
Dansby Swanson introduced dwelling back-to-back Gold Gloves in 2022 with the Braves and ’23 with the Cubs whereas main the majors in Statcast’s Fielding Run Worth in each seasons. Though he hasn’t added any {hardware} to his assortment since then, and whereas his defensive metrics have slipped, he nonetheless grades out as comfortably above common in each FRV and Defensive Runs Saved. His defensive acumen was on show in Tuesday’s Wild Card Sequence opener between the Cubs and Padres, as he made a few pivotal, run-saving performs in Chicago’s 3-1 victory.
The Padres had taken the lead within the second inning, when Jackson Merrill and Xander Bogaerts opened the body with back-to-back doubles off Matthew Boyd; Bogaerts took third when heart fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong’s relay spurted away from Nico Hoerner at second base. Ryan O’Hearn then hit a scorching 101-mph groundball, and Swanson, who was shaded up the center, dove to his proper to cease it. He seemed Bogaerts again to 3rd base, then threw to first for the out. The play loomed giant as Bogaerts ended up stranded.
The Padres threatened once more within the fourth, when Manny Machado drew a leadoff stroll and took second on Merrill’s sacrifice bunt. Bogaerts legged out a chopper into the no-man’s land to the suitable of the mound for an infield single, and San Diego appeared poised to capitalize when O’Hearn hit a flare into shallow heart area. Swanson had different concepts, making an amazing over-the-shoulder snag of the ball, then in a single movement turning to fireplace dwelling to maintain Machado trustworthy.
Crow-Armstrong then ran down Gavin Sheets’ towering fly ball within the right-center hole to finish the risk. Other than a Freddy Fermin single the following inning, the Padres didn’t produce one other baserunner all day, whereas the Cubs scored thrice, together with back-to-back solo homers by Seiya Suzuki and Carson Kelly off Nick Pivetta within the fifth.
Swanson’s performs function shining examples of the significance of robust protection within the postseason, the place baserunners and runs are tougher to return by. And because it occurs, the Cubs charge as having the very best protection in all of baseball, with a unit that towers above all however one different playoff group. Along with Swanson’s Gold Gloves, Hoerner received in 2023, and left fielder Ian Happ is using a three-award streak.
That is the third yr in a row I’ve evaluated group defenses in midseason and heading into October by dipping into the alphabet soup of defensive metrics, together with FRV, DRS, and our personal catcher framing metric (hereafter abbreviated as FRM, as it’s on our stat pages). Longtime standby Final Zone Ranking (UZR) has been retired, which required me to regulate my methodology.
On a person degree, even a full season of information isn’t sufficient to offer a crystal-clear image of a participant’s protection, so it’s not stunning when the key metrics produce divergent values. In spite of everything, they’re primarily based on differing methodologies that produce various spreads in runs from high to backside, spreads that owe one thing to what they don’t measure, in addition to how a lot regression is constructed into their programs. Pitchers don’t have FRVs, and DRS tends to supply extra excessive scores (optimistic and detrimental) than Statcast; the latter additionally has a group positioning element. However inside this aggregation, I imagine we get sufficient sign to justify the hassle, a very good level of entry right into a broad subject, if not a bulletproof methodology.
To account for the bits within the alphabet soup, I aggregated the aforementioned metrics, adjusting for the various spreads in run values through the use of normal deviation scores (z-scores), which measure what number of normal deviations every group is from the league common in every class. As with final yr and again in July, I’ve damaged out catcher values for each FRV and DRS from the remainder of a group’s values in each metrics. Be aware that the model of DRS that we show on FanGraphs now features a framing element (rSZ, for strike zone) that isn’t utilized in Baseball Reference’s WAR calculations. (Yow will discover it on a participant’s fielding web page.) The three catcher measures (together with FRV) are every weighted at one-half the worth of the non-catcher scores, which improves the general z-score components’s correlation with run prevention. New for this yr, I’m utilizing Defensive Effectivity, the speed at which a group turns batted balls into outs, revealed at Baseball Reference. I initially weighted that equally with non-catcher DRS and FRV, however discovered that weighting it at 1.5 instances improved the correlation with run prevention. Final yr’s midseason z-score components had a -.39 correlation with runs allowed per recreation (greater scores imply fewer runs allowed), however with this yr’s reconfigured components, that correlation improved to -.75 at midseason, and to -.76 at season’s finish.
