2026 Prime 100 Prospects Chat

Eric A Longenhagen: Hi there everybody, hope you had a pleasant weekend and loved some combo of faculty baseball, the Olympics, and NBA All Star stuff (or non-sports delights) as I actually did.

Eric A Longenhagen: The highest 100 was printed right now! Brendan and I are right here to speak about it with you, in addition to no matter else is likely to be in your thoughts.

Eric A Longenhagen: It may be procedural stuff, questions particular to gamers, your dynasty roster, no matter. We all know lots of chances are you’ll be stopping by for the primary time right now as a result of the Prime 100 listing introduced you right here. Thanks for coming, please go searching and make your self at house.

Visitor: how shut is Jojo Parker to being on the listing?

Brendan Gawlowski: Parker was very shut, Eric and I went backwards and forwards on it whereas I used to be doing the Toronto listing. On the finish of the day, we didn’t have something new on him to bump him from the post-draft updates. Good reminder that the hole between participant 90 and participant 135 is tiny.

Eric A Longenhagen: Parker’s good, most likely rather less projectable than many of the same-age infielders who made the listing.

Eric A Longenhagen: And the fellows for whom that’s not true (Stage, off hand) they’ve a professional monitor document

Oaktown Blues: Is it protected to say that Griffin would go #1 in a 2024 re-draft, although he hasn’t proven what he can do within the majors like Kurtz, Burns, and Yesavage have?

Eric A Longenhagen: Sure. I feel the influence of a do-everything up-the-middle participant like that over an extended time frame calls for prioritization over the remainder of that group, although they’re nice. It was justifiable Griffin went the place he did on the time (I assumed so, anyway) given the Schrödinger’s Shortstop piece of it, however Pittsburgh had a profitable lotto ticket right here, that is Trout/Tony Sanchez non secular cleaning.

Go mets: how shut was jonathan santucci to creating the listing? he a choose to click on this 12 months?

Brendan Gawlowski: One other who was very shut — one of many final cuts.

Brendan Gawlowski: Just like the adjustments he’s made along with his supply, wish to see a greater third pitch

Eric A Longenhagen: Towards the top of the work, we had a handful of men firmly on the bubble who we talked by and had mixture of sure and no for inclusion, he was one in all them.

Eric A Longenhagen: Wei-En Lin was one other. Winston Santos

RAY from Tampa: Ideas on TJ NIcohls and Ty Johnson 45’s ???

Eric A Longenhagen: We like them each. Johnson’s slider has carried out like an elite pitch. Mechanically and athletically, he seems like a reliever to us, and he’s solely working with two pitches. Nichols was within the combine for the listing, far more strikes than I projected popping out of U of A. Secondary stuff just a bit gentle in comparison with the group we included

Brendan Gawlowski: Nichols one other who was on the bubble till close to the top.

Dynasty Dispersal Draft: In BG’s article from the opposite day, he joked about how the Pirates didn’t commerce Skenes for his unhealthy eval man Richy Valdez. However in case you put such a glowing grade on a man like that on the complicated, wouldn’t the scouting division take discover and ship a crosschecker?

Brendan Gawlowski: Although B2 is roughly equal to our 50, the best way scouting departments normally work winds up that means that whereas we solely have 70 B2’s or so right here, a group may need 250+ gamers with that grade. So, Valdez was positively flagged, but it surely didn’t set off a mad scramble or something

Visitor: How shut have been Royals pitchers Kendry Chourio (sp?) and David Shielfds?

Brendan Gawlowski: Chourio we have been cut up on, one in all us wished him on, the opposite made a compelling case to pump the brakes. Shields we like however we have to see a man throwing 90 make this work towards higher hitters earlier than we 50 him.

Eric A Longenhagen: I used to be the one who mentioned no. 6ft 170 pound tenage with violent mechanics and sketchy fastball angle/motion? Been right here too many instances.

Scott: On the group lists, ought to we interpret the byline as designating who writes the blurbs primarily based on scouting evaluations collected from everybody? Or does it point out who has finished the lion’s share of scouting on that exact group? Extra usually, how do you guys construction your collaboration?

Eric A Longenhagen: The actual reply is I/we’re nonetheless feeling our method by how to do that with a number of individuals once more. The individual’s byline on a listing is who wrote principally all of it. There is likely to be conditions the place I wrote a blurb for the Yankees listing and that man will get traded to a group whose listing Brendan wrote, and the way/whether or not we point out to readers that’s the case would possibly evolve. If one in all us wrote a listing individually, the opposite has at the very least cross checked all of the 40+ guys

Karl Hungus: Who’s the perfect prospect you guys have ever seen dwell?

Brendan Gawlowski: Bobby Witt was unimaginable

Eric A Longenhagen: the sound of the ball off Acuna’s bat scared some previous individuals I used to be sitting subsequent to at a Fall League sport.

