Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat: 2/28/25

Eric A Longenhagen: Hey, y’all. Howdy from Tempe, the place I’ve bought yesterday’s Mix rolling as we chat (Stewart and Pearce, wowzers) concerning the Rays, and no matter else you need. I would minimize issues a little bit quick right this moment as a result of I’ve to go scoop my automotive from the store earlier than right this moment’s video games. Let’s get after it.

Jays Fan: Who’s the subsequent staff that can drop?

Eric A Longenhagen: Tigers and Braves subsequent two, is determined by whether or not James and I write quick collectively (Tigers) or I dash by myself (Braves)

Jason: Former prospect query, do you count on Corbin Caroll to have a extra regular season after final 12 months’s rollercoaster?

Cubs: Is 2nd base finest match for James Triantos long run? If the Shaw experiment at third works out then they might have already got Nico’s alternative in-house.

Eric A Longenhagen: Left discipline for Triantos

James W: Do you want somebody to take a look at your damaged Gamecube? Can’t promise that I’ll be capable to repair it however completely happy to attempt.

Eric A Longenhagen: I kinda do, there’s a used recreation retailer close to the FanGraphs Desert Oasis Compound referred to as Fallout Video games, and I used to be gonna take it there and see what they may do. It’s the perfect strip mall in AZ, Fallout, Bosa, Ramen, card store, smoke store, comedian retailer

Dom: When Aiden Miller takes over SS for Philadelphia, does it push Turner to CF or LF?

Eric A Longenhagen: CF for Trea in the event that they make him transfer, don’t suppose Miller is any higher at SS than Trea is and suppose it’s a minimum of equally as doubtless that the dominoes affect Bohm quite than Trea

TIMMAY: Does Carson Williams take the SS job with a sizzling spring or is he destined for AAA to start out the 12 months?

Eric A Longenhagen: Educated guess primarily based on Rays m.o. is that he begins in Durham

TIMMAY: Alex Freeland performs the place when he’s referred to as up? SS shifting Mookie to 2B?

Eric A Longenhagen: Let’s see how Mookie seems to be and holds as much as the beating at SS over a multi-week interval, I suppose. I believe Freeland debuts as a SS

Ricky: Do you could have any favorite post-hype sleepers amongst prospects or early-career MLBers?

Eric A Longenhagen: Volpe

Eric A Longenhagen: Colt Keith

Eric A Longenhagen: Birdsong

Eric A Longenhagen: Maikel Garcia, I’d monitor him

Eric A Longenhagen: Cleveland Luis Ortiz

Billy Bob: Is Brandon Sproat on the identical type of trajectory Christian Scott was on a 12 months in the past, to be a comparatively early call-up when accidents inevitably require extra arms in Queens? Or does his command want extra refinement?

Eric A Longenhagen: I believe he’s able to get outs proper now. Most likely comes up within the damage state of affairs.

Steve E: Eric, as a man residing within the PHX space, what number of of those prospects do you count on to see personally this spring? Any surprises that jumped out at you to this point among the many NL prospects?

Eric A Longenhagen: I’ll see a ton, minor league ST schedule stars March 8-11 relying on the staff, some scrimmage-type exercise has already begun. Some days I’ll have my eyes on 4 or six video games.

Eric A Longenhagen: NL guys? Hmmm. I assumed Brannigan regarded good yesterday.

Johnny5Alive: How a lot does the group affect FV grades? For instance, would a chase Dollander have a better grade/rank if he was in a unique group identified for pitching growth, i.e., marlins, dodgers, and so on.

Eric A Longenhagen: It shouldn’t, it’s be a nightmare to alter them simply because a man modifications orgs, the distinction between scouting and predicting. Readers ought to be happy to make these kinds of changes for his or her dynasty drafts or no matter

Chase: Good morning Eric. When Ozzie Albies graduated, he was a 70 hit / 30 recreation kind of hitter (per FG) and it appears he nearly fully flipped his recreation from contact oriented to drag energy slugger within the majors. Do you see anybody presently within the minors who may pull off the same profile change? Do you suppose retrospectively scouts may have seen this coming from Albies? Thanks!

Eric A Longenhagen: I’d say it was only a mis-eval.

Shirtless George Brett: Am I loopy to suppose there’s a first rate probability that by this time subsequent 12 months Austin Charles is the highest prospect in KC’s system?

