Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat – 5/20/25

0
35


2:00
Ben Clemens: Hey everybody, welcome to the chat
2:01
Ben Clemens: Let’s get began
2:01
Jake: What’s incorrect with Michael Harris, and is he vulnerable to dropping taking part in time when Acuna returns? Time to chop bait on him in fantasy?
2:02
Ben Clemens: I feel it may be time to chop bait for the yr, all of the contact high quality stuff is totally falling aside. I don’t assume he’s very more likely to lose taking part in time as a result of he’s simply spectacular defensively however he’s positively not serving to your fantasy group in the meanwhile. If I’m the Braves, I’m operating him on the market with out hesitation, but when I’m a fantasy participant, I imply, presumably you are able to do higher
2:02
Streakers: Do you assume both the Playing cards or Twins are literally playoff groups or simply catching a great streak in the meanwhile?
2:03
Ben Clemens: Playing cards, I’m gonna say no, simply becuase there are such a lot of scorching begins within the NL that it appears like NLC or bust to me and I actually just like the Cubs. Twins, I’ll truly say sure; they’re taking part in for the Wild Card as nicely however for me, that’s a better carry within the AL
2:04
Tim Livingston: As a fellow Giants watcher, is there something statistically related to gleam from the anecdotes of how the group (Flores being the apparent however instance) have supposedly modified their approaches in conditions with RISP? It appears very ipso put up facto, however it’s been a loud speaking level this season.
2:04
Ben Clemens: I imply, possibly. However you’d want WAY extra PA’s to have any concept. In excessive leverage spots, the Giants have batted 197 instances this yr.
2:04
Ben Clemens: Their standout talent is definitely slugging, which doesn’t actually jive with the “shorten up and put the ball in play” story
2:04
Bosoxforlife: I get pleasure from these chats a lot that I hoped that yesterday was only a rainout and you’ll reschedule the sport for right this moment and I’m rewarded.
2:04
Ben Clemens: hooray! And hey
2:05
Tito Please Cease: McLain now batting ninth with relative success. How for much longer til he’s again on the prime of the order; or is that this just a few bizarre superstition. When do you progress on?
2:05
Ben Clemens: I feel in all probability the subsequent time there’s an off day for somebody on the prime
2:05
Ben Clemens: it’s a little bit bit superstition and a little bit bit ‘the beneficial properties are very small so why make the transition messy?’
2:05
alexis anthopolous: Wouldn’t it make sense to pursue a Sean Murphy commerce given the emergence of Baldwin? Whereas having two high quality catchers is sweet, the Braves group has a number of different holes that want filling
2:06
Ben Clemens: Catchers are famously onerous to commerce in-season as a result of they should be taught their new pitching employees. Not that it by no means occurs, however it’s not widespread, significantly for starters
2:06
T2: Ben, thanks for doing this. Between Choose and Ohtani, who’s the higher deal for the ball membership?
2:06
Ben Clemens: Oh, enjoyable one!
2:06
Ben Clemens: On the sphere, I’d need to say it’s Choose
2:06
Ben Clemens: he’s cheaper and higher proper now
2:06
Ben Clemens: so like…. yeah that’s good
2:06
Ben Clemens: counting off subject stuff, I feel I’d take Ohtani. The Dodgers are simply making BANK off of his superstar
2:07
Sonny: Folks appear to neglect that ‘younger’ groups drop these duds on a regular basis. Baltimore joins a protracted listing of groups that peaked a yr early (2023) then struggled to observe up and make ‘the leap.’ See the 2014-2017 Astros for extra of Elias’s handiwork.
2:07
Ben Clemens: I imply, the Astros received the World Sequence in 2017
2:07
Ben Clemens: however I take your level
2:07
Ben Clemens: it’s a little bit completely different, proper? in that the primary time the Astros have been truly nice, they received the WS
2:08
Scoreboard415: Is Will Warren actual? His FIP appears to be like nice, his stuff appears to be like nice reside, however it appears like every inning there’s a 50% he walks 2 gamers or offers up absurdly loud contact.

Scouts nonetheless appear combined, with Keith Legislation insisting he’s destined for the bullpen.

