11:59 |
: Good morning everybody, let’s dive into your questions instantly.
|
12:00 |
: Hey Eric, love these chats! Now we have two thrilling SP debuts tonight. Should you solely might watch Tong or Tolle tonight, which might you select and why?
|
12:02 |
: If you must choose one (each *matchups* tonight are additionally unimaginable, Tolle vs Skenes, Tong vs Eury) I’d go Tolle simply because we’ll get to be taught extra about him tonight than I feel we’ll Tong. Tolle’s energy fastball will play, how concerning the different stuff? How does he strategy huge league hitters the second and third time by means of? Tong’s query marks are extra going to be answered over longer interval as a result of it has to do with him sustaining huge stuff at his dimension.
|
12:03 |
Eduardo Quintero actually a high 50 prospect like I’ve seen in different publications?
: Is |
12:04 |
: That’s wealthy for me, clearly, or I’d have him in that space.
|
12:04 |
: What have your impressions of Cam Cam been this yr?
|
12:04 |
: Nice first full season, pitching effectively deep into the calendar.
|
12:05 |
: Ideas on Robbie Snelling’s season? Future rotation mainstay?
|
12:05 |
: Sure, however he’s extra of a backend man for me
|
12:05 |
: Are you able to name Walcott’s 2025 disappointing contemplating he’s 19 in AA? What do it’s essential to see for him in 2026 to maintain him within the high 10?
|
12:05 |
: I feel it was advantageous — if he can keep at shortstop whereas he retains getting stronger he’s going to be a monster
|
12:06 |
: Has Jedixon Paez redeemed himself in your eyes? Who’re another attention-grabbing Purple Sox pitching prospects moreover Tolle, Early, and Clarke that I ought to get hyped about?
|
12:07 |
: I’m glad he’s pitching effectively and hope he’s a Fall Leaguer. He’s a postseason 40-man candidate who wants innings and analysis time. I feel it’s an awesome system for pitching
|
12:08 |
: everybody from the Holobetz group up is thrilling to me
|
12:08 |
: Yohandy morales’s floor line stats have seemed a bit of higher the final 2 months, do you see something in him that might make him an honest MLB bat for Wsh?
|
12:08 |
: I’m simply petrified of the fellows who can’t pull the ball in any respect and he’s a type of
|
12:08 |
Luis Morales carve up the Mariners or Tigers? Does he look extra more likely to stick as a SP now?
: Did you get an opportunity to observe |
12:08 |
: Lol yeah
|
12:08 |
: good, I hope he shoves, the org is certainly turning the ship round imo
|
12:09 |
Kristian Campbell in my dynasty league, has he made any strides defensively in AAA?
: Undecided what to do with |
12:09 |
: Maintain him
|
12:09 |
: (he’s going to be a LF finally I might assume)
|
12:12 |
: He’s a troublesome one as a result of the supply is so uneven and odd-looking, however he’s siting about 93-94 with deception and vertical journey, and his slider performs fantastically off that fastball.
|
12:12 |
: He additionally has a break up. It’s a starter’s combine in a reliever’s mechanical bundle, imo.
|
12:13 |
Arjun Nimmala? He’s been brutal for awhile now
: Any concern with |
12:13 |
: Concern there may be mainly the identical because it ever was, he’s not an ideal prospect, he has hit software danger, however I’m sill optimistic about him general due to the uncommon energy and physicality he tasks to have.
|
12:14 |
Jacob Reimer stick at third base or is he extra more likely to slide over to first?
: Can |
12:14 |
: Beneath common 3B who performs there among the time
|
12:15 |
: How lengthy do you suppose it’ll take Preller to rebuild the Padres farm? In your opinion, is there anybody in baseball that has a greater eye for younger expertise than him?
|
12:15 |
: I feel there are many gifted folks scouting gamers throughout the Padres ops division, it’s not simply A.J.
|
12:15 |
: I don’t suppose they’ll ever rebuild it
|
12:16 |
: I feel, at finest, it’ll be top-heavy with extra good gamers who they’ve picked
|
12:16 |
: however it’s robust to foretell that they’ll immediately have a deep system once they are inclined to both promote gamers shortly with the purpose of graduating them onto the massive league roster, or commerce them
|
12:16 |
Jhonny Stage has scuffled a bit at low A, however what else would you need to see from him this yr or subsequent to turn into a 50 FV or higher prospect?
