Prime 50 Free Brokers Chat

Ben Clemens: Hey everyone, welcome to the chat

Ben Clemens: Let’s simply get going

John Mozeliak: So I ought to soar the marketplace for Sonny Grey proper? Get one starter out of the best way, what do I would like to supply? 4 years for $90?

Ben Clemens: I truly don’t love this plan, there’s much less profit to ‘leaping’ a market while you’re making an attempt to get a couple of particular person

Ben Clemens: and likewise, the cardinals ought to be in search of worth in the event that they’re making an attempt to perform their said targets, that are a)retaining payroll fixed and b)including good beginning pitching

Ben Clemens: overshooting the market to get your man works rather a lot higher while you solely want one man

Dylan: I really feel as if a lot of the projections for Sonny Grey have been actually mild in comparison with his latest + general manufacturing and what guys have been getting available on the market previously couple seasons.

Guys like Chris Bassitt with significantly much less observe document are getting 60+ regardless of being an analogous age as Grey, and Grey enters this FA interval as one of many prime 5-10 pitchers of the 2023 season. Is there a disconnect due to the up-and-down nature of his profession? I really feel like 100m is much more possible than him getting underneath 70, even at age 34.

Ben Clemens: I’m unsure I agree with the over 100/underneath 70 factor right here however I’d be shocked if Grey will get lower than 70 for positive

Ben Clemens: I feel size can be what holds his deal again from 100, not AAV

Ben Clemens: I agree that his AAV’s are kinda low

Jon: Braves want pitching. The FA pitching choices are suspect at greatest. Ideas on what they need to do?

Ben Clemens: The FA pitching choices are nice!

Ben Clemens: They need to attempt to signal a few of these nice #2 starters to pair with Fried and Strider

Ben Clemens: are any of them from Georgia? That’d assist

Ben Clemens: Nola’s from the south, shut sufficient maybe

mac: bellinger looks like essentially the most terrifying idiot’s gold free agent in years. how a lot do you make of his struggles to hit excessive velo in 2023? towards pitches 96mph+, he hit .189 with a .250 xWOBA. petriello talked about on twitter that different nl central groups had picked up on it by the later a part of the season. what % probability is there that no matter group indicators him is regretting it by june?

Ben Clemens: I’d not signal Bellinger. I considered having him beneath all of the pitchers within the prime 10, since it is a my private desire record

Ben Clemens: However in the long run I feel he’s sort of a essential danger for groups that wish to add an impression place participant

Ben Clemens: I feel the times of him being an impression bat are most likely gone, however a plus hitter with nice CF protection at his age goes to attract a number of dough

Wi-fi Joe Jackson: Bellinger looks like essentially the most polarizing FA this 12 months. What sort of deal would you personally be snug giving him? He appears ripe for one of many fancy schmancy ones with each group and participant choices.

Ben Clemens: I imply I simply wouldn’t signal him, I’m decrease on him than the excessive bidder is certain to be

Ben Clemens: however yeah, I feel a kind of transformer sort offers is how I’d strategy it. I really like these Wacha/Martinez Padres offers, even when they ended up simply being brief offers as an alternative of fancy ones

M’s Fan: I’ve seen some rumors concerning the M’s signing an higher tier starter and buying and selling a younger controllable pitcher for hitting? Does this make sense? Snell, Montgomery, Nola make sense on this occasion?

Ben Clemens: I’d be shocked in the event that they did that given how they’ve dealt with payroll lately, to be trustworthy.

Ben Clemens: But when they have been going to do it, that is the 12 months. I really feel like there was constant smoke round them buying and selling a starter on the deadline and it didn’t make sense to me for 2 causes: 1)they worth these starters fairly extremely and a pair of)how would they enhance their group whereas buying and selling away a superb participant?

