Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat – 1/13/25

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2:00
Ben Clemens: Hey everybody, welcome to the chat
2:00
Ben Clemens: I’m gonna let questions pile up for, name it, 5 minutes
2:00
Ben Clemens: I ran right into a database development snag that I’m juuuuust about completed engaged on
2:02
Ben Clemens: Okay, I feel I’m possibly carried out there
2:02
Ben Clemens: let’s get going
2:02
Idiotic Failson: On the heels of the terribly bleak ZIPs forecast for the White Sox basically and particularly the bullpen, doesn’t it make sense for that workforce to only take as many flyers on low finish castoffs as attainable to see what they will get to stay? In case your bullpen is actually beneath substitute degree it looks as if you must be attempting to be that dangerous.
2:02
Ben Clemens: For certain. However to be honest, they’re doing a number of this
2:03
Ken: How do the A’s match Rooker, Soderstrom, Bleday, and Kurtz into the identical lineup on a regular basis? Soderstrom can’t play catcher successfully. Bleday can’t play centerfield in any respect. Rooker in all probability shouldn’t play the sphere in any respect. Is one among Bleday or Soderstrom sure to be traded as soon as Kurtz is prepared? Any probability that Soderstrom might deal with left area?
2:04
Ben Clemens: I feel that the A’s will cross that bridge after they get to it. Rooker might possibly deal with a nook outfield spot however possibly not; I feel it is determined by how a lot final 12 months was impacted by harm
2:04
Ben Clemens: However simply so we’re all clear, Nick Kurtz was drafted lower than a 12 months in the past, and has precisely 15 plate appearances above A ball
2:05
Ben Clemens: if it seems that Soderstrom, Rooker, and Bleday are all such good gamers that you just wish to squeeze them into the lineup, there’ll be some strategy to do it or they’ll handle to commerce one
2:05
Ben Clemens: however that is basic ‘assuming all of our 50/50 bets hit we’re going to be over-staffed’
2:05
Ben Clemens: like, yeah. however in all probability one among these guys gained’t pan out
2:06
Carson: I really feel within the minority with this, however do you genuinely consider in a path ahead for Nolan Gorman in St. Louis? Feels tailored for a workforce like Seattle to accumulate some pitching, with Donovan at 3B and Wetherholt ultimately at 2B. Ideas?
2:06
Ben Clemens: Maybe… however okay, what sort of pitching are you getting again for Gorman
2:06
Ben Clemens: everybody desires to commerce Seattle their middling younger gamers for like, Logan Gilbert
2:06
Ben Clemens: I don’t suppose the M’s would even think about buying and selling Bryan Woo for Gorman, although
2:07
Tacoby Bellsbury: What do you miss most out of your pre-professional writing days?
2:07
Ben Clemens: I miss having an actual workplace with coworkers who did related however not utterly overlapping stuff
2:07
Ben Clemens: It was good that I might discuss store in the course of the day, and never in a ‘we’re doing the identical mission’ method
2:08
Ben Clemens: I really feel like I received a number of superb concepts from simply bs’ing with mates
2:08
Ben Clemens: To be clear, that’s a fairly minor factor and I really like my job
2:08
Ben Clemens: however I actually did like that feeling
2:08
Sirras: Ben, will Seattle commerce me their finest cost-controlled pitcher for my workforce’s castoffs and nontender candidates?
2:08
drplantwrench: hello ben! do you ever go by Benji?
2:09
Bosoxforlife: MLB lately had a section about the most effective free agent signings of all time. Neither Kenny or Russo talked about the best FA , nothing comes near David Ortiz.
2:09
Ben Clemens: I feel the problem right here is that he was by no means REALLY a free agent in the way in which we take into consideration them
2:09
Ben Clemens: or nicely, I supose he was in 2011?
2:10
Ben Clemens: No, truly now that I’m taking a look at it, that’s not true
2:11
Ben Clemens: Yeah, I don’t suppose that signing a non-guaranteed deal counts. Like, he signed a one-year $1.25 million deal. Can’t actually credit score the remainder of his profession to that deal
2:11
Carson: I hear you on Gorman, I’m extra pessimistic than most on him and wouldn’t anticipate a ton. Logan Evans + a reputation or two would intrigue me sufficient.