Eric A Longenhagen: Mmm, I’d say “non-zero probability” quite than “first rate” however you’re not loopy.

Bencle Mens: Hello Eric, it was famous within the feedback of the record and on Successfully Wild that there are numerous catchers on the highest 100ish. I believe you gave an evidence that made sense (not that an evidence was needed). However I’ve a comply with up query. How will a problem system or ABS system have an effect on the variety of catchers who “survive” prospectdom? Framing and receiving is perhaps the least bodily damaging components of catching, so ought to we count on to see extra first-baseman sized guys behind the plate as throwing and blocking are extra vital?

Eric A Longenhagen: I doubt we get full ABS, and suppose the problem system is almost excellent. It add nuance quite than stripping it away the best way most tech integration does, and permits us to retain framing as a related talent for all however a few pitches per recreation. You would argue difficult pitches will *add* a means for good catchers to affect the sport, quite than eradicating a few of that stuff.

Eric A Longenhagen: The opposite factor that can at all times create business demand at catcher is accidents. It’s brutal again there.

Justin: Josue De Paula’s future hit instrument grade dropped from a 55 on the midseason replace to a 40 now.   Might you discuss a little bit bit about this alteration?   Was this extra about new data that he offered in his post-July efficiency, or was this extra about you re-thinking flaws that at all times existed?

Eric A Longenhagen: The latter, his swing regarded so bizarre by th finish of the 12 months. Guys this age are going by means of so many bodily modifications that they often pattern in unusual, surprising methods. I describe it in his blurb, however the best way his base degrades as he swings is simply bizarre trying to me, it scares me

One thing intelligent: Do you’re feeling your scouting data offers you perception into who will win the HR derby yearly? Moreso than the typical fan?

Eric A Longenhagen: lol no

Eric A Longenhagen: I imply, I’d by no means have guess on Mookie successful it or something like that

Pocket Watcher: What pushes Xavier Isaac into the 50 FV tier and onto the hondo over Spencer Jones? Their offensive reviews learn similar to me (injury on contact with an incapability to place bat to ball) however the latter has far more worth with regard to defensive match and baserunning.

Eric A Longenhagen: that’s truthful, the one hole there’s I’ve a legit future 80 on X’s energy

Eric A Longenhagen: however X is among the final 50s and Jones is a forty five+, so the hole between them is razor skinny.

Sir Nerdlington: How does baseball iq consider to scouting given extra groups are slashing their scouting ranks (e.g. Cubs this 12 months)? Looks like the motivation is for showcase coaches to show to the take a look at as an alternative of creating baseball gamers.

Eric A Longenhagen: It’s positively extra of a spotlight for precise scouts than it’s for me. Not as a result of I don’t worth it, however simply because I’m attempting to corral this monumental participant inhabitants by myself. Scouts who cowl three or 5 orgs, who’re sitting on one sequence for an entire week, can higher determine these little issues.

Steve E: Eric, what’s your estimated rollout occasions on the prospects lists of the remaining MLB groups? Is there a sample to any of them so far as posting dates?

Eric A Longenhagen: I simply go as quick as I can with out compromising high quality or evaluation or writing. If I’m doing an inventory and a half per week I’m on a very good tempo. Groups who prepare on the Gulf Coast aspect of FL are what I’m presently engaged on. DET, ATL, TOR, BAL, PIT, BOS, MIN stay of that group. Then I’ll transfer to the West Valley AZ group, LAD, CHW, CLE, CIN, TEX, KC, SEA, SD and I’ll be scouting these methods in actual time throughout minor league ST so the information is contemporary af

Afterthought: Hello Eric, simply needed to thanks for this chat and for occurring Charges & Barrels, love listening to you discuss baseball

Eric A Longenhagen: Due to DVR and Eno for having me and for the sort phrases

Kris: Who has the perfect probability of ever producing constructive profession struggle btw Warming Bernabel, Peyton Graham and Adam Corridor (I’ve a roster minimize or two to make)?

Eric A Longenhagen: I’d guess Graham

Cromulent: Extra post-prospects por favor! Ideas on Brett Baty and Curtis Mead?