Ben Clemens: At the least the second downside is solved by us now being within the offseason the place you may signal extra guys, however I feel 1) continues to be a fairly elementary motive this gained’t work

Ben Clemens: I went on one among my favourite radio exhibits (Bernie Miklasz’s) to speak Cardinals, and we have been speaking about what it will value to convey, say, Logan Gilbert to St. Louis. I feel the Mariners would ask for Jordan Walker plus a number of different items

Ben Clemens: And the Cardinals nearly actually wouldn’t do this

Ben Clemens: Likewise, the Cardinals discuss a giant recreation about buying and selling for controllable pitching, however until they’re buying and selling Walker, I’ve unhealthy information: you’re not going to get your subsequent ace for Dylan Carlson and some prospect throw ins

Visitor: Why do you hate my favourite group participant

Ben Clemens: See, it’s truly a private factor with you, Visitor. I simply decide on the participant to get to you

Wi-fi Joe Jackson: Whither the Orioles? If there was ever a time for them to spend cash on beginning pitching, this positive looks like it. However they’re SO CHEAP.

Ben Clemens: I’m fairly furstrated with them

Ben Clemens: There’s actually no different approach to say it

Ben Clemens: Elias made it sound like they’re not even going to interact with the highest tier of the pitching market

Ben Clemens: At that time, you higher have some thrilling contract extensions within the pipeline

Ben Clemens: As a result of this entire ‘don’t get Adley Rutschman sufficient assist for half of the years he’s an Oriole’ deal is terrible

BresslyJo: What kind of overpay does a final place group such because the Purple Sox have to do to get anyone?

Ben Clemens: They most likely don’t have to overpay, until I’m misunderstanding what you imply

Ben Clemens: individuals like taking part in in Boston, cash could be exchanged for items and providers, appears fairly easy to me

Ben Clemens:

Kevin: Very glad to have you ever chatting once more! That’s all . . .

Ben Clemens: With the playoffs and their unusual time commitments over, I’m going to be again to an everyday Monday schedule fairly quickly

bosoxforlife: Would you contact Lucas Giolito with a 60’6″ pole?

Ben Clemens: so…. I’d

Ben Clemens: But when I have been making selections for a group, I’d be asking my analysts to speak me out of it

Ben Clemens: I’m fairly positive I like Giolito greater than consensus, and so I’d be making an attempt to get somebody to point out me the sunshine. I do assume that Giolito is the sort of man groups that want a number of pitching assist ought to be focusing on

Ben Clemens: he’s within the discount tier, comparatively talking, and that i’d be in for bulk innings with the choice at him turning again into his 2020-21 kind with a change of surroundings

Ben Clemens: I imply, not like he’s brief on adjustments of surroundings within the final 12 months, however post-trade efficiency is at all times bizarre

Tyler: With like $50 million dedicated to 2024, if the Reds don’t signal at the least one #2ish starter and 2-3 impression relievers, followers ought to storm GABP, proper? I’m considering Rodriguez, Lopez, Suter

Ben Clemens: That is one other deal like hte Orioles

Ben Clemens: You saved a ton of cash, tore down, received all these nice thrilling younger hitters

Ben Clemens: Now flip these financial savings into current-day buying energy and construct a superb group round your good gamers

Scotty H: Tim Anderson changing into a Marlin looks like the obvious factor to occur this offseason… until the brand new Rays’ man in cost goes to drastically change their FA signing.

Ben Clemens: I couldn’t agree extra

bosoxforlife: The Cardinals have succeeded in destroying the worth of all their younger outfielders. Dombrowski has it proper. Commerce the prospects earlier than they’re uncovered as Yoan Moncada and Michael Kopech.

Ben Clemens: Dave Dombrowski is a criminally underrated GM/government

Ben Clemens: he does a very good job understanding when to prey on thriller field considering

Ben Clemens: there may very well be something within the field!

robert nutting: Numerous dialogue on the market that the pirates need to improve 1B. What does this truly appear like? To me, a hoskins sort doesn’t appear to be the most effective use of cash, particularly given wants within the rotation

Ben Clemens: Yeah, I don’t assume the Pirates can be in on Hoskins, or anybody in that tier with Gurriel/Hernandez/Garver/so on

Ben Clemens: I feel it’d appear like the blokes who didn’t make the record, Joey Gallo or a Carlos Santana reunion

Ben Clemens: Gallo isn’t precisely a 1b however for those who squint possibly?

Adam: Ohtani vacation spot, NL West or the sphere, which aspect you bought?