: |
12:16 |
: He’s too small to stuff instantly
|
12:17 |
: Must show the talents play in opposition to higher pitching
|
12:17 |
: Good prospect, suppose it’s too beacoup to 50 him now
|
12:17 |
: Is Wei En Lin nearly as good as his stats look?
|
12:17 |
: Not fairly however he’s good.
|
12:17 |
: Lansing’s broadcast radar gun is like 3 ticks too sizzling btw
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12:18 |
: Synergy (which makes use of the printed velos) has him sitting practically 94, whereas Trackman has him sitting 91.5
|
12:18 |
: fastball has robust line on it, changeup has actual fade and sink, parachute motion at like 76 mph.
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12:18 |
: may be too sluggish to play like a plus plus pitch in opposition to huge league hitters
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12:18 |
: beneath common slider, common curveball
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12:19 |
: 45 FV kind with some spherical down parts (largely the velo, doesn’t throw strikes with something however his fastball) so he’s a 40+ on the board proper now
|
12:19 |
Victor Arias a possible starter down the road? Or extra of a 4th/fifth OFer?
: Is |
12:19 |
: I do know scouts who’ve him in as a starter, I feel it’s extra of a power-hitting half timer’s skillset.
|
12:19 |
: When bat velocity knowledge was launched final yr, was there any participant whose metrics stunned you or didnt match the attention take a look at?
|
12:21 |
: I assume I’m stunned simply how low the contact freaks are, like Jacob and Kwan being that low is bizarre to me
|
12:21 |
: right here’s the chart btw:
|
12:22 |
: Perdomo (aka Desert Jeter) being that low can also be odd, perhaps that’s weighing his righty swing too
|
12:22 | : Possibly a few of these guys are like a half grade off the place I assumed they’d be, like |
12:23 |
: Yeah, he ought to in all probability be of their playoff bullpen
|
12:23 |
Nelson Rada has hit for prime common at AAA at a younger age. I don’t hear a lot about him. What are your ideas? Does he stick subsequent yr?
: |
12:24 |
: A type of guys the place the age and bodily projection don’t fairly match. He’s precociously expert however in all probability received’t add a ton of energy despite the fact that he’s so younger. Good participant, robust to venture him as a star.
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12:24 |
: These SS protection movies you curated for latest article had been a lot appreciated. Nice work as all the time!
|
12:24 |
Franklin Arias, George Lombard, Edwin Arroyo, and a fourth and perhaps fifth participant. Ya know what, let’s make that topic to polling…
: Thanks, subsequent can be |
12:26 |
Who else ought to be within the subsequent SS protection piece? Arjun Nimmala (29.8% | 20 votes) Whole Votes: 67 |
12:26 |
Josue De Paula‘s numbers look form of meh. Why are the websites so excessive on him?
: |
12:28 |
: above common uncooked energy proper now at age 19, Best physique for long-term energy projection and athletic longevity, 70 plate self-discipline
|
12:28 |
: Any early learn on the way you’ll stack the prep group within the ‘26 class. I’ve seen pretty regarding issues from all the high guys like Lombard and Kevin Roberts not hitting at USA, Spangler not pulling the ball in any respect at USA or AC, so I assume that would go away Emerson as my No.1
|
12:28 |
: Lombard
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12:28 |
: Emerson is a pleasant participant, an actual shortstop with really feel to hit
|
12:28 |
: don’t love his bodily projection sufficient to stuff him on the very high
|
12:29 |
: I hope some readers had been early to him in dynasty ball due to this summer time’s report
|
12:29 |
: Rainiel I imply, Briceno I stuffed throughout the offseaso, claro
|
12:29 |
: How did the NYM get such a spike in fastball velocity throughout the minors this yr? Is it one thing new they got here up with, or are they only doing what everybody does however higher?
|
12:30 |
: Stearns Juice
|
12:30 |
: Do the Purple Sox draft & improvement infrastructure from Bloom & Breslow have a specific talent for locating breakout candidates or have they only gotten a string of excellent fortune with Anthony, Campbell, Garcia, and Tolle in fast succession?
|
12:30 |
: I feel so far as pitching is worried they’ve an awesome really feel for what they’re going to alter earlier than they purchase the participant
|
12:30 |
: Prepared or not, Painter must be up quickly proper? Can’t be worse than Nola and with Wheeler out, what else can they do?
