Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat – 5/13/24

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1:59
Ben Clemens: One minute early begin to the chat, let’s get going
2:00
Dice Jockey: How doubtless are we to see separate arbitration/free company timelines within the subsequent CBA for place gamers vs pitchers?
2:00
Ben Clemens: I believe it’s extremely unlikely
2:00
Ben Clemens: I’m simply struggling to see who’s going to push for this
2:00
Ben Clemens: Doesn’t really feel like one thing the union may get behind provided that it’s a divisive concern simply naturally, and it’s not like house owners are going to get behind it
2:02
Swingslow: Why do the Cubs maintain a man like Hendricks on the roster? Seems like they’ve a lot pitching depth and its a disgrace to maneuver all these guys to the bullpen or AAA
2:02
Ben Clemens: Loyalty, proper?
2:02
Ben Clemens: that is his first begin off the IL, and so they mainly put him on the IL with a case of badness
2:03
Ben Clemens: it actually hurts to do away with a franchise legend when it’s not on their very own phrases, and I believe Hendricks qualifies for that now
2:03
Ben Clemens: I’m positively nervous that he’ll give them no selection, although
2:03
Shota Imanaga: SHOTA.IMANAGA.
2:04
Talfred: Trying on the newly launched Bat Monitoring knowledge, the Squared-up Price is derived from a formulation combining swing velocity and pitch velocity to reach at a most potential exit velocity. The precise exit velocity is then in comparison with that most. Wouldn’t this most exit velocity assume constant baseballs? It appears to me that  variations in baseball liveliness would skew these figures.
2:05
Ben Clemens: I don’t have entry to the precise particulars that go into the formulation, however simply from a physics perspective, a whole lot of issues matter. The load of the bat issues, the coefficient of restitution of the ball issues. A number of the opposite components that make the ball vigorous or not (carry for a similar exit velo is among the prime methods the ball appears to alter yr to yr) don’t matter
2:05
Ben Clemens: so like, we’ve seen that balls are touring much less far for a similar EV/L A combos this yr. That makes the ball much less vigorous. However clearly since we’re measuring that for a given EV, we’re not speaking about any impact on EV
2:06
Who’s Fabio?: Hey Ben, Davis Schneider is the highest searched participant proper now at FG.  Do you suppose he can maintain 280/375/450ish as a hitter?
2:06
Ben Clemens: I don’t suppose he can maintain the .375 a part of that
2:07
Ben Clemens: he’s gonna be a excessive strikeout man, and regardless that he’s run very excessive BABIPs to this point within the bigs, I don’t see an amazing cause to anticipate that to proceed. Push that again all the way down to roughly common, which is by the way what all our projection techniques are doing, and also you get an OBP within the .340-.350 vary
2:07
Ben Clemens: I purchase the facility, although
2:07
Maddoning: Are you able to clarify how the Brewers have stayed good, regardless of changing Burnes and Woodruff with a pair retreads, and in any other case simply form of bringing the identical group again?  What is that this wizardry?
2:09
Ben Clemens: It doesn’t appear that loopy to me, to be trustworthy. They haven’t had Woodruff for some time now! They obtained a brand new star in William Contreras for Josh Hader (by way of Esteury Ruiz and the A’s inexplicably not wanting Contreras), they’ve introduced up some stable contributors on the hitting facet from the minors, and so they’re hitting nicely proper now. The pitching employees took a step again with out Burnes, identical to you’d anticipate
2:10
Ben Clemens: I don’t suppose they’re going to maintain hitting like they’ve, however Contreras has been outrageously good this yr and that’s doing a whole lot of work
2:10
The man WHo makes Trades: CHC/HOU      CHC commerce: CF Pete Crow-Armstrong, OF Owen Cassie, OF Mike Tauchman, and a PTBNL for HOU Commerce: 3B Alex Bregman, and 1B Jon Singleton
2:10
Ben Clemens: why would anybody concerned need to do that, haha?
2:10
Nate: Which of the brand new bat velocity metrics that we now have entry to do you suppose is most predictive of long-term success? In all probability blasts, proper (appears pretty nicely correlated to barrels)? Such as you talked about in your article, you may have a quick swing and nonetheless not make that a lot contact, and you’ll sq. it up however not hit it that onerous since you don’t have a quick swing.
