Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat: 11/8/24

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12:16
Eric A Longenhagen: Howdy from sunny Tempe, Arizona the place final weekend I went folks watching up by the faculty to see some Halloween craziness, and as an alternative the woman sitting subsequent to me on the bar had a seizure or a stroke or one thing and I bought to play paramedic in entrance of like 24 folks. Typically issues don’t go the best way you intend.
12:16
AN1: How are you feeling on Creed Willems? He has smoked some balls out west. Doesn’t Okay a ton both and is 21 for the primary half of 2025. Something there?
12:18
Eric A Longenhagen: I’ll take the beneath. He has energy however chases a ton for a 1B and I’m undecided how lengthy he’s going to be athletically viable. Some model-driven group would most likely take him in a deal, although.
12:18
Dk: Would you commerce Tong, Williams and Gilbert for Crochet? Wouldn’t it be sufficient?
12:20
Eric A Longenhagen: I’d be making an attempt to do higher than that (I’d slightly have Sproat than both Tong or Gilbert by type of lots, and I’d have to pry away no less than certainly one of Baty or Ronny Mo) however I admire you together with Jett, who I believe is gonna be good.
12:20
Scott M.: What do you make of Josue Briceno and Thayron Liranzo’s AFL performances thus far? And what’s the probability both will stick at catcher?
12:21
Eric A Longenhagen: Each good, Liranzo method higher shot to stay again there as a result of he positively has the arm and construct.
12:21
Ralph: If most of NYY assets go to Soto, do you suppose Ben Rice and/or Caleb Durbin can deal with vital PA for them subsequent yr?
12:22
Eric A Longenhagen: I like Durbin as a scrappy utility piece and suppose Rice is a fringe 40-man sort, so that might not be splendid.
12:22
Matt: What place does Christian Moore find yourself at? Heard some rumblings that he was taking part in some 3B and outfield in instructs? Unsure if these have been true.
12:22
Eric A Longenhagen: All my Instructs appears to be like have been with him at 2B
12:22
Tacoby Bellsbury: What do you discover most enjoyable in baseball, and the way has that modified throughout your profession?
12:23
Eric A Longenhagen: Discovering new gamers. I used to be watching Angels DSL stuff towards the Giants final week and a few of SF’s guys have been actually thrilling. To get completely blindsided like that basically lights me up.
12:25
Eric A Longenhagen: I believe your group’s video games are all gonna be over in like 2:15 with that assortment of chasers you bought there. I do not know how you probably did with out everybody else’s roster however at first look it’s simply an okay group.
12:25
Alek: Even with the respectable AFL stats i assume you’re nonetheless out on Robert Hassell as an everyday?
12:26
Eric A Longenhagen: Appropriate. Suppose his palms work nicely sufficient for him to be an element time, decrease impression man. He simply hasn’t gotten a lot stronger.
12:26
Jim: Do you suppose the Braves have to make adjustments to their worldwide scouting division? They aren’t hitting on their current latin gamers and it’s actually effecting their system depth.
12:28
Eric A Longenhagen: It’s extra about their method than the rest. Once you put all of your eggs in a single or two Diego Benitez or Jose Perdomo sort baskets after which that participant instantly struggles, you principally punted a whole class.
12:29
Eric A Longenhagen: It’s time for them to unfold it out once more. However they’ve bought $3 and $4 mil commits no less than two of the subsequent couple years
12:30
171: Is Cam Weston a factor? He had a reasonably good yr however the velo appears lower than fascinating
12:30
Eric A Longenhagen: This can be a low slot Orioles lefty who carved Double-A this yr…
12:31
Eric A Longenhagen: I believe he’s a factor in a real-world baseball sense. He’s a misleading low slot man who instructions slider. Is he a mid-rotation starter on a playoff group? No, however I believe he could possibly be swingman/lengthy reliever and debut in 2025.
12:31
Eric: When do the group lists begin do you intend to vary the order of the way you launch them?
12:32
Eric A Longenhagen: Subsequent week. Overseas professionals, Angels, A’s to begin. Cubs/Giants/Rockies/D’Backs (not essentially in that order) after that.