Eric A Longenhagen: I’ve noticed Ohtani a bunch and Choose for six weeks within the AFL

Brendan Gawlowski: There’s a legendary report in PIT’s system about Acuna the place the scout principally stopped writing his report and as an alternative began gushing in regards to the man. “I’d purchase a ticket to look at him play” just isn’t commonplace scouting vernacular but it surely received the purpose throughout…

GA Blood: Spencer Jones appears to be the poster youngster for hit instrument threat suppressing a participant’s long-term outlook. What elevates Ethan Holliday over that sort of profile?

Eric A Longenhagen: Solely the hope that his contact fee was *that unhealthy* as a result of it was a small pattern. It was 73% on the showcase circuit if I recall (which is 45-grade huge league contact fee if it holds up).

Efrim: Stunned that Cam Caminiti will stay a forty five+(guessing). What’s protecting him from a 50 FV grade and Prime 100.

Brendan Gawlowski: Lot of Caminiti questions. One other who was shut. Wish to see a extra constant change and wish to see him maintain his stuff in longer outings.

Brendan Gawlowski: It’s so much simpler to purchase a man’s stuff if he’s in a position to do it over 5-6 innings than 3-4. Not a Caminiti remark particularly, that applies all over the place.

Matt: What does AJ Ewing must do to make the top-100 subsequent 12 months?

Eric A Longenhagen: We like Ewing, smaller, speedy man who makes contact and performs good protection. Sal Frelick sort? A lot of the CFs who I’d contemplate to be 50s throughout any type of multi-year window are hitting for some energy.

Eric A Longenhagen: Main League Leaderboards – 2019 to 2025 – Batting | FanGraphs Baseball

Brendan Gawlowski: Nelson Rada falls on this bucket too.

Eric A Longenhagen: And Enrique Bradfield

Eric A Longenhagen: 45

Brendan Gawlowski: And I had a supply who most well-liked Rada after I put him and Ewing collectively

Cool Lester Clean: How a lot of Lombard’s drop from 55 to 50 is pushed by the drop in manufacturing after his aggressive promotion and the way a lot by holes in his strategy/swing that AA uncovered?

Brendan Gawlowski: One other factor with Lombard is that his measurable energy was solely a forty five final 12 months. So, along with the issues that you simply talked about, we don’t actually see plus energy in play.

Roy Hobbs: The place would Imai rank?

The place would Marcelo Mayer rank?

Eric A Longenhagen: Imai could be on the high of the 50s, Marcelo within the 55 tier combine with Emerson, Wetherholt. How he’d line up with that group precisely would possibly differ primarily based on how scared I’m of his chase and physique projection on any given day.

CraigB: Good listing.  As a Pirates’ fan, I’m curious as to the earlier 70 FV guys.  Rutschmann was one and he has not distinguished himself.

Brendan Gawlowski: Adley has two five-win seasons, two ASG appearances, a Silver Slugger, and 15 profession WAR.

Roy Hobbs: Among the many 45 or greater guys who’re the highest 5-10 Command Guys?

Eric A Longenhagen: Board Kind, child. The Board | FanGraphs Baseball

Prospector: Asking about Gavin Fien and Nate George? Thoughs and FV?

Eric A Longenhagen: I’m not particularly on both of them. Fien I wrote about within the evaluation of the Gore commerce, which I’ll hyperlink to in a sec. George is a pleasant participant whose spray chart versus fastballs scares the crap out of me. All oppo-oriented, he’s lengthy into the zone for a short-levered man. Makes me nervous he received’t be on time versus higher velo.

Eric A Longenhagen: Cherry Blossom Seeds: Washington Eyes Rebirth with 5-Prospect Haul in Gore Commerce | FanGraphs Baseball

Ryan: This query is for Brendan- you got here from the Pirates org, right? I used to be questioning in case you might present your tackle the Dbacks hiring of Jeremy Bleich? How do you assume he’ll assist the group’s pitching dev? Thanks!

Brendan Gawlowski: I labored briefly with Jeremy and located him good, inquisitive, onerous working, a superb group participant, and an individual who goes the additional mile. AZ fortunate to have him.

SCJH: Am I proper or mistaken to jot down extremely touted int’l hitters off in the event that they wrestle within the DSL? I do know breakouts occur however appears to me anybody who’s a superb guess to hit MLB pitching ultimately shouldn’t wrestle towards the Dominican equal of the showcase circuit.

Brendan Gawlowski: You must be a bit of cautious with DSL numbers, however the guys who simply utterly bomb that stage, yeah, that’s usually a fairly large downside.

Visitor: When does minor league spring coaching begin, and if it has is there some noise about breakout guys on the backfields?

Eric A Longenhagen: Guys are already throwing/taking dwell BP and different discipline work which you can kinda go try between school video games at no matter facility. We’d need to do Prospect Week every week earlier subsequent 12 months so I can simply see as a lot baseball as humanly attainable. March ninth I feel are the primary minor league spring video games.

Eric A Longenhagen: Chase Shores appeared nice in dwell BP

Visitor: What separates Nolan McLean from the Yesavage, White, Chandlers of the world to be a full grade greater?

