Eric A Longenhagen: It’s doable, however go have a look at 100s from Jan/Feb and ask your self how you are feeling concerning the younger A ball arms who had been included

Ozzie: Is Hunter Goodman’s numbers he put up this season sustainable? Have the Rockies discovered a legit bat at catcher?

Eric A Longenhagen: I feel sure, he’s received nutty energy, catcher Mark Reynolds

Eric A Longenhagen: Okay, I’ve gotta go assist conduct an interview. Thanks for coming once more this week, my schedule ought to loosen up sufficient subsequent week to have run some items that we will talk about.