| 12:04 |
: Hiya hiya, hope everybody had a great week and is having fun with Spring ball (I do know I’m). I’m right here to speak prospects, as at all times, and no matter else you so want.
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| 12:05 |
: There are questions within the chat that may be answered by way of different components of the location, and I need people to know I’ll be level that stuff out to not be a dick however that will help you perceive the best way to higher use FanGraphs and its many instruments (prospect author included). Thanks as at all times for stopping by. Lemme plug some stuff after which get to your questions…
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| 12:05 |
: First, the Braves listing went dwell this morning.
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| 12:05 |
: Second, I went to see Roki on Tuesday
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| 12:07 |
: A hyperlink to excessive velocity might be discovered within the description of that video, go take a look at his splitter, it’s nutty.
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| 12:07 |
: Okay…
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| 12:07 |
: Any extra encouraging indicators from Gavin Cross? Nonetheless holding out hope he generally is a contributor …
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| 12:08 |
: 70% contact charge at AA final 12 months, we’re speaking like 35 hit with 50 energy. Not nice, however to not be dismisse completely at this juncture. You hope he’s nonetheless a nook platoon man.
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| 12:08 |
: Which prospects do you suppose have the most effective probability to pop up within the Prime 100 for the Braves subsequent 12 months?
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| 12:08 |
: Most likely Cam Cam, perhaps Braun or Fuentes if one among their at the moment mediocre pitches improves
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| 12:09 |
: Owen Murphy if he comes again and is throwing onerous within the AFL or Instructs
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| 12:09 |
: Sure, full scouting report is over on The Board.
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| 12:09 |
: ideas on Tyson Lewis and Alfredo duno
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| 12:10 |
: He’s a freak, I like him.
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| 12:10 |
: Lewis I assumed was a great decide the place they obtained him. His pre-draft report: Lewis is a hard-swinging left-handed-hitting shortstop from Nebraska. He has plus bat velocity from the left aspect, which requires massive time effort to generate. Lewis seems to be fluid and straightforward throughout BP, however tends to get messier in video games. Restricted publicity on the showcase circuit creates variance in evaluating his hit software. He has a classically projectable baseball body, with broad shoulders and a tapered waist. Lewis appeared stronger throughout the spring of 2024 than he did the summer season earlier than, and he blew up the athletic testing on the Mix, the place he tied for the second-fastest 60-yard sprint time. His fingers, actions, and arm appeared tremendous at shortstop in a restricted look, and the velocity to play middle discipline is there if the necessities of professional infield play are asking an excessive amount of. Highschool hitters like this have a tendency to go within the first comp spherical.
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| 12:10 |
: Which Spring breakout sport are you most to attend? Additionally any prospects standing out to date this Spring? not a lot from outcomes however method / make up modifications which are noticeable.
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| 12:13 |
: IDK if I’ve a favourite one to go to, I’m gonna go to as many as I can. No matter alternatives I’ve to double up are my favourite. SEA/CLE and MIL/CIN are good environment friendly methods to work on programs I nonetheless want to write down up
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| 12:14 |
: Second query: Jackson Jobe‘s curveball seems to be good. Sasaki’s slider is barely totally different than in NPB however we didn’t see sufficient of it to know the way it’ll play. Aidan Smith seems to be like he was within the weight room.
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| 12:14 |
: Eric I hope you’ve gotten been doing nicely personally and have been balancing the work load and in search of the great in public feedback and never simply the adverse nancies.
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| 12:15 |
: Thanks, I’m okay. I’m not a remark part particular person, folks can say what they need, good and unhealthy.
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| 12:15 |
: Do you suppose it’s lifelike for the Rangers to be throwing Marc Church and/or Emiliano Teodo into excessive leverage reduction roles… let’s say by the top of Could 2025?
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| 12:16 |
: I do, it’d be aggressive to maneuver Teodo that shortly, although. Makes a bit of extra sense to know the place you stand competitively earlier than that kind of factor. Church is pure RP, although. Nasty three-pitch combine within the AFL.
