Tottenham are spiralling.
They haven’t received a Premier League match in 2026. They’re only one level above the relegation zone. They’ve misplaced their final six video games in all competitions, which is their worst-ever run.
Opta’s supercomputer continues to be backing Spurs to keep away from the drop (giving them an 81.9% likelihood of staying up), however with 9 video games to go, they’re very a lot within the mire.
They’re the one top-flight crew but to win a sport within the competitors this calendar 12 months. A welcome distraction had come within the type of the Champions League, however their woes adopted them into Europe on Tuesday, as they succumbed to a 5-2 defeat to Atletico Madrid.
Spurs had been 4-0 down inside 22 minutes, with goalkeeper Antonin Kinsky, included at Guglielmo Vicario’s expense, dragged off 17 minutes in after some calamitous errors.
Igor Tudor got here in for loads of criticism within the wake of the catastrophe within the Spanish capital, however because it stands, the Croatian, who has made the worst begin of any Tottenham boss, shall be in place to take Spurs to face Liverpool at Anfield.
He was meant to regular the ship and information Spurs via to the top of the season, but when issues proceed to go south, certainly there is just one approach that is ending.
Spurs may properly be within the backside three if outcomes elsewhere go towards them by the point they kick off on Sunday.
There’s little margin for error, and if Spurs are to pull themselves clear, they should begin pulling outcomes from someplace.
Will they modify the narrative this weekend? Utilizing Opta insights, we delve into the important thing numbers.
What’s anticipated?
The Opta supercomputer is, unsurprisingly, backing Liverpool right here, giving the Reds a 65.1% win likelihood.
Spurs got here out on high in simply 16.1% of the mannequin’s 10,000 data-led sims. There’s an 18.8% likelihood of a draw.
Liverpool have misplaced simply considered one of their final 31 residence league video games towards Spurs (W21 D9), and are unbeaten in 14 (W10 D4) since a 2-0 loss in Could 2011.
Spurs have received simply considered one of their final 16 Premier League video games towards Liverpool (D3 L12), shedding the final 4 in a row since a 2-1 residence win in September 2023.
Liverpool vs Tottenham is the highest-scoring fixture in Premier League historical past, with 209 objectives.
The Reds have scored 127 of those, with solely Liverpool themselves netting extra towards a particular opponent within the competitors (131 vs Newcastle United).
Faltering Reds
It has been a dismal title defence from Liverpool, who couldn’t say they’d have been worthy of three factors after they slumped to a last-gasp 2-1 defeat to Wolves final day out within the league.
Nevertheless, Liverpool are nonetheless gunning for a spot within the high 4 and may have the Anfield crowd on their facet.
Liverpool have misplaced 9 Premier League video games this season, greater than they did in 2023-24 (4) and 2024-25 (4) mixed (eight).
The Reds final suffered 10+ defeats in a league season in 2015-16 (10), and final did so below a single supervisor in 2014-15 below Brendan Rodgers (12).
Like Spurs, Liverpool additionally come into this sport on the again of a defeat within the Champions League, albeit they solely went down 1-0 to Galatasaray.
Earlier than that, Liverpool beat Wolves 3-1 within the FA Cup, however there isn’t any doubt that the defeat at Molineux three days earlier represented a blow to Arne Slot, whose crew proceed to provide away objectives late on.
Liverpool have misplaced 5 Premier League video games because of Ninetieth-minute or later objectives this season, probably the most ever by a crew in a single marketing campaign.
In reality, Liverpool’s second halves have produced a league-high 59 objectives (32 for, 27 towards).
However, solely Sunderland (25) have seen fewer objectives within the first halves of their Premier League video games this season than Liverpool (28 – 16 for, 12 towards), whereas solely Burnley’s first halves have seen extra objectives (46) than Spurs (42 – 16 for, 26 towards). So, perhaps count on drama afterward on this contest?
A very long time coming
Solely 5 instances has a crew gone longer with out a win from the beginning of a calendar 12 months within the competitors than Spurs have in 2026 – Crystal Palace in 2016 (12) and 2023 (12), Middlesbrough in 2017 (14), Sunderland in 2003 (17) and Derby County in 2008 (18).
Spurs are winless in 11 league matches. They’ve misplaced every of their final 5 Premier League video games; solely in February 1994 (seven) and November 2004 (six) have they ever suffered 6+ successive defeats of their league historical past.
However this hunch has been a very long time coming.
Because the begin of final season, Spurs have received solely 18 league video games. Of the ever-present top-flight groups in that point, solely Wolves (15) have collected fewer wins.
Solely Wolves (40) have misplaced extra Premier League matches for the reason that begin of 2024-25 than Spurs (36).
Spurs have shipped 111 objectives, trailing simply West Ham (116) and Wolves (121), whereas their 108.0 xG towards in that point is the worst within the division.
However maybe getting away from Tottenham Hotspur Stadium shall be a very good factor for Spurs.
They’ve earned 19 of their 29 factors within the Premier League this season away from residence, a ratio of 66%.
Within the competitors’s historical past, solely Ipswich City in 2024-25 (68% – 15/22) and Palace in 1997-98 (67% – 22/33) have ever earned a bigger share of their factors on the street.
PLAYERS TO WATCH
Liverpool – Mohamed Salah
It has been an underwhelming season for Mohamed Salah, who may properly be into his Liverpool swansong.
The Egyptian did rating towards Wolves final day out within the league, although, and he has netted 16 instances in his profession towards Spurs throughout all competitions (14 for Liverpool, one for Fiorentina, one for Basel), his joint-most towards a single opponent (additionally 16 v Manchester United).
Twelve of these have come within the Premier League, with solely Alan Shearer (14) netting extra towards Spurs within the competitors.
Tottenham – Richarlison
Ex-Everton striker Richarlison, who helped drag the Toffees to security in 2022 previous to his transfer to Spurs, shall be out to show some extent.
Richarlison has been concerned in additional Premier League objectives towards Liverpool than another opponent (eight – 5 objectives, three assists), together with 5 in 5 video games with Spurs (three objectives, two assists).
His subsequent objective or help shall be his one centesimal within the Premier League (72 objectives, 27 assists at the moment), with solely two Brazilians beforehand reaching that milestone (Roberto Firmino, 132, Gabriel Jesus, 118).
Richarlison, although, might not even be assured to start out. Former Liverpool ahead Dominic Solanke scored towards Atletico, however Tudor actually must be looking for a strategy to get the 28-year-old into the crew.
He isn’t solely Spurs’ main scorer this time period (9 objectives in all competitions), however his 13 objective involvements additionally rank 4 away from any of his club-mates.