Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat: 6/13/25

Eric A Longenhagen: Good morning from dangerously sizzling Tempe, the place I’m espresso’ing on the kitchen island on the brink of work on Pink Sox and Twins lists whereas prepping for the Mix.

Eric A Longenhagen: FOr those that missed it, please go learn the Rangers checklist:

Ken: Has Jack Perkins’ efficiency to date in Vegas moved the needle for you in any respect by way of the way you view his skill to stay a beginning pitcher?

Eric A Longenhagen: Sure. Bumped into him final week as I used to be engaged on Mariners and he carved. Physicality appears to be like like he’ll have the ability to deal with it even when he isn’t essentially the most environment friendly strike thrower. Let’s bear in mind, although, that he’s seemed like this (sitting 95-96 t98, plus slider, strikes) for like 5 weeks, six weeks? It’s not as robust a glance as if he’d been doing it since April.

Eric A Longenhagen: You’d assume he doesn’t actually have the instruments do take care of lefties however the slider is taking part in in opposition to them, too.

For The Birds: Has Dylan Beavers made any actual adjustments at AAA this yr? Does he have an opportunity to be any greater than a task participant?

Eric A Longenhagen: Simply glancing on the Trackman stuff, his energy is up. Onerous hit fee is up from 33% final yr to 43% this yr.

Eric A Longenhagen: Don’t know if the adjustments are mechanical or bodily with out doing a video dive.

Eric A Longenhagen: Oh btw, I put this collectively which has the rolling hit information for gamers captured at relevant associates right here:

Eric A Longenhagen: Be happy to bookmark that, I’ve.

Jeb: Are there any Pirate prospects who’ve arrows pointing up proper now?

Eric A Longenhagen: Griffin and Sanford each had 50% laborious hit charges through the tip of Could. Fairly good, Griffin making 45-grade contact is a key variable, too.

Visitor: Are you involved about Trey Yesavage’s management, appeared to stroll numerous guys since transferring to excessive A

Eric A Longenhagen: Nah, not but. He’s placing out two guys an inning (although a few of that’s his preliminary task was very, very conservative)

Visitor: Is Arjun Nimmala a high 40 prospect within the recreation?

Eric A Longenhagen: I don’t assume that’s loopy.

Rube: Are you able to give a present comp for an org who a few years in the past had an identical shallow system with 50s expertise just like the Ms?

Eric A Longenhagen: Washington simply final yr or two is in that space.

Eric A Longenhagen: Mets from ’23, though not all these guys are panning out

12 to six: eric, muncy’s spectacles-related revitalization is vital to the dodger lineup, nevertheless it appears his days of battling third base to a standstill are nearing an finish. given freeland’s defensive ability set and the seemingly dynamite combo of kim and betts within the mi, is there any probability la begins biking max into 1b (freeman off days), lf, and dh (ohtani off days) with extra frequency and giving freeland a shot on the sizzling nook?

Eric A Longenhagen: IDK if there are sufficient “Shohei off days” for there to be frequent reps within the eventualities you’re illustrating. Plus, Freeland isn’t on the 40-man, you’re sacrificing another person so as to add him proactively. He’ll come up when it’s needed resulting from harm dominoes and I believe that’s wonderful.

Visitor: Any early DSL standouts?

Eric A Longenhagen: Did you see I wrote on their org checklist concerning the 26-year-old Rangers man who signed a couple of days earlier than the league began and has been touching 99?

Eric A Longenhagen: Mariners had no person who wasn’t already on the radar.

Eric A Longenhagen: My scope has been restricted to these orgs and who they’ve performed the primary week and a half of video games

David: Nonetheless getting by way of the Mariners write up; simply wished to move alongside thanks for having an write up on how Ford’s catching has progressed. I don’t know what the group does with him however glad to listen to he has made some important progress behind the dish.