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| 12:16 |
: Thanks for suggesting Future Worth by Kiley and also you just a few weeks again because it does reply plenty of questions I had. How a lot would you say the scouting panorama has modified since with issues like minors contractions and extra tech/knowledge?
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| 12:18 |
: Extra in-office evaluators than boots on the bottom scouts… ROI on participant dev means extra groups have shifted sources there… much less in-person DI school scouting and extra JUCO/D-II/NAIA and HS seems to be till the top of the 12 months… extra excessive velocity video and visible AI integration to map biomechanics…extra two-year DSL guys on account of contraction
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| 12:18 |
: It strikes fast
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| 12:18 |
: any names on the backfields popping up this spring?
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| 12:19 |
: Cameron Sullivan, Jacob Wright. Minor league ST begins subsequent week, there may be some backfield exercise proper now however we actually get rolling March eleventh
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| 12:19 |
: What can result in a 50 hit software, however with 60 for each Pitch Sel and Bat Ctrl for somebody like Wetherholt or 55 hit software for Bazzana?
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| 12:19 |
: Human Er(ic)ror on the a part of ours actually
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| 12:20 |
: Has his begin to the school season modified your analysis of Jace LaViolette?
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| 12:20 |
: Not but, 12 video games, give ’em a sec
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| 12:20 |
: Termarr appears to have dropped off the face of the earth, a minimum of as a prime prospect. What do you suppose he must do to get again there, and in your opinion, can he?
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| 12:20 |
: He’s nonetheless a prospect, simply not a to 100 one. I actually want he have been higher at protection.
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| 12:20 |
: Given how lengthy prospects can take to develop and the way shortly staffs can flip over, what is an efficient indicator that the event workers of a rebuilding membership is on the suitable or incorrect monitor?
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| 12:21 |
: Are late-round school pitchers coming out of nowhere?
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| 12:21 |
: What’s your tackle what George Lombard Jr. is displaying this spring? Seems like some improved contact numbers to date
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| 12:21 |
: Seems tremendous, too early to takeaway something from stats like that, although.
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| 12:21 |
: Caminero or James Wooden for subsequent few years?
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| 12:21 |
: Woody, shut although.
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| 12:21 |
: Does this damage change the way you see Chase DeLauter? One other new potential recurring damage simply appears damning
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| 12:22 |
: I’ll do an Finish-of-ST replace that largely consists of changes for damage and I think about DeLauter will slide to the again of the hondo as a result of this retains taking place.
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| 12:22 |
: How would you rank these pitchers long run: Festa, Arrighetti, Birdsong?
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| 12:22 |
: B, F, A
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| 12:22 |
: He’s not a prospect anymore, however what’s your learn on Schwellenbach? Can he repeat his 2024?
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| 12:22 |
: Sure, I feel he’s a stud
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| 12:22 |
: Who has the most effective pitch within the minors proper now?
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| 12:23 |
: Moises Chace’s fastball? Noach Schultz’s slider? Whisenhunt’s changeup?
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| 12:23 |
: Graceffo appears to be throwing tougher this spring… suppose he’s figuring it out?
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| 12:23 |
: What’s the form of it like?
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| 12:24 |
: I feel so, and perhaps for those who’re in a each day league the place you’ll be able to play matchups. Massive energy and bat velocity, in all probability solely hits lefties, although.
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| 12:24 |
: Any considerations about Coby Mayo‘s spring and normal lackluster play since he was referred to as up after which despatched down?
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| 12:24 |
: I’m not anxious he’s a bust but, however I feel he’s fairly clearly not prepared.
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| 12:25 |
: They’re shut, I’d simply take whoever’s 40-man timeline is sooner.