2:12
Ben Clemens: Yeah, I imply possibly that may work? I’m probably not certain. I’m typically a Gorman pessimist too, although
2:12
jaygray007: Only a followup on one among your solutions to another person… is “Rooker might need been injured, and this might need saved him out of OF obligation” an precise factor?  or are you simply musing?
2:12
Ben Clemens: or nicely, I’m not musing that he was injured
2:12
Ben Clemens: he had surgical procedure after the 12 months
2:13
Visitor: How does this upcoming J15 class evaluate to earlier years lessons? Who’re some names we must always look out for?
2:13
Ben Clemens: Probably not my space of experience, however I wager you Eric Longenhagen woul dhave ansers for you
2:13
Man: Is Matt McLain’s time within the infield over? Ought to he be valued as an OF transferring ahead?
2:13
Ben Clemens: We’re gonna need to see in spring coaching
2:13
Ben Clemens: I’m very shocked that that is the way in which they’re going, they will need to have actually robust views on the chance of harm aggravation
2:14
Ben Clemens: as a result of he was a superb defender within the infield. Possibly they suppose he’ll be spectacular within the outfield too however I’m a bit confused
2:14
Booney: Do you suppose the Yankees remorse including Bellinger throughout their post-Soto frenzy of strikes? Bregman and Alonso are nonetheless accessible and it appears fairly probably at the very least a type of guys would’ve gone to NYY for the same AAV and never too a few years. Even perhaps on Fried, too, it feels just like the Yankees misjudged simply how sturdy free agent demand could be a little bit additional down available in the market.
2:14
Ben Clemens: like… they might simply signal another person and put Bellinger within the outfield
2:14
Ben Clemens: they actually received him free of charge
2:15
Ben Clemens: I assume that may transfer Dominguez? or like, possibly Stanton loses a efw DH AB’s? However I’m simply kinda confused right here
2:15
Ben Clemens: mind freeze right here
2:15
Ben Clemens: they already received Goldy and Bellinger is gonna play middle
2:15
Ben Clemens: so now I’m even a little bit extra confused by your query
2:16
Ben Clemens: it’s not like they will’t signal Bregman, and if anybody’s making Alonso worse, it’s Goldschmidt
2:16
Matt: Hey Ben, love these chats! I used to be studying the Mets ZIPS projections and Brett Baty is getting an honest quantity of affection, seems to be like he’s projecting for about 2 WAR. is there something in his profile that signifies why? He’s appeared nice in AAA at occasions, however has appeared misplaced three straight seasons on the MLB degree
2:16
Ben Clemens: Most likely a query for Dan Szymborski, however ZiPS has constantly beloved Baty
2:16
Bencle Mens: What’s OOPSY
2:16
Ben Clemens: There may be an article about this popping out quickly
2:16
prono: How loopy is it to suppose that Kristian Campbell may simply be higher at baseball than Alex Bregman proper now and the crimson sox actually don’t want to offer bregman 7/175 or no matter … ? Bregman had a .315 obp final 12 months…
2:16
Ben Clemens: So, two separate questions
2:17
Ben Clemens: how loopy is it to suppose that campbell would outperform Bregman within the majors this 12 months? Undoubtedly loopy
2:17
Ben Clemens: I’m not saying it will possibly’t occur, however that’s very clearly not a good odds wager
2:18
Ben Clemens: Bregman’s offensive manufacturing was 18% above common final 12 months and didn’t look wildly fluky. That’d make him top-of-the-line regulars on the 2024 Pink Sox, who notably make use of Kristian Campbell and didn’t name him up
2:19
Ben Clemens: Additionally I feel the Sox may want Campbell in left or at second
2:19
Ben Clemens: I assume my level is that I’m not in love with the concept of Bregman to the Sox as a result of I don’t know the way it’d go along with transferring Devers, however I don’t suppose it’s a case of blocking somebody
2:19
Bosoxforlife: Do you suppose the Pink Sox are the favorites for Bregman? I hold having this dream of him taking part in third, Devers transferring to 1st and the workforce placing Casas and Rafaela and a middling prospect in a bundle for a strong participant or pitcher.
