
As Thursday’s 6 PM deadline approached, the New York Yankees lastly made their huge bullpen strikes, first buying and selling for nearer David Bednar from the Pittsburgh Pirates and sending again catcher Rafael Flores, catcher Edgleen Perez, and outfielder Brian Sanchez. Bednar, with a yr of arbitration remaining subsequent season, has allowed a 2.37 ERA and a 1.96 FIP whereas putting out 51 batters and strolling solely 10 in 38 innings this yr.
Additionally donning (non-purple) pinstripes is Jake Fowl, whom the Yankees acquired from the Colorado Rockies in alternate for second baseman Roc Riggio and left-handed starter Ben Shields. Fowl, in his fourth yr with the Rockies, has a 4.73 ERA for the season, however a a lot sunnier 3.45 FIP, and he has struck out almost 11 batters per 9 innings, simply the perfect mark of his profession.
However that wasn’t fairly sufficient for the Yankees, and because the clock approached the highest of the hour, they picked up Camilo Doval from the San Francisco Giants for 3 prospects: catcher-third baseman Jesus Rodriguez, right-handed starter Trystan Vrieling, and first baseman Parks Harber.
Seemingly each fascinating reliever on a non-contending staff was traded this week, so it was solely a matter of time till the Yankees jumped in, particularly on condition that the first-place Blue Jays hadn’t been sitting round twiddling their thumbs. The Yankees bullpen hasn’t been an utter catastrophe, however it’s been one in all their weaker models in recent times, with an ERA and FIP each on the unsuitable facet of 4. The Steamer/ZiPS depth chart projections had been comparatively pleased with the entrance three or 4 members of the bullpen, anchored by Devin Williams, however noticed actual weak spot on the again finish.
After a brutal begin to the season, Williams briefly misplaced the nearer job, getting it again after a Luke Weaver hamstring harm. Since returning to closing video games, Williams has been typically efficient, with a 3.66 ERA and a pair of.84 FIP whereas changing 12 of 13 save alternatives. However he’s been rockier during the last week, with a blown save on Wednesday and a number of other less-than-clean escapes. Weaver, one in all final yr’s key pitchers down the stretch, has struggled since getting back from harm. In opposition to this backdrop, it’s not in the least stunning to see the Yankees add reduction assist. None of those new relievers are free brokers on the finish of the season, so New York is taking part in the lengthy recreation right here.
Few, if any, relievers have restored their worth during the last three months as a lot as Bednar. After two All-Star appearances in 2022 and 2023, Bednar was so brutal final yr that he misplaced his closing job late within the season to Aroldis Chapman, and an terrible opening collection towards the Marlins this yr resulted in a demotion to Triple-A Indianapolis. Since coming again, he’s relied on his often efficient curveball greater than ever, and is arguably having the perfect season of his profession. The Pirates are sellers and have about as a lot precise want for a veteran nearer as a cat has for a laptop computer.
ZiPS Projection – David Bednar
12 months | W | L | ERA | G | GS | IP | H | ER | HR | BB | SO | ERA+ | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 | 6 | 4 | 3.45 | 59 | 0 | 57.3 | 46 | 22 | 6 | 19 | 69 | 120 | 0.7 |
2026 ZiPS Projection Percentiles –
David Bednar
Percentile | ERA+ | ERA | WAR |
---|---|---|---|
95% | 220 | 1.88 | 2.0 |
90% | 190 | 2.18 | 1.7 |
80% | 156 | 2.64 | 1.3 |
70% | 139 | 2.97 | 1.1 |
60% | 130 | 3.17 | 0.9 |
50% | 120 | 3.45 | 0.7 |
40% | 108 | 3.81 | 0.4 |
30% | 100 | 4.14 | 0.2 |
20% | 88 | 4.67 | -0.1 |
10% | 77 | 5.36 | -0.5 |
5% | 63 | 6.58 | -1.0 |
Because the Yankees are getting a full yr on high of the stretch drive, the prospects despatched to Pittsburgh are good ones. Edgleen Perez was ranked sixth in our up to date Yankees prospect rankings earlier than the commerce, and whereas his energy has but to actually develop, he has superb plate self-discipline and might hit his fair proportion of arduous line drives. As a 19-year-old catcher, it might be a foul concept to take his seasonal line too critically, and the Pirates will little doubt be affected person on condition that he’s more likely to stick on the place. Eric Longenhagen notes that Perez stays particularly susceptible to secondary pitches thrown exterior.