2:11
Ben Clemens: I’m nonetheless digging into this query, naturally
2:11
Ben Clemens: I believe it’ll most likely be blasts? However I’m positively not assured
2:11
Ben Clemens: I’m fairly certain that ‘common swing velocity’ is extra of a trinket statistic than an amazing factor to foretell how good a hitter will probably be
2:11
Jeremy: There are some puzzling discrepancies between the bat velocity knowledge and exit velocity knowledge. Presumably, a whole lot of that’s all the way down to some gamers swinging heavier bats than others? Phillies fan that I’m, the one I seen is that JT Realmuto really has barely quicker bat velocity than Bryce Harper, however Harper’s common and max exit velocities are a lot greater than Realmuto’s.
2:11
Ben Clemens: heavier bats, purer contact
2:12
Didace: Up to now this yr, the Washington Nationals pitching employees has been a) Actually good, 2nd in WAR, b) So-so, thirteenth in ERA, c) Dangerous, twenty fourth in Strikeouts, d) Fortunate, 1st in HR allowed, e) Unfortunate, thirtieth in BABIP ?
2:13
Ben Clemens: I believe so-so does a reasonably good job ultimately. you’ve obtained some nice correlations in there, however I’d mainly say that d and e offset a little bit bit, and the Nats are center of the pack in Okay-BB%
2:13
Ben Clemens: in order that they’re doing unsustainably nicely at permitting only a few homers per fly ball, however they’re additionally doing what I’d take into account to be unsustainably poorly by way of BABIP
2:14
Ben Clemens: One potential counterpoint right here: soem of that babip is b/c the workforce shouldn’t be good at fielding
2:14
Ben Clemens: -10 OAA to this point, twenty sixth in baseball
2:14
Ben Clemens: and that OAA is essentially a spread concern; the nats are center of the pack in errors dedicated
2:15
Ben Clemens: so it’s gonna go straight into BABIP
2:15
Ben from DC: What do I make of the primary month of Dylan Crews in AA. Not an entire catastrophe however a excessive Okay% and never the extent of manufacturing I believe many anticipated. Something to fret about or simply SSS?
2:15
Ben Clemens: Yeah it’s 87 PA, and he’s hitting the crap out of the ball, too early to say a lot imo
2:16
enamel grinder: In the event you’re beginning a franchise right this moment and got two choices who would you choose and why: Gunnar Henderson or Bobby Witt (contract/wage are irrelevant)
2:16
Ben Clemens: Wow, it is a actually powerful one
2:17
Ben Clemens: I believe I’d take Witt
2:18
Ben Clemens: I’ve been too low on him, and I’m consciously making an attempt to appropriate for that
2:18
Ben Clemens: It’s an amazing downside to have, clearly. Henderson has been even higher than marketed. However so has Witt and ultimately I believe I belief him to be a defensive distinction maker extra. However there are not any unsuitable solutions right here
2:18
Dan’l: Shouldn’t the Playing cards make Helsley & Romero obtainable now? Do these two have comparable worth (upside with H., longer management with JJ)?
2:21
Ben Clemens: uhhhh, they positively shouldn’t have comparable worth. Romero has by no means topped 40 innings in a season and Helsley has a a lot decrease ERA/FIP/no matter price you care about, with extra strikeouts and stuff that grades out higher by just about any  mannequin, over meaningfully extra innings
2:21
Ben Clemens: nobody’s gonna pay for an additional yr of a possibly good reliever in 2026
2:21
Ben Clemens: so I’d say Helsley would fetch much more in commerce. Additionally I don’t suppose the Playing cards are going to commerce him, in the event that they’re a catastrophe this yr the chances of a regime change are fairly excessive and that doesn’t lineup very nicely
2:22
The man WHo makes Trades: OAK/STL    OAK commerce: Esteury Ruiz, Hogan Harris, and a PTBNL for  STL commerce: Victor Scott II, Jordan Walker, P Tink Therefore, and RP Andrew Kitteridge
2:22
Ben Clemens: I imply, STL says no to this so quick
2:23
Ben Clemens: and why is Oakland buying and selling for an RP?
2:23
Mary Kate Olsen: MARY. KATE. OLSEN.
2:23
George: Very attention-grabbing factor that I’d be involved in somebody doing a little work into is how park components affect participant growth. I’m unsure the way you’d isolate it, however its been an enormous dialogue with Crews and different Nats hitting prospects this yr. Each Wilmington and Harrisburg are troublesome parks to hit in. A ton of Nats prospects have struggled to hit for energy in Wilmington and have had a Okay price spike in Harrisburg, reportedly because of the bizarre batters eye there. Is that meaningfully impacting growth?