Ben Clemens: I’ll take NL West, b/c I feel SF is unquestionably within the combine and the Dodgers are rightful favorites

Visitor: Talking of low cost groups on the lookout for beginning pitching, the Pirates are fairly brazenly on the lookout for starters. Which pitchers within the Prime 50 would you assume are most certainly to see much less curiosity than anticipated and take an affordable 1-year deal?

Ben Clemens: Properly, if I knew, it wouldn’t be lower than anticipated, however I do assume that there’s benefit in taking a Brewers-esque see the place the offseason takes you path

Ben Clemens: I prefer it when the Brewers do this, it’s given them some strong bargains, which is absolutely essential while you’re making an attempt to work on a finances. Pittsburgh ought to simply take a web page from that playbook and do a number of early-stage due diligence on guys in order that when individuals stick round, they already know in the event that they’re

Eric: Do you assume the Cubs focus their consideration extra on beginning pitching (Nola/Snell/Stroman reunion) or solidifying the nook infield spots with guys like Chapman and/or Hoskins? Or simply say screw it, give us Ohtani?

Ben Clemens: I imply, I feel they need to say screw it give us Ohtani if they’ll

Ben Clemens: After that, I’d pivot to pitching if I have been them, however to be trustworthy I haven’t given this a ton of thought so I’m simply working off the cuff right here

RobertoBeers: Adalberto Mondesi. I pinged you and Szym about what shenanigans may convey him on board for a long term contract than one would anticipate along with his latest historical past. He’s simply 28 in spite of everything. There’s a world the place he wins a GG with league common offense en-route to ~4war.

Ben Clemens: I imply there may be, however that world is just not notably possible. Realistically, the best way groups deal with it is a one-year show it deal. It’d be cool to signal some actually gadgety contract with incentives and group choices with no buyouts or one thing like that, nevertheless it’s simply not gonna occur

Tyler: Any probability San Diego trades transcend Soto? I don’t’ know sufficient about baseball funds to evaluate how dire the scenario is, however is a contract like Musgrove’s obtainable?

Ben Clemens: I actually don’t know. They’re telegraphing simply Soto, I feel, however Preller is just not recognized for being predictable

Dave: What’s the crowdsource estimate that shocked you essentially the most? Any gamers have your opinion shifted by their crowdsource estimates?

Ben Clemens: I used to be actually shocked by how shut the gang and I have been on these projections

Ben Clemens: For a fast look inside the method, I make my projections in a two-ish stage course of

Ben Clemens: First, I formulaically produce estimates for a way a lot cash groups will spend primarily based on a sliding-scale WAR valuation (first win is cheaper, principally), previous spending comparisons, inflation, large macro elements like that

Ben Clemens: Individually, I am going venture each contract with out utilizing that framework

Ben Clemens: Then I sort of therapeutic massage the 2 collectively, however there’s a forcing perform in there, so my complete outlay finally ends up becoming macro tendencies

Ben Clemens: That retains me from dropping the plot and “liking” 5 guys in a row to the purpose the place i venture a ton more cash spent than groups truly are likely to spend

Ben Clemens: So anyway, I do just a few rounds of all of that and give you estimates, and that’s earlier than the crowdsourcing

Ben Clemens: I regarded on the crowd numbers yday (or possibly two days in the past? it’s fuzzy) and was like wow, we’re actually shut

Ben Clemens: broadly talking, I projected extra spending than the gang, each in AAV and complete greenback outlay phrases

Ben Clemens: I feel I’ll be proper; like, the free agent class is shallow this 12 months, however that factored into my methodology. The gang’s complete projected spend is simply too low imo

Sanford: The place would you will have ranked Craig Counsell’s managerial providers within the prime 50?

Ben Clemens: Haha hmmmmmmm

Ben Clemens: I feel I’d quite add counsell to my group than Wacha, so at the least within the prime 25

Adam: How lots of the Different 49 signal earlier than Ohtani does? Will he be the primary large domino?