Whereas Perez’s destiny requires some projection and hypothesis, Rafael Flores might be almost the participant he’s destined to change into. He has adopted up a 152 wRC+ at two ranges final yr with a 146 wRC+ and 15 homers in 87 video games for Double-A Somerset this yr. ZiPS throws out names like Phil Nevin and A.J. Hinch as offensive comps, amongst others. Protection, however, is a special story. He’s not a whole legal responsibility behind the plate, however protection is way from his forte. Eric has described Flores to me as a “viable, however flawed, huge league match,” who groups will run on quite a bit because of a robust, however inaccurate arm that hasn’t made progress. This implies he may find yourself catching in Pittsburgh, however probably as a part of a tandem, not somebody you ship on the market 120 occasions a yr.
ZiPS Projection – Rafael Flores
12 months | BA | OBP | SLG | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | OPS+ | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 | .233 | .303 | .404 | 446 | 52 | 104 | 22 | 0 | 18 | 65 | 42 | 151 | 4 | 97 | 1.3 |
2027 | .235 | .307 | .407 | 442 | 53 | 104 | 22 | 0 | 18 | 66 | 43 | 145 | 3 | 99 | 1.5 |
2028 | .234 | .306 | .408 | 436 | 52 | 102 | 22 | 0 | 18 | 66 | 43 | 140 | 3 | 99 | 1.5 |
2029 | .233 | .308 | .410 | 424 | 51 | 99 | 21 | 0 | 18 | 64 | 43 | 134 | 3 | 100 | 1.5 |
2030 | .230 | .305 | .403 | 409 | 49 | 94 | 20 | 0 | 17 | 61 | 42 | 127 | 2 | 98 | 1.3 |
2031 | .229 | .306 | .402 | 388 | 46 | 89 | 19 | 0 | 16 | 56 | 40 | 120 | 2 | 98 | 1.2 |
Brian Sanchez hasn’t gotten a number of consideration from scouts, however he’s but to hit a wall offensively and has stable sufficient velocity and a body that means that there may at the least be some energy/velocity upside. He’s improved his contact price in every of his three minor league seasons, going from 57% to 68% to 77%, and he does get on base. The Florida State League is a good distance from the NL Central, although, and he’s been gradual to advance by means of the minors. Even so, Sanchez is value watching the following few years.
As was the case with Bednar — and likewise Doval, whom we’ll get to in a second — Fowl struggled final season after a robust 2023, and likewise like the opposite two, he’s rebounded within the present marketing campaign. Earlier within the season, Fowl was trying quite a bit like he may find yourself because the token Rockies All-Star, sitting at a 1.41 ERA in mid-June. He’s had a tough time of it since, permitting 22 earned runs over his final 15 innings, a completely abysmal run. Whereas nothing can utterly absolve such a efficiency, opponents have touched Fowl up for a ridiculous .448 BABIP throughout that stretch; no skilled pitcher’s precise talent stage is that unhealthy. The Yankees most likely received’t throw him into high-leverage conditions straight away — and contemplating they now haven’t any fewer than 4 closers, they don’t want to make use of him there — however there’s nothing so clearly damaged about Fowl that he shouldn’t be counted as essential middle-inning depth. And given Fowl’s early success, the Yankees have a number of potential upside right here, much more so when you think about their monitor document of bettering reduction pitchers after bringing them over from different organizations. It wouldn’t in any respect be stunning if New York’s pitching gurus have some notes for Fowl, who isn’t eligible to achieve free company till after the 2028 season.