Workforce Protection Customary Deviation Scores
| Workforce | DRSnonC-z | DRSC-Z | FRM-z | FRVnonC-Z | FRVC-z | DefEff-z | Tot |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | 2.14 | 0.36 | -0.29 | 1.78 | 0.57 | 1.46 | 6.43 |
| Blue Jays | 1.66 | 2.24 | 1.76 | 0.73 | 2.40 | 0.14 | 5.79 |
| Rangers | 2.30 | -0.11 | -0.02 | 1.41 | -0.30 | 1.53 | 5.79 |
| Brewers | 0.57 | -0.11 | -0.51 | 1.31 | 0.42 | 0.77 | 2.92 |
| Padres | -0.17 | 0.60 | -0.01 | 0.32 | -0.30 | 1.32 | 2.28 |
| Guardians | -0.01 | 1.07 | 0.80 | 0.79 | 1.13 | 0.00 | 2.27 |
| Royals | 0.89 | -0.93 | -0.74 | 1.36 | -0.46 | 0.70 | 2.23 |
| Yankees | 0.41 | -0.81 | 1.65 | -0.26 | 0.97 | 0.70 | 2.10 |
| Pirates | 0.41 | 0.01 | -0.08 | 0.63 | -0.22 | 0.63 | 1.83 |
| Purple Sox | 0.54 | 1.18 | 0.15 | 0.68 | 0.49 | -0.49 | 1.40 |
| Astros | -0.20 | -0.57 | -0.65 | 1.36 | -0.46 | 0.70 | 1.36 |
| Giants | -0.04 | 2.00 | 2.76 | -0.88 | 2.40 | -0.98 | 1.20 |
| Braves | 0.50 | 0.95 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.49 | 0.00 | 1.19 |
| Cardinals | 0.02 | 0.95 | 0.87 | 0.89 | 0.42 | -0.63 | 1.09 |
| Marlins | 0.70 | -1.16 | 0.58 | 0.68 | -0.93 | 0.14 | 0.83 |
| Dodgers | 0.95 | -1.04 | -0.97 | 0.52 | -0.78 | 0.42 | 0.71 |
| Tigers | -0.46 | 0.48 | 0.87 | -0.52 | 1.05 | 0.28 | 0.65 |
| Diamondbacks | -0.36 | 0.36 | 0.09 | 0.37 | 0.49 | -0.21 | 0.17 |
| Reds | -0.62 | -0.69 | -0.18 | -0.05 | -0.54 | 0.91 | -0.01 |
| Mets | 0.15 | 1.30 | 0.11 | -0.78 | 0.73 | -0.70 | -0.60 |
| Rays | 0.34 | 0.60 | -0.27 | -1.20 | -1.33 | 0.49 | -0.62 |
| Mariners | -0.49 | -0.22 | 1.20 | -1.66 | 0.26 | 0.35 | -1.01 |
| Phillies | -0.39 | 0.01 | -0.91 | -0.36 | -0.46 | -0.49 | -2.16 |
| Athletics | -0.94 | -1.51 | -1.19 | -0.67 | -0.14 | 0.00 | -3.03 |
| Orioles | -0.97 | 0.01 | -0.06 | -1.04 | -0.06 | -0.98 | -3.53 |
| Twins | -1.38 | -0.69 | -0.01 | -0.57 | -0.93 | -0.98 | -4.24 |
| White Sox | -1.16 | -1.16 | -1.15 | -1.04 | -1.49 | -0.14 | -4.31 |
| Angels | -1.45 | -1.63 | -1.46 | -1.82 | -1.17 | -0.63 | -6.34 |
| Nationals | -1.10 | -0.81 | -1.83 | -1.46 | -1.73 | -1.32 | -6.72 |
| Rockies | -1.83 | -0.69 | -0.43 | -0.52 | -0.54 | -2.58 | -7.05 |
Thoughts the gaps! The space in rating between the third-ranked Rangers and fourth-ranked Brewers is larger than that between the Brewers and Seventeenth-ranked Tigers, and the space between the eighth-ranked Yankees and Nineteenth-ranked Reds is larger than that between the Reds and Twenty third-ranked Phillies. What follows is a better have a look at all 12 postseason groups, stating the the measures that stand out probably the most for higher or worse, as effectively some notable conflicts within the metrics. I’ll work from the highest of the desk to the underside.