2:19
Ben Clemens: I feel they in all probability are the favorites if Devers is into it
2:20
Ben Clemens: I’m simply undecided he’s, I assume we’ll see
2:20
Ben Clemens: Casas is a really attention-grabbing case. I like hijm fairly a bit however he hasn’t actually produced
2:20
Ben Clemens: so I dunno what he’d have the ability to get in commerce, however like, I do like him
2:20
Invoice Lumbergh: What program/language do you make the most of for databases?
2:20
Ben Clemens: On this case, I’m establishing a sql database of my very own (i typically simply learn information from teh FG database) for a mission I’m doing
2:20
Ben Clemens: however usually Python
2:21
Roman: How a lot of the Padres low season is determined by Roki’s determination? Would his determination to take his skills to SoCal imply they double down on the roster? Conversely, with out him do they do a mini rebuild by buying and selling off the expiring contracts?
2:21
Ben Clemens: Yeah, this sounds proper to me
2:21
Ben Clemens: I feel that flipping Stop appears fairly probably in the event that they don’t hit on Sasaki
2:21
Ben Clemens: I’m actually excited by teh Sasaki deal for the file
2:22
jaygray007: Are there any “projected-to-be-cheap” FA’s on the market who you suppose could possibly be fairly good for those who squint a bit?   Just a few of my picks are Grichuk (his profession 93 wrc+ vs rhp isnt complete canine excrement, and had a small pattern of RHP success final yr. clearly mashes lefties. non-terrible protection) and Jose Iglesias (if he can bodily nonetheless play brief, which i assume he can).
2:23
Ben Clemens: I’m skeptical that Iglesias might deal with an entire season at brief, however he’s an okay choice
2:23
Ben Clemens: JD Martinez and see if he’s not cooked/ Mark Canha is simply quietly strong
2:24
Ben Clemens: Jesse Winker for those who solely need a lefty
2:24
Nervous Flyball Pitcher: If a QO’d participant indicators for a deal that might exceed >$50M relying on choices/decide outs, does the participant’s former workforce get a comp A or comp B decide? Jason Martinez wasn’t certain however thought it might rely upon if it’s a participant choice (comp A) or membership choice (comp B).
2:24
Ben Clemens: my learn agrees with Jason’s however I can’t discover precise documentation anyplace
2:24
Visitor: What are the OOPSY projections? Sorry if I missed a proof someplace
2:24
Ben Clemens: An explainer will come up quickly
2:24
Nervous Flyball Pitcher: I do know it’s been taken as a given (and possibly reported on), however are the Padres buying and selling Stop? He’s not low cost in arb 3 however nonetheless method beneath market worth, they usually’re down one Joe Musgrove.
2:25
Ben Clemens: I feel they solely will in the event that they take a look at 2025 and discover they don’t anticipate to compete
2:25
drplantwrench: fascinating that you just use Python! I do python each day, do you have got any initiatives on github for newbie baseball comp sci guys to make use of?
2:25
Ben Clemens: I’ve a small database on GitHub, bclemens6
2:25
Ben Clemens: That mentioned, there are some good sources on twitter and bluesky for folliwing individuals who do that extra rigidly than me
2:26
Ben Clemens: Nick Wan of the Reds does some cool coding bootcamp for baseball issues
2:26
Ben Clemens: rigorous, not inflexible, for the file
2:26
JJP: How toast is Kris Bryant? Is he in any respect fantasy related, even in Solely leagues?
2:26
Ben Clemens: I’d nonetheless go for a yo on him, significantly in NL solely
2:26
Ben Clemens: however like, late spherical in draft or low cost in aucdtion
2:26
Ben Clemens: the more than likely consequence is that he’s unplayable
2:26
Brian: I’ve a favourite workforce (not the Reds) but additionally observe MLB typically. Am I flawed or do the Reds all the time have too many or not sufficient infielders always?
2:26
Ben Clemens: I really feel that method too
2:26
Ben Clemens: generally it’s on the identical time
2:28
Miguel: Do you’re feeling that each one the criticism of Mike Elias this offseason is warranted? It seems like Burnes was all the time going to signal with a west coast workforce near his household, and Baltimore appears very prone to commerce for a entrance finish starter sooner or later.