2:23
Ben Clemens: Yeah anecdotally this looks as if a factor. Empirically I’ve by no means seen knowledge to that impact, and truthfully it feels like too heavy of a carry for somebody like me writing 4-5 articles every week
2:24
Ben Clemens: gotta be a ache to gather sufficient knowledge to say something in any respect significant about this
2:24
dave: do you ever fear that an excessive amount of of baseball is being quantified? each from a taking away the thriller perspective but in addition a distilling gamers all the way down to solely numbers perspective and forgetting they’re people too?
2:24
Ben Clemens: Oh yeah 100%
2:25
Ben Clemens: That’s a big cause I began writing 5 issues within the first place, to be trustworthy. I really feel like baseball evaluation can get too mathy at instances nowadays and man, it’s a enjoyable sport! The enjoyable is the rationale we prefer it
2:25
Visitor: It’s my birthday, may you say one thing to make a Mets fan really feel optimistic?
2:25
Ben Clemens: Christian Scott seems to be like a plus main league starter already
2:25
Tacoby Bellsbury: In the event you’re the Giants, snakebit with accidents and struggling, what do you do from right here?
2:26
Ben Clemens: I believe within the quick time period you simply maintain enjoying, however man they’ve been unfortunate with accidents and a whole lot of their offseason acquisitions have been dangerous besides. In the event you’re doing a selloff kind factor this yr because the Giants, I believe it needs to be a short-term one the place you flip vets with expiring contracts for small returns
2:27
Ben Clemens: I don’t suppose they’ve any thrilling items to dump for giant returns except for Webb and Bailey, who’re untouchable
2:27
Colton: I problem you to a velocity typing competitors, it took me all of 5 seconds to kind this message!
2:27
Ben Clemens: Competitors is barely open to FG employees as a result of I’d positively not win if we opened it to the broader public. Additionally, I believe I’ve typing power extra so than velocity, I hit my keys more durable than I must
2:28
RH: How has your considering on who will make the playoffs out of the NL modified since Opening Day?
2:29
Ben Clemens: Okay so my preliminary NL predictions had been: ATL/MIL/LAD win the divisions, PHI/SFG/STL take the wild playing cards. I believe I wrote that the STL choose was a placeholder and that considered one of my sizzling takes was that the NLC was going to place two groups within the playoffs
2:30
Ben Clemens: Feeling fairly good in regards to the division winners, although I suppose they weren’t significantly laborious to foretell. The Giants choose seems to be dangerous on reflection, and yeah, I believe I overvalued their FA pickups
2:31
Ben Clemens: I suppose the principle factor that has modified for me is that I assumed the NLC was a large open race the place just about any workforce may win the division. and now it’s a two workforce race b/c the opposite three have been fairly dangerous of late. i believe that any of these different three may nonetheless problem for a wild card, however the division hole is admittedly large and laborious to make up
2:31
bosoxforlife: Do you see any solution to improve balls in play so long as the gap between the rubber and the plate stays at 60’6″?
2:31
Ben Clemens: yeah, mainly no
2:31
Victoria: So would you change SFG/STL with SDP/CHC?
2:32
Ben Clemens: I used to be a little bit nervous I’d made the homer choose of Playing cards over Brewers regardless that I used to be fairly excessive on the Brewers heading into the yr
2:32
Ben Clemens: glad I didn’t!
2:32
Elias: cowser and kjerstad want to start out getting extra enjoying time than mullins. It’s the transfer at this level to make, or am I loopy?
2:33
Ben Clemens: I believe you’re loopy, however solely b/c Mullins stays such a superb defender
2:34
Ripken Fan: What ought to the Orioles do on the deadline?
2:35
Ben Clemens: I believe they need to do considered one of two issues: commerce for a really attention-grabbing semi-rental participant, or do some 4th of/bullpen shore ups
2:35
Joe: Kjerstad simply obtained despatched down
2:35
Ben Clemens: yeah I imply, they weren’t utilizing him! Is sensible
2:35
Ben Clemens: I’m making an attempt to think about who these semi-rental gamers are
2:36
Ben Clemens: it’s not apparent to me offhand, possibly Garrett Crochet?
