Members-Solely Recreation Thread: ALDS – Guardians at White Sox – Oct 10, 2026

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Welcome to our Open Recreation Thread for the ALDS sport at this time. Chat with fellow readers as we watch the Guardians play the White Sox! Solely Members can take part, and in contrast to our regular sport chats, your messages will probably be posted instantly.

Our Member neighborhood is made up of 1000’s of extremely knowledgable baseball followers, and we predict this can be a nice strategy to observe a sport with like-minded baseball fans. We’d even have some FanGraphs Employees drop in and be a part of the enjoyable. Please be courteous to your fellow Members, or chances are you’ll discover your chat privileges revoked.

UND soccer is blowing it is probability for #1 after subsequent week.

Appears like you might be solely lacking heartbreak.

And our All American caliber QB is harm. He was in all probability going to get $ million+ subsequent yr from a giant college.

What’s the neighborhood consensus on whether or not the bullpen administration by Vogt has been horrible, or horrible sufficient to warrant his fast elimination?

I’ve hated bullpen administration this collection, however no approach I’d let Vogt go. I assume bullpen administration wasn’t only a Vogt resolution, however a sport plan labored out with the entrance workplace.

Good night! Respect everybody being right here.

It was labored out that you’d solely use your BEST pitchers within the LOWEST leverage conditions???? What?

I agree. I feel it has been an excessive amount of of win now and to not win the collection.

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Why is Festa on the roster?

If he wasn’t harm, I’d have pitched him over Smith and Williams within the ninth

I do not know if he is harm

Or eighth or earlier sport eighth or ninth… okay finish rant… I’m simply venting a bit and on the lookout for suggestions. Cheers for the platform, everybody benefit from the sport!!

That is good content material, thought!

I assume my gentle protection of Vogt can be tbat, given the state of CWS’s pitching, they’ve an honest probability of a blowout win in sport 5. So all in in sport 4 made some sense, perhaps. However, I agree that even with that assumption, a number of the particulars have been perplexing.

They have been already in a “large lead” scenario, up by 5 within the eighth (or at newest, within the ninth). How large a lead do you’ll want to use your decrease leverage guys?

umm… not shopping for the “Hey guys tomorrow is assured to be a blowout win, so its positive if I am silly at this time” protection.

The true query is over/below 3 innings from Williams at this time and over/below 1.5 runs from Smith? These are the implications of the earlier selections.

The one good concept I’ve had is that perhaps – and this can be a actual conspiracy theory- the idea was that hurricane is coming and there won’t be a sport on SAT.

The one hurricane I can keep in mind making it to Cleveland was Sandy, which got here from the opposite route.

like I meant to indicate its a horrible horrible rationalization… simply the one one I’ve.

It’s an excessive software of “Don’t save your pitcher for tomorrow; tomorrow it could rain.”

It would, actually, however in all probability later, I feel.

Joyful Sam Antonacci Appreciation Week to everybody!

my learn on Vogt is he obtained caught in “we won’t plan for sport 5 until we ensure to win at this time”, which makes a small quantity of sense, however for those who improve your odds of successful G4 from 99.1% to 99.9% through the use of your finest pitchers however perhaps dramatically scale back your power for G5…

Proper that is catastrophically dangerous administration… no?

for me not fireably dangerous since he is confirmed to be very properly revered on the job in any other case and this can be a sort of strategic alternative that may very well be corrected subsequent time

If actively making your group much less more likely to win the collection just isn’t fireplace in a position are you able to give an instance of one thing else, throughout the realm of may plausibly occur, which might rise to that degree?

As a card carrying member of Group Entropy (nonetheless ready for my aptitude), I actually benefit from the chaos created by the, um, non-traditional bullpen utilization.

Rays in all probability don’t have any objection both.

I adopted faculty soccer till the hated NIL turned the sport into the NFL minor league however with main league salaries within the Large 4 conferences. There was a time that App. State may beat Michigan within the Large Home. At the moment each sport between majors and mid majors is 70-0. I have never watched a sport, even UConn, this yr.