|
12:31 |
: I feel that’s potential, sure
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12:31 |
: Hey Eric additionally acquired one private query for you, what’s your favourite e book about baseball?
|
12:32 |
: and Ted Williams’ Science of Hitting
|
12:33 |
: Each have unimaginable before-their-time visuals of issues we’d nonetheless contemplate superior in the present day
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12:33 |
: Is it the most effective of the put up covid period draft system?
|
12:33 |
: How a lot of Genao’s lack of energy this yr up to now may be attributed to his damage earlier within the yr?
|
12:34 |
: A few of it’s swing aircraft stuff too
|
12:34 |
: If Edwin Diaz leaves the Mets at no cost company after the season, is there somebody of their system you may see turning into their subsequent nearer within the close to time period?
|
12:35 |
Justin Crawford lowered his arms a while in early-August. He now has 4 homers this month (which is over half his season whole). May there be one thing significant occurring?
: It seems like |
12:35 |
: Lets’ take a fast look, lets?
|
12:37 |
: my Synergy is performing up, I’m gonna backburner this for now and return to it
|
12:37 |
Ryan Waldschmidt‘s latest tear at AA providing you with motive to consider upgrading his 45 FV? Has his swing improved?
: Has |
12:38 |
: I’m nonetheless involved about its sustainability and am inclined to go away him there (nonetheless a superb grade)
|
12:38 |
: The A’s have finished a poor job sustaining their prospect class power each time they’re aggressive. Since this ‘26 Draft choose of their hopes is their final likelihood at an elite prospect, do you suppose they’ll do a greater job now at churning T100 guys?
|
12:38 |
: I feel there’s far an excessive amount of gaf throughout the web concerning the high 100 line, like if a man isn’t on there we’re saying he’s unhealthy
|
12:39 |
: Someplace in that good no 4/5 space
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12:39 |
: I do know we regularly will see SS prospects transfer to 2B both because of defensive limitations or being blocked by somebody, however why dont groups transfer gamers to 2B earlier on? This yr, we’ve got 14 SSs within the majors with 3+ fWAR however solely 4 2B. Why is 2B such an afterthought?
|
12:39 |
: I feel it’s a very weak group *for the time being*
|
12:40 |
: You’re within the ballpark, yeah. Higher athlete and defender is Jones
|
12:40 |
Ethan Dorchies, looks as if a steal within the tenth spherical.
: Ideas on |
12:42 |
: Yeah, they do an awesome job don’t they? Fastball slider man sitting 92, slider is common proper now likelihood to be above. Non-zero likelihood to start out, good prospect for what he price the place they go him
|
12:42 |
: What’s your stage of concern with Morlando at this level? How a lot of it’s damage vs. efficiency?
|
12:45 |
: A supply talked about him as a potential Fall Leaguer, which I feel can be a superb place to take a seat and really consider him for a chronic interval. The vibe in Jupiter was fairly bitter once I was in there, the workforce is aware of its gifted however was actually struggling
|
12:45 |
Caden Dana’s points may be chalked as much as PCL? Is he nonetheless a 50 for you?
: How a lot of |
12:45 |
: The walks trouble me
|
12:46 |
Aron Estrada modified in any respect because you had him as an honorable point out on the O’s checklist?
: Has your outlook on |
12:46 |
: Yeah, he ought to in all probability be a major checklist man
|
12:46 |
: effectively rounded hitter, looks as if he’ll have some fringe 40 utility a minimum of
|
12:46 |
David Davalillo have an opportunity to sneak onto the High 100? Or is the fastball too meh?
: Does |
12:46 |
: Has a shot however you’ve recognized the important thing variable
|
12:46 |
: Bryce Teosodio appeared to return out of nowhere and seems to be a superb defender. Does he hit sufficient to be thought of the Angels CF for subsequent yr?
|
12:47 |
: Yeah tremendous quick man, has extra of an additional OF match to me, late recreation defensive alternative and runner
|
12:47 |
Jarlin Susana can win a spot within the 2026 Nats opening day rotation?
