Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat – 8/4/25

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1:01
Ben Clemens: Hey everybody, welcome to the chat. I’m beginning an hour early right this moment as a result of I’m taking my canine to the vet and couldn’t get the appointment moved, so I’ll have to finish round 2:15 ET
1:01
Ben Clemens: Let’s simply get proper into it
1:01
Ken: What do the A’s have to do to be professional contenders for the postseason in 2026?
1:03
Ben Clemens: They should fill within the gaps, mainly. They’ve a core of some very attention-grabbing gamers. They’re additionally beginning 3-ish guys who don’t actually belong as main league regulars, and each the rotation and bullpen are method in need of a full unit
1:03
Ben Clemens: I believe the pitching is a much bigger deal, significantly in Sacramento’s offense-happy atmosphere
1:04
Kevin: i just lately learn somebody say the Rockies taking part in half their video games at excessive elevation is the most important environmental/ ballpark problem any crew in historical past has confronted and it’s not shut. What do you assume?
1:04
Ben Clemens: Yeah, it’d be my decide. Appears so tough to cope with having to play half your video games in a particularly completely different atmosphere from the opposite half. additionally, pitching in Colorado tires out pitching staffs. so having yours pitch there appears further robust
1:05
Dallas: Why can’t the pirates develop any hitters? Take a look at Henry Davis. Why can’t the person hit! Him and Triolo each are hitting like .150-170 with a whole lot of pattern measurement
1:05
Ben Clemens: I don’t have an awesome reply for this
1:05
Ben Clemens: like, if I needed to guess, it’s a mix of unhealthy luck and unhealthy course of, however that is the sort of factor hyou don’t hear about till the present regime is gone
1:06
David Engel: I notice groups have ups and downs throughout the season. At all times has occurred. However in what world, do the Yankees have an 8.5% likelihood of successful the World Collection?
1:06
Ben Clemens: I dunno man, Vegas has them about proper there too
1:07
Ben Clemens: like, typically your crew has a foul sequence towards the Marlins but in addition is sweet
1:07
Ben Clemens: it has occurred earlier than
1:07
Aaron: Any thought why the Pirates held onto so many expiring contracts? It looks like they might’ve been value a pair lottery tickets in return, and they’d’ve freed up taking part in time to guage gamers within the system. Was there simply not a marketplace for them?
1:07
Ben Clemens: I’m probably not positive, actually
1:07
Ben Clemens: most likely not the market they wished
1:07
War2d2: Hello Ben! That is already within the rear view mirror, however I missed your final couple chats: you had Masyn Winn in your top-50 commerce worth guys, regardless that his solely actual carrying software is protection. You made positive to level out a number of instances that you simply discounted just about everybody’s D as a result of it wasn’t one thing folks traded for. Winn seems to be regressing with the bat (misplaced 30pts of SLG yr over yr, Statcast x-stats are all within the thirtieth percentile, OPS+ of 99 and wRC+ of 101), and whereas Statcast likes his base operating, FG has him proper at league avg this yr. At this level would groups actually provide far more for him than what the Cubs gave up for Willi Castro? I can’t assist however assume each HM would deliver again greater than he would.
1:08
Ben Clemens: um…. I imply, clearly none of that is provable
1:09
Ben Clemens: however I actually don’t assume that the man placing up a really comparable batting line to willi castro, with a 103 wRC+ over the past two years to Castro’s 108 and gold glove protection as an alternative of under common, and likewise 23 and controllable via 2029 as an alternative of for 2 months, would get the very same again in commerce
1:10
Ben Clemens: I’ll inform you this – name the Cubs up and ask in the event that they’d commerce Willi Castro for Masyn Winn
1:10
Aaron: I don’t perceive why the Pirates traded Falter away for mainly nothing. There are stories he was a DFA candidate this offseason as nicely. I notice he’s outperforming his peripherals however he’s been doing that for some time so perhaps it’s sustainable. He’s an affordable lefty with 3 years of management left and has given them reliable innings. Is there any cause for doing this in addition to that they could save a pair million by changing him with a pre-arb pitcher?