12:32
Eric A Longenhagen: Then I’ll most likely shift to groups primarily based in Florida
12:33
Leo Wants a New Pair of Sneakers: Any dope on highschool draftees who’ve but to make their official professional debut however whose work on the advanced adjusts your pre-draft analysis up or down?
12:36
Eric A Longenhagen: The blokes who get like mid six figures who I didn’t know a ton about previous to the draft (my operating listing of these guys: Bo Walker ARI, Eli Lovich CHC, Andrew Tess BAL, Edgar Colon CIN, Jude Warwick DET, Andy Polanco SFG, Troy Guthrie TOR) can positively transfer the needle however basically I believe two years of how they regarded trumps 2 weeks of how they do, good or unhealthy.
12:36
Jimmy: Favourite riser from 2024?
12:36
Eric A Longenhagen: Go get that man
12:37
Chris: Favourite bat prospects that nobody has heard about (exterior high 100ish), that you just suppose might explode subsequent season?
12:39
Jonathan: I like the depth and breadth of your scouting reviews and don’t suppose there’s something comparable that’s public-facing. <3  The publication pace is frustratingly gradual nevertheless it looks like a mandatory by-product of the reviews’ prime quality + the truth that you don’t have a group of scouts working with you.  My questions:  should you all of the sudden had the identical entry to tons of video (and possibly biomechanics markers/metrics to assist type/parse the video) {that a} group’s video scout had, (1) to what extent would it not assist with pace, and (2) to what extent do you suppose your reviews would possibly undergo?
12:40
Eric A Longenhagen: Thanks. I believe my nature is such that extra data would gradual me down as it might give me yet one more factor to contemplate and attempt to talk within the reviews.
12:40
Some kinda Mook: No query, simply wish to say that I’m very excited in your prospecting this offseason. Please distract us.
12:42
Eric A Longenhagen: I’ve combined/responsible emotions about whether or not I’m truly doing the suitable factor by immersing myself in sports activities as a method of coping with the chaos slightly than making use of myself to one thing substantive, like serving to repair schooling in Arizona. However rattling do I like watching Lamar Jackson and sure I’ll spend three hours saying “wow” out loud to the cats on a Thursday evening.
12:42
Dougie Jones: Provided that his professional struggles appear to jibe with the specifics of your pre-draft hit instrument considerations, ought to we be faster to spherical down on Charlie Condon than the dimensions of the pattern would in any other case counsel?
12:43
Eric A Longenhagen: I most likely will.
12:43
PB: How a lot do groups truly worth the autumn league? Looks like there’s lots of variance and noise related to the outcomes.
12:45
Eric A Longenhagen: With the stats there’s, however the look can transfer the needle. Handful of potential Rule 5 guys solidify a spot or not right here, you’re wanting on the Eriq Swans of the world and contemplating the best way he’s been modified by an org that’s good at this, and so on. Heaps to see, principally none of it anybody’s ISO.
12:45
Eric A Longenhagen: Jenkins, not shut.
12:45
Eric A Longenhagen: Hope has actual hit instrument danger. He’s bought energy and pace however is gonna Okay a ton.
12:45
Carl: Jesus Made has lots of hype. I attempt to mood my pleasure because it’s simply the DSL. However I actually must be excited, proper? Him and Cooper Pratt makes for a promising future for the Brewers shortstop place.
12:45
Eric A Longenhagen: Made appears to be like nice on a spreadsheet however I wanna see him earlier than I am going nuts
12:45
Huge Fan: Do you suppose Drake Baldwin is the #2 catcher in Atlanta subsequent season?
12:46
Eric A Longenhagen: Beginning to, and I believe he’d deal with it nice. Lengthy offseason, although.
12:46
Benjamin: Ballesteros or Liranzo have a greater shot to stay at C?
12:46
Eric A Longenhagen: Liranzo. Each throw nicely and are unhealthy at different issues, Ballesteros is constructed like mini John Goodman and won’t have the ability to transfer nicely sufficient again there.
12:47
Leric A Ongenhagen: Leonardo Bernal had a terrific ’24, is performing nicely within the AFL, and is at AA as a 20 yr previous catcher. Will he make the highest 100?