Ben Clemens: I feel he’ll be the primary large domino, however actually the market is stacking as much as have him not be an enormous sticking level if his negotiation goes late. I feel {that a} group signing Ohtani may nonetheless be in on just about anybody else b/c nobody else is getting 200 mill plus besides possibly Yamamoto

Ben Clemens: that mentioned, a few of these DH-only bats will not be getting a suggestion from the Dodgers/Cubs/and so on. whereas Ohtani continues to be in play

Tiger Fan: I gained’t fake we’re a superb group. Most likely round 76 wins with out ERod now. However may Detroit realistically get one of many tier 1 pitchers (Yamamoto/Nola/Grey/Montgomery) or will the sheer lack of excessive finish expertise imply they get picked off by large market groups spending foolish?

Ben Clemens: Nah, I feel that if the Tigers are on the lookout for a prime finish starter, they gained’t need to go over the moon to get one. If there’s one place to be affected person on this market, it’s with the clump of pitchers behind Yamamoto

Ben Clemens: (I feel he’s clearly Tier 1 on his personal)

Visitor: Dave Dombrowski can persuade homeowners to spend cash, the only most vital talent for an government to have. Straightforward HoF GM

Ben Clemens: One other nice level. Principally he’s actually good at all types of this stuff that don’t really feel “progressive”

Ben Clemens: however are actually vital

Ben Clemens: nowadays you may rent a number of analysts to measure how a lot everybody’s breaking ball breaks

Dan: Is Harper extra precious as a primary basemen or is that this simply injure avoidance?

Ben Clemens: For my part, it’s a mixture of damage avoidance and a few pre-planning for the long run

Ben Clemens: the transfer was coming ultimately, you may’t have a man with Harper’s general aggression charging across the outfield into his mid-30’s

S_McAnderson: Which pitcher do you are expecting to get essentially the most group pleasant contract and why is it Nick Martinez?

Ben Clemens: I truly assume it’ll be Wade Miley

Ben Clemens: However Martinez is a good name too

Ben Clemens: I’m actually curious what position he leads to

Sanford: Would a (wholesome) Ohtani / Yamamoto / Senga / Imanaga / Maeda rotation be the most effective in baseball? Mets solely have to signal 4 of them to make it occur

Ben Clemens: Hmmmm…. you understand, I feel it may be?

Ben Clemens: clearly tons of uncertainty

Ben Clemens: however that’s only a actually deep rotation

Dan: What number of gamers would the Mets signed if Steve Cohen determined to signal everybody who would enhance their group by beginning the vast majority of the video games are their pure place?

Ben Clemens: hmmmmmmm… I feel it’d be Bellinger, Chapman, and like 4 pitchers?

Ben Clemens: sorry the positioning’s down proper now in some way

Ben Clemens: so a)thanks for chatting with me anyway

Ben Clemens: however b)I couldn’t truly undergo their depth chart participant by participant

Steve O: Does Carlos Rodon bounce again subsequent 12 months? I nonetheless can’t consider how terrible he was after being so dominant for 2 seasons.

Ben Clemens: I’ve been questioning about this rather a lot

Ben Clemens: I’d say sure. This 12 months was so bizarre that I wrestle to venture off of it

Adam: Rank so as of probability: Alonso extension, Alonso commerce, Alonso performs it out and turns into a FA

Ben Clemens: I’d go extension, FA, commerce

Ben Clemens: a commerce isn’t unimaginable, however the marketplace for rhh energy bats in commerce has simply been depressing lately

Ben Clemens: for the group doing the buying and selling away, to be clear

Ben Clemens: if you wish to purchase low cost righty energy on the deadline, it’s been shockingly straightforward

Lee: Do the Angels commerce Mike Trout? I’m positive he likes taking part in there however they’re most likely just a few years away from actually competing and does Trout wish to waste extra of his prime years with out taking part in significant baseball in October.

Ben Clemens: I feel it comes down 100% to what Trout needs, to be trustworthy

Ben Clemens: if he says commerce me, they most likely need to

Ben Clemens: if he needs to remain, he’s staying

Ben Clemens: so I’m unsure the group’s preferencdes matter a lot right here

Ben Clemens: Okay web site’s again up, so to complete a Mets query, they’d additionally want yet one more OF, so I assume GUrriel

Appa Yip Yip: Would you belief Alek Manoah with a rotation spot, or ought to the Jays signal a starter and put Manoah in AAA to earn his means again?