What about Michigan “shedding” to Western Michigan this yr?

May we get one other pivotal rain delay in a winner-take-all sport in Cleveland?

I wish to say in the event that they delay, it will likely be suspended till tomorrow afternoon. However I am undecided what this hurricane goes to do. I am eager about Sandy dumping rain on this area for like 2-3 days straight. This one seems to be extra scattered.

Perhaps a midge delay?

I’ll always remember it. It was a lot enjoyable to look at.

Vogt is vindicated. Williams goes 7 shutout innings tonight and Smith with a two inning save.

I’ll gladly concern a public apology if this occurs.

I don’t perceive why everyone obtained so lathered up over Williams throwing some pitches on what is generally his throw day anyway.

Its rather more the utilization of one of the best pitchers within the lowest leverage conditions. Smith was a waste in each video games… similar for Williams.

I agree that Williams was not your best option there however he is not fabricated from glass as many appear to assume.

That was some high-octane rocket gasoline from Williams

Here is my query to everybody advocating for firing Vogt, or Boone or others: Who would you rent to switch him?

For Vogt… I’d maintain him as a bench coach/character supervisor and simply take away him from each strategic resolution going ahead. I’ve nothing towards the man, he appears genuinely likable and an honest particular person… I simply cant defend the choices and haven’t heard anybody counsel a approach that they are often defended.

Vogt and/or Boone in that state of affairs

You’d need them to swap groups?

Additionally, hello

Matt, you are not on the white out?

Nope – I’ve a job that retains me fairly busy in October.

Additionally, I do not assume watching Penn State soccer is nice for my psychological well being

I am on the gamer tonight, so I am unable to do a lot chatting, however I needed to leap in and say hiya to everybody.

The radar seems to indicate rain on the nook of Carnegie & Ontario however I do not see any falling or any umbrellas within the stands.

There was just a little visibly falling round first pitch time. I am unable to see it now

There are some drops on their batting helmets

If anyone has any ideas about what I ought to write tonight, simply let me know.

Everybody take a paragraph!

Williams + Smith excellent sport after all

I am positive they’ll dangle on.

jinxed, scrap that concept.

No-hitter nonetheless intact.

Why “Cleveland Rocks” is objectively one of the best localized ballpark/group themed track… sorry Boston. Or not less than a comparative piece involving the choices. I’d learn that.

It is a good lockout article concept.

🔥

May do a March Insanity-type bracket ballot with it.

If this is not 80-grade stuff for a starter, I do not know what’s

Williams, at 6’6″ and a sturdy 250, does not talked about with Misiorowski, Tolle and Skenes as a lot as he ought to be. Simply one other strikeout machine.

Do you assume the man who performs Doug within the Liberty Mutual commercials has any regrets about how his life turned out?

Mayhem man made it into John Wick… so it could be figuring out brilliantly and we simply do not know the endgame.

It is tremendous onerous to get any regular work in that business. That is an honest gig. It is no Flo from Progressive.

By the way, I went to highschool with Mara from these Progressive commercials.

I work with a man who jogs my memory of Doug. I discussed this to him. He mentioned – “the man with the ostrich?” – I laughed and he left the room………….oops.

properly, there’s the rain

Anybody know the place Jason Heyward is?

Was there any discuss transferring this early at this time?

5:00 on west coast is sort of a lifeless zone

Extra dangerous, low leverage challenges!

A problem on the primary pitch within the third inning? What’s he pondering?

fooled himself with the place he caught it, perhaps? it fell to prime of the zone top by the point it was in his glove

He framed himself?

This was the primary draft of Who Framed Roger Rabbit and it did not play properly with audiences so that they needed to do a re-write.

Colson Montgomery mentioned he wears his pants further excessive to attract dangerous challenges from catchers.

Which makes me surprise:
They use some % of top for the zone, however are there hitters who fall on the sting of the bell curve in torso/leg proportion, the place a catcher establishing (or an umpire) is fooled extra typically about the place the auto-zone is?