2:08
Ben Clemens: Okay, so I’m an enormous believer. That’s going to paint my opinion – earlier than the yr began, I used to be a powerful sure
2:08
Ben Clemens: so…. sturdy sure
2:08
Scoreboard415: Finest non-mexican burrito in SF? Saucy Asian? Señor Sisig? Curry Up Now?
2:08
Ben Clemens: Ooooooh, I’ve a great one for you in case you haven’t had it
2:08
Ben Clemens: Poke burrito at Hook Fish Co
2:09
Ben Clemens: I learn that it was Chesa Boudin’s favourite burrito within the metropolis and I used to be like “what an fool, choose la taq otherwise you’ll seem like a dummy”
2:09
Ben Clemens: however then I had it and yeah, it’s phenomneal
2:09
DeeBo: Who do you assume would be the finest participant dealt on the deadline? I’m not shocked on the Skenes rumors – the Pirates are unhealthy and he has unbelievable worth so a few years away from FA – however I’m unsure I purchase them
2:09
Ben Clemens: It’s not Skenes
2:09
Ben Clemens: They may as nicely burn down the stadium in the event that they commerce Skenes, as a result of they wouldn’t want the seats anymore
2:10
Ben Clemens: how about…. Freddy Peralta? Luis Robert Jr.?
2:10
Bullock: Is it going to end up that the O’s have been truly sensible to not lengthen any of their gamers as a result of it seems none of them are nearly as good as they appeared?  That might be so miserable.
2:10
Ben Clemens: I don’t assume so. The cope with these early extensions is that you just purchase your self a fairly good breakeven
2:10
Ben Clemens: they don’t need to be incrdible for these offers to be good
2:10
Ben Clemens: now, extending them at THIS level? possibly they’re getting dearer now
2:11
KC Ache: Any hope for Adames? Aside from that huge HR sport not even steals regardless of getting on base.
2:11
Ben Clemens: I nonetheless consider in Adames, however actually, I don’t assume the steals are coming again
2:11
Ben Clemens: these have been an out of nowhere factor that I assume was closely influenced by the Brewers
2:11
Ben Clemens: I feel his protection and hitting will return, however I’m placing him down for like 3-5 steals the remainder of the way in which
2:12
Scoreboard415: (possibly that is an article) Are you able to spotlight one hitter and pitcher who’s having a breakout that you just consider is actual?
2:12
Ben Clemens: in all probability an article
2:12
Ben Clemens: Dan’s article right this moment is sort of about this, too
2:12
Bom: Which might you say is worse: a group that lucks right into a generational expertise and fully wastes him, or a group that by no means manages to develop even a single good participant (not naming any names)
2:12
Ben Clemens: I’d fairly watch the group taht wastes the generational expertise b/c then I’d no less than get to see him
2:12
Insert Witty Title Right here: What did you do to your mom for Mom’s Day?
2:13
Ben Clemens: We received her a pleasant candle and had a great chat, however actually, I received her going to a Brewers sport the week earlier than, and hanging out for the weekend
2:13
Ben Clemens: although it wasn’t on Mom’s day correct, it was very good
2:13
Plan B: Plan B appears to be going fairly nicely for the Yankees.
2:13
Ben Clemens: Max Fried is making it look unbelievable, huh?
2:13
Endy Chavez: Has there been any analysis on the impression of the pitch clock on efficiency? Both leaguewide or for people? I’m curious if anybody has been particularly harm by the change.
2:14
Ben Clemens: I haven’t seen any, and actually, I wouldn’t fully know the place to start out
2:14
Mr. Burrito: Do the Dodgers must commerce for a pitcher? It sounds outlandish given the place the roster was two months in the past, however it appears like the dearth of starters is beginning to burn down the bullpen. It additionally appears like, as of this minute, there are too many query marks. Glasnow? Snell? Ohtani? Sasaki? Kershaw? All or any might be both A., injured to the purpose of not being efficient this yr? B. too younger or C., cooked…. Would a proposal of, say, Freeland and Knack, fetch a mid-level starter and a lottery choose prospect? I do know any of the above (or Sheehan, who’s due again in a month or so) might be the reply. However all of these prospects are huge “ifs” for a roster constructed to win a WS this yr.