Eric A Longenhagen: Really feel for location.

bob: thanks as all the time for all of the onerous work! feels to me like this 12 months’s high 100 is extra pitcher-heavy all through than it’s been prior to now few years. has the meta shifted in your thoughts in any respect? is it simply this specific crop of pitchers has extra good prospects? am i simply imagining this to start with?

Brendan Gawlowski: One of many issues that got here up so much once we have been speaking by the listing was that this was a really sturdy group of pitchers, notably wealthy in guys who had debuted however not misplaced eligibility. Dangerous demo however the listing must replicate that this can be a good 12 months for arms.

Sam: Can we get a bit of extra shade from you guys on the Chourio disagreement? Fascinated by how assorted his evals have been, from borderline high 50 to method off high 100.

Brendan Gawlowski: Chourio is extremely superior for a pitcher his age — really feel for location, consistency of his secondaries, velo, and so forth. He’s additionally not a giant man and it’s truthful to fret about sturdiness. I’ll let Eric add extra if he likes but it surely’s very regular for evaluators to have this sort of cut up on a participant.

Eric A Longenhagen: We’re simply writing the Daylight Guys piece on this chat.

Oaktown Blues: If I’m remembering appropriately, LDV was graded a 50 FV previous to being traded. Which issue(s) drove his rise to a 60 FV? Energy output? Extra confidence he’s a SS? Each?

Eric A Longenhagen: We positively had elevated confidence about his shortstop match as a bunch in contrast my particular person report from the time of the commerce. Precisely how huge is that this man going to be in his mid-20s? There positively a model of it the place he’s constructed extra like Ketel than like Gunnar, Witt, and so forth. He’s so younger, the variance on it’s nonetheless so excessive. But when that’s what occurs, effectively he may need 70 energy. That’d be okay. He’s good.

GB: The place would Cam Schlittler rank if he was nonetheless prospect eligible?

Eric A Longenhagen: Within the 60 FV tier.

Elian Pena: Any Elian Pena love for the Mets?

Brendan Gawlowski: Sure, one of many 3-4 DSL names in critical dialogue for the listing.

Brendan Gawlowski: Dorian Soto, Kevin Alvarez the others who got here up as late as final evening

Eric A Longenhagen: If we 40+ (or higher) a DSL man, we would like you to concentrate to him.

Eric A Longenhagen: If we have now a 40+ or a excessive 40 on a participant, we like him.

Eric A Longenhagen: There are greater than 109 good prospects

Woody: Simply curious if y’all have any nuggets to share on Roldy Brito. Have heard a bit of buzz, however that is all us Rockies followers need to get enthusiastic about, so his inclusion was a pleasing shock!

Brendan Gawlowski: He was my favourite participant to scout. He’s toolsy, he performs onerous, he’s versatile. I really like him. Wish to see the contact fee tick up, assume he has it in him to take action.

Steve: How shut did Yorger Bautista get to the Prime 100?  He was hyped at the moment final 12 months however appears to have fallen considerably, I assume as a result of the hit instrument was not the place it must be.

Brendan Gawlowski: See Eric’s reply about 40+ DSL guys above.

Drew: So if Ryan Sloan takes a step ahead when it comes to workload, he’s a candidate for #1 total subsequent 12 months?

Brendan Gawlowski: Candidate for No. 1 pitcher perhaps…

Scott: Are you able to present any perception on the distinction in grades for Willits and Josuar Gonzalez? They’re comparable ages with seemingly comparable profiles and instruments, to a sure extent. Is it the distinction in high quality of competitors they’ve confronted to this point? Thanks for the nice listing!

Eric A Longenhagen: Good query. These two make sense as bedfellows who get paired collectively, sure. Josuar has rather less bodily apparent projection. There are positively methods for extra compact athletes like him to hit for energy (Lindor is the instance) however Willits’ body has extra apparent room. He’s not Corey Seager or something, however there’s a extra highly effective look to how his palms work and Josuar was increasing in a method that value him injury after I noticed him within the fall.

Kate: Does giving davalillo a 50 with a forty five fastball offer you any pause?  What number of good mlb starters are there with beneath avg fastballs?

Brendan Gawlowski: Sure and we kicked that round with him. On the finish of the day, he has a pair huge secondaries and a well-rounded arsenal that ought to enable him to make use of the fastball as a complimentary piece. However it’s a threat — good query.

Eric A Longenhagen: 70 cut up/change. Within the situations the place guys with beneath common fastballs reach a no. 4 or higher SP function (it occurs) it’s actually because there’s a 70 or 80 grade factor lurking.

Visitor: Who’re some names both on or off the highest 100 who you assume are most definitely to make a significant bounce up the listing by the top of the season

Eric A Longenhagen: Any of the younger hitters ranked within the 40-50 vary

Pat: Assuming Emmanuel Rodriguez drop off the listing is a combo of his passivity & damage proneness?

Brendan Gawlowski: And incapacity to catch something within the higher half of the zone. And a few issues about his protection in CF. All of it simply added up.

529: Now that we’ve had a while, what influence has the contraction of the minor leagues had on prospect growth?