ZiPS Projection – Jake Fowl
12 months | W | L | ERA | G | GS | IP | H | ER | HR | BB | SO | ERA+ | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 | 3 | 2 | 3.96 | 59 | 0 | 75.0 | 64 | 33 | 7 | 30 | 78 | 104 | 0.4 |
2027 | 3 | 2 | 3.95 | 56 | 0 | 70.7 | 60 | 31 | 6 | 28 | 72 | 105 | 0.3 |
2028 | 2 | 3 | 4.05 | 52 | 0 | 66.7 | 58 | 30 | 6 | 27 | 67 | 102 | 0.2 |
2026 ZiPS Projection Percentiles –
Jake Fowl
Percentile | ERA+ | ERA | WAR |
---|---|---|---|
95% | 157 | 2.63 | 1.7 |
90% | 138 | 2.99 | 1.3 |
80% | 126 | 3.29 | 1.0 |
70% | 116 | 3.55 | 0.7 |
60% | 110 | 3.76 | 0.5 |
50% | 104 | 3.96 | 0.4 |
40% | 97 | 4.24 | 0.1 |
30% | 90 | 4.59 | -0.2 |
20% | 83 | 4.97 | -0.5 |
10% | 74 | 5.58 | -0.8 |
5% | 68 | 6.05 | -1.2 |
Roc Riggio hasn’t actually been a favourite of scouts or on different prospect lists, although Eric at present evaluates him as a forty five FV, which is actual prospect territory. All Riggio has performed is hit this season, and ZiPS already thinks he’s ok to be a task participant within the majors. Right here’s what Eric mentioned about Riggio in his up to date report following the commerce:
Riggio grew to become well-known when he dedicated to UCLA ridiculously early (he was in eighth grade). He didn’t find yourself a Bruin and as an alternative matriculated to Oklahoma State, the place he hit very properly for 2 years as he embraced a type of grinder/heel persona. He ended up slashing .316/.438/.601 in two seasons for the Cowboys, then .221/.349/.397 with 11 residence runs and 27 steals at Excessive-A Hudson Valley in his first full season. He hit his solution to Double-A Somerset in 2025 and was slashing a strong .264/.370/.567 on the time he was traded for Jake Fowl. Lefty-hitting infielders with this sort of bat velocity are unusual, and the Yankees made adjustments to Riggio’s swing (he has a a lot larger leg kick now) which have made it extra athletic and appear to have positively impacted his plate protection. He’s been extra harmful than susceptible towards pitches out away from him this yr, and had a 55% arduous hit price round he halfway level of the summer time. Riggio is not any slouch as a defender, both, despite the fact that he’s probably restricted to second base. His floor stats are a caricature of his true expertise as a result of the hitting environments at Hudson Valley and Somerset are favorable, however that is nonetheless an “arrow up” prospect who’s beginning to appear like a possible on a regular basis second baseman.
ZiPS Projection – Roc Riggio
12 months | BA | OBP | SLG | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | OPS+ | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 | .219 | .307 | .405 | 375 | 56 | 82 | 20 | 4 | 14 | 56 | 41 | 103 | 8 | 88 | 0.6 |
2027 | .224 | .312 | .412 | 393 | 60 | 88 | 21 | 4 | 15 | 60 | 43 | 104 | 8 | 91 | 0.8 |
2028 | .228 | .315 | .422 | 403 | 62 | 92 | 22 | 4 | 16 | 63 | 44 | 103 | 8 | 95 | 1.0 |
2029 | .230 | .319 | .417 | 391 | 61 | 90 | 22 | 3 | 15 | 62 | 44 | 98 | 8 | 95 | 1.0 |
2030 | .232 | .321 | .421 | 380 | 60 | 88 | 21 | 3 | 15 | 60 | 43 | 94 | 7 | 96 | 1.1 |
2031 | .235 | .323 | .423 | 362 | 57 | 85 | 20 | 3 | 14 | 56 | 41 | 89 | 6 | 97 | 1.0 |
Drafted in 2024 however already 26 years outdated, Ben Shields is an older prospect, however he’s had success since becoming a member of the skilled ranks, putting out 179 batters in 141 2/3 innings. It’s value noting he missed a very good chunk of this season because of a hip harm, however he’s been good when he has been on the mound. He solely has two pitches — a full of life fastball and a slider, which he has hassle throwing for strikes — and he’ll have to develop a 3rd to stay as a starter transferring ahead. Nonetheless, he does have the makings of a very good lefty out of the bullpen.
Like Bednar, Doval was an All-Star in 2023 who’s pitching properly once more after a dreadful efficiency final season. The previous Giants fireballer isn’t fairly again to the place he was two years in the past, as he’s nonetheless strolling a couple of too many batters and his strikeout price has dropped, however simplifying his arsenal — he’s principally jettisoned the sinker at this level and is sort of solely slider/cutter — has shored up his command a bit. Irrespective of how good, a better with a knack for permitting ball fours is an efficient supply of baseball-induced anxiousness.
It will have been virtually unthinkable for San Francisco to be sellers a month in the past, however dropping 13 of 16 video games heading into the deadline clarified the staff’s state of affairs in a foul approach. The Giants additionally traded sidearmer Tyler Rogers to the Mets, however they nonetheless have Randy Rodríguez and Ryan Walker on the high of the pen, and so they picked up José Buttó within the Rogers deal.
With Doval added, together with Bednar and Fowl, the Yankees constructed almost half of a top-notch bullpen in simply three hours. In rest-of-season projections, ZiPS had the Yankees bullpen ranked seventeenth within the league total on Thursday morning. These three trades bumped all of them the best way as much as third! As an added bonus, Doval is underneath membership management for 2 extra seasons after this one.