12:47
Eric A Longenhagen: I’d say beter than 50/50 he does. Lefty-hitting catcher with plus bat pace. One other man the place his construct is such that IDK what it’ll appears to be like like when he’s 26-28, ya know?
12:49
Visitor: Has anybody popped in your Angels appears to be like this fall?
12:51
Eminor3rd: Have you ever had an opportunity to get appears to be like/opinions on Shunpeita Yamashita (Orix) or Takahisa Hayakawa (Rakuten) in NPB? The regarded like a possible generational man earlier than taking a step backward final yr, and the latter lastly broke out a yr or two after being fairly hyped.
12:51
Eric A Longenhagen: Yamashita is the actual deal for me. Struggled and was demoted early, got here again with a vengeance late. Three plus pitches and a QB construct at age 22? Sure please.
12:51
Eric A Longenhagen: I believe he’s pitching “prospect” no. 2 in NPB behind Sasaki
12:52
Eric A Longenhagen: I like Hayakawa however there are lots of guys like him over there, smaller-framed with sneaky 89-91mph heaters, breaking stuff that lives off axis/slot, and changeup. Extra generic backend sort. Inoue is my favourite man over there who matches this description, suppose he’s a particular athlete.
12:53
emh1969: How do repeated accidents issue right into a participant’s rating? I’m pondering of Chase DeLauter right here.
12:53
Eric A Longenhagen: I hear ya, particularly when it’s the identical factor time and again prefer it has been with DeLauter’s toes and ankles I believe it has to.
12:53
Prospecter: Do you suppose Lazaro Montes‘ season was a web constructive or unfavourable?  Outcomes are there however the whiff considerations are actual
12:54
Eric A Longenhagen: Constructive however I’ll nonetheless most likely be the low man on him this offseason. I agree there are points masked by SEA’s hitting environments in A/A+ ball. Similar has been true of lots of guys earlier than him like Clase and Locklear. Crushing in NWL, again to earth after promotion
12:54
likelihood: Is Andrew Painter displaying sufficient to reclaim his elite prospect standing?
12:55
Eric A Longenhagen: sure, launch was much less constant throughout his final outing tho
12:55
Philip: If Sugano indicators with a MLB group, how are you ranking him in a FYPD?  Do you suppose he might have a few top-40 SP years in him?  Thanks!
12:55
Eric A Longenhagen: I’ve a forty five on him. 70 command of 40 stuff
12:56
Say Extra: Obtained one identify that particularly stood out amongst Giants DSL surprises?
12:56
Eric A Longenhagen: smiling_imp
12:57
Yovani Gallardo: Hello Eric, thanks once more for doing this chat! I wished to ask when you’ve got ideas on this yr’s IFA class (KBO, NPB and so on), particularly on the NPB aspect. Additionally questioning when you’ve got guys you’re keeping track of in NPB that’s not essentially coming over this offseason (like studying about Shunpeita Yamashita was plenty of enjoyable no less than for me!).
12:58
Eric A Longenhagen: Extra on this subsequent week however yeah. I believe Kazuna Okamoto is  scorching identify to know for this offseason. Loopy pull/carry spray chart, a la Isaac Paredes. I’m skeptical he can truly hit however groups who care about airborne pull are gonna be on him.
12:59
Eric A Longenhagen: Okamoto and the NPB Cubans (Livan Moinelo, Raidel Martinez) play in Premier12 this weekend and must be watched…
1:00
Eric A Longenhagen: Taisei Ota is one other identify to know, monster reduction stuff
1:00
Eric A Longenhagen: Huge bat pace, 1B solely athlete for me, don’t love how upright his entrance aspect is all through his swing. There are scouts who actually like him, I’ve been apprehensive.
1:01
McGraw45: I really feel like I keep in mind early reviews that Salas and DeVries regarded good within the fall league. Did that maintain?
1:01
Eric A Longenhagen: Salas appears to be like exhausted now, De Vries nonetheless hitting
1:01
Adam: How have Xaiver Isaac and Tre’ Morgan regarded within the outfield?
1:02
Eric A Longenhagen: Morgan has had bother preserving his footing in my appears to be like. Isaac is extra snug operating however his routes want work
1:02
Johnny5Alive: Re: crochet. He’s solely achieved this as soon as and it’s on his final yr of management, how might he probably demand that a lot. Transformed relieveer with no educate file and an harm historical past and he wants 3 high prospects for a deal?