Cubs
The Cubs ranked second general behind the Rangers in DRS (83), FRV (41), and Defensive Effectivity (.719) earlier than I did the voodoo that I do to hammer the numbers into the shape above; higher catching than the home-for-October Rangers put the Cubs on high. Chicago is exceptionally robust up the center, with Crow-Armstrong rating second solely to Ceddanne Rafaela in each FRV and DRS (21 and 16, respectively), Hoerner main second basemen in each classes (17 DRS, 12 FRV), and Swanson sixth in DRS (7) with 3 FRV, as effectively. The Statcast scores for beginning catcher Carson Kelly’s throwing and backup Reese McGuire’s framing helped them rating moderately effectively in these classes, too. Third baseman Matt Shaw and left fielder Ian Happ each scored very effectively by way of DRS (12 for the previous, 9 for the latter) however about common in FRV. Suzuki was the lowest-rated Cubs place participant by DRS (-4, with -1 FRV), however he spent many of the season DHing, enjoying solely 282 innings in proper area.
Blue Jays
I highlighted the Blue Jays protection in the midsummer model of this train, and whereas they surrendered the highest spot to the Cubs, their protection is simply tremendous. Catcher Alejandro Kirk ranked second solely to Patrick Bailey with 21 FRV and 11.3 FRM; backup Tyler Heineman (7 FRV, 2.8 FRM) helped the Jays additional dominate these classes. Infielder Ernie Clement totaled 11 DRS and 4 FRV in 603 innings at third base, in addition to 10 DRS and 4 FRV in 423 1/3 innings at second base, plus 1 FRV (and 0 DRS) in 170 innings at brief, and 1 DRS (and 0 FRV) in 69 innings at first base.
Different defensive standouts embrace heart fielders Myles Straw (15 DRS, 11 FRV) and Daulton Varsho (10 DRS, 6 FRV), and second baseman Andrés Giménez (9 DRS, 7 FRV). The AL Platinum Glove winner in 2023 (and a three-time Gold Glover), Giménez has been overlaying shortstop recently within the absence of Bo Bichette, who has been sidelined by a sprained ligament in his left knee traceable to a collision at dwelling plate on September 6. Although simply common by small-sample metrics, Giménez’s play at shortstop is an enormous improve on Bichette, whose -13 DRS and -10 FRV each ranked useless final on the place. If Bichette returns for the Division Sequence, he may very well be restricted to DH responsibility, which might pressure George Springer again to proper area, the place he was six runs beneath common by each metrics in simply 283 2/3 innings.
Brewers
The aforementioned hole between third and fourth within the rankings helps to clarify how Milwaukee can place so excessive regardless of having only one participant who’s significantly robust by each metrics: proper fielder Sal Frelick (9 DRS, 7 FRV), a 2024 Gold Glove winner. Extra frequent listed below are gamers with one good metric and one average-ish one, akin to shortstop Joey Ortiz (10 FRV, -2 DRS), second baseman and reigning NL Platinum Glove winner Brice Turang (6 DRS, 0 FRV), third baseman Caleb Durbin (6 DRS, 1 FRV), and catcher William Contreras (3 FRV, -2.7 FRM). Heart fielder Jackson Chourio is a gentle shock on the different finish of the spectrum (-4 DRS, 2 FRV) following a powerful rookie season cut up between the outfield corners.
