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It’s widespread for readers to ask which of the gamers who aren’t on this yr’s Prime 100 would possibly grace subsequent yr’s version. Who has an opportunity to essentially get away? That is the piece for these readers, my “Picks to Click on,” the gut-feel guys I feel could make the 2026 Prime 100.
That is the eighth yr we’ve carried out this train at FanGraphs, and there are some guidelines. First, not one of the gamers you see beneath could have ever been graded as a 50 FV or higher prospect in any of our write-ups or rankings. Second, I can’t decide gamers who I’ve picked in prior years, although I can take gamers who different writers chosen and I didn’t. As an example, I picked Jackson Baumeister final yr, however he didn’t make the Prime 100. I can’t choose him once more, however I might if I may. Brailer Guerrero made the Prime 100 in the course of final season, after which damage his shoulder for the second time in two years and fell off. I can’t put him on right here, irrespective of how a lot I like him.
A number of years in the past, we determined to make this considerably aggressive to see which of us finally ends up being proper about probably the most gamers. Beneath is a quick rundown of how my colleagues and I’ve executed since this piece grew to become part of Prospect Week; you may click on the yr within the “12 months” column to entry that yr’s record. Our initials started showing subsequent to our picks in 2021. Within the occasion that a number of writers picked the identical prospect, I’ve that quantity in parentheses between the person quantities, form of like a Venn Diagram. I didn’t rely “click on echoes” towards our totals, guys who enter the 50 FV tier a number of years after they had been Picks to Click on. Nonetheless, I did rely “click on meteors,” gamers who move by means of the Prime 100 through the season however then graduate, like Michael Harris II did a few years in the past:
Historic Picks to Click on Outcomes
12 months | Author(s) | Picks to Click on | Hits | Click on Price |
---|---|---|---|---|
2018 | Longenhagen/McDaniel | 62 | 15 | 24% |
2019 | Longenhagen/McDaniel | 55 | 16 | 29% |
2020 | Longenhagen | 46 | 14 | 30% |
2021 | Goldstein/Longenhagen | 18(6)23 | 5(3)4 | 26% |
2022 | Longenhagen/Goldstein/Taruskin | 18(2)11(2)13 | 6(2)2(1)5 | 35% |
2023 | Longenhagen/Taruskin | 23/14 | 6/5 | 30% |
2024 | Longenhagen/Taruskin | 30(2)13 | 6/2 | 18% |
2025 | Longenhagen | 33 | TBD | TBD |
Final yr wasn’t fairly as unhealthy because the 18% hit charge seems to be on its face as a result of so most of the gamers featured in final yr’s article may fairly be on a Prime 100, they only didn’t make mine. Nonetheless, right here’s to rebounding this yr.
I’ve separated the gamers into teams or “varieties” to make the record slightly extra digestible, and to provide you some thought of the demographics I feel pop-up guys come from. Every of those gamers now has a file over on The Board, the place you may go see instrument grades and extra detailed scouting stories for them. Beneath, I’ve at the very least a quick snippet on everybody who’s a “click on” this yr.
Projectable Younger Pitchers
Felix Arronde, SP, Kansas Metropolis Royals
Chen-Wei Lin, SP, St. Louis Cardinals
Ryan Sloan, SP, Seattle Mariners
Cam Caminiti, SP, Atlanta Braves
Brady Smith, SP, Los Angeles Dodgers
Arronde, 21, is a projectable 6-foot-3 righty who threw a ton of strikes throughout 110.1 A-ball innings final yr. He has a great trying supply, a nasty splitter, and the “click on” right here can be him getting stronger and throwing each his fastball and breaking ball tougher. Lin, 23, is a 6-foot-7 Taiwanese righty who overwhelmed A-ball final yr with upper-90s velocity. He clicks if his launch turns into constant sufficient for him to throw extra strikes. Sloan was one of many extra thrilling highschool pitching prospects within the 2024 Draft, rating twenty eighth within the class on draft day. He’s a strong righty, albeit a extra bodily mature one, with a beautiful, robust supply and an amazing breaking ball. He was as much as 98 throughout his senior spring after sitting 91-93. Caminiti was usually thought of among the finest highschool pitching prospects within the 2024 draft for his total scouting timeline. He’s a lanky 6-foot-2 lefty who’ll contact 97, has an influence curveball, and added a slider throughout his senior yr. Smith was a favourite of mine from the 2023 Draft Mix, an athletic however considerably undersized righty with plus fastball trip and superior secondary pitches. The Dodgers obtained a deal executed with him for $700,000, and Smith had Tommy John through the 2023-24 offseason. That is the form of pitcher who clicks if the rehab course of results in power beneficial properties and added velocity.