1:10
Ben Clemens: I believe it’s the arb factor, however I imply, I’m not 100%
1:11
Ben Clemens: Not an enormous fan of that transfer, although
1:12
Ben Clemens: or like, it’s effective, discovered cash, i don’t actually assume he’s that nice
1:12
Ben Clemens: however it makes little or no sense should you’re hanging on to the expiring offers
1:12
Ben Clemens: I simply don’t fairly get their plans, mainly
1:12
KC Ache: Are Bobby Witt and CJ Abrams as shut in expertise as their statlines recommend?
1:13
Ben Clemens: I imply…. no
1:13
Opifijikl: What does your day by day baseball consumption appear like? Do you overview field scores, highlights, do you might have any customized Fangraphs dashboards you employ/would suggest?
1:13
Ben Clemens: i watch a ton of baseball on TV to attempt to discover issues for five issues
1:13
Ben Clemens: my conversion fee of watching to ‘attention-grabbing tidbit’ tends to be fairly low so I want to observe a TON to get sufficient gadgets
1:14
Ben Clemens: i overview field scores too, and watch minimize up begins (I simply watch each pitch sequentially on Savant) if there have been any starters I wished to see the day earlier than however didn’t
1:15
Ben Clemens: I might completely not recommend consuming baseball like this, although
1:15
Ben Clemens: it solely is smart if you could write a bunch of analytical articles and likewise a whimsical article each week
1:15
MoonBeamMcSwine: Are you self described as being “…too choosy…” about your 5 issues / attention-grabbing tidbits to report on?
1:15
Ben Clemens: it’s laborious to say
1:15
Ben Clemens: I at all times benefit from the ‘no the factor IIIIII appreciated probably the most this week was….’ feedback
1:16
Ben Clemens: like, yeah, sorry, I didn’t handle to observe all of the video games
1:16
Ben Clemens: I do attempt to watch so much, although
1:16
Ben Clemens: let’s simply say that not each recreation has an attention-grabbing factor, and should you pressure it to, they’d most likely be boring
1:16
Aarrrgh!: What number of “The Pirates don’t appear to know what they’re doing, past even being low cost” questions are you more likely to take?
1:16
Ben Clemens: haha, no extra
1:16
Ben Clemens: that was sufficient
1:16
Bighen: Mets did effective including to the pen however it’s no lock they make playoffs.  I really feel like they arrange their playoff roster however have too many innings with unhealthy beginning pitching to get via first.   I believe they wanted so as to add one other reliable SP.
1:16
Ben Clemens: I…. is it not?
1:17
Ben Clemens: we have now them at 93.2% to make the playoffs, you possibly can get like 9:1 betting on them to overlook, very comparable
1:17
Ben Clemens: that’s not a LOCK however like….. it’s sort of shut?
1:18
Ben Clemens: I believe it was effective. I assumed the worth for good beginning pitching was fairly excessive, and I don’t assume anybody who received traded aside from Merrill Kelly was actually gonna transfer the needle for all of them that a lot within the rotation. I assumed they gave up a good quantity of prospects, however all kinda 40-man crunch guys
1:19
Ben Clemens: I believe that is per having a pleasant 2025 crew with out going all in, which I believe is suitable given their aim of being in a perpetual rivalry window
1:19
Smokin’ Jim Leyland: Charlie Morton appeared fairly good final night time, and towards a top quality crew too! Do you assume there may be something to his apparent consolation/match taking part in for AJ Hinch as a cause to count on extra outings like final night time’s going ahead? Or is that simply Tigers fan hopium?
1:19
Ben Clemens: I’m probably not shopping for the Hinch factor, however he’s been quietly good for some time now
1:20
Ben Clemens: I don’t assume he’s gonna hold being that good however he has a 3.57 ERA in his final 10 begins
1:20
Ben Clemens: and comparable peripherals
1:21
Ben Clemens: whoops, final 12 begins, bizarre clicking difficulty on recreation logs
1:21
Ben Clemens: I used to be researching a pre-deadline article about how signing guys like Morton and Verlander was a pleasant guess due to the opportunity of flipping them on the deadline
1:22
Ben Clemens: ended up not writing it as a result of Verlander didn’t get traded however I believe that Morton has confirmed ok kind after a extremely unhealthy begin that I’m completely prepared to imagine he’s a playoff starter
1:22
GA Blood: James Wooden has been one of many worst gamers in baseball for the reason that calendar flipped to July. Please console me.