(Like, not the tall/quick guys)

CLEAT CLEANER.

Muddy boots is the suitable penalty for pitching in VELCRO high-tops.

Least favourite baseball sayings. I’ll begin……….”Flashing the leather-based”………I do not know why – simply bugs me.

“Nice piece of hitting” when used to explain a ball that for those who hit within the cage your coach would drop his head in disappointment however that ball by some means discovered the magic spot 107 ft from the plate to land the place a glove wasn’t.

My dad all the time hated once they mentioned ‘he needed to cowl numerous actual property on the market’. It was an unreasonable quantity of hatred, like, he could not transfer on after listening to that. Would simply soliloquy concerning the high quality of announcers today and the way they do not paint the image like they used to. I really feel obligated to undertake that unhealthy, unbridled rage in his honor.

I like that all of us went silent to look at the marvel that’s tonight’s model of Williams.

Man Williams seems to be sharp- what a deal with to get an old-fashioned pitching duel (to this point) on this collection, of all collection

My jaw’s on the ground

Document for strikeouts in an LCS sport appears to be 15 (Clemens).

I feel Cole had 15 or 16 in 2019 as properly

That was LDS. Seems like Livan Hernandez and Mussina are the opposite LCS sport with 15.

Love how Gavin seems to be, but when this can be a 1-0 sport I might take Chicago’s probabilities at a solo shot

I’ve nothing so as to add however wish to see if a group exhibits up subsequent to my title.

Click on the little settings gear on the prime proper.

There you go.

Seuss, you need to use the settings cog within the prime proper to pick out your group

How come Williams carried a 3.76 ERA and a 3.48? I’ve seen a 100 mph fastball, a 90 mph slider and 12-6 curveball, the likes of which is seldom seen at this time, that every one look untouchable. Perhaps in 2027 starters will probably be requested to make a aid look 2 days earlier than every begin if that is what comes out of it.

A ton of homers

That’s what a Cricket swing usually seems to be like!! oops meant to publish beneath… apologies

There ya go.

Streaming strikes once more! I noticed this about 30 seconds earlier than contact was made on my TV.

Sorry. I will be extra cautious.

No approach man! Reside within the second!

You may delay the chat as much as 3 minutes with the gear within the nook.

Thanks once more for this characteristic, it’s superior! For me not less than, 15 seconds appears to line up completely

These soccer-style chants labored!

Man how did he hit that

Wow!

man…….that was an awesome 9 iron !

That pitch was on the bottom

That’s what I used to be ready to see! My favourite non-Purple Sox participant delivering but once more.

Matt, I noticed the HR’s which confused me all of the extra. How can anybody even hit his stuff, a lot much less take it deep?

Now that is the query… my guess is batters promote out for 100 up within the zone, and once they guess proper, it goes a good distance

Hello everybody, this sport has been enjoyable to this point. Williams is totally dealing

To paraphrase Michael Corleone, all males will be taken yard

He is giving robust Verlander vibes proper now, and JV all the time had a little bit of hassle with the HR ball

They’re beginning to take higher swings…

So. . . how deep does Vogt let him get if issues keep this fashion?

So long as he is obtained his foot on their necks

I absolutely anticipate he will probably be pulled for Festa proper now.

72 pitches by 5 is simply too many in at this time’s sport, Vogt will probably be below the gun if Williams retains this up. After all if it was Bob Gibson on the mound Vogt would know that he ought to keep within the dugout and maintain quiet.

Vogt all the time has a fast hook, and I’m wondering if he’ll take Williams out too quickly

He has to get the sixth……….then see how that goes. If he will get the 8,9,1……..good to go

I do know it isn’t the latest factor however it’s nonetheless wild that they are going to be these fast 5-10 second in-inning commercials. (Rhetorical query) Is there no finish to how a lot we will probably be subjected to promoting the remainder of our lives?

If I am Vogt I am hoping Williams and Smith are the one two pitchers to the touch the ball at this level

ah… deja vu

oops……..