This Is What They Look Like
Bryce Rainer, SS, Detroit Tigers
Konnor Griffin, OF, Pittsburgh Pirates
Boston Baro, 3B, New York Mets
PJ Morlando, OF, Miami Marlins
Abdias De La Cruz, OF, Arizona Diamondbacks
Braden Montgomery, OF, Chicago White Sox
Rainer was the eleventh general decide within the 2024 draft, a lefty-hitting shortstop with a swing geared for energy and big arm power. Rainer didn’t play after the draft, and can click on if he exhibits he’s going to make a viable quantity of contact in opposition to professional pitching. The identical is true for Griffin, a 6-foot-4, 225 pound toolshed who Pittsburgh drafted ninth general. The pace with which Griffin can go zero to 60 at his measurement is unbelievable. He takes large, highly effective strides and motors across the bases with a rooster tail of dust kicking up from his spikes. His reads and routes within the outfield aren’t nice regardless that Griffin has the pace for heart discipline, which is why he was principally relegated to proper discipline on Staff USA. Griffin’s bat-to-ball monitor file was excellent throughout a number of years on the showcase circuit, however lengthy levers usually make him late on fastballs, and whether or not he adjusts in professional ball will dictate whether or not or not he clicks. Baro, a $700,000 signee from the 2023 draft, is an efficient defensive third baseman and speak to hitter who clicks if he has grown into significant power through the offseason. He was promoted to Excessive-A Brooklyn on the finish of final yr.
Morlando, Miami’s 2024 first rounder, is a 6-foot-3 power-hitting outfield prospect who may get away with a swing change. He ft are so unnaturally stationary throughout his swing that it robs it of rhythm and athleticism. Something that may assist him keep on time may unlock dormant 30-homer energy right here. De La Cruz, who turned 20 in November, has a large receiver’s construct at a lanky 6-foot-3, he’s selective, and his swing is geared to drag. He hasn’t tapped into a lot sport energy but, however he has all of the visible markers of a hitter who will as he matures. Montgomery was the twelfth decide within the 2024 draft and doubtless would have gone greater if he hadn’t fractured his proper ankle sliding into dwelling through the school postseason. A toolsy former two-way participant, Montgomery had severe strikeout points as an underclassman at Stanford, however then confirmed a brand new means to cowl excessive pitches as a junior at A&M after a slight mechanical change. His damage meant we couldn’t see how that performed in professional ball, and in addition creates uncertainty round Montgomery’s defensive means and pace. If he comes out the gates scorching in 2025, he’ll rocket into the Prime 100.
Sneaky Pitchers
Ethan Pecko, SP, Houston Astros
Trey Yesavage, SP, Toronto Blue Jays
Austin Peterson, SP, Cleveland Guardians
Matt Wilkinson, SP, Cleveland Guardians
Hunter Dobbins, SP, Boston Pink Sox
Connor Prielipp, SP, Minnesota Twins
Since coming into professional ball, the Astros have augmented Pecko’s supply, most clearly his stride course, and his fastball has change into deadly. It has large using motion and uphill angle that makes it a possible plus-plus providing regardless that it sits simply 92-94 mph. Toronto’s 2024 first rounder, Yesavage’s mid-90s fastball has plus carry and misses bats despite its airplane. He has a fastball/slider assault versus righties, with extra splitters and slower breakers versus lefties. Yesavage’s splitter command isn’t pretty much as good as that of his fastball/slider, however the pitch has sufficient sink and velo separation to typically keep out of hassle when it isn’t positioned effectively. Yesavage is a refined, quick-moving no. 4 starter sort. A 6-foot-6 strike-throwing Leviathan, Peterson has the bottom stroll charge (4.3%) amongst certified minor league starters since 2022. He sits 90 mph. The Guardians have been in a position to take older, strike-throwing starters and assist them throw tougher previous when one would possibly anticipate pitchers to begin doing so, with Tanner Bibee a distinguished current instance. Peterson’s measurement and bodily fluidity make it appear possible that this might occur for him.