Ben Clemens: Is perhaps a spot for Nick Martinez, or any person of that normal skillset. Manaea?

Ben Clemens: I’d most likely begin him in Triple-A however make it actually clear to everybody that if he’s pitching effectively, he can be within the main league rotation sooner quite than later

Ben Clemens: so I’d construct my roster with that in thoughts

Dan: I used to play a recreation name can I flip the Orioles into playoff favorites with only a checkbook. Because the Orioles have made that recreation boring I’ve switched to the Rockies. I see 42 struggle obtainable from the most effective 7 hitters, greatest 5 starters, and seven greatest relievers. That plus their current guys as bench plus beginning nook outfield and center infield and it doesn’t truly really feel like a playoff group.

Ben Clemens: Since I’m taking Dan’s regular chat spot, I clearly have to say the Rockies

Nate: What do the Giants do that winter, realistically? Like, am I too optimistic to consider they may truly land Ohtani?

Ben Clemens: With the caveat that just one group goes to land Ohtani, and that I don’t assume any group is 50% prone to

Ben Clemens: for positive you’re being sensible

Ben Clemens: The Giants are gonna attempt actually arduous to get him

Ben Clemens: I don’t assume cash is gonna be the holdup right here, it wasn’t with Decide or Correa

Tom: What occurs in SF if the Giants can’t land a giant title for what feels just like the fifth 12 months in a row?

Ben Clemens: The temper right here is fairly grim

Ben Clemens: Gabe Kapler was a very in style supervisor amongst SF followers who I do know. to be honest, that group skews in the direction of youthful and extra lately moved right here followers

Ben Clemens: Crawford is beloved by everyone

Ben Clemens: this group retains eliminating likeable individuals, there higher be some payoff or I feel this might finish in Zaidi dropping his job by finish of 2024

Dan: The saying is you may by no means have sufficient pitching however in some unspecified time in the future good pitchers cease taking your name since they don’t wish to be the 5 or sixth greatest pitcher on a group, is that this a good take?

Ben Clemens: It’s, however solely kinda

Ben Clemens: Like, Shota Imanaga is just not signing with you for those who’re unsure if he’ll begin

Ben Clemens: however Wade Miley may

Zach: Is the relative weak spot of this (non-Ohtani) class principally coincidence, or extra as a result of the most effective younger gamers in baseball are extra continuously signing contract extensions, leaving free company to the 30+ set and the occasional Boras consumer?

Ben Clemens: these are the 2 contributing elements. I feel it’s extra coincidence, simply have a look at final 12 months’s class, however I do assume that free company is tending much less star-studded over time due to extensions

Izzy: I’d like it if the Cubs went after Giolito. You want 9-10 starters to get by way of a season, certainly he’s ok to be one among them… so long as you deal with him as a depth piece and never a man you’re trusting within the playoffs.

Ben Clemens: Yeah, I feel that makes good sense. I feel a number of groups with these large pitching wants ought to be in on Giolito for that actual thought course of

Ben Clemens: If he seems to be rather a lot higher this 12 months, wonderful

Ben Clemens: he’s in your playoff rotation

Ben Clemens: if he’s simply an innings eater, hey that’s life

Hunter: Is Detroit a doable spot for Chapman or wouldn’t it require an excessive amount of of an overpay?

Ben Clemens: I suppose it’s, and I dunno if Chapman needs to play in Detroit but when he does, why wouldn’t it require an overpay?

Ben Clemens: Sorry, needed to run off for a sec however I’m again

Hunter: I assume I believed it could require an overpay since they’re much less apparent contenders than a few of his different potential suitors

Ben Clemens: Yeah, this brings up one thing I’ve at all times puzzled

Ben Clemens: How come we don’t get to see the free company course of from a participant aspect

Ben Clemens: I’d be actually to listen to a mid-tier free agent, or higher tier however not among the finest 5 or so, break down how they make their selections

Ben Clemens: is it at all times the very best contract?

Ben Clemens: Are they doing vibes conferences with managers and teammates?