2:14
Ben Clemens: If I have been them, I’d be focusing on the sorts of pitchers which are low-cost as a result of “they will’t begin within the playoffs”
2:14
Ben Clemens: like, yeah, the Dodgers are full up on dudes who can begin within the playoffs
2:14
Ben Clemens: they want Erick Fedde or the equal
2:16
KC: Is Zebby price holding in a 15 group league? Frightened in regards to the Twins holding him again
2:16
Ben Clemens: I’ve been questioning this as nicely
2:16
Ben Clemens: I settled on no for me
2:16
Ben Clemens: however it’s group dependent
2:17
Bullock: All of Sal Perez’s plate self-discipline, batted ball, and statcast metrics look very regular for him, so I shouldn’t panic, proper?  Proper?  However he’s a 35 yr previous giant man catcher, so possibly I ought to panic a little bit?
2:17
Ben Clemens: yeah for me the age is the vital issue
2:17
Ben Clemens: possibly I’ll be incorrect
2:18
Ben Clemens: However I believed he was extra 2023 than 2024 and although I’m anticipating some energy again, I feel it’s like 95 wRC+ energy fairly than peak Salvy energy
2:18
Fish: Say the Marlins added Tucker and Bichette within the offseason (they’d by no means spend like this). Would that be sufficient to make them a WS contender?
2:18
Ben Clemens: i really feel like in earlier years, it might have been the case
2:18
Ben Clemens: however they’re simply very bereft of expertise proper now
2:18
Bosoxforlife: I’m afraid that the Crimson Sox are heading down the identical slope that the Orioles slipped on. After Crochet it’s a huge wasteland. The whole collapse of Houck, the damage to Buehler, not a shock, and sending the stays of Giolito on the market too typically has their rotation trying all too much like the destiny that has befallen Baltimore. Add within the 1st base fiasco and this has all of the makings of a protracted boring summer time.
2:19
Ben Clemens: I truly assume they’re in a greater place than the O’s, and it’s not likely honest to match the 2 rotations. Certain, the Sox have been disappointing, however they’ve had an honest variety of accidents and underperformance from Houck, six starters on the IL, and but I really feel like Crochet + Bello + whichever different dude steps up is a positive prime 3
2:20
Ben Clemens: Orioles starters have an ERA 1.63 runs larger than Crimson Sox starters, lol
2:20
Ben Clemens: that quantity hardly appears actual
2:20
Ben Clemens: their FIP is greater than a run larger too, it’s not just a few bizarre batted ball luck factor
2:20
KC: This Adley “hunch” is nearly a yr lengthy at this level. Is that this nonetheless merely a chilly streak or is it time to start out considering that is who he’s? The Orioles have younger catching expertise, would it not be price simply letting Adley DH for a bit and attempt to get again on observe?
2:20
Ben Clemens: I’d contemplate it. I’m beginning to consider that he wasn’t affected by damage final yr, since he appears wholesome and remains to be scuffling
2:20
Ben Clemens: simply, attempt one thing
2:20
Ben Clemens: he’s clearly extremely gifted however I’d like to see them shake it up a little bit
2:21
Ben Clemens: I get that generally the sensible factor to do is simply maintain doing the identical factor that used to work even when it stops working
2:21
Ben Clemens: however on this specific state of affairs, there’s no time for that. attempt one thing rash, imo
2:22
Some kinda Mook: So Carlos Narvaez trying like a steal for the Crimson Sox, huh? Even when he regresses
2:22
Ben Clemens: even assuming an enormous regression!
2:22
Al: Swing path and assault angle on savant!  Any recommendation on methods to interpret / what any of it means?  Vlad one of many worst in league wrt “supreme assault angle” !
2:23
Ben Clemens: not but, however I”m gonna goof round with it
2:23
Bosoxforlife: How baseball boggles the thoughts is astounding, unbelievable and all the opposite superlatives that may be conjured up. The Twins are the newest to amaze me. Between 8/24/2024 and 5/2/2025, this, anticipated to be good, group went 23-43 then peeled off 13 straight wins together with a number of with Buxton and Correa out. Would you please clarify this.