Nicknamed “Tugboat,” Wilkinson is a 270-pound lefty who’s extremely athletic for an athlete of his construct. His drop-and-drive supply will get him so low to the bottom that his left shin is sort of scraping throughout the highest of the mound. His fastball solely sits about 90 mph, but it surely nonetheless performed like a dominant pitch in 2024 due to its rising motion and Wilkinson’s means to command it to efficient places. If his changuep takes a step ahead, or if Wilkinson begins throwing tougher and finally ends up with an elite fastball, he’ll undertaking as a convention-breaking mid-rotation starter. Dobbins was hidden as an underclassman at Texas Tech as a result of he was a reliever as a freshman, his sophomore yr was worn out as a result of COVID, and he blew out and wanted TJ as a junior. He ended his 2024 season at Triple-A Worcester and his innings rely has climbed to the purpose the place he may feasibly deal with a giant league starter’s workload as quickly as subsequent season. Dobbins doesn’t have an thrilling athletic look or supply, however he nonetheless throws onerous, as much as 98. His curveball is his repertoire’s bat-misser, and late within the season, Dobbins’ splinker grew to become extra identifiable. The emergence of that pitch is the important thing to Dobbins getting a grade bump right here. Prielipp has been damage a ton and labored 23.1 innings in 2024 after coming back from TJ. He has a nasty mid-80s slider with elite spin, and sat 94-95 in 2024. Clicking for Prielipp means sustaining that velo throughout extra innings in 2024.
Energy-Hitting Catchers
Blake Mitchell, C, Kansas Metropolis Royals
Eduardo Tait, C, Philadelphia Phillies
Omar Alfonzo, C, Pittsburgh Pirates
Mitchell is a power-hitting 20-year-old with poor plate self-discipline and unpolished protection. He catches from a such a low one-knee’d crouch that it seems to be like he’s making an attempt to win a curler skating limbo, and his fingers and approach selecting balls within the dust improved a ton all through 2024. Subsequent for Mitchell is getting his arm to play nearer to his expertise stage; he was into the mid-90s as a highschool pitcher, however hosed simply 15% of runner final yr. Tait is similar to Mitchell (large lefty energy, expands the zone an excessive amount of, wants to enhance on protection), besides he’s 18 and has common huge league uncooked energy already. Alfonzo is a 21-year-old lefty-hitting catcher with energy who had a 53% hard-hit charge in 2024. He additionally has a plus arm, however in any other case has plenty of bettering to do as a defender.
May Want a Dev Tweak
Austin Charles, 3B, Kansas Metropolis Royals
Justin Crawford, OF, Philadelphia Phillies
Denzel Clarke, OF, Athletics
Ryan Waldschmidt, OF, Arizona Diamondbacks
Jhostynxon Garcia, OF, Boston Pink Sox
Charles was the Royals’ final decide in 2022 and signed on the eleventh hour after visiting the group’s facility. He’s a bodily outlier at a yoked 6-foot-5, and he’s an absurdly coordinated defensive participant for somebody his measurement. His swing is slightly awkward trying, however Charles was nonetheless in a position to publish an above-average wRC+ at Low-A in 2024 at age 20. He’s so geared to drag that he swings inside a ton of sliders; if he can quell this tendency, he’ll click on sufficient to benefit upside-driven Prime 100 inclusion a yr from now. Crawford has a few underlying points that, if resolved, may result in a real breakout. He’s most likely going to have an enormous 2025 line simply due to the hitting setting in Studying, however below the hood, if he stops chasing a lot (he chased at a 36% clip at principally Excessive-A in 2024; the large league common is 27%), or if he’s lifting the ball extra (1 diploma launch on common in 2024; Jacob Younger set the certified main league low at 4 levels), or if his really feel for heart discipline improves, then we will begin to discuss him as a Prime 100 man. He’s already labored onerous to get stronger in comparison with 2023, however one in all this stuff must be his subsequent space of progress.