: Possibilities |
12:48 |
: it’s believable however I’d guess he’s a mid-season debut
|
12:48 |
: Im inquisitive about Wilbur Dotel, is there a SP path there or extra MIRP?
|
12:48 |
: RP for me, good one, although. They need to let him begin for so long as potential, although
|
12:48 |
: I’d think about he debuts as a starter and shifts to the bullpen in yr two or three on the 40-man
|
12:48 |
: Was Jasson Dominguez a foul fielder within the minors?
|
12:50 |
: Spencer Jones: folks jumped on his sizzling streak however perhaps it was only a streak? Currently he was brutal
|
12:50 |
: I’m so offline anymore that the one portal I’ve into prospect discourse is that this chat.
|
12:50 |
: However from my POV, the web is method too reactionary and impatient
|
12:51 |
: about liteally something
|
12:51 |
Brett Baty has been doing currently. 109 wRC+ and extra curiously to me, he seems to be a high quality 3B defender and shockingly strong at 2B. Any distinction you’ve seen along with his protection (or offense for that matter as effectively)?
: Thanks for these chats, Eric! At all times love the insights. Not precisely prospect associated, however questioning when you’ve had an opportunity to see what |
12:51 |
: One other man whose bat velocity stunned me once I sw it
|
12:52 |
: He’s a bit, the way in which they’re utilizing him and Vientos in tandem appears to be working and a part of why Baty is doing effectively might be as a result of he can have a platoon mate
|
12:52 |
|
12:53 |
: I feel there’s a better shot at no. 2 than you do. I feel they appreciated De Vries however I’d be stunned if they really thought he was a high 5 general prospect.
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12:53 |
: largely 4 tho
|
12:53 |
: When there’s a giant discrepancy in how hitter-friendly a workforce’s minor league pipeline is stage to stage, does that positively or negatively have an effect on a hitter’s improvement? I might think about it’s a problem for hitters to immediately must adapt to hitting within the cavernous Dickey-Stephens Park after the smaller Everett stadium, however does that adaptation really assist them take care of adversity for the longer term?
|
12:54 |
: I feel there are cases the place it negatively impacts dev as a result of I feel it’s pure for hitters to see a brief porch and alter their psychological strategy in a method that advantages them within the quick time period.
|
12:55 |
: In some instances it isn’t impacting the hitter a lot because it’s impacting our capacity to coherently assess them. The Mariners guys are persistently in that blend.
|
12:55 |
: I’m positive you consider gamers in a different way than while you first began out–weighting sure instruments or traits kind of closely than you used to. Is that since you’ve modified (you’ve realized extra, and so forth.), or as a result of the sport has modified (pitchers throw tougher now, and so forth.), or each?
|
12:56 |
: Undoubtedly each, a few of what I’ve modified is technical (fastball form is the massive piece between ’16 and now) and a few of it’s extra about strategy (I’m offline, these evals are extra true to myself and fewer impacted by the zeitgeist)
|
12:57 |
: I’d say “entrance finish” upside, perhaps not “ace” in the way in which I outline it, which is that there are solely 4 Aces, give or take
|
12:57 |
: Will we see extra draftees coming from the D2/D3 ranges within the coming years with the glut of D1 guys getting shoved down because of roster caps?
|
12:58 |
: It’s an attention-grabbing thought, I ponder if the portal permits pro-quality expertise to maneuver fluidly sufficient from program to program that it’ll simply diffuse to smaller DI colleges or JUCOs
|
12:58 |
: No query, simply wished to say thanks for the collection on SS protection. It’s actually nice as a fan to have individuals who can clarify the intricacies of the way in which the sport is performed, so this type of content material is tremendous enjoyable.
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12:59 |
: Gracias, folks appear stoked on it and I’ll do extra prefer it
|
12:59 |
: For somebody that hasn’t seen Tolle pitch, how would you describe him?
|
12:59 |
: “F*ck you, hit my fastball, I dare you”
|
1:00 |
: Did you say you had been on the Dbacks recreation
|
1:01 |
: I used to be final a Reds/Dbacks recreation final week, fairly positive I noticed Hazen on the Brophy/Basha soccer recreation final evening however I gave him house. Larry Fitzgerald’s child is nice btw.
|
1:01 |
: I’m gonna be at a Rangers Dbacks recreation with my neighbor Clark subsequent week
|
1:01 |
Dax Whitney, who simply had an awesome freshman yr in NCAA?