2:23
Ben Clemens: See, I really feel liek me saying ‘positive I’ll cease predicting the Twins to win the ALC” made it occur
2:23
Ben Clemens: so that you’re welcome, Bobby (my Twins fan good friend)
2:23
Ben Clemens: extra realistically, yeah, baseball is nice!
2:23
Bon Daylor: What does Aaron Choose’s ROS WRC+ need to be to drop him all the way down to 150?
2:23
Ben Clemens: hm, let’s see
2:24
Ben Clemens: 491 PA left, 210 PA at 245 thus far
2:25
Ben Clemens: That’s 210*245+491*x=(210+491)*150
2:26
Valuation of bat vs arm: Which facet of an OttoNeu YTD   Factors commerce do you like? Both is an efficient/finest reply. This league SPs are tightly held. Each groups High 3. Each groups deep within the traded items from. $26 Carroll for $40 Skenes
2:26
Ben Clemens: oooooh, love an Otto query
2:26
Ben Clemens: hmmmmm…. I feel it’s fairly group dependent, and H2H vs. roto too. I’m assuming H2H as a result of that’s how I play Otto, and in that case, the man you’re changing Skenes with issues a ton
2:27
Ben Clemens: I’d in all probability favor the Skenes facet except I had like 5 starters I favored plus two respectable choices
2:27
Lucas: Who do the Phillies commerce for now that the Alverado catastrophe occurred? In addition they nonetheless want a CF. How do you see issues shaking out on the commerce deadline?
2:28
Ben Clemens: I feel they’ll do their regular factor of shoring up weak spots as cheaply as they will. I maintain advocating for the Nats to commerce Jacob Younger, possibly he might go to Philly
2:28
Ben Clemens: and yeah, they may use relievers
2:28
TKDC: What are the probabilities that Wilmer Flores (10 HR) turns into the primary Big to hit 30 homers in a season since Barry Bonds in 2004?
2:28
Ben Clemens: I’ll name it 15%. I’d truly take Chapman over him. Possibly Ramos too
2:29
John Paul: Are you professional prospect hoarding or extra professional buying and selling away prospects for large league prepared expertise?
2:29
Ben Clemens: what I attempt to be is versatile
2:29
Ben Clemens: the thought being like, when a group is down in its cycle, it’s the time to hoard
2:29
Ben Clemens: and to be very prepared to experiment and check out n ew issues
2:30
Ben Clemens: after which when the video games are extra significant for you and roster house will get tighter, nice information, you hoarded all these prospects, let’s money them in
2:30
Ben Clemens: that’s simpler mentioned than accomplished, after all
2:30
a person has no title: mitch keller to the dodgers…for who?
2:31
Ben Clemens: i dunno, Sheehan? some sort of man the Pirates can speak themselves into being Mitch Keller if issues break nicely
2:31
Ben Clemens: however cheaper!
2:31
Hicks Truther: I nonetheless consider that Jordan Hicks might be an honest starter. His velocity has been positive outdoors of 1 begin, and his 3.53 FIP, 3.98 xERA, .366 BABIP, and 57.1% LOB% recommend that he’s been insanely unfortunate. I feel he might possibly be a #3 man with sufficient expertise. Am I a moron?
2:31
Ben Clemens: I feel one thing that’s lacking is that a few of that BABIP is earned
2:31
Ben Clemens: I’ve watched a LOT of Jordan Hicks in my life
2:31
Ben Clemens: my spouse and I just lately determined that the three pitchers we’ve seen teh most instances are Jacob deGrom, Logan Webb, and Jordan Hicks
2:32
Ben Clemens: and I feel that his sinker is simply not a babip-suppressing pitch at medium velo
2:32
Ben Clemens: I do assume he received a tough deal, however I feel he’s in all probability not gonna make it again to the rotation. They’re additionally clearly nervous about fatigue, so altering roles a ton of instances? Skeptical
2:32
Petey Bienel: How lengthy of a leash does Dylan Crews have this season? I suppose the Nats aren’t ready to exchange him with anyone, however his Ks are fairly worrisome after trending higher a lot of April. Was he pressured to the majors simply to chase RotY? His AAA numbers didn’t scream name me up.