2:28
Ben Clemens: I assume I’d say that for those who’re criticizing Elias for particularly this offseason, that feels off-base
2:28
Ben Clemens: for those who’re criticizing him for a basic sample, nicely
2:28
Ben Clemens: the final sample is just not nice
2:29
Ben Clemens: Just like the O’s have gone up payroll quite a bit this offseason
2:29
Ben Clemens: they’re clearly keen to spend
2:29
Ben Clemens: however it’s for: Tyler O’Neill, Charlie Morton, Tomoyuki Sugano, and Andrew Kittredge
2:29
Ben Clemens: oh and Gary Sanchez
2:30
Ben Clemens: it simply feels to me like a bizarre strategy to handle a workforce that’s getting its best-value years out of two unimaginable prospects proper now
2:30
Ben Clemens: and it’s considerably of a sample – Elias is a giant fan of small strikes and accumulating
2:31
Ben Clemens: he’s superb at operating a baseball workforce. however c’mon, aren’t O’s followers a little bit bit fearful that he solely has one transfer and isn’t keen to make a giant, franchise-altering swing at a pitcher to pair with the generational hitting expertise they’ve gathered
2:31
Alec: How do you’re feeling concerning the Tigers offseason? Given the present roster development and the end to final season, do you suppose it’s finest to be extra affected person and make smaller depth additions, or do you suppose they need to be making an even bigger splash to attempt to bump up a tier from the place they at present rank within the division/AL?
2:32
Ben Clemens: I’m truly okay with what they’re doing. I don’t suppose that they HAVE to interrupt the financial institution this 12 months, they usually received a free agent who I feel was extraordinarily undervalued in Gleyber Torres
2:32
Ben Clemens: if there’s somebody they see as a core piece, they need to completely go get that particular person
2:32
Ben Clemens: however I don’t suppose they’re a workforce in a ‘you will need to spend no matter who’s accessible’ state of affairs
2:33
Ben Clemens: like, even when the Jays are down on Jeff Hoffman, I don’t suppose that they had a number of alternative within the matter
2:33
Ben Clemens: they wanted to signal an elite reliever
2:33
Nate: Individuals are giving the Orioles some well-deserved grief however let’s not neglect that the Twins have but to signal a single major-league deal in a winnable division
2:33
Ben Clemens: Oh that’s worse for certain
2:33
Ben Clemens: I do suppose that a number of the O’s grief is about their multi-year arc extra so than 2024-2025 winter
2:34
Ben Clemens: the Twins television deal collapse and related workforce spending freeze is fairly gross although
2:34
Sam: How do you stability your fandom together with your information of optimum baseball technique? Asking as a Mets fan whose torn between wanting the Mets to pay no matter it takes to maintain Alonso and realizing far more than a 3 12 months deal goes to get ugly
2:34
Ben Clemens: I principally throw all of it away once I really feel strongly as a fan
2:34
Ben Clemens: so that is based mostly on different sports activities
2:34
Ben Clemens: in baseball, I gave up hardcore fandom to do that as my job
2:35
Ben Clemens: however in different sports activities, I’m guided by optimum technique until i really feel strongly. and if I really feel strongly, nicely, sports activities are about making me glad
2:35
wheelhouse: talking of bellinger: what’s your learn on what he’s bodily able to at this stage of his profession? not like slash line predictions, however is the bat pace he as soon as had gone gone or in reserve after a change in method? is his protection far sufficient alongside in decline that he shouldn’t be in centerfield?
2:35
Ben Clemens: I feel the bat pace might be gone
2:36
Ben Clemens: like… he was thirteenth percentile within the first 12 months of measuring
2:36
Ben Clemens: and even at his peak, I really feel like he was extra a lift-and-pull man than a pure bat pace sort
2:37
Ben Clemens: footspeed, I’m keen to offer him an opportunity to bounce again
2:37
Ben Clemens: I feel that he additionally has elite defensive instincts, which might make common athleticism play up
2:37
Ben Clemens: I could possibly be flawed, in fact. however I’d be keen to take the possibility if I have been the Yankees
2:37
Theo be Praised: I’m a Michael Busch skeptic; the batted ball information doesn’t look nice and I ponder if he’ll hit sufficient to contribute at 1B long-term.  Ought to I be involved?