: any ideas on |
1:01 |
: First spherical prospect
|
1:01 |
: Favourite participant identify within the minors proper now? excluding the obvious & broadly recognized (eg Jurrangelo Cintje)
|
1:02 |
: I’ve gotta make my fantasy soccer picks proper now, give me 2 minutes, then I wanna verify on Justin Crawford’s swing, after which I would like to interrupt some information earlier than chat ends
|
1:06 |
: Okay I’m again, thanks for that indulgence
|
1:06 |
Kendry Chourio? Would you’ve both above 40 FV at this level?
: Any new ideas on Royals younger pitching, particularly Shields and |
1:06 |
: Nonetheless inclined to 40 Shields proper now, Chourio 40+
|
1:06 |
: Have I added him, I have to if not
|
1:07 |
: Roch may be a 70 there
|
1:07 |
: , general grade smart in all probability one is a forty five+ and the opposite a forty five for the time being
|
1:07 |
Max Anderson been performing lengthy sufficient to earn the next grade? Man appears to only preserve raking
: Has |
1:07 |
: I don’t suppose I’ll budge there except I see a change in swing/spray
|
1:07 |
: Possibilities I get to a 50 FV?
|
1:08 |
: Gotta play a place
|
1:08 |
: Who’re the main candidates to be the subsequent 70 FV prospect?
|
1:08 |
: It’s fairly early however any ideas on charles davalan?
|
1:08 |
: Somebody informed me he had the most effective measurable bat velocity amongst this yr’s SEC draftees
|
1:08 |
: Smaller man, good little hitter, makes use of the bottom effectively. I like him.
|
1:08 |
Aidan Miller be able to contribute in Philly subsequent yr?
: Will |
1:08 |
: I feel so
|
1:09 |
: Any ideas on the younger giants pitchers within the low minors? They’ve a number of attention-grabbing guys like De La Torre, Bresnahan, Ok Martinez
|
1:10 |
: De La Torre and Bresnaham have affect fastballs that ought to a minimum of play in aid. I like LDLT’s supply higher however his different traits are crude. Keyner is extra starter-y, medium body, common velo with modest projection, good secondaries.
|
1:10 |
: What have I proven this season to be all the way in which as much as 33 general on the board? Possibly one thing seems completely different for precise scouts getting precise seems, however us statline scouts aren’t seeing a lot motive for optimism this yr. Or is it simply moreso “nothing has modified and dudes have graduated”?
|
1:10 |
: The latter
|
1:10 |
: Any guess on the place Ichiro’s swing velocity would have been at his prime?
|
1:10 |
: Holy cow, no concept
|
1:10 |
: Prime Ichiro I barely watched, it was pre-MLB.television and I used to be in late center college and highschool
|
1:11 |
: who remains to be a prospect that didn’t pan out that you simply had been satisfied could possibly be one thing particular?
|
1:12 |
Forrest Whitley? There was a window that he seemed unimaginable
: Many. |
1:12 |
Nate George you talked about he’s all oppo as a priority. This query isn’t about him specifically, however simply typically is {that a} concern about bat velocity and catching larger velo or one thing else? Is Yohandy’s challenge with going oppo you talked about earlier within the chat the identical factor?
: Final week w/ |
1:14 |
: It’s about “size to entry”, as in it takes his bat some time to get to some extent the place he’s in a position to pull the baseball, and it occurs persistently. It’s a trait of gamers who later wrestle to catch MLB velo in any respect
|
1:14 |
: I’m not a type of “YOU GOTTA PULL EVERYTING” guys, however I do suppose when you can’t pull it in any respect, I’m bothered by it
|
1:14 |
: What are you (and scouts you communicate with) particularly on the lookout for by way of make-up? I assume most guys at this stage are aggressive and practice, so what are the opposite differentiators?
|
1:15 |
: I’m barely partaking with make-up for a pair causes…
|
1:16 |
: First, I can’t actually do it at scale. Through the course of a yr I write about 1,500 scouting studies and find yourself concerning tons of extra gamers who don’t get written up. I’d like to name all of their highschool steering counselors and pastors however I can’t…
|
1:17 |
: The opposite motive is that if I transfer a participant down due to one thing they did, then I kinda quantifying the factor they did. And typically that feels icky. Like, “oh you’re a 40+ and rank fifteenth on the workforce’s checklist however you probably did a home battery so now you’re a 40 and rank thirtieth. I kinda simply mentioned, “DV is value X” and that’s gross
|
1:18 |
: Additionally, these guys are *so* younger, they’re not full folks but. They deserve some grace and latitude, they’ve hormones that make them do loopy issues surging by means of their our bodies and plenty of them have gotten half-assed educations as a result of they’re so centered on sports activities
|
1:19 |
: Florida Digital College? Give me a break
|
1:19 |
: However yeah, I like aggressive guys.