Padres
The Padres ranked third within the majors in defensive effectivity (.717) behind solely the Cubs (.719) and Rangers (.720). Former NL Platinum Glove winner Fernando Tatis Jr. is the star right here; he led all proper fielders in FRV (10) and ranked second in DRS (15). Many of the different notable Padres who’re various runs in both path of common have one good (or unhealthy) metric and one which’s fairly strange, akin to Bogaerts (7 FRV, -4 DRS in his return to shortstop), Merrill (5 FRV, 0 DRS in heart), Machado (-4 FRV, 2 DRS at third base), first baseman Luis Arraez (4 FRV, -4 DRS), and second baseman Jake Cronenworth (-2 FRV, -8 DRS). It’s value noting this group is far improved relative to the midseason rankings, thanks largely to the arrival of Fermin (6 DRS, 1 FRV with San Diego, 13 DRS, 2 FRV general), who upgraded a dreadful catching scenario by changing Martín Maldonado.
Guardians
The Guardians have a number of defensive stars. Left fielder Steven Kwan has already banked two Gold Gloves and seems effectively on his strategy to a 3rd on condition that he led all left fielders by extensive margins in each DRS and FRV (22 and 14, respectively). First baseman Carlos Santana, who received his first Gold Glove final yr at age 38, ranked second amongst all first basemen in DRS (12, 11 with Cleveland) and tied for third in FRV (6, 5 with Cleveland) — however his third go-round with the group resulted in late August when he was launched. (The Cubs, who signed him, optioned Santana to the Arizona Complicated League final week, and he’s a part of their taxi squad in case of harm for his or her Wild Card Sequence in opposition to the Padres.). The protection has taken a step down with Kyle Manzardo’s play there, as he put up -7 DRS and -2 FRV in 459 2/3 innings at first. Jhonkensy Noel, who began in opposition to lefty Tarik Skubal on Tuesday, was average-ish in simply 50 innings there. Catcher Austin Hedges perennially lives as much as Nichols’ Regulation of Catcher Protection, as he offset his 51 wRC+ by rating among the many high 5 in all three catcher metrics into account (11 FRV, 10.1 FRM, 10 DRS). José Ramírez ranked fourth amongst third basemen with 6 FRV however was simply common by DRS. Shortstop Gabriel Arias and second baseman/heart fielder Daniel Schneemann have been a number of runs above common by each metrics, the latter at each positions — a lot better than fellow heart fielder Angel Martínez (-8 DRS, -3 FRV).
Yankees
Austin Wells drove the Yankees’ robust catching numbers, rating fourth within the majors in FRM (10.0) and tying for fourth in Statcast’s extra complete FRV (11). Jazz Chisholm Jr. was a lot better at second base (5 FRV, 2 DRS) than third, the place deadline acquisition Ryan McMahon offered a substantial improve (7 DRS, 2 FRV with the Yankees, 10 DRS, 6 FRV general). Within the outfield, Cody Bellinger unfold his time throughout all three spots, with most of his time in left area, which in Yankee Stadium usually requires a middle field-caliber fly chaser; general he had 12 DRS and 9 FRV. Aaron Decide’s 822 1/3 innings in proper area have been his most since 2021, however whereas he was excellent general (5 FRV, 3 DRS), his throwing hasn’t been the identical since he strained his proper flexor tendon in late July, which confined him to DH-only responsibility in his first month again; he performed 15 video games in proper in September. In the Wild Card Sequence opener on Tuesday night time, Purple Sox second baseman Nick Sogard challenged Decide’s arm by hustling for a double on a ball hit into right-center. That arrange Masataka Yoshida’s go-ahead two-run single, and afterwards Purple Sox supervisor Alex Cora diplomatically hinted at an consciousness of Decide’s present limitations, saying of Sogard’s aggressiveness, “That’s preparation. We speak about their outfielders and what can we do or what we can not do, and he noticed it straight away and took benefit of it.”