Clarke is an unbelievable outfield defender with a brilliant lengthy swing. He’ll click on if he can shorten up sufficient to have even one above-average offensive instrument. Waldschmidt had one of many extra well-rounded statistical circumstances of any school hitter within the 2024 draft and carried out effectively in a number of key statistical classes at Kentucky, together with plate self-discipline, contact, and measurable energy. His swing is hellacious however atypical; it’s all fingers and torso, and requires a ton of effort. This isn’t a man who wants an adjustment to click on, I simply need to see it work in opposition to professional stuff since we’re speaking a few left fielder. “The Password” is listed at simply 163 kilos on his official minor league participant web page, however he’s about 60 kilos heavier than that, and has dynamic energy and pace. He’s chase susceptible (50% chase with two strikes) and can click on if that will get toned down.
Small, however Mighty
Keyner Benitez, SP, Miami Marlins
Slade Caldwell, OF, Arizona Diamondbacks
Santiago Suarez, SP, Tampa Bay Rays
Benitez is an athletic lefty with a possible plus-plus changeup. He pitched effectively in Low-A final yr, and received’t flip 19 till the top of Could. Caldwell is a muscular 5-foot-9 outfielder constructed within the Jasson Domínguez/Jett Williams mildew. He has the abilities of a standard leadoff hitter. Suarez got here to Tampa by the use of the Xavier Edwards commerce with the Marlins. He’s a Doogie Howser sort, a really younger surgeon with stroll charges within the 3-5% vary at every stage up to now.
Show That It’s Actual
Demetrio Crisantes, 2B, Arizona Diamondbacks
Theo Gillen, 2B/CF, Tampa Bay Rays
Josuar De Jesus Gonzalez, SS/CF, San Francisco Giants
Zyhir Hope, LF, Los Angeles Dodgers
Aroon Escobar, 2B, Philadelphia Phillies
Cristanes is a 20-year-old infielder who carried out on the advanced and within the Cal League final yr. He has terrific underlying contact information. If he might be on time to drag fastballs extra usually in 2025, I’ll purchase that this underlying information is legit. For now, I’m apprehensive about how a lot contact he’s sending to proper discipline, particularly contemplating he’s a 2B/1B defender. Gillen had among the finest contact/energy mixtures within the 2024 draft regardless that he was a excessive schooler, however a shoulder damage made it powerful for him to throw, and it’s nonetheless unclear what place(s) he can play. If he can show to be a match at second base or in heart discipline in 2025, will probably be simpler to undertaking him as a foundational on a regular basis participant. De Jesus Gonzalez was my prime ranked 2025 worldwide participant, a dynamic athlete with good energy for his measurement. Some worldwide scouts noticed him at shortstop, some in heart discipline. If it turns into clear that he can play both or each of these in 2025, he has a great shot to be included in the back of subsequent yr’s hondo.
I don’t assume the small A-ball information pattern Hope produced in 2024 is very dependable and, primarily based on my Fall League look, I feel there’s extra swing-and-miss occurring right here that was evident at Rancho. Even when I’m proper about that, if Hope can play heart discipline (he was actually quick in highschool, however he’s stuffed out a lot already, was damage for some time, and regarded rusty taking part in left discipline in 2024), he’ll have sufficient energy to profile there regardless of plenty of strikeouts. He may additionally simply show my contact skepticism mistaken. Escobar is a bodily center infielder and a great trying hitter who raked in 104 Advanced League plate appearances final yr, a season lower quick by shin splints. He clicks if he can keep wholesome and produce similarly at Low-A Clearwater this yr throughout an even bigger pattern.