ZiPS Projection – Camilo Doval
12 months | W | L | ERA | G | GS | IP | H | ER | HR | BB | SO | ERA+ | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 | 5 | 4 | 3.58 | 66 | 0 | 65.3 | 50 | 26 | 5 | 31 | 74 | 115 | 0.7 |
2027 | 5 | 4 | 3.50 | 65 | 0 | 64.3 | 49 | 25 | 5 | 29 | 72 | 118 | 0.7 |
2026 ZiPS Projection Percentiles –
Camilo Doval
Percentile | ERA+ | ERA | WAR |
---|---|---|---|
95% | 185 | 2.23 | 2.1 |
90% | 162 | 2.54 | 1.7 |
80% | 139 | 2.96 | 1.3 |
70% | 128 | 3.23 | 1.0 |
60% | 121 | 3.40 | 0.8 |
50% | 115 | 3.58 | 0.7 |
40% | 108 | 3.83 | 0.4 |
30% | 98 | 4.20 | 0.1 |
20% | 91 | 4.53 | -0.2 |
10% | 77 | 5.38 | -0.8 |
5% | 68 | 6.04 | -1.2 |
The massive query with Jesus Rodriguez is the place he’ll find yourself truly taking part in. He’s a catcher by commerce, however it doesn’t appear like he’s going to do sufficient with the glove to be a full-timer there. The issue is, he’s not going to displace Matt Chapman at third, leaving his more than likely path to the majors in San Francisco as a backup or emergency catcher who performs the opposite 4 corners as properly.
ZiPS Projection – Jesus Rodriguez
12 months | BA | OBP | SLG | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | OPS+ | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 | .261 | .327 | .368 | 437 | 56 | 114 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 47 | 39 | 83 | 11 | 98 | 1.3 |
2027 | .260 | .325 | .367 | 447 | 57 | 116 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 49 | 40 | 82 | 11 | 97 | 1.3 |
2028 | .258 | .325 | .365 | 449 | 57 | 116 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 49 | 41 | 80 | 11 | 96 | 1.3 |
2029 | .259 | .328 | .367 | 417 | 54 | 108 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 46 | 39 | 73 | 9 | 98 | 1.3 |
2030 | .257 | .326 | .365 | 381 | 48 | 98 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 42 | 36 | 66 | 8 | 96 | 1.2 |
2031 | .261 | .331 | .377 | 337 | 43 | 88 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 32 | 59 | 7 | 101 | 1.2 |
Trystan Vrieling appears to be like like he might stick as a starter; he has stable command however reasonably underwhelming stuff. Whereas he hasn’t been beat up in Double-A this yr, he’s additionally allowed a contact price over 80%, which isn’t what you wish to see from a pitching prospect. If a command man can’t punch out a bunch of Double-A hitters along with his secondary pitches, he’s actually not going to have the ability to achieve this within the majors. Nonetheless, the Giants can actually use the depth. ZiPS provides Vrieling a very good likelihood to be a usable fifth starter kind however with out a lot upside.
ZiPS Projection – Trystan Vrieling
12 months | W | L | ERA | G | GS | IP | H | ER | HR | BB | SO | ERA+ | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 | 5 | 7 | 4.56 | 20 | 18 | 94.7 | 101 | 48 | 11 | 32 | 67 | 86 | 0.7 |
2027 | 6 | 6 | 4.32 | 20 | 18 | 98.0 | 102 | 47 | 10 | 31 | 69 | 91 | 0.9 |
2028 | 6 | 6 | 4.22 | 20 | 18 | 100.3 | 103 | 47 | 10 | 31 | 72 | 94 | 1.1 |
2029 | 6 | 6 | 4.10 | 20 | 18 | 101.0 | 102 | 46 | 9 | 31 | 72 | 96 | 1.2 |
2030 | 6 | 6 | 4.10 | 20 | 18 | 101.0 | 102 | 46 | 9 | 31 | 72 | 96 | 1.2 |
2031 | 6 | 6 | 4.15 | 20 | 18 | 99.7 | 101 | 46 | 9 | 31 | 70 | 95 | 1.2 |
Parks Harber actually has the looks of a traditional grip-it-and-rip-it energy hitter, and he performed soccer in highschool, however his energy actually isn’t the place it must be to place him on the prospect map. As an undrafted free agent, he’s been promoted conservatively, and his 156 wRC+ this yr in Excessive-A must be taken with an enormous pile of salt on condition that he turns 24 earlier than the top of the season. He’s value a comply with as he advances by means of the system, however he most likely has a steeper uphill climb to pop up on San Francisco’s roster sometime than both Rodriguez or Vrieling.