2:37
Ben Clemens: oh yeah I really feel the identical
2:37
Ben Clemens: Clearly, I could possibly be flawed
2:37
Ben Clemens: I’m flawed on a regular basis
2:38
Ben Clemens: however I’m not a giant fan of his profile
2:38
Bosoxforlife: Pete Alonso’s state of affairs is puzzling. All issues thought of he has much more worth to the Mets than every other workforce. He’s as a lot the face of the franchise because the incomparable Lindor and has large advertising and marketing worth. His constantly low BABIP, ridiculously so in 2023, appears weird for a participant who hits the ball as laborious as he does. Within the equally weird world of as we speak’s contracts he’s a person I wouldn’t hesitate to pay him much more than Joc Peterson and lots of others who’re reaping windfalls this low season.
2:38
Ben Clemens: I imply, I feel he ought to keep on the Mets
2:40
Thanks for the chat!: Arenado to Yanks, Stroman to As, what are the lacking items for a 3 method commerce?
2:40
Ben Clemens: Oh, this can be a enjoyable one
2:40
Ben Clemens: okay, so the Playing cards eat a few of Arenado’s wage, let’s say
2:40
Ben Clemens: however not all, the Yankees are extra keen to make this deal in the event that they offlay Stroman’s deal
2:41
Ben Clemens: The A’s chip in a minor prospect who heads to St. Louis. The Yankees chip in a 45FV sort
2:41
Ben Clemens: I might see that working
2:41
Theo be Praised: Do you suppose the Cubs will remorse that Kyle Tucker commerce?  He’s an excellent participant, however only one 12 months…..and Cam Smith could be a dude
2:41
Ben Clemens: I undoubtedly don’t
2:41
Ben Clemens: are you aware how laborious groups attempt to get gamers pretty much as good as Kyle Tucker?
2:42
Alf: From a strictly monetary perspective, is there any strategy to justify Roki Sasaki’s determination to come back to the US now versus ready till he might come over as a free agent? Is it attainable he might make up sufficient cash off the sphere that it’s not an enormous monetary loss?
2:42
Ben Clemens: Yeah, right here’s an argument for you
2:42
Ben Clemens: Sasaki isn’t a Yamamoto degree full bundle
2:42
Ben Clemens: he’d get an honest deal, little doubt, however not file setting
2:45
Ben Clemens: by coming now, he’s going to hit free company youthful, and he’ll get to choose the workforce he desires to develop with
2:45
Ben Clemens: so he hits free company at 29 and will get a bag?
2:45
Ben Clemens: that appears possible
2:45
Mr. E: Is it higher information that the Jays signed anyone or worse information that nobody else favored his bodily apparently?
2:46
Ben Clemens: higher information imo
2:46
Brad Towner: Hey Ben, form of a particular query right here. I used to be lately studying your high 50 gamers when it comes to commerce worth, I used to be curious why a man like Pablo Lopez wouldn’t at the very least get an honorable point out. 18 MM AAV for the subsequent 3 years. He’s solely 28, and initiatives to be almost a 4 win participant subsequent season.
2:46
Ben Clemens: becuase there are simply so many gamers
2:46
Ben Clemens: he’s been an HM earlier than
2:46
Ben Clemens: I feel there have been like… 85 gamers or one thing in my high 50 counting honorable mentions
2:46
Bart: I daydream of Sasaki going to KC or DC and shaking up your complete baseball US world.
2:46
Ben Clemens: hell yeah, that’d be enjoyable
2:46
Matt: Do you see any extra strikes from the DBacks this offseason?  Possibly dealing an arm like Gallen or Montgomery?
2:47
Ben Clemens: I imply, undoubtedly not dealing Gallen
2:47
Ben Clemens: you don’t signal Corbin Burnes after which commerce Gallen
2:50
Ben Clemens: buying and selling Montgomery, yeah, they’d try this
2:50
Rayy: Would you commerce Jackson Holliday for a Roman Anthony/Walker Jenkins sort high prospect who has not but debuted? Questioning what your ideas are on the impact a disappointing debut can have on high prospect’s general worth.