2:37
Princess Leia: Assist us Obi-wan Clemonobi… you’re our solely hope!
2:37
The curse of Cano: It seems the curse of Cano for the M’s continues at 2nd. Is there hope for Polanco or he’s cooked?
2:37
Ben Clemens: truthfully? I believe he’s cooked
2:37
Ben Clemens: like, not that he’ll maintain being as dangerous as he’s been
2:38
Ben Clemens: however I’ve been considering ‘absolutely that is the season issues cease working for Jorge Polanco’ for six straight years now
2:38
Not the Lunch Man: Did I miss one thing or did FG rent a 3rd prospect author in Travis Ice (60 identify btw)?
2:38
Ben Clemens: I’ve a 65 on it
2:39
Ben Clemens: And let me paste in his bio from the Giants prospect record, his first with the location
2:39
Ben Clemens: We’d additionally prefer to take the chance to introduce Travis Ice, who will probably be becoming a member of FanGraphs as a prospect contributor. Travis was a junior faculty and Division II second baseman. After faculty, he served as an assistant coach at Northeastern Oklahoma A&M School (a junior faculty in Miami, OK), then labored as an MLB video scout at Baseball Information Options earlier than being employed as an Angels minor league video coordinator. He was a member of the Angels professional scouting division from 2014-2020 and has spent the previous couple of years doing freelance scouting work for space scouts within the midwest, whereas additionally sustaining his personal weblog centered on participant analysis. Travis is an enormous believer in mixing trendy knowledge and know-how with “conventional” scouting. His time as a FanGraphs neighborhood member predates his scouting profession, and he’s extraordinarily excited to have the chance to contribute to all issues prospect associated on the web site shifting ahead.
2:39
Lockard Hyperlinks: Have you learnt the place to search out milb chase charges?
2:40
Ben Clemens: You may manufacture them for stadiums which have statcast knowledge utilizing the milb search on baseball savant
2:40
Princess Leia: Additionally, I misplaced my h2H matchup this week solely on the idea of Logan Gilbert’s implosion. Good Course of, dangerous outcomes!
2:40
Ben Clemens: You hate to see it
2:40
Ross: Do u suppose the Mariners offense turns it round? Julio, Polanco, Garver, Crawford, France, Haniger have all been god terrible.
2:41
Ben Clemens: I believe Julio’s gonna flip it round, he’s adjustment maker. I don’t have a whole lot of hope that Mitch Haniger is sweet once more for no cause after being dangerous for a couple of years. Like I stated, Polanco not feeling wonderful. Um…. I believe Garver will probably be okay, France most likely okay. however yeah it’s been tough
2:41
Phil: Do groups management bat weight nowadays? I really feel prefer it’s all the time been a really private factor to gamers.
2:42
Ben Clemens: nonetheless private to gamers
2:42
Andy: NYY second in wrc+ however but there offense nonetheless appears a tad jekyl and hyde with the quantity of low scoring video games they’ve had. Are we simply early season variance or do you suppose there may be any cause behind this?
2:43
Ben Clemens: I believe it’s largely early season variance, however I haven’t put THAT a lot thought into it so take that with a grain of salt
2:43
KC Ache: Is Brent Rooker a greater hitter than folks gave credit score for?  Is he one other overmarinated prospect?  Perhaps a .250ish hitter w 35+ pop as a substitute of a .220ish hitter?
2:44
Ben Clemens: yeah, I believe that’s mainly what his 2023 efficiency stated, it’s bizarre to me that folks had been down on him after he did a satisfactory increase or bust energy bat impersonation within the Coliseum
2:45
Ben Clemens: i don’t suppose he’s remotely nearly as good as his numbers this yr, however that man can completely crush the ball, and he’s all the time been a carry and pull kind, so I believe he’ll proceed to ship actual above common worth
2:45
large mike: i’d argue a part of the enjoyable of baseball is the flexibility to quantify it to such a big extent, particularly when in comparison with different sports activities
2:45
Ben Clemens: I believe that it’s the truth that you may quantify it however that it’s nonetheless a bunch of nice athletes
2:45
Ben Clemens: i used to commerce authorities bonds, they’re extremely quantifiable and but you don’t have a ton of followers (or any followers)
2:46
Ben Clemens: ‘you may quantify it’ solely issues if it’s nonetheless enjoyable
2:46
Kevin: If a participant has nice statcast metrics however their efficiency retains declining yr over yr, are they nonetheless good? Considering of Matt Chapman specifically.