|
1:19 |
: Up to date impressions on hit instruments for Konnor Griffin and Termar Johnson? Will Griffin finally be included within the high SS protection collection?
|
1:20 |
: Griffin’s swing seems fairly grooved, his arms are nonetheless explosive, nonetheless suppose he’s a 40 hit software man with enormous energy. Sure he’ll be within the SS protection collection. I’m spreading out the massive names considerably.
|
1:20 |
: Anthony Murphy posted video of his doubel A pitches, lemme put up that right here
|
1:21 |
: no frills, no bs, each pitch he noticed
|
1:23 |
: Justin crawford swing adjustments: I’d say his stance is extra crouched now however his arms don’t look like working any in a different way. Take into account I’m speeding to observe it so I can preserve chat transferring
|
1:26 |
: Let’s conceive of some journalism to do earlier than I finish chat
|
1:26 |
: Are Fall League names beginning to trickle on the market, can I dump a few these?
|
1:26 |
: Is there anybody prospect that impartial of hype (whether or not or not there was main hype) who shortly proved to be a impactful huge leaguer that you simply significantly remorse lacking on?
|
1:27 |
: Any updates on Condon? appears to have adjusted effectively to AA but additionally nonetheless has some warts
|
1:27 |
: Massive bat velocity, nonetheless afraid of how a lot contact there’s going to be.
|
1:27 |
: Received to see Ichiro in individual a number of instances and it seemed like he was inserting the ball on the sector the place he wished to. Like he went to the plate with a superb plan and had a loopy excessive capacity to execute the plan.
|
1:28 |
: I watched tennis late final evening and actually suppose it’s an awesome interdisciplinary pursuit for younger baseball gamers for that reason
|
1:28 |
: I don’t normally care about tennis however I used to be hanging with Lindsey in New York final yr throughout the Open and it was superior, and this yr I’ve been pretty wrapped up in it simply because the late evening vibe is so cool to me
|
1:29 |
Carter Jensen’s breakout within the minors, would you fairly have Jensen or Blake Mitchell because the Royals main backstop as soon as Salvy hangs it up?
: Staying with the Royals.. with |
1:29 |
: I (we) have had Jensen forward of Mitchell for a few years now
|
1:29 |
Thanks! |
1:32 |
: It is a dive bar in Mesa that we went to on spec a pair weekends in the past after we had ramen up close to Sloan Park. It was a dank, shadowy Chicago (Cubs, not Sox) bar the place I had a Church Music on faucet and Mike had an Previous Type. It was divey as hell, there have been a number of bizarre folks, and I’ll in all probability be again
|
1:32 |
Braedon Karpathios has been an above common bat in each stage he has performed at. What does he have to do to be ranked in a weak Padres system?
: |
1:36 |
Ethan Salas once more) are primed to be Fall Leaguers based mostly on data I’ve at present. That’s topic to alter, however it’s the intel I’ve now and can rely for this weeks’ newbreaking topper.
: tremendous affected person hitter, arms work okay, one other man the place he’s extra geared for oppo contact however right here’s sufficient fastball pull that I’m not alarmed, low ball proclivity struggles some with elevated fastballs. Right here’s the information breaking: This man (and |
1:37 |
: Okay, I’ve run the sunshine fairly badly right here and have to go.
|
1:37 |
: Nice questions this week, because of the couple hundred of you who joined
|
1:37 |
: Bizarre dive bars FTW, all the time
|
1:37 |
: (peace signal)
|
Eric Longenhagen is from Catasauqua, PA and at present lives in Tempe, AZ. He spent 4 years working for the Phillies Triple-A affiliate, two with Baseball Data Options and two contributing to prospect protection at ESPN.com. Earlier work may also be discovered at Sports activities On Earth, CrashburnAlley and Prospect Insider.