Why is the 9 hitter going for 3 there?

Ooof, that is tough.

I’ve a brand new scapegoat if CLE loses!!

That was a very good gamble with one out. It could have been onerous to get him in from 2nd.

a lot more durable from the dugout

As I mentioned, it was of venture however a very good one.

8 hitter; level nonetheless stands

Gotta be a hero.

Whereas we’ve got been enthralled with the pitching of Williams, Burke is definitely the primary White Sox starter to get previous the fifth this post-season.

This has been a a lot better-pitched sport than I used to be anticipating throughout. Simply the one swing from one of the best hitter on this collection.

I do not suggest that on an 0-2 depend

Williams hadn’t thrown many sliders and that wasn’t the time to throw one.

That isn’t CADE SMITH!

I don’t care who wins however j desire a hit so we don’t have Blake Snell 2.0 discourse.

With this pitch depend it isn’t going to be that controversial, I do not assume. He is additionally kinda pitching like he is not anticipating to pitch the seventh.

You may breathe a sigh of aid

When Javier was pulled with a no-hitter within the World Collection I do not keep in mind many individuals saying he ought to have stayed in

Particularly with a number of collection after this one (you’d hope for those who’re Vogt), cannot danger Williams getting harm or tiring after at this time

And there it’s

WHY ISNT SMITH WARMING UP???

As a lot as I hate to say it, the White Sox are getting a lot better swings and there may be the primary hit.

Vargas his final hitter both approach?

Williams was a sufferer of his personal strikeouts in pursuit of the No-hitter. Exhausting to do it once you throw that many pitches.

Inexperienced mild right here?

If Vogt brings in Sabrowski of the 6 bb/9 in with the bases loaded right here can I then have him fired please?

Oof that may very well be an enormous missed name

Nvm

What a flip of occasions

I’m undecided if Murakami is the man I most need up if I’m the Sox or least need up.

Does Williams run out of gasoline if he does not throw a pair days in the past?

Effectively that escalated shortly

That is an occasion when it seems Williams gave it his all from pitch one and has run out of gasoline. Vogt is unquestionably making the best transfer right here and that comes from an old-fashioned fab who believes in letting the starter go very deep.

No the best transfer is bringing in SMITH… anybody else is a error

Closers shut!

New candidate for my reply to least favourite factor baseball individuals say!

I gotta surprise if hitters do not problem as a result of they know the pitcher is gonna return to that spot after which they are going to simply problem if it is known as a strike once more.

Form of like baiting the pitcher.

No hassle discovering the zone there

Made it, however they will miss that problem I feel.

Nice scenario to problem, dangerous pitch

Glad it labored however that ought to have been smith.

Gaddis would have been my choose, Smith likes closing. Simply not the excessive stroll man.

A lefty towards Murakami is the higher alternative.

Smith along with being much better, strolling fewer batters, HAS REVERSE PLATOON SPLITS!!!

Dude it labored and Smith continues to be there. You haven’t any argument

To play satan’s advocate, you may afford a stroll there (theoretically), however you completely can not afford a homer

I do not see this sport ends in 2-0 or 2-1, however it could be my wishful pondering

Exhausting to see it proper now. However we’ll see

I really need Jo Adell to hit one other triple

Murakami has fairly large splits, so I feel bringing in a lefty made sense

Virtually a 50% Okay share towards lefties.

what are you speaking about its a decrease Xwoba vs righties

and better Okay charge vs righties

dont simply make crap up

No Brian, Murakami followers a better charge towards lefties.

I used to be basing the splits on OPS, which I do know some FG individuals would not approve of

34.9 <35.7 each lower than “virtually 50%”

Attempt Baseball- Reference.

HERESY

It issues for those who divide by PAs or ABs.

In my expertise as a Tiger’s fan, there may be now a 100% probability that runner will rating, almost certainly on an infield hit of some type

Its onerous to generate a lot enthusiasm when the White Sox have a 117% strikeout charge at this time

Sam A would be the final flooring subsequent yr.