2:32
Ben Clemens: I’d give him the longest leash conceivable
2:32
Ben Clemens: what are they dropping by making an attempt him out within the bigs?
2:33
Ben Clemens: actually the most important drawback he has is passivity, imo
2:33
Ben Clemens: so determine it out towards huge leaguers
2:33
Jay: Do you purchase Ivan Herrera as a prime ~25 hitter within the league over the subsequent few years?
2:33
Ben Clemens: No, I don’t
2:33
Ben Clemens: I do purchase him as a top-50 place participant, although. Not my median assumption however in vary. The man can actually hit
2:34
Charlie: I dunno, I really feel like the first base fiasco has the makings of on the lest an fascinating summer time, if not a great one.
2:34
Ben Clemens: This needs to be in regards to the Sox. And it’s completely true!
2:34
Ben Clemens: I’m so excited
2:34
Visitor: who’re you most to least optimistic about the remainder of 2025: Salvy, Santander, Adames, Altuve
2:34
Ben Clemens: after which Altuve/Santander/Salvy
2:34
Ben Clemens: that’s for actual life. In fantasy I’d in all probability put Altuve over Adames
2:34
Bosoxforlife: My prediction that the Dodgers would win extra video games than the 2 worst groups amongst the Rockies, White Sox and Marlins appears to be like good. Add within the Pirates and it’s merely astonishing to see MLB flip into the NBA with so many non-competitive groups
2:34
Ben Clemens: the Rockies are SO unhealthy
2:34
Ben Clemens: like, the White Sox aren’t good, don’t get me incorrect
2:35
Ben Clemens: however they’re -57 run differential thus far, not even backside 5
2:35
Ben Clemens: the Rockies are -150 RD!!!!!
2:35
A’s fan: Will we see Kurtz flip it round this yr, or is he despatched again to AAA?
2:35
Ben Clemens: omg did you see that tag he placed on?
2:36
Ben Clemens: however uh, I’d in all probability ship him again down, I hate to say. He can not make contact and his plate self-discipline isn’t gonna play till he can
2:36
Ben Clemens: The A’s are theoretically competing for one thing, they will’t look ahead to him to determine that out on the fly
2:36
Chase: What would a Zach Neto and/or Logan O’Hoppe extension seem like? Halos making an attempt to be the Braves of the West, they higher begin doing Braves issues and never simply buying and selling with them
2:37
Ben Clemens: I haven’t run them via the mannequin particularly however I feel with Neto, it’d be a traditional ‘80% of arb plus two free agent years at $20m and a group possibility at $25 for a 3rd’
2:37
Ben Clemens: if I have been him, I’d be tempted to not take that
2:37
Ben Clemens: however that’s about wehre I ballpark what a group would possibly supply him
2:38
Ben Clemens: As for O’Hoppe, catchers simply don’t command the identical sorts of offers. I’d mannequin it on a child Will Smith contract; Smith received a great deal of cash, however with low AAV over a protracted time frame. That fits the Halos nicely
2:38
Visitor: 2 gamers have a number of 400 foot oppo homers this yr. james wooden and dylan crews. nonetheless each of crews’ got here off of chase dollander. as did certainly one of wooden’s. i believe this anecdote says rather a lot about crews and the rockies (and wooden)
2:38
Mike Lommler: I used to be gonna ask a query about why pitchers are throwing PCA any strikes… however they already appear to hardly throw him any strikes. So my questions is that this? Do you see PCA finally taking extra walks because the season goes on (he might hardly stroll much less) or do you assume he’s due for a big come-down? His x-stats truly appear to be catching up along with his manufacturing fairly than vice-versa, so I dunno.