2:50
Ben Clemens: I don’t suppose I’d, however I really feel like this can be a basic case of paralysis round different gamers
2:50
Ben Clemens: like non-org gamers
2:50
Ben Clemens: I feel I’d be too afraid of what crimson flags the opposite man had
2:51
Ben Clemens: although look, I’m very low on Holliday relative to consensus and have been for some time
2:51
Steve O: Do you suppose the Yankees are low cost? Comparatively. They take advantage of income in MLB but they’re not often ever 1st in payroll for the final a number of years. Sometimes 3rdish. Now they should offload Marcus Stroman’s contract so as to add an infielder? In the event that they aren’t going to compete with the Mets and Dodgers, they need to simply promote for billions and depend their cash. Wishful pondering I do know, however it’s irritating as a fan.
2:51
Ben Clemens: I imply, I typically agree with this
2:51
Ben Clemens: however to not an excessive
2:51
Ben Clemens: like, Stroman is comparatively unimportant to their objectives this 12 months and if it’s going to maintain them versatile to maneuver him for a star, do it
2:51
Visitor: Talking of Sasaki, you talked about him selecting a workforce to develop with. Do you continue to consider participant dev. is forward in MLB vs NPB? And do you suppose expertise out of Japan is larger or decrease than the US particularly with different sports activities crowding the US prospect market?
2:51
Ben Clemens: I undoubtedly would not have a powerful view on this
2:52
Ben Clemens: I feel that selecting the place you go for improvement is a big deal, although. I’ve no specific view on the Marines improvement group (my solely views on the Marines are that I went to a recreation there once I was in Tokyo and completely beloved it, 10/10 expertise)
2:52
Ben Clemens: however they drafted him, he didn’t decide them
2:52
Chip: So, is Hoffman the Jays nearer?
2:52
Ben Clemens: mmmm…. now we have him there on our depth chart
2:53
Ben Clemens: I feel it is smart, with some consideration to Garcia as nicely. Possibly they’ll each get alternatives
2:54
Brad Towner: do you see the reds probably buying and selling Nick Martinez after buying and selling for Singer?
2:54
Ben Clemens: I might see that
2:56
Ben Clemens: They appear to be fairly targeted on maximizing their payroll and roster
2:56
Ben Clemens: and I get the sense that they have been a little bit shocked and delighted he accepted the provide
2:57
Justin: Are you shocked concerning the lack of buzz round Ha-Seong Kim’s free company? He looks as if a $100 million man if it weren’t for the harm
2:57
Ben Clemens: I imply, I shoved him very excessive up the free company record
2:57
Ben Clemens: I undoubtedly agree with you
2:58
Visitor: Bo bichette had a very dangerous 12 months even contemplating he missed half the season. Do you suppose the bounce again is probably going?
2:58
Ben Clemens: I feel {that a} bounceback is affordable
2:58
Ben Clemens: I’d wager on it?
2:59
Ben Clemens: Bichette is simply an extremely streaky participant and I don’t actually suppose his core abilities have modified
2:59
Ben Clemens: fwiw our projection programs agree with me too
3:00
Ben Clemens: ZiPS is the low one by far and has him with a 112 OPS+, 3 WAR
3:00
Wags: Brady SInger a very good match of GABP?
3:00
Ben Clemens: man, good query
3:00
Ben Clemens: the grounders, sure
3:00
Ben Clemens: the truth that he doesn’t strike anybody out, by no means
3:00
Ben Clemens: i feel it’ll web out okay
3:00
Ben Clemens: and that he’s roughly a impartial match
3:00
Ken: How involved ought to A’s followers be about Severino pitching in Sacramento? Exterior of Citi Area, his ERA was 5.
3:01
Ben Clemens: nah, I wouldn’t fear about that particularly
3:02
Ben Clemens: not an enormous cut up in Okay/BB issues, he ran a .270 BABIP at house with actually juiced issues however related FIP and xFIP (higher xFIP on the highway truly)
3:02
Ben Clemens: which* actually juiced issues
3:02
Steve O: When you’re the Pink Sox do you favor to increase Crochet now, or to attend and see if he can keep wholesome for multiple season?