Eric A Longenhagen: I haven’t labored on Baty in a minute, Mead seems to be like he’s gotten extra stiff and I’m kinda anxious about that one

Unhappy Jerry: You appear to be significantly decrease on the Mariners farm than principally everybody else that evaluates prospects. Is there one thing that stands out that makes you not as excessive? They’re ranked as excessive because the #1 total farm elsewhere.

Eric A Longenhagen: I simply don’t like Montes and Arroyo the best way others do, it appears.

Nervous Flyball Pitcher: Brandon Younger sat 95 in his first spring coaching look. I do know your entire deal is sustaining that velo on a starter’s workload, however … !!!!

IndyMets: I’m in search of clarification on a solution from the prospect chat.  Somebody had a gripe about Colt Emerson’s rating.  You responded stating he initiatives as a high 15 participant at his place, simply by being on the record.  You set a minimum of 15, possibly extra catchers on the record.  How can all of them be high 15 at their place?

Eric A Longenhagen: Keep in mind PAs from catchers are unfold out in another way, and a few of these guys are simply gonna be good LFs or 1Bs or one thing else

Eric A Longenhagen: Emerson is okay, he’s gonna swing beneath a number of fastballs away from him, imo. That’s the way it’s regarded once more this spring.

Dude Love: Has Bremner’s early struggles given you pause that he’s a legit early decide?

Eric A Longenhagen: They’re dealing with him with excessive care, it appears. It’s too early to fret like that, let’s simply see the way it developments, groups don’t must decide for 5 months so why ought to we be so declarative proper now?

Adam: What scares you about Brailer Guerrero’s offensive profile?

Eric A Longenhagen: Late to the contact level, nook OF, accidents have restricted his skill to truly play

Eric A Longenhagen: tremendous sturdy man, thrilling energy, unsure it’ll actualize

Eric A Longenhagen: good prospect tho!

Yuniesky Betancourt: Who makes extra of an affect within the majors this season, Yilber Diaz or Will Warren?

Eric A Longenhagen: Warren, suppose he’s the primary one up if one in all their guys will get damage. Diaz the sphere is extra crowded

Josh: What’s a practical inning ground/ceiling for Jackson Jobe this season?

Eric A Longenhagen: 20 or so greater than final 12 months

Adam: I do know you hate having your rankings in contrast with different lists, however Aidan Smith’s placement is way decrease. What are you seeing in another way?

Eric A Longenhagen: I do hate it as a result of idk the way you count on me to learn the minds of what others are seeing realizing that i haven’t (and shouldn’t have) learn their reviews.

Eric A Longenhagen: I put in his report what I assumed

Eric A Longenhagen: doesn’t appear to be a CF to me, his swing is odd and I fear concerning the hit instrument. he pulls the ball lots so somebody someplace loves him

Eric A Longenhagen: he would possibly get stronger, and so on. i see why the Rays traded for him, he’s a toolsy challenge imo

Harry: Harry Ford has taken a tumble in most prospect lists. Do you continue to imagine in him or have you ever considerably downgraded him at this level?

Eric A Longenhagen: second division kind, nonetheless an enormous leaguer

Eric A Longenhagen: wont hit sufficient to be persistently within the high half of that place group

Cub Fan and Bud Man: You could have been Supportive of Brady Home’s growth what probability does he have of being just like Eric Chavez peak years?

Eric A Longenhagen: Scary chase, extra within the Casey Schmitt space for me at this level

Adam: Because the excessive man on Will Warren do you’re feeling a little bit vindicated by how nasty hes regarded this spring?

Eric A Longenhagen: No, it feels impartial, he seems to be like he did final 12 months.

Eric A Longenhagen: like, “appropriate” is how I really feel

Eric A Longenhagen: i really feel the best way I do once I haven’t checked on the cat’s location in a minute and see that he’s asleep on the sofa. like, “good”

Pocket Watcher: Shemar Stewart first EDGE off the board after Abdul Carter?

Eric A Longenhagen: Gotta really feel like his lack of manufacturing means he gained’t be

Eric A Longenhagen: Walker, if you happen to think about him an EDGE

Refugee: You ever take into consideration posting an FAQ?

Eric A Longenhagen: tess kinda did one

Eric A Longenhagen: and I did a video Board tutorial sooner or later, which is sort of a instrument FAQ

ACC: Simply curious who do you suppose shall be best rookie this 12 months for staff.. fantasy clever… Kristian Campbell??