1:23
Ben Clemens: Mickey Moniak has a 180 wRC+ over the identical time-frame, and Mookie Betts checks in at 43. Bizarre stuff occurs in 100-PA samples
1:23
CheapPohlad: Did the twins possibilities of competing within the central get any  higher for subsequent yr? Or are they taking a look at beginning once more in 2027? Does this have an effect on their remaining contracts on the e-book for this coming offseason?
1:24
Ben Clemens: I imply, I’m probably not seeing how however I haven’t performed a deep dive into it but
1:26
Ben Clemens: I see holes at a ton of positions and never sufficient prospects to fill all of them
1:26
Ben Clemens: and like, they’re not gonna be lively within the free agent market, proper? they’re blowing the crew as much as attempt to clear up the books for a sale
1:27
Jordan Walker: Jordan Walker has been hitting nicely since coming off his IL stint and rehab project. Is there something to it or simply good luck?
1:27
Ben Clemens: Let’s simply say that he has a .417 BABIP and a 111 wRC+
1:27
wordbird: What’s your analysis of Taj Bradley? Do you assume he can discover consistency to take subsequent step to be a frontline sp? See the Twins having the ability to assist him in methods the Rays haven’t been ready?
1:28
Ben Clemens: I’ve thought so much about Bradley over time as a result of he’s been a fringe-y high 50 man a number of instances
1:28
Ben Clemens: by no means on the correct aspect of the perimeter, to be clear
1:30
Ben Clemens: umm…. I imply, I’ve given up. that doesn’t imply I’ll be proper however what are we hanging our hat on at this level? he doesn’t miss many bats, he’s received blah command, he’s thrown 350 innings with out a whole lot of spark
1:30
Ben Clemens: I believe it’s typically a good suggestion for guys like that to go elsewhere
1:30
Ben Clemens: typically simply listening to new issues from new folks can unlock one thing. However I woul’dn’t rely on it
1:30
GBS42: I do know I’m late, Ben, however thanks and congratulations on the Commerce Worth Collection. It’s an incredible labor (hopefully) of affection and one in all my favourite annual reads.
1:30
Ben Clemens: Thanks very a lot
1:30
Rox: Does it actually assist baseball having groups just like the Rockies not be high 9 draft decide eligible subsequent yr? They aren’t purposely tanking however are simply poorly ran.
1:30
Ben Clemens: I believe it’s extremely useful
1:31
Ben Clemens: get higher run!
1:31
Ben Clemens: why are we giving the groups that may’t work out methods to run themselves the nice gamers? put them on the groups who do good issues with their gamers
1:31
GA Blood: One other enjoyable factor concerning the Sanoja MHRG was that he almost hit each foul poles. Would like to see a tracker that accounted for the gap between the place HR landed for gamers who hit greater than 1 in a recreation.
1:31
Ben Clemens: now THAT is cool
1:32
Ben Clemens: hitting each foul poles can be an all-time achievement
1:32
CFH: You talked about in some commerce worth chats that 2 wins of protection isn’t as priceless as 2 wins of offense as a result of it’s simpler to develop – however solely wins (not offense/protection) matter within the standings, so why wouldn’t groups simply go all in on creating good protection if that’s the case? Ditto for why hitters appear to go for lower than pitchers – should you’re a recreation out, why not attempt to get a win higher on hitting if it’s cheaper?