Decide isn’t the one concern within the outfield, as Trent Grisham could also be a bit stretched in heart today (-12 DRS, -3 FRV), although his bat has been important to the Yankees. Shortstop Anthony Volpe, whose protection was beforehand his calling card, was a blended bag metrically (-5 FRV, 1 DRS), with throwing points, some uncharacteristic hesitancy on grounders, and a few evident psychological lapses; colleague Esteban Rivera took a deep dive into Volpe’s troubles on Tuesday. Between Tampa Bay and New York, deadline acquisition José Caballero was excellent at shortstop in a 336-inning pattern (4 FRV, 4 DRS), providing supervisor Aaron Boone another. With the lefty Garrett Crochet on the mound for Boston in Recreation 1, the righty-hitting Caballero began at third base, the place he was about common in 117 innings between the 2 groups (1 DRS, 1 FRV).
Purple Sox
The aforementioned Rafaela is an elite defender who led all main league heart fielders in each DRS (22) and FRV (21). Likewise, Wilyer Abreu captured at the least a share of second in each metrics (15 DRS, 8 FRV) regardless of enjoying simply 847 innings in proper area, over 400 fewer than Tatis. Carlos Narváez ranked seventh amongst all catchers in FRV (9), with robust showings in each framing and throwing. Left fielder Jarren Duran had blended metrics (11 DRS, -1 FRV), however the group’s most evident defensive weak spot is Trevor Story, who ranked among the many backside 5 shortstop regulars in each (-7 DRS, -8 FRV).
Dodgers
Mookie Betts’ conversion to shortstop in his early 30s is just about with out precedent, and it’s backed by distinctive metrics. In his first full season on the place, the six-time Gold Glover in proper area tied for the key league lead amongst shortstops with 17 DRS, and cracked the highest 10 with 4 FRV. Andy Pages, who saved the Dodgers’ bacon along with his bat again and again this season, was a godsend on protection as effectively, totaling 12 FRV and eight DRS throughout the three positions, with the lion’s share of his enjoying time in heart. Utilitymen Enrique Hernández, Miguel Rojas, and Tommy Edman have been common or higher by at the least one metric at nearly each place they performed, making them invaluable shifting elements for a group that needed to overcome quite a few accidents. In small samples, Hyeseong Kim was stable in heart area and distinctive at second (9 DRS and three FRV in simply 278 innings).
On the opposite facet of the spectrum, Michael Conforto was not only a catastrophe on the plate, but in addition in left area (-8 DRS, -5 FRV); mercifully, he was left off the Wild Card Sequence roster. Max Muncy had blended metrics at third (-4 FRV, 3 DRS) and Freddie Freeman took a step again after final fall’s ankle troubles (-7 DRS, -1 FRV). For as robust as his offense was, catcher Will Smith’s protection principally collapsed (-8 DRS, -8 FRV, -6.8 FRM). Although he’s on the Wild Card Sequence roster, he might not do a lot catching this October because of a hairline fracture in his proper hand, leaving supervisor Dave Roberts with a selection between high-upside rookie Dalton Dashing (who was barely beneath common throughout the board) and light-hitting journeyman Ben Rortvedt.
Tigers
The splendidly alliterative Dillon Dingler is the Tigers’ defensive star, at the least by the numbers. He ranked fourth amongst all catchers with 12 FRV, seventh with 5.5 FRM, and tied for twelfth with 6 DRS. The Tiger that’s unimaginable to take your eyes off is Javier Báez, who couldn’t keep his scorching begin offensively however added heart area to his repertoire when the group’s depth chart was decimated early this yr. He was common or higher there, at third base, and at shortstop, the place he’s gotten most of his enjoying time recently. The case for taking part in him at brief is amplified by Trey Sweeney’s struggles there (-5 DRS, -5 FRV); in the meantime, Parker Meadows is lastly wholesome and about common in heart.