2:46
Ben Clemens: Matt Chapman has nice statcast metrics??
2:46
Ben Clemens: we have to be speaking a few completely different Matt Chapman, or maybe completely different statcast metrics
2:47
Ben Clemens: he’s a person able to hitting a baseball very laborious. I don’t suppose that any of his different statcast numbers leap off the web page
2:47
bigtimetimmyjim: I assumed it was a little bit attention-grabbing how chapman is close to the highest of the swing velocity leaderboard, do you suppose thats any cause to be optimistic about him producing extra slg going ahead?
2:48
Ben Clemens: like, this isn’t a brand new factor
2:48
Ben Clemens: he’s all the time had a fierce swing, and for those who have a look at a few of his max exit velo numbers and so forth, the man can completely tattoo the ball when he connects
2:48
Ben Clemens: however he’s REALLY dangerous at hte connecting half
2:48
Sanford: All 13 certified catchers have a wRC+ > 100. Clearly some choice bias right here, however fairly cool!
2:48
Phil: Didn’t there was an viewers on the Chicago Board of Commerce? I vaguely bear in mind studying that. However yeah, I’d somewhat watch baseball.
2:49
Ben Clemens: Haha, if there was that’s fairly wonderful
2:49
Visitor: Learn your article (nice!) but it surely’s unclear to me what the distinction is between “squared up” and “barrels” on statcast?
2:49
Ben Clemens: So, these are positively complicated phrases
2:49
Ben Clemens: it’s particularly complicated as a result of ‘squared up’ mainly means ‘hit the ball on the barrel of the bat’
2:49
Ben Clemens: however barrel is only a mathematical assemble of swing velocity and launch angle, it refers to balls which are hit laborious and within the air. The implication of the identify is that to do one thing like that, you most likely needed to get the barrel on the ball
2:50
Ben Clemens: In the meantime, squared up measures for those who hit it about as laborious as you may, given how laborious you swung
2:50
Ben Clemens: I’m sympathetic to the ‘barrel’ identify b/c I’ve to inform you, when Luis Arraez loops a liner over the second baseman I don’t say ‘wow he actually crushed that one on the barrel’
2:50
Ben Clemens: even when he did technically barrel it up
2:51
Ben Clemens: I significantly just like the ‘blast’ statistic, which is while you sq. the ball up and likewise swing laborious
2:51
Ben Clemens: that’s nearer to what we followers normally imply after we consider ‘getting all of it’
2:51
Farhandrew Zaidman: For everybody else enjoying with bat velocity right this moment: nothing is ever one factor. Sure, swinging laborious typically means extra harm, however identical to you may throw 91 and achieve success, you may have beneath common bat velocity and achieve success!
2:51
Ben Clemens: Tomorrow’s FanGraphs right this moment: I’m writing an article in regards to the useless ends and pitfalls I’ve had swing velocity knowledge
2:52
Ben Clemens: right here’s one takeaway from it: swing velocity correlates higher with xwOBA than wOBA
2:52
Ben Clemens: on contact, that’s
2:52
Ben Clemens: and it doesnt’ correlate with wRC+ in any respect
2:52
Tigers fan: Do Julio Rodriguez and Ronald Acuna Jr. flip it round this yr?  Baseball may be very irritating to foretell gamers efficiency from yr to yr.
2:52
Ben Clemens: I believe they each will, however I’m extra assured in Acuna
2:52
Blake: Does Jose Abreu being tied for third among the many Astros in swing velocity shock you? (at 72.6 mph tied with Yainer Diax, behind Pena and Alvarez)
2:52
Ben Clemens: Hm…. I imply, possibly a little bit? however once I watch Abreu swing, I’ve all the time been like ‘wow that’s a violent swing’
2:52
Ben Clemens: so I’m guessing that’s what we’re speaking about right here
2:53
Colton: Katie Woo stated on the STL morning radio present that the gamers have all advised her, on and off the report, that they absolutely help Oli and the remainder of the teaching staffs processes and it’s on them as gamers to execute. That’s nice that they appear to help him, however in some unspecified time in the future that has to alter, proper? Over 200 dangerous video games at this level and it’s been the identical course of, they need to make some modifications in some unspecified time in the future proper? At the very least begin to query whether or not it’s appropriate or not
2:53
Ben Clemens: Questioning course of, and doing that questioning responsibly, is among the hardest issues to do
2:53
Ben Clemens: like, clearly they need to be doing this
2:53
Ben Clemens: but it surely’s simpler stated than accomplished
2:53
Derek: At what level ought to the Orioles begin enjoying Ryan O’Hearn towards lefties? He was fairly good final yr, and this yr has constantly been in 98th-One centesimal percentile for xWOBA… Relatedly, how is actually Ryan O’Hearn now this good of a hitter??