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| 12:25 |
: Nice job on the Atlanta evaluation, Eric! How do you examine Smith-Schawver to Schwellenbach, long-term. Are they straightforward #2, #3 guys in a star rotation? And for Waldrep, is he the possible long-term nearer or extra of an eighth inning stud arrange man?
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| 12:26 |
: I’d take Schwelly as a result of his command is polished, each mid-rotation varieties on contenders. Waldrep extra an eighth inning or nasty lengthy man than a better
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| 12:27 |
: How lengthy does it take for a brand new growth crew to provide outcomes
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| 12:28 |
: I can take some time, is determined by the place the tech/knowledge infrastructure is at once they arrive. If there’s an enormous logistical overhaul that should occur, it takes a very long time to bodily arrange all these cameras and TrackMans (trackmen?), and many others. after which for that knowledge to start out being recorded and parsed…it may well take years.
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| 12:28 |
: Any buzz getting again to you on teenage hitting prospects B. Antunez (MIL) or Y. Padilla (STL)?
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| 12:28 |
: Nothing on Antunez, did work on Padilla for the 100 and felt he was simply okay.
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| 12:29 |
: Samy Natera have an opportunity to be this 12 months’s Yilber Diaz? (i.e. consensus RP whose athleticism/supply give him an opportunity to pop into SP viability) Different candidates?
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| 12:31 |
: Chance that Drake Baldwin reveals nicely sufficient that he sticks as a 50/50 taking part in time cut up with Sean Murphy when he returns – or flat out takes possession of the beginning catching function for good? Or is that asking an excessive amount of, too quickly?
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| 12:32 |
: It’s believable if ATL views it as a way to maintain Murphy wholesome. They basically did a cut up with d’Arnaud, proper?
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| 12:32 |
: Hey Eric, I’ve listening to issues about Max Acosta’s SS protection probably being plus; might this bump him as much as 50 grade if he proves he can stick at brief?
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| 12:33 |
: I feel he sticks there and is nice, energy continues to be a bit of mild to windmill slam him as a 50 (a minimum of, that is the case from his ’24 efficiency)
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| 12:33 |
: Actually like him, not loopy to 50 him, he’s within the 45/50 space
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| 12:34 |
: Which is best: a prospect who’s common at every thing, or a prospect who has a single freak software however is mediocre at every thing else?
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| 12:35 |
: Relies on a few issues (what place? What’s the freak software? Is it energy (yay) or is it velocity (meh)? Usually I feel 70 and 80 grade instruments are higher than a bunch of 45-ishes
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| 12:36 |
: I do know it’s a small pattern and spring coaching, however do you want what you’re seeing from Kyren Paris or Curtis Mead not too long ago?
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| 12:36 |
: Mead undoubtedly seems to be larger and stronger, although nonetheless a bit of thick within the center. Provides himself a greater shot to have actual energy. Paris I noticed one or two ABs in particular person and that’s it.
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| 12:37 |
: arent some prospects at SP, C, or a LH infielder extra priceless than a RH LF?
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| 12:37 |
: If all else equal, gimme that LHH or extra priceless defender, yeah
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| 12:37 |
: Given the Braves’ absolute fleet of 40 FV pitchers, would it not not be possible that they prioritize place gamers in updcoming drafts whereas nonetheless getting their liberal arts faculty mission arms in a while?
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| 12:39 |
: I feel the draft typically simply falls the best way it falls and I’d slightly take an arm i felt good about than a hitter I felt like i needed to take. I feel you’re proper that they want a strategic shift to assist create hitter depth within the system, although, I simply suppose that should come within the Latin American market, unfold their bonus pool out to greater than only one or two massive guys
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| 12:39 |
: how typically do you see, say, a young person hit nicely vs A+ or AA pitching and suppose “my eyes inform me they arent good and aren’t going to be good, however they’re performing nicely”? Does that participant often find yourself being good or unhealthy? I simply ask as a result of to me, “teenager hitting nicely in A+/AA” is a *actually* fast heuristic I’ve used.