1:02
Eric A Longenhagen: Sounds such as you’d simply be out on Crochet
1:04
Eric A Longenhagen: Suppose he might have a peak in his late-20s, loopy pace and must be CF over time, would possibly ultimately discover a strategy to make sufficient contact to be an on a regular basis man throughout that peak
1:04
Jack: Colt Emerson hits the ball actually onerous however doesn’t appear to hit it over the fence. Is he a legit future top-5 prospect in all of baseball and can he stick at SS?
1:05
Eric A Longenhagen: That’s a little bit wealthy for me. I like how explosive his palms are however that bat path is a little bit too just like Gavin Lux for me to be snug going all in to that diploma.
1:05
Eric A Longenhagen: He’s not a SS for me
1:05
Huzzah!: Thanks is all. Love the chats.
1:05
Eric A Longenhagen: Gracias, gonna take just a few extra actual quick for 10 min or so
1:05
Jace, the Thoughts Sculptor: Ideas on the prolonged rotation window for Normal? Or do you play a distinct format?
1:06
Eric A Longenhagen: I are likely to draft. The units come out too quick for me to really feel like I’m maintaining with customary.
1:06
JK: Ideas on Bryce Eldridge? AFL and full season, thanks for all you do!
1:06
Eric A Longenhagen: Seemed drained right here earlier than he went dwelling. I’ll have him towards the again of the highest 100. Nonetheless a 1B with Okay danger, 70 energy although.
1:07
Andre Thee Big: In terms of gamers more likely to graduate to the MLB in 2025 and 2026, would you slightly have the Rays or Crimson Sox system?
1:07
Eric A Longenhagen: Boston
1:07
victoria: Will Ballesteros’ bat play as a primary division starter at 1b?
1:07
Eric A Longenhagen: Nah, first division is sort of a high 15 man.
1:07
Darren: Thanks for the chat! Have you ever seen Carter Jensen within the AFL?  How does he look and what place do you suppose he’ll play?
1:09
Eric A Longenhagen: Yep, have seen him a bunch. Suppose he’ll catch regardless of a few of his points. Tremendous massive, aggressive transfer ahead within the field generates a ton of energy and Okay’s. I like him however suppose it’ll take some time for him to tone that down. Extra of a mid-20s breakout man than somebody racing there to assist brief time period
1:09
Visitor: Who’s your favourite FA this yr that’s exterior the highest 25-or so?
1:10
Eric A Longenhagen: I like Conforto and Carlos Santana so far as guys who didn’t make Ben’s high 25
1:11
Fishfan: Are you shopping for into Jacob Berry’s second half? I do know in early June you mentioned he hadn’t actually hit in any respect
1:12
Eric A Longenhagen: Positively swung and missed much less however there nonetheless isn’t 1B energy
1:12
Leric A Ongenhagen: e-book recs for the offseason? baseball and non-baseball
1:12
Eric A Longenhagen: It’s a 50
1:13
Eric A Longenhagen: Naomi Klein’s Doppleganger is subsequent for me
1:13
Eric A Longenhagen: In the event you like fiction, particularly sci fi, I like Octavia Butler
1:14
Andre Thee Big: I don’t perceive Getz saying that the WS are specializing in place participant return in any Crochet commerce. Once you want every thing, why not simply take the perfect deal?
1:14
Eric A Longenhagen: I believe it’s rule of thumb to get again an on a regular basis place participant if you commerce a stud
1:16
Eric A Longenhagen: Okay ya’ll, I’ve gotta make some snacks for a home warming occasion tonight. You need to watch Premier12 and Fall Stars this weekend. I’m excited for prospect lists to begin rolling out and look ahead to chatting with you on Semifinal Day subsequent week. I swear I like you.

 

Eric Longenhagen is from Catasauqua, PA and presently lives in Tempe, AZ. He spent 4 years working for the Phillies Triple-A affiliate, two with Baseball Data Options and two contributing to prospect protection at ESPN.com. Earlier work may also be discovered at Sports activities On Earth, CrashburnAlley and Prospect Insider.



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