2:54
Ben Clemens: It’s wonderful, proper?
2:55
Ben Clemens: I don’t have an amazing reply for you about letting him face extra lefties with out wanting into it extra. I’d say that his superpower is admittedly good plate self-discipline plus above common thump, which is a good combine. I do marvel if the O’s are nervous that the plate self-discipline significantly is what would change towards lefties, and that for those who made him extra of a median plate self-discipline man the entire profile would play down
2:55
Ben Clemens: however you may’t determine that out with out making an attempt
2:56
Oaktown Blues: Would there be any worth in “blasts” that had been additionally in a great launch angle vary? Or would that find yourself simply being “barrels” by a unique identify?
2:56
Ben Clemens: yeah barrels by a unique identify, I believe
2:56
Ben Clemens: one factor that I’m not absolutely certain about is whether or not hitters who’re hitting the ball on the nostril with laborious swings, however at low angles, can change their swing aircraft
2:56
Ben Clemens: b/c if they’ll’t, I don’t actually care for those who sq. one up at -5 levels
2:56
Kwah: Steven Kwan’s newly revealed batting knowledge may be very satisfying.  One among my favourite gamers, strictly based mostly on the eyeball take a look at the final couple years — hustles, appears to make numerous contact and operates in a Nineteen Seventies-80s kinda fashion — and now the maths nerds have confirmed to me that he’s That Man and it’s good.  I want this metric existed for Willians Astudillo.
2:57
Ben Clemens: Yeah he’s a man I want we had this knowledge for
2:57
Ben Clemens: I want we had swing velocity for Bartolo’s homer
2:57
Ben Clemens: I significantly want A Rod was on the cameras
2:57
Bat Pace: Do you suppose the brand new bat velocity metrics will present any actionable data to gamers/groups? Like possibly the combo of a protracted Swing Size and sluggish Bat Pace ( you, Nolan Arenado) may very well be the impetus for a swing change to maximise outcomes?
2:57
Ben Clemens: So, groups already had this knowledge
2:57
Ben Clemens: so I’m gonna say no
2:58
Dan: How invested are you within the Corridor of Fame? I really feel like I began to lose curiosity across the time of the Harold Baines induction sadly
2:58
Ben Clemens: I’m decreasingly involved in gatekeeping it or arguing who ought to be in or out
2:58
Ben Clemens: I’m nonetheless extremely involved in it as a museum, and as a reminder of nice baseball gamers from years previous
2:58
Ben Clemens: I’ve completely cherished Cooperstown each instances I’ve been there, extraordinarily glad it exists
2:58
Farhandrew Zaidman: If bat velocity existed for Wily Mo Pena, 1) you’d anticipate him to be like high 5 in his prime, and a couple of) would stated knowledge have given him extra possibilities on the finish of his profession?
2:58
Ben Clemens: 1)sure 2)truthfully most likely not
2:59
Ben Clemens: there won’t have been a quantitative measure of it however you may simply watch him and know
2:59
Ben Clemens: enjoyable reality: I used to be in Tokyo in 2017 and went to go see the Chiba Lotte Marines b/c they had been enjoying Ohtani’s Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
2:59
Ben Clemens: the purpose was to see Ohtani, clearly. He didn’t pitch however he DH’ed and it was superior, he was so clearly nice
3:00
Ben Clemens: however that’s not the purpose of this story: Wily Mo was on the Marines, and other people there LOVED him
3:00
Ben Clemens: they’d a bunch of various coordinated chants for him, which is kind of par for the course in Japan, however he had greater than your common participant and likewise responded to the chants with some dance strikes
3:00
Ben Clemens: there was a really memorable play the place he gestured to the dugout that he was gonna attempt to rating from first earlier than one play, after which he really did it
3:01
Ben Clemens: now, it was b/c of two defensive miscues and he ought to have been out by 30 ft, however he was FLYING across the stadium, crowd and dugout going wild
3:01
Ben Clemens: is that this about his bat velocity? def not. But it surely was nice and I can nonetheless right here the group going ‘wiiiii mo peeeeeena’ if I give it some thought
3:01
Tigers fan: Would it not be potential for MLB to make baseballs with a greater grip/appears that pitchers are comfy with that additionally journey farther than the present balls?  Looks like this could be an answer everybody would really like.  As a fan its laborious watching my favourite all star gamers hitting beneath MLB regulars.