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| 12:40 |
: It’ll rely some on the hitting surroundings however I are inclined to belief my eyes. This 12 months’s distinguished examples are Michael Arroyo and Sal Stewart. Neither is for me regardless of the best way they give the impression of being on a spreadsheet
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| 12:40 |
: Gunnar Hoglund was sitting 95-97 in his ST outing the opposite day. How a lot would a return to his pre-TJ velo have an effect on his outlook?
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| 12:40 |
: That’s *extra* than his pre-TJ velo and I wanna see it over extra innings, please. However that’s thrilling af.
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| 12:40 |
: This goes just a few chats again…you’ve gotten KG>Dirk? What!
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| 12:41 |
: I do! No disrespect to Dirk, whose jersey (the inexperienced one which Puff designed) sits in a giant rubber maid bin in my dad’s basement.
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| 12:42 |
: On the flip aspect – any prospects you have been tremendous excited to see however left you with considerations after watching dwell?
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| 12:43 |
: oh so many. I noticed Caden Dana this spring and was sweating over his lack of FB command and lack of slider utilization. I used to be able to yell on the catcher.
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| 12:44 |
: who else…???
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| 12:44 |
: I remeber when Mac Gore couldnt throw strikes, that was terrifying
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| 12:45 |
: I’ve seen Rocker get shelled
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| 12:45 |
: I watch Jasson DOminguez play protection and fear
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| 12:45 |
: so many, there’s just one Trout
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| 12:46 |
: Like each these guys. Brailer I wrote up on the Rays listing, which revealed final week. Swing is a bit of lengthy into the zone however idk if that was as a result of his shoulder was bothering him
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| 12:46 |
: Arias I like the glove, thought he was simply okay as a hitter
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| 12:46 |
: seems to be good on the spreadsheet, although
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| 12:46 |
: Additionally you appear to be by far the excessive man on Yoniel Curet. What do you see from him that others are lacking?
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| 12:46 |
: I can’t communicate to what others aren’t seeing
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| 12:47 |
: held mid-to-upper-90s throughout 100+ innings every of the previous couple of years, breaking ball has been plus at instances and never at others, leads the minors in Ok’s the final two years, appeared to discover a changeup late final 12 months, is on the 40-man and on the cusp of the massive leagues
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| 12:48 |
: appears good to me idk, want his really feel for location was higher
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| 12:48 |
: Do you’ve gotten any intel on Chen Zhong-Ao Zhuang? His outcomes have been nice final 12 months, however do you suppose his stuff performs within the majors?
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| 12:50 |
: He’s okay, thought he pitched nicely within the WBC qualifier, t96, sits 93, performs down a bit on account of angle, miss and chase charges on all his secondaries have been a bit of beneath common final 12 months, throws strikes tho
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| 12:50 |
: might be a 40 for those who like him
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| 12:50 |
: he’s not Jo-Hsi Hsu or something like that
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| 12:51 |
: Ideas on the best way to make low spending groups aggressive by way of subsequent CBA?
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| 12:51 |
: Rattling good query.
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| 12:51 |
: lemme suppose on that for a sec
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| 12:51 |
: Right here’s a loopy one:
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| 12:53 |
: What if the league dictated that the proprietor would solely get a % of the franchise’s sale in the event that they “underspent”, just like the wage flooring is X, and you’ll have a payroll decrease than X however then you definitely get docked $ upon sale in proportion with the % that you simply’re beneath the ground?
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| 12:53 |
: like rolling common over a time period % kind factor
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| 12:53 |
: let’s attempt to concoct one other one…
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| 12:54 |
: let’s attempt to create a optimistic incentive this time slightly than a punishment….
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| 12:54 |
: What about making a payroll expectation metric primarily based on market dimension (and perhaps different elements) and rewarding groups with picks and such once they exceed it?
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| 12:55 |
: Picks and internet hosting the ASG and internet hosting impartial web site tournaments and such like that?