3:02
Ben Clemens: I’d lengthen him now if he have been keen to take an inexpensive deal
3:02
Ben Clemens: b/c truthfully, I feel he ought to settle for a reduction for certainty, and that’s an excellent place the Sox are in
3:03
Ben Clemens: for those who wait, you’re simply getting market fee a method or one other. why not monetize the truth that you get to develop many gamers over a few years and assume a little bit little bit of their danger (will he get harm?) in alternate for a deal
3:03
Ben Clemens: that’s an everybody glad state of affairs in my eyes
3:03
John B: Luis Matos posted an .880 ops within the Venezuelan winter league and gained ROY. I do know he struggled final 12 months however he’s simply turning 23 and has proven a ton of promise at occasions previously. Do you suppose he could possibly be poised for a breakout season?
3:03
Ben Clemens: look, I’ve been flawed earlier than
3:03
Ben Clemens: I undoubtedly informed individuals to maintain Matos over Ramos in fantasy final 12 months b/c I assumed his spot was fairly locked up with JHL on the IL
3:03
Ben Clemens: however uh…. no, this time I’m out
3:04
Ben Clemens: I’m certain a couple of hustle doubles and a pleasant defensive play will chnage my thoughts once more in Might, however nah, I feel that the outfield is simply too crowded and he’s had too many possibilities
3:04
Ben Clemens: at finest I feel he wants a change of surroundings
3:04
Bosoxforlife: I’m attempting to determine the AL East. To start with, I can’t put my finger on why the Blue Jays stink. I haven’t been capable of reply my query whether or not the Yankees are higher or worse after dropping 1/2 of 1 the higher one-two acts of all-time. The Orioles seem like blowing their alternative to get what they need to from the hoard of prospects they’ve and the Rays are taking part in in a spring coaching venue. The Pink Sox simply could be able to ascend.
3:04
Ben Clemens: Yeah, good 12 months for the Pink Sox for certain. Additionally a very good 12 months for the Jays to ascend, imo
3:04
Ben Clemens: I agree with you that I don’t get why they’re dangerous. possibly which means they’ll simply be good
3:04
Baloo: Biased, however wouldn’t Sasaki in Detroit be an extremely enjoyable consequence?  Jobe and Sasaki behind Skubal could be cool af.  And so they have an excellent popularity for pitching improvement, so possibly it’s not only a pipe dream?  JK, I do know it gained’t occur. 🙁
3:04
Ben Clemens: yeah I’d be into it
3:04
Sir Nerdlington: Positive, certain offseason isn’t over, however the Cubs have one of many largest payroll drops on the heels of buying and selling for Kyle Tucker feels horrifically short-sighted. Discuss me off the ledge, please.
3:05
Ben Clemens: possibly they’ll get Sasaki, get inspired and signal Flaherty, then by some means luck into yet one more contributor from a workforce seeking to shake up their roster. Additionally the NLC might be dangerous, and the Cubs will cruise to the division title
3:05
Matt: Ideas on Josh Naylor for 2025? Will he proceed his 2024 efficiency?
3:05
Ben Clemens: the percentages appear good provided that he’s principally been this participant for 3 years in a row
3:06
Ben Clemens: I feel that he’ll proceed to be actually dangerous on the bases and defensively, however hit 20% above common due to some energy and a low strikeout fee. I’m into it
3:06
Ben Clemens: that’s an excellent above avearge 1b proper there
3:06
Ben Clemens: in a really commonplace method, too
3:06
Ben Clemens: i feel it’s no shock that the projection programs all peg him proper round 2 wins
3:06
Justin: Who do you suppose comprise a bigger share of A’s followers/watchers this 12 months. Former Oakland A’s followers or future Las Vegas A’s followers.
3:07
Ben Clemens: former oakland a’s followers
3:07
Ben Clemens: possibly that’ll change in a 12 months or two
3:07
Ben Clemens: I feel there’s little or no A’s buzz in Vegas but
3:07
Ben Clemens: alright, I gotta get again to spreadsheeting
3:07
Ben Clemens: have a beautiful week, everybody, and let’s discuss baseball once more quickly. And possibly lunch too, I really feel like the one that asks the lunch query has been conspicuously absent
3:07
Ben Clemens: takeout sandwich from someplace close by as we speak, in case you’re curious, final night time’s dinner didn’t have leftovers

 

Ben is a author at FanGraphs. He could be discovered on Twitter @_Ben_Clemens.



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