Right here you go Brian547!

Overlook about strikeout charge with two outs and Murakami up:

vs. LHP: 110 wRC+, .328 wOBA, xwOBA .364
vs. RHP: 138 wRC+, .368 wOBA, xwOBA .344

Outcomes say Murakami is healthier vs. RHP, although xwOBA says the alternative. Cade Smith is one of the best pitcher within the bullpen and that was an important spot. I get it. However I just like the Sabrowski matchup.

I additionally do not assume any main league supervisor goes to herald the nearer within the sixth inning, irrespective of the leverage or whether or not it is the right transfer. Groups simply do not do it.

That’s how I used to be it. The sixth was merely not the best time for Smith.

Wasn’t that Andrew Miller in 2016? haha

I do not wish to say that it is positively not the best time. It is simply not the way in which managers do issues rn

I’ve by no means actually understood this… it looks like one of the best RP ought to be the primary RP introduced right into a leverage scenario no matter inning

It is a fully truthful conclusion to attract. It is simply not how groups function

FWIW: Andrew Miller wasn’t Cleveland’s nearer in 2016, even when he was the group’s finest pitcher. The nearer was Cody Allen. Having two guys like that makes it simpler to make use of one in every of them early

Pitchers usually are not machines. They’re individuals similar to the remainder of us and a better reacts to a closing scenario in another way that he would to a non-close scenario. The frenzy that he will get from closing simply is not the identical earlier within the sixth.

That inverted xwOBA is loopy.

May it’s directional? Like an inclination to tug towards righties that might make wOBA beat xwOBA?

Positively may very well be

Really — I feel that can align with the remaining over time. Small samples, and so on.

Hahahahahaha Petey Halpin towards a lefty once more!

What number of runs would CLE have to attain right here for Smith to get pulled?

Given prior indications… ~42

Yeah, that is robust “the restrict doesn’t exist” territory

I feel we will say, with out query, that Smith owns the ninth right here.

Halpin OWNS Sean Newcomb

Apparently not less than 5, since he was left in with a six-run lead

Gotta stroll Kwan right here!

Okay I legit assume this can be a troll

Not a fan of deliberately strolling the bases loaded

Kwan is one of the best contact hitter within the sport and you do not need him getting the bat on the ball with the infield in.

man that Jose man sucks proper

It is a entire lot of drama to function a prelude to a few White Sox Ks to finish the sport.

I want to see 21 Okay’s which might be a primary in a 9 inning sport.

One, ah-ah-ahhhhh.

TWO, ah-ah-ahhhhh.

THREEEEEE, ah-ah-ahhhhh!

This has been a really fulfilling sport from a impartial perspective.

yikes

I discover it almost incomprehensible {that a} group that has reached the LCS may strikeout not less than 19 instances in two out of three video games.

The White Sox are an awesome story however a really flawed group. They’re right here as a result of the Astros have been that dangerous.

96 in simply 7 video games within the postseason.

are you not entertained?

Luis Arraez struck out 21 instances in 2025

Benintendi is, sadly, not excellent. This isn’t the profession I assumed he’d have c. 2016.

I assumed he was going to be one thing particular as properly.

Nailing the projection for Benintendi, Moncada, and Devers in 2016 with just about excellent accuracy is my favourite victory lap.

critical query time… would benintendi be allowed to put on that belt if he was pitching? oops guess all of them are

rays in 4.

Rays will probably be huge favorites

Now I hope Jose Ramirez can proceed his magic within the ALCS.

Cade Smith is nasty. Cleveland goes to be a a lot harder matchup for the Rays.

Chicago Okay Sox

perhaps this smith man is fairly good

Cleveland, sworn enemy of the Holy See

Convey it

Rays will certainly be favored. However an all-midwest WS can be enjoyable, to me.

The rays have 3 Cade Smiths.

Thanks everybody for exhibiting up at this time! See everybody tomorrow for the beginning of the NLCS!



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