Brendan Gawlowski: There are a bunch. The obvious is that it looks like it’s killing younger hitters — maybe Latin American ones particularly — with uncooked hit instruments. However it’s additionally a consider why a bunch of actually good gamers are shifting so shortly. One fewer hurdle to clear. We might listing a bunch of others.

Hazmat Corntail: For us dynasty leaguers who will lastly get a crack eventually 12 months’s draft class (along with everybody else), the place do you see essentially the most worth throughout positions when it comes to ML-ready expertise at this stage? Is there anybody from final 12 months’s class that has a shorter obvious trajectory to the majors than the others?

Eric A Longenhagen: The pitchers who ended up in Boston; Kyson and Phillips, Bremner (duh), Jamie Arnold if the strikes come again (I actually hope so, he’s lots of enjoyable), Gage Wooden. Faculty arms from groups who both have a monitor document of racing guys by the minors (Atlanta, Anaheim), or constructing/aggressive golf equipment with an apparent want for pitching (Sacramento, perhaps Arizona with Pat Forbes)

Brendan Gawlowski: If Kade Anderson solely made 15 minor league begins, I wouldn’t be shocked

Marco: Stunned to see Yolfran and Celestin so excessive. What do you see in them that others won’t? Or are you simply not as discouraged by their lack of manufacturing so far?

Brendan Gawlowski: Extraordinarily projectable athletes. The type of gamers you give lots of runway to.

Brendan Gawlowski: Yolfran specifically was a humorous dialog as a result of we each wished to incorporate him and each (or at the very least I) sorta thought the opposite individual wouldn’t wish to do it.

Scott: Eric, studying the “How’s my driving” piece, it looks like you threat overfitting the up to date scouting reviews to the singular eventual consequence. For instance, have a look at Victor Robles. He’s listed as a giant miss (projected FV65, precise FV40+). However his rookie 12 months produced 3 WAR, which naively proves that’s he was able to being at the very least an FV55.

How have been you speculated to know that they have been going to deaden the ball? Or that COVID or unhealthy teaching or no matter would disrupt his trajectory? To my thoughts, you may solely personal the error as yours in case you both assume his 2019 was a fortunate fluke and never his actual expertise stage on the time or in case you assume his later underperformance was attributable to his personal unhealthy selections and it’s best to have picked up one thing suspect in his make-up. Neither of these explanations appear proper, or full, to me.

So my query is that this: how do you reckon with a niche between verifiable potential and eventual outcomes? And which of the 2 – potential or outcomes – is it your job to foretell?

Eric A Longenhagen: You’re overfitting to a singular consequence. One 12 months of efficiency as a sign of ceiling is okay, but it surely’s a way more singular consequence than what I’m doing, which is taking a look at a six-year window of manufacturing. A participant’s grade shouldn’t be there peak season. Carlos Gomez wasn’t a 70 simply because he had two big seasons. 40+ describes precisely what Robles was throughout his pre-free company years. Principally carried out like a below-average outfielder (40, beneath common) with two random peaks (+).

Visitor: What stored Bubba Chandler from reaching the identical grade as McLean? His final 3 begins have been a stage few pitchers can style. 19/0 bb/okay, 17% swstr, all 3 video games beneath a .200 xwoba. Platoon impartial arsenal and hasn’t even discovered a slider but.

Brendan Gawlowski: Edge to the man who already discovered a slider, no?

Eric A Longenhagen: (nods emphatically)

Really my very own boss: Are you able to write a observe to my boss, excusing my lack of consideration right now?

Eric A Longenhagen: Certain, I’ll commerce you in case you write Appelman an electronic mail explaining why the fangraphs youtube algo is now all Brian Entin.

Bustin makes me really feel unhealthy: Are you able to clarify how a prospect with a 50% chance of being a bust finally ends up with a 50FV?

Brendan Gawlowski: The chilly, mathematical actuality of retroactive outcomes-based evaluation collides with the hopeful optimism of scouting

T-Bone is the villain: Appropriate me if I’m mistaken, however I appear to recollect you (Eric) saying you most well-liked Early to Tolle. Has that modified?

Eric A Longenhagen: I feel Early has a greater probability to begin due to how free and athletic he’s, however Tolle’s fastball is such an elite, dominant factor, and we ended up actually caring about that.

Adenolith: I’ve all the time had it in my thoughts that generally gamers get known as up too shortly and it ruins their growth. Is that an precise factor? Is there a cause a participant’s long-term outlook is likely to be negatively impacted by an aggressive promotion even when they get despatched again down?

Brendan Gawlowski: It may be an element, notably if they begin growing unhealthy habits to deal with the competitors. Juan Flores turning right into a swing-at-everything hitter is a mini instance.

Lovelayingdown: Is there anyway to get the participant linker again for the chats?

Eric A Longenhagen: I can put hyperlinks within the transcript however not within the dwell chat.

Eric A Longenhagen: Meh, I suppose we are able to paste hyperlinks to the participant pages in right here as we discuss. Is that one thing individuals need?

