
I made a baseball card. Don’t fear about my grade-school-level graphic design abilities. It’s not like I’m attempting to promote this template to Topps. I simply figured that if I used to be going to make use of the “guess the thriller participant” lead-in, I would as nicely attempt to make it a bit extra visually interesting. So, I made a baseball card. And I’d such as you to attempt to guess the participant to whom it belongs:
It’s not Dansby Swanson. It’s not Marcus Semien in an even-numbered yr. However these are in all probability the 2 finest guesses you possibly can make with out further context (such because the headline, however humor me right here), which is exactly why I needed to play this sport – and write this text. Right here’s how 2024 Swanson and 2024 Semien stack as much as my thriller participant. Take into accout, the time-frame for the thriller participant’s stats is one other a part of the thriller:
Guess the Thriller Participant
Participant | PA | HR | XBH | wRC+ | SB | OAA | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 Dansby Swanson | 593 | 16 | 45 | 99 | 19 | 18 | 4.3 |
2024 Marcus Semien | 718 | 23 | 52 | 99 | 8 | 19 | 4.2 |
Thriller Participant | 649 | 19 | 64 | 108 | 14 | 13 | 4.7 |
Swanson is a two-time All-Star and a two-time Gold Glove winner. He made $26 million final season. Semien is a three-time All-Star, a two-time Silver Slugger, and a Gold Glove winner. He additionally made $26 million final season. This thriller participant should be fairly good, huh?
Only for enjoyable, I’d like to supply up another comparability earlier than I transfer on from this rhetorical sport. Right here’s how the thriller participant stacks as much as one other extremely paid All-Star center infielder, Trea Turner:
Guess the Thriller Participant
Participant | PA | HR | XBH | wRC+ | SB | OAA | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 Trea Turner | 691 | 26 | 66 | 108 | 30 | -5 | 4.2 |
2024 Trea Turner | 539 | 21 | 46 | 124 | 19 | -3 | 3.9 |
Thriller Participant | 649 | 19 | 64 | 108 | 14 | 13 | 4.7 |
This mysterious stat line, the one which compares so favorably to the current numbers of Swanson, Semien, and Turner, belongs to none aside from utilityman Edmundo Sosa. The numbers on the baseball card I made are his profession stats as a member of the Philadelphia Phillies:
Sosa, now 29, signed with the Cardinals as a world free agent out of Panama in 2012. Though he was by no means a top-top prospect, he seemed like a high-probability main leaguer from a younger age, because of his sure-handed protection at shortstop and a stronger bat than one sometimes sees from such a succesful fielder. He ranked someplace between seventh and sixteenth on our Cardinals prospect lists every year from 2016-21. As a rookie, Sosa took 326 journeys to the plate within the 2021 season, producing a .735 OPS and a 102 wRC+. Splitting his time between shortstop (518 innings) and second base (138 2/3 innings) with a handful of video games at third base sprinkled in (31 1/3 innings), he put up 5 OAA and 11 DRS. Altogether, he completed with 2.0 WAR, sixth most amongst NL rookies. Prorated over an entire season, that’s a four-win marketing campaign.
But, St. Louis quickly appeared to bitter on Sosa after his gradual begin the next season. (Alliteration is enjoyable!) On July 30, 2022, when he had a 47 wRC+ in 53 video games, the Cardinals traded him to the Phillies in trade for left-handed reliever JoJo Romero. On the time, it appeared like a superbly easy swap of low-impact role-players: a southpaw center reliever for a glove-first utilityman.
Two years, eight months, and 5 days later, Sosa has racked up a full season’s value of plate appearances with the Phillies. The product of that taking part in time? An All-Star-caliber quasi-season. Even with the caveat that it took him elements of 4 years to place up these numbers, that’s fairly darn nice. It’s additionally fairly darn shocking. It’s shocking sufficient that I guess a few of you studying this text have been genuinely stumped by the “guess the thriller participant” sport, regardless that Sosa’s title and film on the prime of the web page ought to have given it away. Bench gamers don’t often put up All-Star numbers. That’s why they’re bench gamers, not All-Stars.
I don’t imply to say that Sosa is actually an All-Star-caliber participant whom the Phillies have foolishly confined to the bench. There are good the reason why his numbers from throughout a number of seasons don’t imply as a lot as they might in the event that they’d are available a single yr. You’ll be able to’t simply extrapolate a part-time participant. For one factor, the righty-batting Sosa has extensive platoon splits, which Matthew Trueblood just lately wrote about for Baseball Prospectus. For his profession, Sosa has a 92 wRC+ towards righties and a 112 wRC+ towards lefties. Since he joined the Phillies, these splits are much more excessive; he has an 84 wRC+ in 364 plate appearances towards same-handed pitching and a 140 wRC+ in 285 plate appearances towards southpaws. It’s not as if the Phillies have closely shielded Sosa from right-handed pitching, however nonetheless, he’d must cope with unfavorable platoon matchups extra usually if he have been a full-time participant.