Left fielder Riley Greene and second baseman Gleyber Torres have been a number of runs beneath common by each metrics. Zach McKinstry was common or higher in small slices of enjoying time at shortstop and left area however struggled notably at third base (-8 DRS, -1 FRV), the place he performed 578 1/3 innings. Wenceel Pérez was a plus in proper area (5 FRV, 3 DRS) however was stretched in heart (-1 FRV, -4 DRS in simply 183 innings).
Reds
Other than making a powerful exhibiting pushed by the majors’ fourth-highest Defensive Effectivity (.711), the Reds graded as barely beneath common in every single place else. Catcher Tyler Stephenson made simply 65 begins to Jose Trevino’s 84, however he was subpar throughout the board (-5.1 FRM, -5 FRV, -4 DRS), whereas Trevino was about common save for his 3.9 FRM. On the optimistic facet, Spencer Steer was excellent at first base (8 DRS, 4 FRV), and the deadline acquisition of Ke’Bryan Hayes shored up each third base and proper area, since Noelvi Marte took to the transfer to the outfield. Together with his time in Pittsburgh, Hayes led all third basemen in each DRS (19) and FRV (17), whereas Marte had 5 DRS (and 0 FRV) in 437 1/3 innings in proper. Elsewhere, a number of Reds have been everywhere in the map, with one average-or-better metric and one unhealthy one, together with second baseman Matt McLain (5 FRV, -6 DRS), shortstop Elly De La Cruz (0 FRV, -5 DRS), and heart fielder TJ Friedl (-10 DRS, 0 FRV).
Mariners
Seattle was legitimately subpar defensively, with a number of standouts surrounded some gamers who… stood out… for the flawed causes. Reigning Gold Glove winner Cal Raleigh enhanced his MVP case with robust work behind the plate (11.1 FRM, 7 FRV, 2 DRS), although backup Mitch Garver was a legal responsibility (-4 FRV, -4 DRS, -1.2 FRM) when the Large Dumper obtained a breather because the DH. Julio Rodríguez was distinctive in heart (10 FRV, 9 DRS) however Dominic Canzone and Victor Robles have been each a number of runs beneath common by each metrics in restricted responsibility in proper, and Randy Arozarena was tough in left (-8 FRV, -1 DRS). Within the infield, deadline acquisitions Josh Naylor and Eugenio Suárez have been each higher with Seattle than Arizona, albeit in smaller samples; Naylor specifically was a serious improve on the departed Rowdy Tellez at first. Cole Younger and Jorge Polanco mixed for -10 FRV at second base, and J.P. Crawford tied for second-to-last amongst shortstops with -9 FRV.
Phillies
Few issues are extra sure in life than dying, taxes, and the Phillies making the playoffs regardless of dreadful protection. As I wrote on this area two years in the past, “We’ve been speaking in regards to the Phillies’ wretched protection since they signed Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos in March 2022, and neither of them is getting higher.” Not less than this time round, the group restricted Schwarber to 66 innings within the area, however Castellanos was inside one run of final place amongst proper fielders in each FRV and DRS (-12 and -11, respectively); technically, that was higher than final yr (-14 FRV, -11 DRS). The group’s left fielders — primarily Max Kepler and Brandon Marsh — mixed for -5 FRV and -2 DRS. The middle fielders have been higher, thanks partially to deadline acquisition Harrison Bader.
Catcher J.T. Realmuto, a two-time Gold Glove winner, has slipped significantly (-7.0 FRM, 6 FRV, -2 DRS). Within the infield, shortstop Trea Turner was good-to-exceptional (2 DRS, 11 FRV) and second baseman Bryson Stott about common, however first baseman Bryce Harper receded (-3 DRS, -1 FRV) after robust work there final yr. If third baseman Alec Bohm was a bit tough (-3 DRS, -3 FRV), he was nonetheless a lot, a lot better than Otto Kemp, who crammed in when Bohm was both enjoying first or on the injured record.