Eric A Longenhagen: You’re welcome, thanks for noticing. He’s one the place whether or not or not he’d have the ability to keep again there was a key query for him when he was in HS, and so I’ve a reasonably detailed year-to-year really feel for the way he’s trended as a result of we had been all paying shut consideration to it from the leap.

Refugee: I’ve bought a pair books by Kazushi Tezuka (The Reality About Pitching & The Reality About Batting) – what’s the simplest (most possible?) strategy to get them signed by you?

Eric A Longenhagen: Relies upon the place you’re at however I’ll positively signal one among them and commerce you a signed Future Worth for the opposite as a result of I’m making an attempt to horde copies lol. Throw your e-mail in a query (i wont put up it) and we’ll attempt to determine it out.

Visitor: Clearly years since he was a prospect, however given right this moment’s commerce, any hope that Andrew Vaughn figures it out away from the White Sox, or is he what he’s at this level?

Eric A Longenhagen: I wanna say he’s what he’s at this level, however watch his bat velocity on Savant and see if that leaps post-trade. That’d be the variable that, if MIL can enhance it, then they’ve finished one thing.

Nervous Flyball Pitcher: Samuel Basallo is crushing the ball, however each time I look, he’s doing it off a 29 yr outdated journeyman sitting 89-90. Is there a strategy to isolate information primarily based on precise, high quality competitors? Or is that this simply what AAA information appears to be like like these days?

Eric A Longenhagen: You would possibly have the ability to use that Savant web page I linked to earlier to change the sliders for pitch velo by yourself. I can do some quantity of it with Synergy proper now, you simply need his splits in opposition to 94+ fastballs? Give me like 30 seconds

Eric A Longenhagen: Versus all pitches 94 mph or extra he’s slashing .125/.300.188

Eric A Longenhagen: It’s a 145 pitch pattern

Eric A Longenhagen: his contact fee is just not all that unhealthy in opposition to them, it’s 76%

Eric A Longenhagen: when i develop the pattern to incorporate final yr….

Eric A Longenhagen: .462 OPS

Eric A Longenhagen: So possibly a priority

Dan in TX: Thanks for the recommendation. Deep league, would you fee Tyson Lewis or Rainiel Rodriguez larger as a long run hypothesis?

Eric A Longenhagen: Rodriguez

Eric A Longenhagen: oh, i owe you guys video of him. I promise as quickly as I sign off i’ll edit that collectively and add it to the youtube channel

Kate: Has Johnny King’s efficiency on the advanced to date given you any new data that will have an effect on his FV?  Or does this mainly seem like what you described in his report within the Jays checklist?

Eric A Longenhagen: Velo is manner up, ready for him to pitch at Phillies so we are able to all simply watch it. I believe that’ll be Monday if he stays on the same old schedule.

Kate: Have you ever heard something about what’s happening with Letson?  I’m assuming it’s some sort of harm.

Eric A Longenhagen: Gah, I’ve not. Has he been IL’d? In that case I can discover out. If not, like they’re simply skipping a begin for innings/load mgmt functions, they’d have to inform me.

Dan: Scorching or iced espresso? Climate dependent?

Eric A Longenhagen: Scorching very first thing, possibly iced later

Matt: Hey Eric, how far up do assume you have got Aroon Escobar transferring in up to date high 100 (if in any respect)? Seen some locations transfer him into the highest 100 already and Keith Regulation has him as excessive as #40

Eric A Longenhagen: Most likely extra towards the again for me, wanna see him hold chugging down the shore within the second half

Todd: Jonathon Lengthy has been punishing AAA pitching all yr. Has his efficiency answered any key scouting questions or meaningfully improved his outlook?

Eric A Longenhagen: He’s crushing it sufficient to benefit re-evaluation definitely, simply peeking on the spray chart it’s nonetheless so inside out that off hand I’m wonderful with a 40 on him. Bear in mind, a 40 is a giant league grade, luke voit kind efficiency, a helpful function participant simply within the 20-30 vary amongst 1B league extensive.

Visitor: what do you see mcgonigle’s mlb eta trying like with the tigers this aggressive?

