Bracketology: Choice committee not excessive on Mountain West; UConn in area with convention tourney champs

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The 2024 NCAA Event bracket is out and the choice committee had a tricky job this season. They had been coping with what all of us thought had been 4 bid stealers, solely to study it was really 5.

4 had been apparent. Oregon, NC State, Duquesne and UAB all needed to win their convention tournaments to play within the NCAA Event. Nevertheless, choice committee chairman Charles McClelland instructed us in the course of the Choice Present that New Mexico, which was regarded as within the area of 68 as an at-large earlier than it received the Mountain West Event, additionally stole a bid.

For these of you who assume metrics imply so much within the choice course of, the Lobos had been twenty second within the NET (earlier than and after the Mountain West title sport) and had been additionally high 25 in KenPom and KPI. They’d have set the document for the very best rated crew not noted within the NET period and fallen one spot in need of Missouri State’s document within the RPI period. The Bears had been twenty first within the RPI in 2006 and not noted of the sphere.

That was a part of a sample of surprisingly low seeds for groups within the Mountain West. San Diego State was a No. 5 seed, which was no shock, however no different crew was seeded greater than Utah State as a No.  8 seed. Boise State and Colorado State are within the First 4 as No. 10 seeds. Nevada can also be a No. 10 seed.

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When requested concerning the low seeds for the Mountain West on CBS Sports activities Community, choice committee vice chairman Bubba Cunningham mentioned that the committee observed that the majority of every crew’s greatest wins got here in convention video games.

San Diego State had wins over St. Mary’s and Gonzaga in nonconference play whereas Boise State additionally beat the Gaels. Nevada has a win over TCU and Colorado St beat each Creighton and Colorado.

That’s six complete for the six groups within the area. Nevertheless, it is not just like the nonconference schedule rankings had been universally poor, which is one thing the committee introduced up whereas discussing different groups.

For instance, Iowa State was not solely denied the fourth No. 1 seed however was given the fourth No. 2 seed largely attributable to a poor nonconference schedule. It was certainly putrid, rating at No. 324, however this can be a crew with 10 Quad 1 wins, tied for fourth behind the highest three No. 1 seeds UConn, Houston and Purdue. The Cyclones general SOS is 16, which is best than UConn’s and North Carolina’s, so that they had been in a position to overcome taking the primary two months off.

I perceive the need to encourage groups to play higher nonconference schedules, however the energy of full schedules must be valued as extremely.

When you seemed on the committee’s first 4 out, which one way or the other doesn’t embrace St. John’s or Virginia, you see Oklahoma with a Nonconference SOS rating of No. 247, Seton Corridor at No. 228, Indiana State at No. 187 and Pitt at No. 343. The easiest way to get not noted of the match has at all times been to fail to check your self outdoors your league and never distinguish your self inside it.

Regional rundown

Trying on the energy of the areas, I really feel like they’re moderately balanced. When you add up the general seed numbers of the highest 4 groups in every area, the vary goes from 32-36. 

UConn might face convention match champs in East: The highest 4 seeds within the East all received their convention match titles, however solely the reigning champion UConn Huskies received the regular-season title additionally. They determine to be an amazing favourite of their area regardless of the standard of their No. 2-4 seeds Iowa State, Illinois and Auburn. The Cyclones will probably be feeling particularly excessive after that 28-point beatdown of Houston.

Hazard forward for North Carolina in West: The Tar Heels might get Alabama or Saint Mary’s in a possible Candy 16 sport and Arizona because the No. 2 seed. The Wildcats had been a No. 1 seed when the committee gave us their high 16 again in February. Regardless of some hiccups in convention play, Arizona is constructed to go deep on this match.

Midwest is repeat of Maui Invitational: The choice committee determined to replay the 2023 Maui Invitational within the Midwest Area. Purdue received that occasion in November. Two of the three groups they beat, No. 2-seed Tennessee and No. 5 Gonzaga are on this area, as is No. 4 seed Kansas. 

A No. 5 seed appeared fairly excessive for a Gonzaga crew that was simply on the bubble. Because it seems, the Zags had been really a No. 6, however swapped with BYU so the Cougars might get a draw that retains them from enjoying on Sunday due to their spiritual insurance policies. A No. 6  seed appeared fairly excessive as properly contemplating their energy of schedule.

Not a simple path for Houston: The No.1 Cougars have Kentucky as a No. 3 seed in its area. The Wildcats determine to be the decide of many to return out of there. As at all times, expertise will not be the issue at Kentucky. The Wildcats might not play sufficient protection to make these picks come true nevertheless.

Marquette, the No. 2 seed within the South, is the one Maui Invitational participant not within the Midwest area. Tyler Kolek will probably be again with the Golden Eagles for the match after lacking the Huge East Event attributable to an indirect harm.

Duke is the No 4 seed in that area and is coming off an upset loss to NC State within the ACC Event. They at all times have the expertise to succeed, however have been off their greatest kind these days, dropping two in a row coming into the NCAA Event.

It must be an incredible match!  Thursday cannot get right here quick sufficient for me.

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