Ben Clemens: DO they analysis the cities the place they could reside?

Ben Clemens: Mannnnn I actually wish to know this

Appa Yip Yip: Would you quite signal Matt Chapman, or break up the cash and as an alternative go along with like, Candelario and Lee Jung-hoo, or comparable gamers?

Ben Clemens: I feel that Eric made a very good level about Lee in his writeup

Ben Clemens: In the event you’re signing him, it’s important to deal with it as a multi-year funding

Ben Clemens: like if I informed you you’d get precisely Ha-Seong Kim’s outcomes

Ben Clemens: You’d be fairly joyful

Ben Clemens: however he didn’t adapt seamlessly by any means

Walewander: Ben, free agent gamers are principally involved with native college district high quality

Ben Clemens: I do know you’re joking, however I wish to know HOW MUCH they care about that

Ben Clemens: it’s certainly not precise zero

Adam: Severino looks like an ideal Twin match with the slider .. does 1/12 mil work ??

Ben Clemens: I imply, I projected him for that, so I’d say sure

Ben Clemens: however I additionally assume you may see like 1/8 plus a bunch of incentives with a second-year possibility and a buyout, or one thing

Steve O: Do the Yankees and Cardinals match up on a Brendan Donovan commerce? Is Clarke Schmidt and a mid tier pitcher (Greg Weissert?) honest or would the Yankees need to kick in additional? I may see the Cardinals retaining him however they don’t have any pitching and I feel the market will get a bit loopy..

Ben Clemens: If that’s how the Cardinals find yourself filling a pitching emptiness, there are going to be some sad Cardinals followers

Ben Clemens: possibly if the Playing cards signal two good starters and might’t discover a third?

Ben Clemens: However I feel that the general return you’re speaking about is unquestionably within the ballpark

Ben Clemens: I don’t assume the Yankees must kick in additional

Dan: Do most kids of main leagues go to public faculties? Do most households of main leagues reside in the identical metropolis because the stadium? In case your residing an hour or two out (solely commuting 81 instances a 12 months to that location) there certainly is an efficient college system close to each stadium.

Ben Clemens: I assume they don’t, so yeah, possibly high quality of personal faculties? possibly whether or not they have mates within the space for the children? I dunno

Ben Clemens: I wish to know this stuff!

Captain ACAB: What would you do to make the wage construction extra “honest” in order that younger gamers receives a commission extra for his or her best seasons and never wait till they’re “overpaid veterans” in free company?

Ben Clemens: if I may take over the sport? I’d institute some sort of restricted free company and shorten time to free company

Nate: When Alex Gordon was a free agent (earlier than he finally re-signed with the Cubs), I keep in mind him telling Nebraska newspapers that location and cost-of-living trumped the rest, together with profitable. He willingly took much less with KC as a result of he snug and his cash went additional.

Appa Yip Yip: Guys who’re married with youngsters are completely listening to their wives and actually possibly even the children relying how outdated they’re

Ben Clemens: I imply, they clearly ought to be!

Ben Clemens: However I simply wish to hear the tales. Participant’s Tribune, this may be proper up your alley

Marcos: Higher animation reference: Cash could be exchanged for items and providers, or there may very well be something within the field?

Ben Clemens: i just like the Simpsons extra so I’ve to go along with that one

Ben Clemens: they’re two all-timers although

Mike: Looks like the extra possible means the Playing cards go about pitching is getting somebody extra like Sonny Grey (much less 12 months and complete {dollars} than Nola/Yamamoto/Snell), a mid tier like Lugo/Maeda, a low finish commerce of Carlson/Burleson for somebody like Clarke Schmidt, and a flyer on somebody like Erick Fedde?

Ben Clemens: So I feel you’re proper

Ben Clemens: and I feel that’s not actually sufficient

Ben Clemens: their pitching is BAD

Ben Clemens: I feel that’s a tough bind to get out of by signing a bunch of people that aren’t nice

Ben Clemens: Grey does make sense to me, however for those who get him and he’s your ace, after which your quantity two is beneath common for a quantity two, there are simply deficits all the best way down

Nate: Gordon re-signed with the Royals, not Cubs. D’oh!