1:32
Ben Clemens: okay, there are some things right here
1:33
Ben Clemens: one, most groups are getting a ton of protection for very low cost already, they’re doing this
1:33
Ben Clemens: two, the Brewers are doing what you’re speaking about, and it really works fairly nicely
1:33
Ben Clemens: it does really feel prefer it places a little bit of a cap on you, however sure, very clearly this can be a factor you possibly can attempt to do
1:34
Ben Clemens: the pitching factor is a bit more difficult, even, as a result of the share of pitching worth goes up within the playoffs
1:34
Ben Clemens: your finest guys can go extra usually
1:34
Ben Clemens: i assume my level is that this
1:34
Ben Clemens: perhaps I’d pay up for a 4 WAR hitter who does all of it with the bat. I can’t get that skillset for much less elsewhere
1:35
Ben Clemens: then again, there’s most likely a slick-fielding CF or SS who could be a 1.5-2 WAR man with a full allocation of taking part in time that you possibly can have for lower than that
1:36
Ben Clemens: Myles Straw was freely accessible, is posting a 78 wRC+ this yr, and is on tempo for a 3 WAR/600 season. he’s a profession 2 WAR/600 participant
1:37
Ben Clemens: I’m not precisely positive on the place the road is, what the tradeoffs are, however I believe what the league is doing is smart becuase of the variable value of buying every talent
1:37
Ben Clemens: additionally offense stacks higher than protection, which is a difficult factor to suit into warfare however positively feels true
1:37
Visitor: Why do the Pirates commerce for AAA gamers like Nick Yorke and Cam Devanney after which not play them?
1:37
Ben Clemens: it’s so bizarre!
1:37
Ben Clemens: I’ve been an enormous Nick Yorke fan since he had a cool card in OOTP just a few years in the past
1:38
Ben Clemens: not that I believe he’s tremendous more likely to hit, however why not discover out??
1:38
Visitor: Do you actually imagine that small market groups not spending sufficient cash is on par with pitchers deliberately throwing balls as your mentioned in a earlier chat?
1:38
Ben Clemens: I believe each are pernicious and horrible for the sport
1:39
Ben Clemens: if there have been as many pitchers throwing balls deliberately as groups simply not even attempting to win, clearly the pitching factor can be a lot worse
1:39
Ben Clemens: however on the relative incidences of every in teh recreation right this moment? i believe that the Pirates simply not even caring is worse for baseball than Luis Ortiz’s alleged misdeeds
1:40
Okra: I don’t assume the Twins might be good subsequent yr.  They solely management Lopez/Ryan/Ober via 2027.  Is it good to maintain all three and hope ’27 is the yr?  Seems like they might possible be higher off utterly blowing it up given what they simply did (commerce each else of worth, piss off fan base by buying and selling Varland) and the slim likelihood: a) all three of their good starters stay wholesome, b) they spend some cash on FA’s, c) a number of in-house prospects take an enormous leap by ’27
1:40
Ben Clemens: yeah…. I dunno, all of it felt unhealthy to me
1:41
Ben Clemens: I simply assume which you could’t have a look at this via a lens of attempting to be baseball crew
1:41
Ben Clemens: they’re attempting to be asset on the market
1:41
Ben Clemens: so that somebody can pay them just a few further hundred million
1:42
Ben Clemens: they could but blow all of it up this winter
1:42
Ben Clemens: however perhaps they wished to maintain just a few names that they might pitch potential possession teams on?
1:42
wheelhouse: will the yankees make any of the modifications they should after they miss the playoffs, or will they simply say “cole wanted tjs” and throw their arms up
1:42
Ben Clemens: Boy, Yankees followers are having a tricky one
1:42
Ben Clemens: WHEN they miss the playoffs
1:43
Ben Clemens: look, I get it, the Yankees have put collectively a not so enjoyable crew to observe and so they haven’t been to the world sequence in months
1:43
Ben Clemens: let’s let the season finish earlier than we resolve what they should do to sort things
1:44
Agreed, however…: “i believe that the Pirates simply not even caring is worse for baseball than Luis Ortiz’s alleged misdeeds” Agreed! However right here’s the factor: the Pirates and different groups not attempting are doing so throughout the guidelines. Ortiz is doing one thing (allegedly) that’s clearly exterior the principles.
1:44
Ben Clemens: i need them to vary the principles
1:44
Ben Clemens: i imply, to be clear, to not enable what Ortiz allegedly did
1:45
Ben Clemens: ‘simply following the principles don’t blame me!’ is mostly not an argument that features a whole lot of sympathy with me
1:45
Ben Clemens: a number of unhealthy issues have been performed throughout the letter of the principles
1:45
Eli: Are you able to weigh in on an aggrieved fan debate? My BoSox loving partner feels that buying and selling Mookie and Devers is a a lot worse insult to followers than retaining Aaron Boone, whereas I argue that the Boone facet is an indication of a entrance workplace/possession that may be very comfy with mediocrity and a much bigger finger-flip to followers than buying and selling costly (and perhaps declining) stars. Ideas?