Eric A Longenhagen:

1b truther: solely 3 (4 in case you embrace lazaro) 1b on the listing. is that this a brand new inefficiency rising? looks like we’ve gotten to a loopy place of groups undervaluing 1b, and overvaluing ss. is willits or arias actually that rather more precious than ralphy?

Brendan Gawlowski: Loads of the fellows on this listing projected to different spots are going to wind up at 1B. Florentino, Condon, Liranzo all candidates proper now. After which there’s going to be a shock 1B from damage or want. taking a look at present 1B, Vlad, Busch, Contreras, and so forth. all have been graded elsewhere and wound up at first.

DEF: The place would Walcott rank with out the damage?

Eric A Longenhagen: For me: sandwiched between Benge and Duno.

Eric A Longenhagen: Suppose the upside/threat items are akin to Duno, Walcott higher proximity than him. Benge feels safer, much more proximate than Walcott pre-injury.

Jeff: What’s extra essential to you when evaluating prospects, how excessive their ceiling is or the chance of them hitting their ceiling/ground?

Brendan Gawlowski: Relies on the participant.

Brendan Gawlowski: To rank on a high 100, it’s essential have at the very least a 2-3 win ceiling, which most minor leaguers don’t have.

Mets Fan: Is Kyle Tucker a good comparability for the best-case state of affairs of Carson Benge (above common at all the pieces, not really standout in anybody instrument) or is that being too optimistic?

Brendan Gawlowski: Not moved by the comp. Tucker has extra energy, Benge ought to keep in CF for a bit.

Chris: What do you assume the brand new timeline for Didier Fuentes is? They appear to know they moved him too quick however assume growth of third pitch is required

Eric A Longenhagen: I feel he’ll be up and down this 12 months. We predict he’ll set up himself as one in all their 5 finest guys and be a superb a part of their rotation for some time, however most likely not in 2026. Sooner or later we’ll search for and go “wow, Fuentes is that this good and he’s solely 24?”

Brendan Gawlowski: When a man will get hit like Fuentes did final 12 months, it’s far, much more encouraging to drag up the tape and discover 2-3 actionable issues that he can enhance, moderately than conclude ‘yeah, he positive received lit up, huh? Must pitch higher…’ Higher change, higher arm aspect command and he’ll be high quality.

Michael – FG since 2016: Good imply joe Greene reference.    In case you have been betting which Pirates’ prospects is extra more likely to be their subsequent #1 total.   Hernandez or Florentino?

Eric A Longenhagen: I’d die earlier than a non-Jagr Penguin’s title will get talked about in glowing style on our web site. Sethy is the reply.

Eric A Longenhagen: I suppose Darius Kasparitis has been talked about in some unspecified time in the future.

DC: Appear to have florentino decrease ranked than different websites. How come?

Brendan Gawlowski: If it helps, I don’t know the place Florentino is ranked on different websites.

Eric A Longenhagen: Even when we did, we’d need to know extra about why our friends/buds ranked them the place they did with a view to reply that query. I feel we should always all simply have a look at our personal take a look at paper, variations in our conclusions make for a more healthy ecosystem for readers, imo.

David: Mariners / Present Worth readability – How do Michael Arroyo and Lazaro Montes have the identical present hit instrument?

Brendan Gawlowski: Guys a number of ranges away may have low current hit instruments as a default however I most likely ought to’ve 35’d Arroyo’s now that you simply point out it like that.

Jeff: One of many greater surprises for me was Joshua Baez not making the highest 110.  Is he somebody that hardly missed the listing?

Eric A Longenhagen: He was not, I don’t assume his swing goes to work. Appears good on the spreadsheet, although.

Dodgers Blue: This will likely have been requested in a previous chat with you guys and I apologize if I missed it – however I’m curious how McLean is listed right here however Chase Burns just isn’t.  Regardless of McLean throwing extra innings (majors and minors), what prompted Burns to graduate whereas McLean continues to be eligible right here?

Brendan Gawlowski: Burns exhausted his rookie eligibility.

Eric A Longenhagen: Burns graduated on roster days

Mike: Studying the up to date report on Roch, the outline of him out of highschool sounds so much like the place Billy Carlson coming into the draft. Clearly anticipating Carlson’s bat to develop that a lot could be irresponsible, however are the uncooked instruments/traits decently comparable?

Eric A Longenhagen: Sure

Ghost of Wade Boggs: Which participant(s) would you say have the smallest hole between their median consequence(s) and the ninetieth percentile consequence(s)?

Brendan Gawlowski: Within the participant universe? All of the orgs. Of the fellows on the highest 100, Arias involves thoughts.

EV: Christian Oppor has SP # ceiling?

Eric A Longenhagen: 3/4, probability for 3 plus pitches, wanna see him end stronger out entrance

Eric A Longenhagen: On ceiling

Eric A Longenhagen: Actual RP threat due to command, however nonetheless may need three pluses in that function

Central PHX: Any love for Wehiwa Aloy? Huge instruments!