Ben Clemens: I figured that’s what you meant and simply let it go

Appa Yip Yip: Is Matt Chapman going to be a entice contract? The unhealthy months have been grim and hitting the ball arduous doesn’t assist for those who don’t hit the ball typically.

Ben Clemens: I feel that he’s going to be a deal the place the contract feels worse than it’s

Ben Clemens: the unhealthy Chapman months are SO BAD

Ben Clemens: and a number of his worth is available in a means the place we underrate it on the time and see it later (protection)

Ben Clemens: like in nearly each consequence, the Chapman deal will really feel worse to followers of the group than to executives of the group. Even the nice outcomes

Ben Clemens: if followers assume Chapman returned roughly his contract worth, the percentages are excessive that he returned extra

TBone: What’s your funniest Fa consequence?

Ben Clemens: Ooh, I’d say Ohtani to the Rays

Ben Clemens: failing that, what if each quick participant received signed by the brand new Ron Washington Angels and he’s simply beginning a observe meet each recreation

Captain ACAB: I’m guessing you hate this query and get it rather a lot, however who’s the 51st ranked free agent?

Ben Clemens: Hyun Jin Ryu

Ben Clemens: I wrote up a caption for him and every thing in case we had only one extra hole within the record

Ben Clemens: (a bunch of fellows have been on there after which eliminated b/c of damage or extension)

Ben Clemens: Bonus content material for you content material hounds

Ben Clemens: Ryu was added to this record after quite a few gamers fell off of it as a consequence of damage or contract choices. I don’t have a superb deal with on his market. However I do assume that somebody will kick the tires on Ryu and see if a few of his mid-career effectiveness will return as he continues his restoration from an damage that value him greater than a 12 months’s price of begins. His stuff was clearly beneath main league common when he pitched within the second half of 2023, however that hasn’t stopped him previously. Each of our pitching fashions thought his fastball was borderline unplayable in 2020 and 2021, when he compiled a 3.89 ERA throughout 236 innings of labor.

That’s how Ryu has at all times labored – craftily, and on the margins of the zone. It’s cheap to assume that his fashion may be extra affected by rust than your common pitcher; his biggest talent has at all times been command, and he didn’t look notably sharp upon his return. Possibly that’s the top of the road – generally a decline in stuff and command simply means you don’t have it anymore

Farhandrew Zaidman: Dodgers have holes at DH, Nook OF, and 2B. Mookie clearly fills a kind of holes (of half of two). Query: do you see them focusing on infield expertise or outfield expertise to fill the opposite hole(s)?

Ben Clemens: I feel they’re gonna depart DH open for Ohtani till he indicators, after which if that occurs, simply get a stopgap at 2b/rf primarily based on market situations

Ben Clemens: the long-term objective is to have Michael Busch or Miguel Vargas fill that gap, I’m positive

Not Jerry D: Talking of what influences free agent selections, Ohtani doesn’t appear to care about profitable (he picked the angels) or cash (timing of when he came to visit). What ought to my pitch be?

Ben Clemens: He undoubtedly cares about profitable, although I’ll admit that possibly he didn’t when he came to visit

Ben Clemens: He gave an entire interview on the All Star recreation, when he may haven’t, with the specific function of getting the phrase on the market that he cares about profitable

Ben Clemens: and I feel that taking part in on the Angels, dropping for the primary time, is an efficient approach to begin caring extra about profitable

Ben Clemens: I feel that he cares a few legacy, and luxury

Ben Clemens: so that you promote him on how he’s going to be a part of a group that everybody remembers without end, and that it’ll be his group

Appa Yip Yip: When Gausman signed with the Jays he particularly talked about that the group had somebody whose entire job was serving to households with the transition and that helped him and his spouse really feel snug with the transfer. But additionally 110 tens of millions {dollars} so who’s to say.