Eric A Longenhagen: If he’s one among your high two MIFs within the org proper now, you could check that and determine proactively. I’d juice the child to Eerie proper and provides him a month there, which then provides you two week previous to the deadline to make strikes with a greater understanding of his readiness

Eric A Longenhagen: To not commerce Ok Mac, simply to know what your wants actually are.

Mets SP: Of Sproat, Tidwell, Tong, McLean, any others, who do assume has the very best ceiling? Do any have ace potential?  Thanks.

Eric A Longenhagen: If Tong can hold sustaining this I assume it’s him, I’m not gonna throw Ace round for any of these guys, although.

Kate: I do know all of us hate comps, however listening to some Keaschall comps for Kyle DeBarge.  Any similarities there or only a lazy comp as a result of they’re each good hit device guys in the identical org?

Keith: Thanks Eric. How do you evaluate Luis Pena vs. Jesus Made, and what are the possibilities Pena proves to be the higher prospect?

Eric A Longenhagen: Oops, DeBarge query first right here…

Eric A Longenhagen: I don’t assume the Keaschall comp actually holds water, Jon Berti is extra what I’m pondering off the highest of my head. I simply assume the Keaschall comp comes from them being in the identical org, individuals evaluating to gamers they’re accustomed to.

Eric A Longenhagen: Pena is extra polished, Made’s energy ceiling is nuts

Friendship with Connor Wong Ended: I assume he’ll have graduated and received’t get an analysis in your Pink Sox checklist, however what do you make of Carlos Narvaez who you had as a 35+ final yr on the Yankees checklist? It looks as if each his protection and offense have wildly overperformed expectations. Is the clock going to strike midnight and switch him into an offensive pumpkin quickly or may he maintain down the beginning catcher job?

Eric A Longenhagen: He’s overperforming however remains to be fairly good

Ham Fighter: You watch StatCast fumbling round making an attempt to ID pitches for Misio final evening?

Eric A Longenhagen: I did, fairly frequent for the man’s first begin

Bily: I’m positive options like this get outdated, however have you ever thought of not doing group lists and simply doing weekly batch updates to the board and writing them up as you see guys or supply data? The location would get weekly clicks and a minimum of this reader would take pleasure in that extra.

Eric A Longenhagen: Positively wanna do group lists just like the best way they’re finished now with batch updates you’re speaking about thrown in.

Eric A Longenhagen: It’s so much for one fella (plus a talented freelancer, basically) and I’m continuously adjusting.

Robert: What do you consider the White Sox strategy with Grant Taylor (calling him up and placing him within the bullpen)?

Eric A Longenhagen: Perhaps they know one thing about his well being that we don’t? If not, it was needlessly early to try this. What’s the frenzy?

Oaktown Blues: Man, you weren’t kidding about Denzel Clarke’s protection. Recreation-changing. For those who’re the A’s, do you retain beginning him and hope the bat comes round?

Eric A Longenhagen: I believe you let him play incessantly as a result of that may be the one manner he feels by way of his personal changes. Plus, a minimum of he’s impacting the sport in some optimistic, particular manner. He made a play precisely like that one in final yr’s AFL.

Fred whitfield: What’s about lawlar that considerations you?

Eric A Longenhagen: Lack of barrel really feel, tightly wound athlete

SAIN-ja: With somebody as distinctive as Jurrangelo Cijntje, is the market inefficiency of getting an precise change pitcher actually price it, in comparison with having him simply throw righty on a regular basis along with his higher velo and pitch combine?

Eric A Longenhagen: Most likely not

Eric A Longenhagen: Except the opponent it so particularly susceptible to LH stuff

We would like Moore: Did Christian Moore work out methods to hit breaking balls?

Eric A Longenhagen: Was extra involved about elevated fastballs fro him if i keep in mind appropriately

Izzy: Not a prospect query, however what grade would you give Betts’ SS protection?