It is usually necessary to think about that Sosa has racked up a good quantity of his innings as a defensive substitute. He’s performed 221 video games within the subject for the Phillies, however has solely began about three-quarters of them. That has allowed him to compile 1,511 2/3 defensive innings, about 75 greater than you possibly can moderately anticipate from any participant in a 162-game season. So, he has amassed worth considerably disproportionately; his elite protection is carrying a bit extra weight in his WAR than it could if he have been taking part in daily.
Even so, the overarching level stays: Sosa has been good for Philadelphia. Actually good. There’s a reasonably compelling case that he’s been probably the most invaluable part-time participant within the league. Since his first day with the Phillies, he’s one among 318 gamers to take at the very least 600 journeys to the plate. Amongst that group, he ranks twenty sixth in WAR per plate look. All 25 gamers ranked forward of him are unquestionably starters – and never simply any starters. Twenty-three of them have been All-Stars, and the one ones who haven’t are Gold Glove-winning catchers Patrick Bailey and Cal Raleigh. Now, to be truthful, utilizing plate appearances as a denominator barely overstates Sosa’s worth, given the disproportionate relationship between his plate appearances and defensive innings. Then again, he nonetheless ranks among the many prime quartile of gamers in WAR per sport. That calculation severely undervalues his manufacturing, contemplating that solely three-quarters of his appearances have been begins.
Right here’s one other manner to consider how a lot worth Sosa has offered as a part-time participant. Amongst gamers with as many or fewer plate appearances (649) than Sosa since he joined the Phillies, solely two have amassed extra WAR: Wander Franco and Jackson Merrill. Solely 5 others have even come inside one win of Sosa. Equally, amongst gamers with as many or fewer video games performed than Sosa (223), solely seven have recorded extra WAR – Mike Trout, Franco, Merrill, Gabriel Moreno, Oneil Cruz, Byron Buxton, and Jake Rogers – whereas solely 9 others have come inside one win. Merely put, most guys who play as sometimes as Sosa aren’t anyplace close to as productive.
Sosa is productive in numerous alternative ways, too. He isn’t an all-around expertise. His arm energy and phone abilities are missing, and, most significantly, he can’t draw a stroll to avoid wasting his life. Since he turned a Phillie, his 3.5% stroll price ranks final within the Nationwide League (min. 600 PA). Nevertheless, he’s a well-rounded participant who provides worth along with his bat, his glove, and his legs. Certainly, he gives a mix of energy, pace, and protection that few others deliver to the desk. Throughout his tenure with the Phillies, Sosa has hit 19 dwelling runs, stolen 14 bases, and accrued 13 OAA. Over the previous 5 full seasons, solely 12 gamers have had a yr with at the very least 19 dwelling runs, 14 stolen bases, and even 12 OAA (I introduced that quantity down to regulate for Sosa’s further defensive innings). Right here’s the whole record:
Energy, Velocity, and Protection
Sure, it took Sosa a number of seasons to perform what these different gamers pulled off in only one. However, the truth that his current numbers put him in any form of dialogue involving that record of names is one other nice illustration of simply how nicely he has carried out.
On prime of all that, I’ve to say Sosa’s aptitude for getting hit by pitches, a ability that helps him compensate, at the very least a bit bit, for his lack of ability to attract a stroll. In his rookie season, he was hit 17 instances in simply 326 plate appearances. No participant (min. 300 PA) has been beaned at the next price in any season since. Even Sosa himself has not been capable of preserve that absurd HBP price, however he has been hit on 19 events in his time with the Phillies. On a per-PA foundation, that’s the third-highest price within the Nationwide League (min. 600 PA).
Since he arrived in Philadelphia, Sosa has been making his case for extra taking part in time. That’s been very true over the primary week of 2025. The Phillies are 5-1 to begin the season, and Sosa has been their most pivotal participant. He has solely performed in 4 of their six video games, however he leads the staff in hits (9), WAR (0.5), and WPA (0.75). He additionally ranks among the many prime 10 NL hitters in all three classes. For sure, he received’t preserve his 318 wRC+ all season. If I needed to guess, I’d additionally take the below on his placing up one other 4.7 WAR over his subsequent full season’s value of plate appearances. Nonetheless, there isn’t a denying how a lot he has finished for his membership, not solely over the previous week, however over the previous two years, eight months, and 5 days.
The Phillies had eight All-Stars final yr. 13 gamers on their roster have made an All-Star staff. They’ve the third-highest payroll within the league and 7 gamers making upwards of $20 million per yr. The reigning NL East winners are loaded with star energy. But, since Sosa got here alongside, nobody at the moment on this group has been extra invaluable per plate look or batter confronted (min. 100 PA/TBF) than the utility infielder. And that’s why I made him a baseball card.