Eric A Longenhagen: Yep, like him, don’t love the plate self-discipline

Eric A Longenhagen: Not sufficient for the hondo, he’s a superb prospect

Roki Sasaki: You guys placing Yesavage on the listing made me curious in case you had any ideas on Sasaki? Would he nonetheless be close to the highest if he had been ranked? I do know he pitched a number of extra innings and began the season up, however most likely didn’t have an excessive amount of extra work than Yesavage total.

Eric A Longenhagen: I’d nonetheless stuff Roki, he’d be a 60.

David: As we get into Spring Coaching, are there any Particular person gamers both of you’re excited to get a have a look at specifically?

Brendan Gawlowski: “Each participant I’ve put a optimistic grade on” might be too broad, huh? Draft guys who didn’t play — Conrad, Slawinski — or projectable sorts who wanted to develop — Robert Arias

Matt: No JoJo Parker or Jamie Arnold? What provides?

Eric A Longenhagen: I actually like Arnold however he threw sub-60% fastball strikes final 12 months, sub-50% zone fee, jus didn’t have really feel for fastball command in any respect. I do know he didn’t stroll anybody, however school hitters are unhealthy. Fastball command is the massive factor to look at for from him this 12 months. He’s a Choose to Click on for me, however we’ve received guys on right here who’ve thrown 120-140 innings at Double- and Triple-A, Arnold is extra speculative.

Eric A Longenhagen: Parker we touched on earlier. We like him too.

Mas Datos, Por Favor: Do guys that didn’t exceed rookie eligibility however performed effectively within the bigs like McLean perhaps get a bump too excessive on their grade? I get he carried out effectively but it surely was a small pattern dimension and hitters will alter.

Eric A Longenhagen: We like McLean that a lot

AA: How shut was Cam Caminiti? He and Luke Sinnard have been 45+ at your final eval of them, so I think about they weren’t far off the 100?

Eric A Longenhagen: Appropriate, like each guys so much. I picked CamCam to click on final 12 months I feel, changeup simply didn’t get to a ok place.

Jeff: If Ryan River was 2-3  years youthful, would that change something about his scouting report?

Brendan Gawlowski: Not likely, for me. Possibly I’d really feel rather less urgency in my intestine, however I’m principally listening to my mind when writing these.

Josh: Which Diamondbacks prospect do you assume has the most important probability to leap up their listing this 12 months?

Brendan Gawlowski: Somebody within the Livingston/Hagaman/Ciprian/Forbes tier. In roughly that order

Re: Nats: How are you guys dividing your work? Do every of you cowl half the league, or are you every masking all people?

Eric A Longenhagen: Nah, we’re each on the entire pie. I don’t wanna do the factor the place we ignore half of the participant inhabitants for the sake in ease divying up the work that method. Brendan and I are full time workers who ought to find out about as a lot of the participant universe as we are able to with out getting our households mad at us. Additionally it’s freaking enjoyable.

Brendan Gawlowski: I’m nonetheless enjoying catch as much as some extent. I can do the complete system for some orgs, I don’t wanna say the place I’d run out on the Nationals now. A part of the rationale I signed up for Braves (both my subsequent listing or the one after) is to maintain honing that international perspective.

Mike: With evaluations getting usually extra correct, is it much less possible that somebody like José Ramírez be appeared over as a lot as he was as a prospect? Clearly there’s all the time going to be guys that blow up on account of fixing their physique and so forth in sudden methods, but it surely looks like that type of miss is extra uncommon these days (although clearly a man like that turning right into a hof stage participant is awfully uncommon anyway)

Brendan Gawlowski: I feel there’ll all the time be surprises. Predicting the longer term is tough, the sport is performed by people, and so forth.

Sirras: How completely different is prospect scouting vs huge league/advance scouting?

Brendan Gawlowski: Advance scouting is breaking down what guys are doing proper now and why; very completely different animal.

Matt: Hey guys, what does a primary Kevin Alcantara season appear like? It appears he has a ton of variance between his twentieth vs eightieth percentile outcomes

Eric A Longenhagen: Like the nice Drew Stubbs, Michael A Taylor seasons

NatsFan26: Why is Susana ranked to this point forward of Sykora. I do know he has wipeout stuff and the damage historical past with Sykora is horrifying however he mowed down A ball and had a superb brief stint in AA earlier than getting damage

Brendan Gawlowski: Injured guys go to the again of the road

Seattle Sleestaks season ticket-holder: Kevin Alvarez appears promising.  80+% contact fee, projectable physique and aesthetically pleasing swing?  Choose to click on?

Brendan Gawlowski: Sure, probably as a two-year dart throw as an alternative of a next-year PTC.

Rob A: Blatant dynasty query: I like to scoop up the lately graduated prospects that didn’t click on quick sufficient to be stored. Favor Cam Smith or Jordan Lawlar? Or Ronny Mo?

Eric A Longenhagen: I’d nonetheless roll the cube on Lawlar of that group. SMith might be the most secure hitter of that group however is likely to be RF Alec Bohm. Lawlar has some near-term paths to enjoying time in a superb hitting atmosphere, and a few of his points (he can’t throw precisely from sure positions) don’t matter for fantasy as a lot as they do an actual world baseball context.