1:46
Ben Clemens: I lean in direction of your partner’s perspective as a result of I’ve a ton of baseball followers in my life who aren’t FanGraphs readers, and the primary factor they care about is their crew’s stars
1:46
Ben Clemens: I went with a bunch of pals to the Useless and Firm present this weekend
1:46
Ben Clemens: (aspect observe, it was unimaginable, I’ve wished to go see them and so they actually performed the park a mile from my residence, 10/10 expertise)
1:46
Ben Clemens: and so they’re informal baseball followers
1:47
Ben Clemens: they have been upset concerning the GIants buying and selling the dudes they knew, who weren’t even stars
1:47
Ben Clemens: I believe that total, gamers simply matter greater than managers
1:48
Ben Clemens: and so buying and selling the recognizable gamers whose jerseys followers personal is a bummer
1:48
Ben Clemens: how correlated it’s with wining? I’m undecided. however how correlated it’s with having fun with fandom? stars matter so much
1:48
the one that asks the lunch query: What’s for lunch?
1:49
Ben Clemens: buffalo caesar
1:49
Ben Clemens: it’s semi-premade, simply gotta assemble some stuff and air fry the rooster
1:49
>this particular person: On the Twins -and crew gross sales writ large- are we actually believing that *B*illionaires received’t purchase a Billion greenback self-importance asset that can solely respect as a result of one man will get receives a commission 30 mil/yr? Is there even background documentation of this in actual life in some previous gross sales?
1:49
Edouard Boolean: Re the Twins: perhaps I’m naive, however why is it gospel that you could tear the crew all the way down to the studs should you’re going to promote? (I recall an analogous dynamic with the Nationals and buying and selling vs attempting to increase Soto after they have been contemplating promoting) Principally, why does promoting the crew=transferring good gamers? I do know franchise worth isn’t tied to onfield efficiency meaningfully, however certainly a crew with established stars who can put butts in seats and promote just a few extra jerseys is value a couple of with out
1:49
Ben Clemens: I imply, I’m typically with you guys. I believe this habits is kinda foolish
1:49
Ben Clemens: I’m not a billionaire, although
1:50
Ben Clemens: it’s positively been the case that groups appear to lop off their debt earlier than attempting to promote
1:50
Ben Clemens: so perhaps some buying group is pushing this? perhaps there’s some discounted money movement mannequin that every one the groups share that cares so much about that? I don’t have an awesome reply for you on this
1:51
Ben Clemens: however it does appear clear to me that groups dislike having lengthy contracts (except they’re clearly good) when they’re attempting to promote
1:51
>this particular person<: “it’s positively been the case that groups appear to lop off their debt earlier than attempting to promote” but they are going to enable a gaggle with tons of debt financing to purchase
1:51
Ben Clemens: how are you gonna do the debt financing to purchase if the crew’s already in debt??
1:51
Ben Clemens: (there’s most likely some reality to this, actually)
1:51
Mariners Fan: Did the returns for Duran and Miller change your perspective on the commerce worth of elite closers? Would a crew have given up the #3 prospect in baseball for Jordan Westburg and JP Sears?
1:51
Ben Clemens: like, perhaps a bit of?