3:02
Ben Clemens: proper? i imply, empirically it looks as if they’ll’t even determine learn how to make the identical baseball for 2 straight months, so this feels like so much to ask
3:02
Ben Clemens: however they need to actually do that
3:02
Ben Clemens: the best way issues are going proper now shouldn’t be good
3:02
Danny Dan Dan: who has been the largest prospect you had been excessive on however flopped?
3:03
Ben Clemens: Colby Rasmus possibly?
3:03
Ben Clemens: however I used to be only a large Playing cards homer then and didn’t do my very own analysis
3:04
Ben Clemens: since I’ve been a baseball analyst, it’s possibly Carter Kieboom
3:04
Ben Clemens: I simply stored considering he’d be not less than a median common lengthy after that appeared like an unlikely end result
3:04
Avenue Cred: How come each time a man hits a HR, it’s all the time known as a mistake by the pitcher?  Time and time once more…. if Burnes goes 7 innings and permits only a 2-run HR, it will likely be described as “Burnes pitched a gem right this moment with the simply the one mistake to Soto within the fifth.”  Perhaps Soto simply hit an amazing pitch?  These batters are wonderful but it surely looks as if anytime they do nicely its only a pitching mistake.  Why is that?
3:04
Ben Clemens: Yeah it’s simply an saying tic, I agree with you that it’s not normally appropriate
3:05
Ben Clemens: I watch a whole lot of Giants video games and I’ve seen that Jon Miller understands this implicitly, he’ll point out errors not punished or nice swings at powerful pitches on a regular basis
3:05
Ben Clemens: it’s simpler to say ‘oh homers are pitcher errors’ however I believe that recognizing that the opposite man lives in an enormous home too is vital
3:06
Justin: Issues just like the Jo Adell breakout are enjoyable. I really feel like we normally level to the reason why a participant will breakout, like he beforehand had a low babip, or low fip/excessive period in earlier years, however generally there’s nothing within the apparent knowledge to level to a breakout after which it simply occurs which is cool. Your article on Reed Garrett altering pitches/pitch combine is one other instance off the highest of my head
3:06
Ben Clemens: Oh man, I like inexplicable strikes FAR greater than explicable strikes usually
3:06
Ben Clemens: ‘this man si higher than final yr b/c final yr he had a .220 babip and nothing modified’ shouldn’t be an article that I need to write or that you simply need to learn
3:07
Humorous Baseball: What are your ideas on Jazz this yr? He seems to be…stable (he’s been sizzling recently). Clearly will probably be traded come the deadline, really feel like he may very well be a distinction maker for a contender like Cleveland or…San Diego?
3:07
Ben Clemens: Cleveland makes a whole lot of sense to me
3:10
Tigers fan: Would you say its true usually that the typical pitcher and hitter right this moment is best than another time in baseball and but….these gamers won’t ever put up the statistics of the previous greats of the sport on account of how powerful the fashionable sport is?
3:10
Ben Clemens: Yeah, I used to be wanting up the Stephen Jay Gould argument that for this reason nobody is gonna hit .400 once more
3:10
Ben Clemens: b/c the variation in inhabitants is declining b/c the very absolute best make the bigs now
3:11
Ben Clemens: Okay everybody, this chat has been enjoyable however I gotta run and eat lunch earlier than I get occurring the remainder of my day. I’m doing a little extra bat monitoring investigations and a little bit of dwelling enchancment, ought to be a enjoyable week. Have an amazing day everybody, and let’s do that once more subsequent week.
3:12
Justin: What ebook is the hyperlink you simply posted from?
3:12
Ben Clemens: Okay final one
3:12
Ben Clemens: I dunno, but it surely’s been reprinted a ton of instances

 

Ben is a author at FanGraphs. He may be discovered on Twitter @_Ben_Clemens.



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