Tony: Which participant do you contemplate your favourite “win” – as in you had them greater than most and so they turned out to be simply pretty much as good as you hoped?

Brendan Gawlowski: Gustavo Campero; Cole Ragans.

Visitor: no query, simply wish to say thanks for all of the wonderful work! Prime 100 dropping on the identical day my membership renews is 80 grade timing.

Eric A Longenhagen: Thanks for being a member. Of us ought to contemplate changing into one in the event that they aren’t already, the positioning can continue to grow and altering (perhaps even in stunning instructions) with extra subs and also you get some cool options.

Paul: Travis Bazzana and Charlie Condon have been 1a and 1b on most peoples draft board at first of the draft. Do you assume there was any error in scouting them outta school, or have they simply received unfortunate?

Brendan Gawlowski: Condon’s accidents have difficult his professional evaluations. Eric can weigh in on this if he has a thought however I feel that, perhaps in simply the final 12 months or two, we’ve gotten a bit of higher at choosing aside endurance vs passivity statistically. Can’t communicate to Cleveland’s ideas on that re: Bazzana but it surely’s attainable that that a part of his sport received extra of a lift than it ought to have.

Eric A Longenhagen: He was positively swinging onerous throughout Fall League. I nonetheless don’t assume his barrel really feel is very good.

sox: How shut was Dorian Soto to sneaking at the back of this listing?

Eric A Longenhagen: He was in our mixture of DSL guys on the bubble till the very finish. Want the contact knowledge was *particular particular* like Made’s was a 12 months in the past moderately than simply above-average.

Jeff: Wasn’t Susana Harm as effectively?

Brendan Gawlowski: They go to the again of the road for the tier by which they’re graded

Nicely-Beered Englishman: Carson used to name the Eric-Kiley tandem “McDongenhagen.” Have you ever guys considered your duo title? Possibly The Huge Longowski?

Eric A Longenhagen: I’m emailing you a launch type so the display screen printed boxer briefs may be made.

Foolish query: Do scouts need to pay a gate payment to look at HS video games? Faculty? Minors? Or do this have a scout go?

Brendan Gawlowski: Minors no, school typically sure. Don’t overlook the parking.

flightsongs: Classic dice p1p1, Sol Ring or Black Lotus?

Eric A Longenhagen: I need Lotus due to the spirit and vibe of it, as a result of I’ve by no means gotten to play with it, and since the mana may be coloured. I suck at combo decks tho

Alex: Ideas on Jacob Melton?

Eric A Longenhagen: 45, James and I agreed shortly

Robert: Somewhat suprised to see Billy Carlson omitted from the listing.  Is it (lack of) confidence within the hit instrument that’s driving this?

Eric A Longenhagen: Sure

Nicely-Tequilad Angeleno: With the Giants system on the rise, are there another guys in there flirting with the outskirts of the highest 100? And will huge seasons from Josuar, Luis and the low stage pitchers vault this technique into the highest 10?

Brendan Gawlowski: Whisenhunt, Davidson, Bresnahan all on the lengthy listing. I feel the ACL crew that they had final 12 months was attention-grabbing and thrilling however we’re most likely going to want one other 12 months earlier than we’re hyping De La Torre or Keyner in an enormous method

Matty: Hypothetical vary on Murakami?

Eric A Longenhagen: In there with Montes and Condon

Huge Buckston: Random thought, however do you assume the contraction of the minors will ends in extra prospects rising from indy ball?

Brendan Gawlowski: In principle, however I additionally anticipated it to occur a bit of greater than it has after the brief season chop.

Gamer: dont overlook yunior marte (no, not that one) on the giants listing!

Brendan Gawlowski: One other good one. Cayama too.

529: Who’s the man you differ on essentially the most?

Eric A Longenhagen: We have now a bit schedule for this week known as “Daylight Guys: Prospects We Disagree About” that you simply’re gonna wanna learn.

Brendan Gawlowski: We each have gamers we pushed onto the listing that the opposite wouldn’t have ranked independently. And we each argued a man or two off that might’ve been.

Eric A Longenhagen: Ah shit, Robert Duvall died.

JJ: Do you may have a comp for Kruz Schoolcraft’s athleticism? When listening to about him it appears to be particular class of expertise and twitch however I don’t understand how to consider or quantify that

Eric A Longenhagen: Positively a swish athlete, watched him hustle double popup slide final spring, big child. Sabathia is an excessive amount of.. lefty Doug Fister?

boobie miles: Was Sebastian Walcott’s rating introduced down attributable to current elbow surgical procedure?

Eric A Longenhagen: Sure, Boobie.

Eric A Longenhagen: His rating, not his grade.

bob: ive spent this offseason falling in love with esmerlyn valdez. you guys had him ending 2025 as a forty five+ who was placing up online game numbers within the AFL … am i delusional to assume he had a shot on the listing and mayb efell simply brief?

Eric A Longenhagen: Randall Grichuk sort. 45 for me

Brendan Gawlowski: Y’all have been actually good at figuring out the late cuts right now.