Ben Clemens: Proper, looking back it’s straightforward to say that

Ben Clemens: when you’ve taken the cash, the opposite stuff begins sounding higher

JaysFan: Yimi Garcia for Tyler O’Neill, who says no? Jays shed 6 million and get a LFer

Ben Clemens: I feel the Cardinals would say no

Ben Clemens: it’s not a lot of a cash distinction, actually

Ben Clemens: O’Neill made 5 mil in arb final 12 months

Ben Clemens: however the Cardinals most likely don’t wish to transfer individuals for non-starters given the opening of their rotation

Ben Clemens: getting the Maple Masher to the Jays could be nice, although, I agree

Texas Man: Although he’s not a superb catcher, Garver can catch and he rakes. I’d think about a number of groups wouldn’t thoughts having their backup catcher as an everyday DH for added general roster flexibility. I used to be shocked to see him not projected to make extra.

Ben Clemens: I imply, time will inform clearly

Ben Clemens: He’s one the place I used to be shocked that I appear to be the excessive guesser on him throughout a number of publications, I believed I’d be mid vary

Ben Clemens: I feel that you just’d have to plan on having a good Triple-A fill in for catcher as effectively for those who wished that plan, although

Ben Clemens: Like, a shuttle sort man

Ben Clemens: I’m unsure that you may depend on Garver as your solely obtainable backup if he’s additionally DH’ing each day, although he may MOSTLY do it for positive

Ben Clemens: That mentioned, not a tough carry. There are tons of backup catchers on this planet

Tomdric: Among the many prime 50 free brokers, which gamers would shock you the least to see getting a contract considerably bigger/smaller than your expectation?

Ben Clemens: I imply, the straightforward reply right here is the international professionals

Ben Clemens: These are at all times the toughest projections

Ben Clemens: however I’m additionally gonna add Adam Duvall and Rhys Hoskins

Ben Clemens: I may see somebody being actually excessive on Duvall, keep in mind how thrilling it was when he was a CF?

Ben Clemens: and I may see Hoskins’s market simply faling aside if his medicals are iffy

Tony: Give a constructive prediction for the Padres, please!

Ben Clemens: The Padres are going to be one of the vital enjoyable groups in baseball subsequent 12 months no matter competitiveness

Ben Clemens: Additionally, they’ll find yourself with some mid-level pitchers who’re actually attention-grabbing. AJ does attention-grabbing nwell

Greg: Except for Ohtani, what’s the one batter Jerry Dipoto ought to be making an attempt purchase whether or not that’s a free agent or a practical commerce goal?

Ben Clemens: I’d be a fan of them getting Hoskins

Hank: Tyler Oneil prompted one thing humorous. He may clearly surpass it, however what number of guys are on the market with a 5+ WAR season and a sub-10 profession WAR over a bunch of seasons? Wild arc

Ben Clemens: Really a loopy profession

Ben Clemens: Additionally the one participant who has led to me having an image not accepted to put up in an article

Ben Clemens: It wasn’t due to content material, to be honest

Ben Clemens: It’s as a result of I screencapped it from some random broadcast and we truly do license pictures

Ben Clemens: nevertheless it was of the group ripping his shirt to shreds in a celebration, so I prefer to assume I received censored

Adam: Is a 1 for 1 – Jorge Polanco for Bryan Woo, near equal worth?

Ben Clemens: I’d take Woo by a good quantity there

Dante: If a group doesn’t have many (or any) scouting assets in Asia, are they ever within the combine for prime guys like Yamamoto? Looks like you wouldn’t want reside seems to be to know if you would like him. Clearly it will harm them on the non-elite guys. I assume they’ll ship a crosschecker or somebody over there if they’re severe a few man?

Ben Clemens: Yeah I don’t assume it issues that a lot for a man like Yamamoto, as a result of it’s straightforward to ship a cross-checker such as you mentioned

Ben Clemens: and that i imply, there’s all types of nice pitch-level information for him as effectively, NPB is close to MLB-quality in information stuff, I watched a TON of video of Yamamoto courtesy of Eric, noticed him pitch within the WBC, and so on.

Ben Clemens: I completely agree with you that it hurts extra on the non-top-of-scale guys

Ben Clemens: Alright, this has been a beautiful chat, however I’ve to get transferring in order that I can get breakfast after which go on Successfully Wild to speak about the identical factor extra

Ben Clemens: Have a beautiful day everybody, and thanks a lot in your curiosity on this train