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| 12:55 |
: these are completely sober ideas btw
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| 12:55 |
: Ought to I proceed to carry Marco Luciano in my dynasty league? Does he ever develop into a stable professional?
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| 12:56 |
: If anybody in your league nonetheless likes him, commerce him
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| 12:56 |
: I’ve been studying varied items about how a kick change will help fastball slider pitchers with extra aspect arm slots discover a third pitch. Are there any prospects you’ll be able to consider which will profit from incorporating a kick change?
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| 12:58 |
: Making an attempt to consider who the three-quarters slot supinators are…
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| 12:59 |
: like kind the trackman knowledge by fastball axis and discover the blokes hovering round 12:30, then which ones can actually spin a breaking ball however has a cambio malo?
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| 12:59 |
: I take into consideration Baumeister and Ty Johnson however they’re entrance of thoughts from latest listing
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| 12:59 |
: Baumeister ight have already got one for all i do know
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| 1:00 |
: Hello Eric, once you proper a crew listing with another person, how do the 2 of you divide up the work?
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| 1:01 |
: Relies upon, simply attempting to onboard James means assigning him guys I feel shall be related to his different work, and who I feel he can finest contextualize proper now. Not asking him to sift through DSL guys in the meanwhile.
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| 1:01 |
: We’ll kinda divy up associates
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| 1:01 |
: Is there something to be involved about with Kristian Campbell‘s begin to spring? Or is it simply small pattern dimension?
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| 1:02 |
: Not involved, we’re simply getting began, he’s performed critical baseball for 2 years
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| 1:02 |
: Extra worthwhile for a crew to have their very own community or signal on with a RSN/pay per view?
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| 1:03 |
: You’re speaking to a man who writes lots of of hundreds of phrases yearly slightly than simply do a podcast. Seth Keller’s Driveline pull down video has 5x the views as my Roki video from Tuesday. I’m an fool apart from scouting, cooking, and intercourse.
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| 1:04 |
: He’s my 2025 AL MVP decide
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| 1:04 |
: Not a prime hundred man, but it surely actually seems like protection alone might carry Ben Williamson to a 2 warfare season at third even when that will imply a 80-85 WRC+. Am I overestimating his protection or bat?
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| 1:04 |
: His bat, however I like him
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| 1:04 |
: simply not *that* a lot
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| 1:04 |
: Can we get some love for Payton Eeles? Top-of-the-line tales within the minors. What do you suppose is the lifelike upside for him within the majors?
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| 1:04 |
: I do, he’s a forty five for me, was nearly on the 100
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| 1:04 |
: lemme publish his report in right here, Twins listing is quickly however I’ve him finished already
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| 1:05 |
: Eeles is a 5-foot-5 outlier who had no Division-I affords popping out of highschool and ended up at Division-II Cedarville, the place he spent 4 seasons. He used his additional 12 months of faculty eligibility after the pandemic to switch to Coastal Carolina in 2023, the place Eeles (who was listed at 5-foot-7 on the time) posted a .500 OBP as a fifth-year senior. Undrafted, he went to Indy Ball and raked within the American Affiliation earlier than the Twins lastly signed him in Could of 2024. I noticed Eeles in Fort Myers on the finish of Could/early June when his affiliated professional profession was simply a few weeks outdated, and although he was perfoming at a superlative stage, he was nonetheless only a 24-year-old dominating youngsters in A-ball. The Twins promoted him to Excessive-A Cedar Rapids, the place Eelse struck out simply 5 instances in 55 PA earlier than Minnesota skipped him over Double-A and despatched him straight to Triple-A St. Paul for the second half of the season. He by no means stopped hitting, and slashed .299/.419/.500 with 12 HR in 64 video games at hitter-friendly St. Paul
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| 1:05 |
: At 5-foot-5, Eeles must be an athletic freak and outlier with a purpose to succeed as an on a regular basis participant on the massive league stage. I feel he’s. This man epitomizes the “brief however not small” maxim. His decrease physique is extremely sturdy and athletic, and after becoming a member of the Twins (definitely once you examine his swing to the 2023 model at Coastal), Eeles was hiting from a deeper courch that took higher benefit of his burly trunk. The way in which he’s in a position to modify his decrease physique to assist transfer the bat across the zone (particularly towards low pitches) may be very thrilling. There’s some danger that his hit software bottoms out a bit towards massive league velocity as a result of Eeles’ swing is a bit of lengthy, however I feel that’s countered by an excellent compact physique that permits him to push the ball simply contained in the third base and left discipline line.