A brand new part I’m debuting this yr is the “Two-12 months Darts,” the place I decide 10 gamers who I feel will take two seasons to essentially pop. These guys will rely for the evaluate that takes place in 2027. I’m simply mentioning names from right here on out.
Two-12 months Darts
Eriandys Ramon, 3B, Chicago Cubs
Josh Knoth, RHP, Milwaukee Brewers
Anderson Brito, SP, Houston Astros
Tyson Lewis, SS, Cincinatti Reds
David Matoma, SP, Pittsburgh Pirates
Hyun-Seok Jang, SP, Los Angeles Dodgers
Yohanfer Santana, SP, Miami Marlins
Sheng-En Lin, SP, Cincinnati Reds
Asbel Gonzalez, OF, Kansas Metropolis Royals
Humberto Cruz, SP, San Diego Padres
As I’ve executed in years previous, here’s a record of high-leverage relievers who might be up through the yr. They usually don’t have the form of influence on a group to justify inclusion on the Prime 100, however they’re nonetheless related names to know:
Yordin Chalas, RHP, Arizona Diamondbacks
Royber Salinas, RHP, Atlanta Braves
Payton Tolle, LHP, Boston Pink Sox
Andrew Walters, RHP, Cleveland Guardians
Zach Agnos, RHP, Colorado Rockies
Zach Maxwell, RHP, Cincinnati Reds
Sean Burke, RHP, Chicago Whie Sox
Luis Mey, RHP, Cincinnati Reds
Luis Peralta, LHP, Colorado Rockies
Samy Natera Jr., LHP, Los Angeles Angels
Eric Reyzelman, RHP, New York Yankees
Alex McFarlane, RHP, Philadelphia Phillies
Hunter Cranton, RHP, Seattle Mariners
Mason Montgomery, LHP, Tampa Bay Rays
Marc Church, RHP, Texas Rangers
T.J. Brock, RHP, Toronto Blue Jays
Orlando Ribalta, RHP, Washington Nationals
Bradgley Rodriguez, RHP, San Diego Padres
Final yr, we debuted a piece on the backside of this piece the place I share names my sources think about Picks to Click on (their hit charge was amusingly horrible). Listed here are this yr’s nominees:
Eduardo Quintero, CF, Los Angeles Dodgers (2 votes)
Brady Smith, RHP, Los Angeles Dodger
Emil Morales, SS, Los Angeles Dodgers
Hyun-Seok Jang, RHP, Los Angeles Dodgers
Braden Nett, RHP, San Diego Padres
Humberto Cruz, RHP, San Diego Padres (2 votes)
Demetrio Crisantes, INF, Arizona Diamondbacks
Yassel Soler, 3B, Arizona Diamondbacks
Jansel Luis, SS, Arizona Diamondbacks
Gary Gill Hill, RHP, Tampa Bay Rays
Jackson Baumeister, RHP, Tampa Bay Rays
Jose Urbina, RHP, Tampa Bay Rays
Aidan Smith, OF, Tampa Bay Rays (2 votes)
Caleb Bonemer, 3B, Chicago White Sox
Blake Mitchell, C, Kansas Metropolis Royals
Cole Carrigg, OF, Colorado Rockies
Kyle Karros, 3B, Colorado Rockies (2 votes)
Zach Agnos, RHP, Colorado Rockies
Nolan McLean, RHP, New York Mets (2 votes)
Izack Tiger, RHP, Detroit Tigers
Bryce Rainer, SS, Detroit Tigers
Owen Corridor, RHP Detroit Tigers
Mike Burrows, RHP, Pittsburgh Pirates
Yolfran Castillo, SS, Texas Rangers
Tyson Lewis, SS, Cincinnati Reds
Adam Serwinowski, RHP, Cincinnati Reds
Ramon Ramirez, C, Kansas Metropolis Royals
Michael Arroyo, 2B, Seattle Mariners
Lazaro Montes, OF, Seattle Mariners
Yairo Padilla, SS, St. Louis Cardinals
Cole Mathis, 1B, Chicago Cubs
A.J. Blubaugh, RHP, Houston Astros
Ok.C. Hunt, RHP, Milwaukee Brewers