2:39
Ben Clemens: I feel that he’ll find yourself taking extra walks however hitting for much less energy
2:39
Ben Clemens: as a result of finally he’s going to cease being on such a wild on-contact run and get satisfied to chase a bit much less
2:39
Ben Clemens: i do know it’s onerous however it’s not unattainable
2:39
Ben Clemens: after which pitchers will finally begin attacking him extra because of this
2:39
Dan’l: What % probability do the younger, overperforming Card gamers proceed on as they’ve thus far in ’25? Interested by Liberator, Scott, Herrerra (not hitting .400, to be clear)…
2:40
Ben Clemens: I’ll say 60% for Libby, 70% for Herrera (taking part in at a first-division starter stage, a prime 10 catcher in baseball), and 35% for Scott. I feel that Scott can nonetheless be good if his hitting regresses…. however I feel it’s gonna regress
2:41
Dan’l: When you’re operating the Playing cards, how far again within the Central on the deadline would you contemplate promoting items (Fedde, Helsley)? Do you anticipate them to do the identical as what you’ll do?
2:41
Ben Clemens: If I’m inside, say, 3 video games, I’m holding them
2:41
Ben Clemens: I feel the group will in all probability do one thing comparable. Compete if it appears to be like doable
2:41
Ben Clemens: it’s the Cardinals. They will’t assist trying round and saying ‘ought to we attempt to win the division?’
2:41
Jeremy: Is there a selected sort of hitter who’s been harm particularly a lot by the ball being deader this yr?
2:41
Ben Clemens: I appeared into this the final time the ball went useless, and guys of the Anthony Rendon archetype (mid energy, excellent at bat management and thus elevating) had the most important draw back
2:42
Ben Clemens: now, the 2 most outstanding examples of that each received plugged into good brief porch conditions (Bregman and Paredes)
2:42
Ben Clemens: however that sort of man…. excessive contact, excessive aerial contact…. must be harm hte most
2:42
Sanford: As a NY resident + sports activities enjoyer, I get how fandom works and I get how our media panorama operates. However man the Soto vitriol feels significantly determined and miserable, even for our requirements
2:42
Ben Clemens: I’m with you
2:43
Ben Clemens: possibly within the plyaoffs
2:43
Ben Clemens: this can be a lot for Could
2:43
Ben Clemens: methinks the Yankees followers doth protest an excessive amount of
2:44
Bosoxforlife: With season virtually 1/third of the way in which alongside, outdoors of the Orioles troublesome to consider collapse what has shocked you essentially the most?
2:44
Ben Clemens: I feel it’s the Rockies’ abject awfulness
2:45
Ben Clemens: Wilmer Flores main the majors in RBI is sort of wild
2:45
Ben Clemens: although RBI aren’t that helpful of a predictive stat, like, dang
2:46
Soto: Particular person of the yr award ought to go to the man who received everybody within the baseball world to assume Juan Soto was price not 500 million, not 600 million, however 700 million……All for a diva who doesn’t hustle and will likely be a DH in 5 years.  Are there that few gamers who’re good at hitting a baseball?  Looks like we’re due for a market correction.
2:46
Ben Clemens: a few of it got here right here
2:46
Ben Clemens: come on, man
2:47
Shocking stats: Shohei has scored 50+ runs already!
2:47
rockies: they will’t truly lose 135 video games tho, proper?
… proper?
2:47
Ben Clemens: …… proper
2:47
Scoreboard415: How do I signup for “Ben’s random SF meals suggestions?”
2:47
Ben Clemens: simply ask me some!
2:47
Ben Clemens: simply went to cache in internal sundown, a brand new bistro-y informal place, and actually favored it
2:47
Wrigley: Is PCA actually this good – or will the weak plate self-discipline maintain him again?
2:47
Ben Clemens: I imply, clearly he’s not THIS good
2:48
Ben Clemens: however I feel that he’s the sort of hitter who can succeed with poor self-discipline as a result of every part else he does is so dynamic
2:48
Ben Clemens: you may skinny kof him like a luxurious harrison bader, possibly. You don’t have to unravel hitting to run a ok wRC+ accrued largely in scorching streaks, after which get every part else along with your protection
2:49
B Esiason: Juan Soto and Mrs. Met have been within the closet making infants and I noticed one of many infants and the newborn checked out me
2:49
Ben Clemens: is nice Juan Soto heckling
2:49
Steve O: Form of a wild query to ask however is Kyle Tucker dropping himself cash by not having a Soto like stroll yr? He’s on tempo for 5ish WAR which for me is 200-300M vary while you think about age.
