Effectively, the Angels aren’t ready round, are they? Within the week instantly following the World Collection, the Halos have accomplished the one commerce thus far this offseason involving gamers entering into every path. They’ve additionally acquired Scott Kingery from the Phillies for money concerns and executed a waiver declare on Oakland’s Ryan Noda, each low-risk acquisitions with the potential to fill a distinct segment on the large league stage.
The Triple-A primary base depth chart for the Angels proper now lists Noda alongside Niko Kavadas and Sonny DiChiara, which is a bumper crop of cube-shaped school sluggers if ever there have been one. Somebody discover out what Tim Elko is as much as and provides him a name so the Angels can have the complete set. However I digress.
Amidst all that different exercise, Perry Minasian and Co. have made this offseason’s most notable free agent signing thus far: right-handed pitcher Kyle Hendricks, late of the Chicago Cubs. Hendricks was the second main league free agent to signal thus far this offseason, after Dylan Covey’s one-year take care of the Mets, and he’s a much bigger title by far. A two-time Cy Younger vote-getter and a cornerstone of the profitable Cubs groups of the late 2010s, Hendricks joins the Angels on a one-year, $2.5 million deal.
ESPN’s Jesse Rogers, who reported the worth of Hendricks’ contract on Wednesday afternoon, famous that the Angels had been within the 34-year-old right-hander partially as a result of he might mentor a younger pitching workers. I believe baseball individuals are usually fast to evaluate character primarily based on stereotype. Hendricks went to Dartmouth and hasn’t damaged 91 mph in a aggressive recreation in eight years — which feels like hyperbole however is actually true — so he should be good. And if he’s good, he should be a coach on the sector or one thing prefer it.
If that’s the motivation for signing Hendricks, it’s a fairly amusing idea, contemplating the Angels aren’t precisely placing out a Era Okay-type hype prepare for his or her younger arms. Nonetheless, the soft-tossin’-est righty starter of his technology makes for an amusing distinction with Ben Joyce. And the cabinet isn’t fully naked. Reid Detmers was horrendous final season, however his underlying numbers had been merely dangerous and he had two good seasons earlier than that. And I appreciated what I noticed out of Jack Kochanowicz the couple occasions I noticed him pitch in 2024. (Although I notice now not less than a type of begins was in opposition to the White Sox, so take that for what it’s price.)
With all that stated, Hendricks does truly appear to be a wise man, and think about this: Since that final 91-mph pitch in Sport 6 of the 2016 NLCS, Hendricks has thrown 1,130 main league innings with an ERA- of 96 and accrued 16.4 WAR. So he will need to have some tips up his sleeve.
And whereas $2.5 million is perhaps so much to pay for a pitching coach, it’s a pittance for a pitcher with even a distant likelihood of throwing 100 or more practical large league innings. For distinction, it’s lower than a 3rd of what the Angels are going to pay Evan White to benefit from the scenic great thing about Salt Lake Metropolis this summer time. However hey, the Angels are a big-market crew. Even of their post-Shohei Ohtani lean years, the Halos ran a $170 million payroll final season, which was thirteenth within the majors. It is a rounding error.
Hendricks had spent his complete 11-season main league profession with the Cubs, who acquired him in a commerce with the Rangers in 2012. (Ryan Dempster went the opposite method.) After a interval of decline for each participant and crew, it appeared like the 2 had been sure to half methods ultimately, and it is sensible that he’d wish to go to the Angels. Hendricks grew up in Orange County, and was even drafted by the Angels out of highschool in 2008. He’s certainly one of 4 future large leaguers who had been drafted within the thirty ninth spherical in 2008 however didn’t signal that 12 months. The others: Mikie Mahtook, Brad Miller, and Yan Gomes. If “traded for Ryan Dempster” doesn’t provide you with a way of Hendricks’ age, maybe a Mikie Mahtook reference will put you in the correct way of thinking.
Now, I’ve been burying the lede a bit of right here. These of you who didn’t comply with the Cubs final season is perhaps curious how Hendricks received on, and are questioning why I haven’t introduced up his stats from 2024 but. Effectively, they’re not superior.
This previous season, 126 pitchers threw not less than 100 innings within the majors. Hendricks ranked 124th in ERA, two spots behind Patrick Corbin, who’s principally a punchline at this level in his profession. Now, Hendricks’ peripherals recommend he was a bit of exhausting performed by, however a 5.92 ERA provides a whole lot of room for a pitcher to be unfortunate and dangerous on the identical time. Certainly, Hendricks was 107th in xERA (4.80) and 121st in FIP (4.98). He was second from the underside in strikeout charge, at 15.3%, and his stroll charge was merely common and never distinctive, which left him one hundred and twentieth in Okay-BB%.
Breaking it down pitch by pitch, issues don’t get a lot rosier. Hendricks received first rate outcomes on his curveball in 2024, however that’s not his make-or-break pitch. The important thing for Hendricks is his changeup — it has been his complete profession.
Hendricks’ repertoire has advanced since he was a rookie, which is to be anticipated for a pitcher who’s lasted so long as he has. However the core of it has at all times been the sinker and the changeup. Hendricks has at all times thrown a further fastball — initially a cutter, extra just lately a four-seamer — and had not less than the credible menace of a curveball. However in each season of Hendricks’ profession, his sinker and changeup have mixed to make up between 61% and 81% of his complete pitches thrown.
That combo has labored very nicely as just lately as 2023, when Hendricks allowed a 3.74 ERA in 24 begins for the Cubs. That’s not fairly nearly as good as he was in 2016, but when Hendricks had hit free company 12 months earlier, he’d be in line to make 4 or 5 occasions as a lot as he’s making now. Probably extra.
What’s the distinction between 2023 and 2024? Effectively, in 2023, Hendricks’ sinker was satisfactory and his changeup was a respectable out pitch. A 12 months later, each of these pitches received completely torched:
Kyle Hendricks’ Two Greatest Pitches Have Deserted Him
| Changeup | Pitch% | AVG | SLG | wOBA | Whiff% | HardHit% | RV/100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 41.1 | .180 | .279 | .233 | 32.4 | 17.8 | 1.4 |
| 2024 | 38.7 | .267 | .409 | .316 | 23.9 | 22.4 | -1.1 |
| 2023 | 34.9 | .318 | .460 | .352 | 8.0 | 39.5 | 0.1 |
| 2024 | 35.5 | .333 | .493 | .379 | 10.3 | 42.2 | -1.7 |
SOURCE: Baseball Savant
One in every of two issues goes to occur to Hendricks within the season to come back. He might determine one thing out and get his 2023 kind again; it’s not like he’s shedding the speed or stuff that after made him nice. He tinkered together with his fastball combine to lefties in 2024, throwing them extra sinkers than four-seamers for the primary time since he began throwing a four-seamer commonly. And what occurred? Left-handed hitters hit a fair .400 — once more, not a joke — in opposition to his sinker. Contemplating the same motion profiles of the 2 pitches, and the mere six mile-an-hour distinction between them, that might appear to be an apparent place to begin with regards to triaging Hendricks’ issues.
However it’s additionally doable that Hendricks put up an ERA close to 6.00 final season as a result of he simply doesn’t have it anymore. There are actually worse locations to seek out that out than in Southern California, 30 miles from residence. And if that is the tip, he’s already received irons within the fireplace on his subsequent job. A minimum of anyone thinks he’d be a very good coach.