1:52
Ben Clemens: I don’t assume De Vries is the #3 prospect in baseball, for the document
1:52
Ben Clemens: if something, it’s made me much more positive that I ought to hold pushing accumulators and okay gamers down the checklist
1:52
Ben Clemens: so perhaps that’s Westburg and Jacob Wilson, these varieties of men
1:53
Ben Clemens: however like, then again, there have been some attention-grabbing lengthy management gamers (Ryan, Duran, Abreu, and so forth) who De Vries couldn’t get in commerce regardless that the Padres certainly wished these guys
1:53
DeeBo: There’s so much to say about AJ Preller  – and so much has been mentioned – however do you assume that at the least some a part of his freewheeling strategy to prospects owes to the truth that he sees the Padres as X% higher than the remainder of the league at drafting and creating? In any other case the low cost fee he locations on future worth makes little sense
1:53
Ben Clemens: I believe there’s a few of this
1:54
Ben Clemens: I alluded to it a bit in my commerce deadline writeup, however I believe that he values minor league spots fairly extremely
1:54
Ben Clemens: as in, if I commerce a bunch of quantity of prospects, I’ll have extra plyaing time and developmental focus from coaches to provide to new guys
1:54
Ben Clemens: and actually, it appears to work for them
1:54
Ben Clemens: they do an awesome job of churning the mid-tier prospects of their org
1:54
Ben Clemens: I guess you they’ll discover some extra attention-grabbing names in R5/UDFA/late rounds, and so forth.
1:54
Visitor: Do followers actually care about who’s on the again of the jersey or do they largely care about successful?
1:55
Ben Clemens: nicely, that’s a fairly robust query to reply in fact
1:55
Ben Clemens: however certainly it’s each?
1:55
Dan’l: When “ought to” the Playing cards begin spending once more? Their payroll drops a good quantity the following two years, and so they proceed to have a decent-but-no-stars roster.
1:56
Ben Clemens: Robust query based mostly on how Wetherholt and the youths do
1:56
Ben Clemens: however like…. quickly?
1:56
Ben Clemens: 2027? attempt to do a bunch of extensions in 2026?
1:56
GOMS🔱: hello Ben!possibilities of mariners making the postseason and ws with this roster?
1:57
Ben Clemens: I’m positive this isn’t as useful as you hoped, however our playoff odds have them at 81% and eight%, and playing markets are most likely extra like 70-75% and 6%?
1:58
Ben Clemens: that vary appears effective with me
1:58
Opifijikl: Re the Padres and Preller valuing MiLB spots extremely – do they minimize gamers extra/lower than the typical crew to attempt to hold the churn of prospects if they’ll’t commerce them?
1:58
Ben Clemens: We might by no means know as a result of he’s simply so dang good at buying and selling guys
1:58
Vinnie Capicola: I see a whole lot of speaking heads down on the Giants for his or her commerce deadline – I think about it largely comes from having a win-now transfer with bringing in Devers. Is it homerism or do you additionally assume they did job of “threading the needle” for 2025 *and* 2026?
1:58
Ben Clemens: yeah, I used to be effective with their deadline
1:59
Ben Clemens: like I’m not saying it’s factor to be in a spot the place the blokes the Mets can’t simply match on their 40-man roster are method higher than your 40-man choices
1:59
Ben Clemens: however right here they’re! and they also did the write factor for my part
1:59
Ben Clemens: I simply don’t assume they might have performed so much in a different way. not a notably nice deadline however actually not unhealthy for my part
1:59
TooDamnTall: Hey Ben, I simply arrived in Vietnam an hour in the past and respect the Kurtz article tie-in.
2:00
>this particular person<: re debt financing I meant that an incoming group can borrow so much to purchase (even when they’ve the money) after which cry poverty and budgets after they hearth all of the scouts and enhance the new canine costs 84%
2:00
Ben Clemens: yeah, I’m with you
2:00
Ben Clemens: however it’s robust to get that debt at fee if the crew is already levered up
2:00
Ben Clemens: so perhaps the thought is that you simply attempt to make the crew debt-free in order that the brand new man can burden it
2:00
Oaktown Blues: Regardless that the A’s did rather well within the Miller commerce, would you agree that it most likely made them worse in 2026?
2:00
Ben Clemens: oh most positively
2:00
Ben Clemens: i imply, the commonest final result is that it makes them worse, interval
2:01
Ben Clemens: you make up for that by having actually good proper tails
2:01
Ben Clemens: like within the instances the place it makes them higher, it makes them a LOT higher
2:01
Ben Clemens: the ceiling on De Vries is meaningfully increased than the ceiling on Miller
2:01
Sorpresas: Playoff Odds have all six of the present NL groups over 90% and all six of the present AL groups over 75%, will it go all chalk or will someone sneak in over the past two months?