Avery: Possibly not a lot a prospect query as a guidelines query, however why is Nolan McLean nonetheless prospect-eligible if he obtained votes for RoTY final 12 months already? Did the BBWAA simply mess up?

Brendan Gawlowski: No, McLean was simply unimaginable sufficient final summer season to get votes although he was barely there.

Eric A Longenhagen: He’s nonetheless rookie eligible.

Eric A Longenhagen: Individuals have made mistake on RoY ballots earlier than

Eric A Longenhagen: The BBWAA messes up. I’m a brand new member, my ID card has my title misspelled and has me as a part of the Seattle chapter. Although, MLB prints the playing cards, not the Affiliation. It’s an infinite physique, stuff like this occurs. I had Mick Abel on our listing till Meg caught that he graduated throughout enhancing.

Eric A Longenhagen: Gabby Moreno if i recall

Brendan Gawlowski: Edinson Volquez ^

The Huge Longlowski: have you ever ever gone to scout a sport in jellies and a bathrobe?

Brendan Gawlowski: No, however the airline as soon as misplaced my bag so I went to at least one in basketball shorts and a t-shirt. I stayed down the road out of embarrassment.

Dynasty Dispersal Draft: I don’t want participant hyperlink in chat. What I need is for them to be tagged so we are able to reference mentioned chat later.

Eric A Longenhagen: gotcha

Eric A Longenhagen: I can do tha

Eric A Longenhagen: that* are you able to inform we’ve been chatting for 2 hours?

Ben: Hi there. I’ve heard so much about Konnor Griffin and all of his hype. How does he mission? Who’s your comp? I see he has 70 energy and velocity however idk what makes him 70 FV.

Eric A Longenhagen: 70 FV means 5+ annual WAR on common throughout years of group management

Eric A Longenhagen: We considered 80’ing him. His contact fee is a bit of worse than Bobby Witt’s, which is why we didn’t. Bobby is on an 80 tempo, there’s some daylight there.

Dynasty Dispersal Draft: Ought to’ve recognized Eric’s a Flyers fan. Bobby Brink was one in all my faves to look at in school.

Eric A Longenhagen: I don’t even have the Coyotes to cheat on them with anymore.

Sirras: What query do you would like readership requested you extra (or in any respect)?

Eric A Longenhagen: Why do you differ with the opposite publications on (Participant Who We 45’d).

Visitor: What would Yairo Padilla must show this 12 months to make a Prime 100 push?

Eric A Longenhagen: Extra raise/sport energy. I actually like him. If right here have been extra projectable he’d be subsequent to Yolfran on the listing, however Padilla the cement is extra dry on the bod.

e: versus ‘finest prospect you ever noticed’, who’s a man who both of you have been simply completely out on and ended up being nice?

Eric A Longenhagen: Freaking Jeff McNeil, who I assumed was terrible within the Fall League.

Brendan Gawlowski: I didn’t have a superb grade on Ernie Clement.

EJ: Esteban Mejia , how removed from high 109?

Eric A Longenhagen: Shut, loopy athlete, loopy arm velocity, in every single place proper now.

Gemma: No point out of gamers like Kevin Alvarez of Houston or Justin Gonzales of Boston? Seeing fairly a little bit of T100 helium with these two, are they in your radar?

Eric A Longenhagen: Justin Gonzalez very bodily mature for his age. Maxed out have a look at 19, nook man, odd swing with inside out spray, once more somebody who seems good on the trackman spreadsheet esp whenever you alter for his age (like avg contact, above vg energy on a youngster) however I’m not as inclined to do age-based projection on a man constructed like this already.

Eric A Longenhagen: On the radar, sure. Alvarez the combo of physique projection and bat management is thrilling, his bat velocity is method beneath common proper now. Sluggish sufficient I wanna see it enhance earlier than we stuff him, he has much less apparent bodily whip than the Made/Josuar guys….

Josh: Intestine test: will Spencer Jones nonetheless be within the majors at age 30?

Brendan Gawlowski: I feel sure, however I’m the excessive man.

Kevin: A pair years in the past the Rockies had 4 high 100 prospects – Drew Romo, Zac Veen, Yanquiel Fernandez, and Adael Amador. None look to be important contributors. Is {that a} reflection on the group’s growth effectiveness? The inherent nature of prospect rankings? Some mixture or one thing else?

Brendan Gawlowski: Most likely price a full article however a mixture. There’s attrition even in the perfect programs however the diploma to which COL guys stagnate was/is actually grim.

Brendan Gawlowski: The distinctive hell of scouting the Rockies was that they really scout/draft/signal simply high quality and have attention-grabbing guys who by no means get any higher. Which suggests your reviews will are usually excessive.

Eric A Longenhagen: Okay let’s be finished, Brendan.

Eric A Longenhagen: Thanks everybody for coming right now. I’ll chat once more in my regular time slot on Friday.

Brendan Gawlowski: An important, optimistic observe to depart on. Eat Arby’s.

Eric A Longenhagen: Please proceed to take pleasure in Prospect Week. It’s Shark Week, however Prospects.

Brendan Gawlowski: That’s higher. Bye everybody!