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| 1:05 |
: Do Eeles’ surface-level minor league numbers have to be contextualized due to his age and the hitting surroundings at St. Paul? Sure. Readers mustn’t count on Eeles to hit for the sort of energy he did within the 2024 minor leagues. His contact and hard-hit charges (the latter of which is extra of an remoted variable) are according to that of a Brice Turang, or a extra affected person Mauricio Dubón. That’s not fairly sufficient affect to name Eeles a foundational on a regular basis second baseman (and he isn’t practically pretty much as good a defender as Turang), but it surely is sufficient to contemplate him a second division common there.
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| 1:06 |
: If I felt higher about him at SS he would have simply been on there
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| 1:06 |
: Enjoyable reliever
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| 1:07 |
: Ridiculous changeup and sweeper, beneath avg fastball
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| 1:07 |
: I do know the O’s listing is coming quickly, however can I get your fast and soiled on pitcher Nestor German? I’ve desires of him terrorizing NYY followers on the mound in Yankee stadium.
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| 1:07 |
: Each time I see his identify I consider the scene in film inside PeeWee’s Massive Journey the place his voice is over-dubbed. “Paging Nestor German”
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| 1:09 |
: Massive tall-and-fall supply man with 6-foot-7 launch ht, sits about 93..love the best way the slider performs towards LH and RH, nice again foot angle and end, instructions it, curveball is extra of an in-zone strike stealer.. I dig him, one plus pitch, different stuff is about avg, stable member of the massive league workers
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| 1:10 |
: When do you suppose we’ll be taught if MLB and ESPN come to a brand new deal for broadcasting video games? Would NBC or CBS have any curiosity in broadcasting MLB video games?
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| 1:10 |
: I feel ESPN has kinda proven us what they give thought to baseball over there
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| 1:12 |
: they usually’re tremendous transferring on. Keep in mind once they didn’t cost the generator for the draft broadcast and simply went darkish? They don’t care. They’ll cowl school softball as a lot as they cowl baseball now, identical as they did to hockey once they have been not a rights holder. MLB has been direct to client for a really very long time and shall be tremendous.
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| 1:14 |
: Noticed him Tuesday, bodily man. Household is Taiwanese and South African, solely noticed a pair at-bats however can see why they have been thinking about him. Energy nook OF kind
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| 1:14 |
: Want the CF D appeared higher at Rancho, that was all
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| 1:14 |
: He homered for me Tuesday, was def within the weight room this offseason
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| 1:14 |
: Not having something to do with outcomes or future projection, who’s your favourite prospect proper now?
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| 1:14 |
: Ooops I’m manner over my time.
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| 1:14 |
: Okay yall, nice chat this week
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| 1:15 |
: I’m outta right here. Tigers listing is subsequent, then Pirates, Orioles and Jays. Mwah Mwah Mwah, may not have a chat subsequent week so I can run round to as many Breakouts as humanly doable. I’ll ask Meg to publish one thing if that’s the case. bye bye
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Eric Longenhagen is from Catasauqua, PA and at the moment lives in Tempe, AZ. He spent 4 years working for the Phillies Triple-A affiliate, two with Baseball Data Options and two contributing to prospect protection at ESPN.com. Earlier work may also be discovered at Sports activities On Earth, CrashburnAlley and Prospect Insider.