2:01
Ben Clemens: I believe 2 groups not at present in playoff place will find yourself th ere
2:02
Ben Clemens: simply to choose a quantity
2:02
Rox: Re-Rockies within the high 10. Do you assume the Orioles would have been as enjoyable crew the final couple of years with the identical guidelines?
2:02
Ben Clemens: however why are we rewarding them for being anti-competitive/
2:02
Ben Clemens: the O’s hvae made baseball in Baltimore worse for a era
2:03
Ben Clemens: attendance isn’t nice there
2:03
Ben Clemens: it didn’t rebound that a lot after they received 100 video games and it’s method again down this yr
2:03
Ben Clemens: why ought to MLB encourage that habits?
2:04
Barcode Bo: I promise that Tigers followers have been loads glad to help their playoff crew final yr even with out Flaherty. Successful cures all.
2:04
Ben Clemens: ah sure, the most important star on the Tigers, Jack Flaherty
2:04
Ben Clemens: what are we speaking about right here?
2:04
Ben Clemens: the Tigers stored their stars!
2:04
Ben Clemens: there have been rumors of a Skubal commerce final summer time
2:04
Ben Clemens: and so they held pat
2:04
Dakota mckee: Does miami spend something this winter to bolster a surprisingly comeptitive membership or do they promote alcantara and ecabrera anyway?
2:05
Ben Clemens: I dont’ have a robust view right here
2:05
Ben Clemens: I’m guessing they’ll attempt to commerce Sandy nonetheless however will hold Cabrera and attempt to do some marginal including
2:05
G4: Alek Thomas is one way or the other nonetheless solely 25 and seems to have Arizona’s common CF job to himself in 2026. Do you might have any confidence in him attaining a league-average wOBA?
2:05
Ben Clemens: I actually don’t, which is gloomy b/c I would like him to be nice
2:06
Ben Clemens: he’s one other OOTP all star, his future legend playing cards have been constantly glorious. I satisfied myself he’d be a perennial 30 double 20 homer man
2:06
Ben Clemens: I suppose I’m gonna say…. not occurring, however I actually hope I’m incorrect
2:06
Joe Bob: Loyal Rangers fan right here – nominating them for dumbest commerce deadline resolution. They already had a top-line pitching employees however desperately want a reliable right-handed hitter. So what do they do? Commerce for an additional starter. Sheesh!
2:06
Ben Clemens: Yeah I didn’t just like the Kelly commerce
2:06
Ben Clemens: I appreciated each reliever trades fairly a bit
2:06
Ben Clemens: however I used to be kinda confused by why they received a TOP sp after they may have gone far more price range in the event that they have been involved about quantity
2:07
Edouard Boolean: Clearly loads of time for the reply to change into apparent however who of the Tigers present rotation would you arrange because the playoff starters behind Skubal rn? Flaherty and Morton?
2:07
Ben Clemens: yeah, for now
2:07
Ben Clemens: let Mize and Paddack duke it out for the final spot
2:07
Visitor: Simply received and provide for Bryce Harper for my Nick Kurtz. Do you assume Kurtz will gradual the remainder of the way in which?
2:07
Ben Clemens: simply wrote about Kurtz right this moment
2:08
Ben Clemens: I believe I’d do it
2:08
Ben Clemens: new is at all times higher
2:08
Ben Clemens: or at the least extra enjoyable
2:08
Justin: How a lot is your alternative of which recreation to observe or take heed to based mostly on the standard of the announcers/broadcast
2:09
Ben Clemens: if I’m selecting between a number of video games with out one thing else guiding me (pitching matchup, man I’m engaged on an article about, crew who hasn’t been in 5 issues for some time) I’ll think about the broadcasters for positive
2:09
Ben Clemens: I prefer to at all times take heed to dwelling broadcasts in order that I get pattern of the league and don’t skip anybody each time
2:09
Ben Clemens: however I positively get pleasure from myself extra with the nice cubicles
2:09
Ben Clemens: and I’ll at all times take heed to the Mets sales space even when they’re on the highway, nice reminiscences of them from my time in ny
2:09
Oaktown Blues: Hope your canine is okay, btw
2:10
Ben Clemens: simply an annual checkup, thanks
2:10
Ben Clemens: she hates the vet so that’s the robust half
2:10
Visitor: How a lot do you assume recency bias impacts the crowds commerce values?