Eric A Longenhagen: Most likely not Campbell. Crews

Visitor: What’s your tackle Marek Houston’s begin to the season? he seems to be like he’s added some pop with the brand new weight. would you say he’s bought 45 or 50 energy now? Would you progress him up on the draft record right this moment? Are he and Dean Curley nonetheless behind Aloy to you?

Eric A Longenhagen: Undoubtedly has the talents to be a high 3 decide if the ability half sustains, agree he seems to be a little bit extra bodily

Justin: We’re solely 180 innings faraway from when he was a prospect so i’ll go forward and ask.   Suppose bobby miller nonetheless finally ends up an honest mid-rotation man when it’s stated and accomplished?

Eric A Longenhagen: Has plateaued lengthy sufficient to fret he’s a reliever

Justin: He’s previous, however is simply 114 innings into his mlb profession – do you suppose Osvaldo Bido is an okay backend starter for the Athletics going ahead?

Homer: What number of stolen Bases would you challenge for Chandler Simpson throughout his peak season?

The Prospector: I’m curious – how is the work break up between you and the opposite writers that are available?  Do you kinda merge your grades with whoever you’re working with?  Or do you assign grades and simply get assist writing the blurbs?

Eric A Longenhagen: Will depend on the expertise stage of the individual concerned. In James’ case he’s a greater author than me however is newer to the scouting half. There are occasions once I’ll paint over disagreements with my opinion as a result of that is my store, and there have been occasions when Tess and Travis had conviction that I bowed to. It’ll be vital for James and Gerth to really feel the failure of being flawed in entrance of everybody.

Billy Marlin: Any backfield pitching bounce ahead chatter but?

Eric A Longenhagen: Cameron Sullivan

comish4lif: Greetings Eric. In a deep 12 staff, NL solely fantasy league. From the accessible undrafted minor leaguers, who’re your high 2 picks from: Wetherholt, Travis Sykora, Cooper Pratt, Jesus Made, Alex Freeland, Drake Baldwin, Zyhir Hope and Konnor Griffin?

Eric A Longenhagen: Baldwin and one of many high-upside younger hitters

Steve E: So it looks like the quick synopsis on Carl Crawford’s touted son, Justin, is that he can’t pull fastballs together with his present swing?

Eric A Longenhagen: This can be a appropriate interpretation of the textual content.

Bencle Mens: I don’t suppose there’s a straightforward repair for the worldwide newbie system proper now. A draft is unhealthy in so some ways. Would an academy system akin to world soccer be a very good answer? The large hurdle there’s in fact that main league groups are discovering each excuse to dump the prices of their expertise growth.

Eric A Longenhagen: I agree with you, idk lots concerning the soccer system, although…

Eric A Longenhagen: Perhaps I’d give profession demise penalties to individuals who I discovered to have contact with gamers previous to a sure age?

John Olerud: Thanks for all of your exhausting work on these lists, Eric! To proceed on the query concerning the Mariners system, I truthfully recognize your hesitancy to incorporate them among the many high groups, which helps to mood my very own expectations. That stated, even in your podcast interviews, I do appear to sense a hesitancy in your half to record them among the many higher developmental groups, regardless of their current, apparent successes (particularly on the pitching entrance). I do know the Ms house owners go away lots to be desired, however I used to be simply curious in case you are additionally nonetheless skeptical on their developmental staff, and in that case why?

Eric A Longenhagen: The Mariners *are* among the many high groups. I simply don’t suppose they’ve 8 high 100 guys or no matter. Participant dev: Max Wiener left, how a lot of what he was bringing sticks there regardless that he’s at Texas now? Not doubting it, only a vital factor that modified pretty not too long ago.

Justin: Do you could have any hope left for Liover Peguero?

Eric A Longenhagen: not likely

ricky smith IV: any probability we’re all too low on Johsynxston password garcia and he’s one thing like avisail garcia however constant

Eric A Longenhagen: The chase portion of his recreation means there’ll in all probability at all times been variance a la Avisail

Eric A Longenhagen: Okay I’ve gotta go. Thanks for stopping by, try the FG YouTube channel and please think about a subscription to our web site. Notice that we’ve school stats rolling out on the positioning! Yay! See you subsequent week.