Eric A Longenhagen: Common in most respects, under common arm (he’s manner higher throwing from the outfield when his whole physique might be concerned), name it a forty five

Wetherholt: What are Wetherholts EVs trying like in AA? Unhappy there isn’t public information for a lot of the minors

Eric A Longenhagen: 42% laborious hit, 108 max, 103 EV90

Eric A Longenhagen: The tech for it (it being public statcast information) solely exists in so many locations

Eric A Longenhagen: Plus, this fashion you *want* me

Steve O: If MLB goes to full ABS is catching simply going to be blocking + throwing out runners? Looks like it’ll devalue the catcher place. May you simply put anybody again there understanding they’ll mainly cheat when throwing out runners and don’t have to fret about framing in any respect?

Eric A Longenhagen: I dont assume they’ll try this

Eric A Longenhagen: Problem system is an excessive amount of enjoyable

Eric A Longenhagen: I believe they’re gonna thread the needle on this one, and in the event that they don’t I’m going to be the loudest dissenter.

Kevin: Are the groups who’re greatest at growth doing one thing totally different than different groups do, or are they only higher at doing the identical issues in a roundabout way?

Eric A Longenhagen: A little bit of each. You will have some Have Not Orgs who’re a decade behind, and you’ve got different groups who’re higher at utilizing the identical instruments the opposite golf equipment have. Typically that’s simply synergizing scouting and dev so that you’re taking gamers that you just already that know you’re going to vary

drplantwrench: i’m very excited for the CMo name up (even when i believe its a bit early).  what do you anticipate from him?  can he study to hit breaking balls on the job?

Eric A Longenhagen: I’m on the low man on him, I believe. Protection and hit device questions. May hit for sufficient energy to render that moot. Child is aggressive, he’ll deliver an edge they want, which is sweet.

Jack: Re: Letson. Hadn’t pitched since 5/8 after which was placed on IL 6/2.

Eric A Longenhagen: Proper shoulder impingement.

Prospect: Has your analysis of chandler Simpson modified in any respect after seeing him have a average run in each aaa and mlb? I used to be pretty shocked he was demoted

Eric A Longenhagen: Nah, nonetheless just like the elite velocity and projected protection sufficient to 50 him. I believe it’s wonderful for them to offer Misner runway to see if he can truly hit sufficient right here in his prime to be a contributor.

Jake: Kristian Campbell has seemingly misplaced the flexibility to drag the ball or get it within the air. One thing to fret about there?

Eric A Longenhagen: After I write the sox checklist an replace his blurb with a “how is that this going?” standpoint, I’ll look into whether or not the league has made changes that appear to have precipitated this. Bear in mind, although, that is solely the man’s third yr of excessive stage baseball. I’m not sweating it. Similar because it was too reactionary to be like “This was one of the best prospect this yr!” in March, it’d be just like fret over this.

Fred whitfield: Once you say tightly wound do you meant that bodily or mentally

Eric A Longenhagen: Bodily, his decrease physique

Snail: Has this season modified your stance in any respect on Harry Ford’s hit device? You gave him a 30 on the mariners checklist, however he’s working a contact fee of 79.3% (up from ~74% in previous years), with solely 8.6% swinging strikes – and isn’t sacrificing high quality of contact for amount, both (90.3mph avg EV, 45% laborious hit, 25% LD). If this season *hasn’t* modified your opinion of his hit device, what’s it particularly that makes you assume his AAA outcomes received’t translate to the massive leagues (a minimum of at a mean fee of translation)?

Eric A Longenhagen: And with that, it’s time for me to run. Thanks for coming everybody, I recognize you visiting the location. Please learn our stuff and contemplate changing into a member. Bear in mind we’ve a value enhance looming however you possibly can lock in on the present value for 3 years. Right here’s a hyperlink:

Eric A Longenhagen: Rainiel Rodriguez video, I’m on it. Subsequent Friday I’ll be chatting from Pennsylvania, I believe. My cousin is getting married. It’d impression my schedule, sorry if it does. bye bye’