2:10
Ben Clemens: i imply, deal
2:10
Ben Clemens: it impacts mine too!
2:10
Ben Clemens: I attempt to management for stuff however I’m not conceited sufficient to assume I’ve totally screened it out
2:11
Pat: The Tigers-Phillies sequence this weekend was nice, felt like a playoff sequence. Nice comeback by Philly on Friday, Skubal-Wheeler on Saturday with a Philly rally simply falling brief, then a really enjoyable recreation final night time with GREAT protection & Sanchez. Add within the Durantula stuff & it was nice theatre..& I’m a Tigers fan!
2:11
Ben Clemens: yeah that was tremendous enjoyable
2:11
Ben Clemens: a number of enjoyable performs and shut video games too
2:11
Ben Clemens: the Sunday night time recreation was most likely my favourite
2:11
Ben Clemens: Cris Sanchez going nuclear has been a whole lot of enjoyable
2:12
Mike: Joe Ryan not supplied to folks to rank within the commerce values, or he’s not value something? (how did the software not embody him?)
2:12
Ben Clemens: simply an oversight from us attempting to curate an inventory
2:12
Ben Clemens: he was an HM on the true checklist and guys I talked to had him in the identical normal neighborhood as MacKenzie Gore, i.e. simply off the checklist on my checklist however might be in your high 50 should you wished with out trying bizarre
2:12
Visitor: What/who’s your favourite fashion of unhealthy participant?
2:13
Ben Clemens: oh, babip-y velocity guys
2:13
Ben Clemens: like man I like Jung Hoo Lee’s slap hitting methods
2:13
Ben Clemens: I had Luis Arraez on a commerce worth high 50 as soon as!
2:13
Ben Clemens: i believe guys who ocmpletely subvert the conventional method the sport works are enjoyable
2:14
Victoria: What’s your least favourite fashion of fine participant?
2:14
Ben Clemens: high-Ok high-BB closers
2:14
Ben Clemens: except they throw a unicorn pitch
2:14
N8: For remainder of season – do you assume Luis Gil or Nestor Cortes are value hanging on to?
2:15
Ben Clemens: actually is determined by who your options are however I believe the chance is there for each. format-dependent and roster-dependent however taking part in time is a constructive issue for each and I’d be glad to roster both in my present Ottoneu crew
2:15
Visitor: Do elite defenders add or subtract from one another? As in, would an elite SS and 3B take away alternatives from one another, decreasing their worth?
2:16
Ben Clemens: I might assume so, however then you definitely’ve received the truth that perhaps the crew leans extra into sinkerballers with these two guys
2:16
Ben Clemens: I haven’t actually performed the mathematics on this one and I believe it’d be fairly laborious to really do
2:16
Brian: Since he was the inspiration for the 5 Issues column, I’ve to say that Zach’s “Mets Nook” is pleasant
2:17
Ben Clemens: I’m not an enormous podcast man as of late b/c I don’t commute and don’t put on headphones once I stroll my canine, so I didn’t know what this was and needed to look it up
2:17
Ben Clemens: cool! adore it
2:17
JM: In case your aim was to construct probably the most enjoyable and entertaining unhealthy crew, who’d be on the high of your checklist for gamers to get? And I imply entertaining in a great way, not watching a automotive crash entertaining.
2:17
Ben Clemens: Arraez for SURE
2:17
Ben Clemens: oh, perhaps Nestor Cortes and a few tremendous bizarre pitchers too
2:17
PUJOLS5: You talked about watching minimize up begins on Savant. What search do you employ to get that?
2:17
Ben Clemens: simply put within the pitcher and the sport date
2:18
Ben Clemens: after which watch all their pitches in sequence
2:18
Ben Clemens: alright, gotta load up the pup for the vet, so I’ll discuss to you guys subsequent week
2:18
Ben Clemens: have an exquisite day, everybody

 

Ben is a author at FanGraphs. He might be discovered on Bluesky @benclemens.



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