2:49
Ben Clemens: We’ve received him on tempo for five.5 WAR which, yeah, would positively symbolize a decrease FA contract than I pegged him for earlier than the yr
2:50
Ben Clemens: that mentioned, he’s hitting the snot out of the ball, if his BABIP ends the yr at his profession .280 as an alternative of .250 every part’s gonna look rather a lot higher
2:50
Justin: I don’t have social media, but when somebody hasn’t identified the irony of Yankees followers being mad that another person signed their huge cash free brokers then I’m going to do it right here
2:50
Sodo Mojo: Rhys Hoskins has bounced again in an enormous manner in 2025.  He’s within the final yr of his contract what do you assume the brewers might get for him on the deadline if he retains this up?
2:51
Ben Clemens: except they ate all the cash
2:51
Ben Clemens: after which…. little or no
2:51
Ben Clemens: i’m sorry, however a 1b solely man who isn’t going fully bonkers is simply not going to maneuver the needle
2:51
Ben Clemens: if he turns it up a number of notches, possibly cracks 10 bombs within the subsequent 30 days, we’ll re-evaluate
2:51
Your Title: What’s the trail ahead for the Pirates? If there was ever an offseason to spend even just a bit, this was it. So now what?
2:52
Ben Clemens: I feel they’re going to scapegoat Ben Cherington this winter and stagnate into a brand new period of irrelevance whereas followers more and more curse Bob Nutting
2:52
Scoreboard415: if the orioles employed you as the brand new GM right this moment, what’s your basic technique?

  • Punt this yr? Begin promoting in July?
  • How a lot do you promote?
  • Bunker down and go huge subsequent offseason?
2:52
Ben Clemens: So, that is off the cuff, however:
2:53
Ben Clemens: this yr’s over, they’re too far behind
2:54
Ben Clemens: so I’d be prepared to promote the upcoming free brokers, although I’d be a bit hesitant on Mullins except somebody affords a haul.
2:54
Ben Clemens: I like having a group chief man like that and I’m not offered on Cowser because the long-term CF so I don’t have having him
2:56
danny: on ohtani vs choose, price noting with every part occurring and mentioned, ohtanis truly taken #1 in xwoba now. marvel if the actual outcomes will start lining up (babips normalize a bit?)
2:56
Ben Clemens: ehhhhh…. xwOBA is so robust for these mega energy guys
2:56
Ben Clemens: as a result of spray angle issues much more. the large boppers are inclined to underperform xwOBA (mainly b/c hitting a homer 100 ft over the precise subject wall is skewing their outcomes considerably)
2:58
Your Title: Mr. Commerce Worth: How a lot are further years of management price? For instance, does buying and selling somebody with 4 years of management vs 3 fetch a meaningfully completely different return? (Considering of the Pirates and Skenes.)
2:58
Ben Clemens: So, I’ve written about this some with pitchers earlier than, however not normally guys of Skenes’s caliber
2:58
Ben Clemens: the years matter rather a lot!
2:59
Ben Clemens: I feel I’d hand over an additional 45+FV prospect equal in a return, or tier up what I’m providing, which isn’t a minor factor
3:00
Ben Clemens: now, 5 years vs. 4 years is much less of a distinction than, say, 3 vs 2, no less than to me
3:00
Ben Clemens: however i’d be very within the further years for pitchers as a result of buying one with 2-ish years left after which having them get harm is so unhealthy
3:01
Scoreboard415: Cache is on my listing (as an internal sundown resident), as is Kothai Republic. Must get again to the jap facet of the town extra. A lot appreciated!
3:01
Ben Clemens: an oldie however a goodie, I’ll throw in Terra Cotta Warrior, went again just lately and it was nonetheless unbelievable
3:02
Ben Clemens: alright guys, I gotta run and make lunch
3:02
Ben Clemens: man who asks the lunch query, I’m reheating some tacos right this moment (reheating the parts with recent tortillas, I’m not a monster)
3:02
Ben Clemens: have a beautiful remainder of your week

 

Ben is a author at FanGraphs. He may be discovered on Twitter @_Ben_Clemens.



Supply hyperlink

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here