Issues Francisco Lindor Has By no means Achieved

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Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports activities

If you already know a Mets fan, you’re most likely conversant in the speech. The speech begins like this: “Francisco Lindor is essentially the most underrated participant in baseball.” The pronunciation is absolutely vital right here. It’s important to pronounce the in order that it rhymes with he, and it’s a must to put an enormous lengthy pause between underneath and rated. These are the principles. From that start line, the speech typically continues for someplace between 30 seconds and 6 hours, bearing on offense, protection, MLB Community rankings, and not less than two variations of WAR. I’ve by no means been all that certain whether or not the speech was essentially true. Lindor’s greatness has all the time struck me as unimaginable to disregard. As one of many sport’s premier defenders, in keeping with each the superior metrics and the attention check, he’s all the time on the spotlight reels. He’s obtained MVP votes in six totally different seasons and received two Gold Gloves, one Platinum Glove, and three Silver Sluggers. He’s simply 30 years outdated, and he’s already bought the Twenty fifth-best JAWS rating amongst all shortstops. He’s nonetheless including to his seven-year peak, too. After I began writing this text yesterday, he ranked twenty sixth.

However perhaps I’m a part of the issue. Perhaps whereas I’ve been taking it with no consideration that everybody is aware of about Lindor’s greatness, different folks have really been taking Lindor’s greatness with no consideration. That might be uncool. As such, that is your annual reminder of simply how nice Francisco Lindor is. As a result of we’ve executed this earlier than, we’ll take a unique tack and deal with issues Lindor hasn’t executed.

Be an Common Hitter

Lindor is now in his tenth huge league season, and he’s by no means as soon as put up a wRC+ beneath 101. We’ve seen Lindor have a down yr on the plate, however even at his worst, he’s nonetheless been an above-average hitter. He graced the pages of FanGraphs for the primary time in 2012 in an article with a title that match completely with the auspiciousness of the second: Midwest League Prospect Replace. In it, Mike Newman known as Lindor “A gold glove shortstop within the making,” but in addition wrote, “Lindor could wind up being a bit BABIP dependent.” Because it seems, even in 2021, when Lindor’s BABIP fell all the way in which to .248, seventh lowest amongst all certified gamers, he managed to be an above-average hitter. I don’t convey that as much as rag on Mike. For those who keep in mind the start of Lindor’s profession, you already know that though he hit all through the minors, the hype round his glove was understandably louder. However the consistency is exceptional, particularly from a switch-hitter. His profession wRC+ is 126 from the fitting aspect and 115 from the left aspect. He’s solely put up a below-average wRC+ from both aspect of the plate twice: He had a 94 wRC+ from the fitting aspect in 2016, and a 96 mark in ’21. In keeping with our database, there have been 549 major shortstops who made not less than a thousand plate appearances within the AL and NL since 1903. Lindor’s profession 119 wRC+ ranks nineteenth.

This season, Lindor’s 125 wRC+ places him on tempo for his fifth profession season above 120.

Hit Fewer Than 12 Residence Runs

Okay, Lindor solely had eight residence runs throughout the quick 2020 season, however we’re going to let that slide. Lindor hit 12 homers as a 21-year-old rookie in 2015 after which he hit 15 in ’16. Since then, he’s hit not less than 20 homers in each season the place the followers had been product of flesh, blood, and different gross stuff relatively than cardboard. When the baseballs bought juicy towards the tip of the final decade, he put up three straight 30-homer seasons, together with a 38-dinger bonanza in 2018, and he hasn’t fallen off that a lot for the reason that nice de-unjuicing. His 237 profession residence runs rank tenth all-time amongst shortstops. If we restrict ourselves to residence runs hit whereas really enjoying shortstop, he strikes as much as sixth place, and he has a small however official shot to interrupt Cal Ripken Jr.’s document of 345.

Residence Runs as a Shortstop

SOURCE: Stathead

* Attributable to incomplete data, Banks’ whole is perhaps barely undercounted.

These 237 homers additionally rank twenty third all-time amongst switch-hitters, and Lindor ought to crack the highest 15 early subsequent season. Even when we management for the period, his profession slugging proportion of .472 works out to a 113 SLG+, placing him twentieth all-time amongst AL/NL shortstops.

This season, Lindor has hit 22 residence runs, tied for nineteenth within the majors. ZiPS tasks him to succeed in 30 for the fifth time in his profession. If he does, he’ll change into simply the third shortstop ever to have not less than 5 30-homer seasons. The present membership consists of Alex Rodriguez with seven seasons and Ernie Banks with 5.

Miss 40 Video games

Beginning in 2015, Lindor ranks within the high 10 in video games performed, plate appearances, defensive innings performed, hits, runs, and stolen bases. He led the AL in plate appearances thrice (and is at present main the NL). He made his huge league debut on June 14, 2015, and performed in 99 of Cleveland’s 100 video games from that time on. Over the subsequent three seasons, he missed simply 10 extra video games. Since an stomach pressure restricted Lindor to 125 video games in 2021, he has missed a mere three video games.

Over at Baseball Prospectus, the participant pages have a enjoyable damage tracker field. (To be clear, the damage tracker field is enjoyable; it’s not a field that solely tracks enjoyable accidents.) As a result of the field is small, you virtually all the time should scroll during it to see all of a participant’s accidents. However not on Lindor’s web page. He’s been enjoying within the huge leagues for 10 years and his field options accidents going all the way in which again to Double-A, however they’re nonetheless not sufficient to overflow the tiny field. No scrolling required! I’m unsure I’ve ever seen that earlier than. As a under no circumstances enjoyable comparability, Mike Trout’s field solely goes again to 2022 earlier than it’s a must to begin scrolling.

To this point this season, Lindor has began 113 of the Mets’ 114 video games. On Could 2, the day of his lone non-start, he entered as a pinch-hitter within the backside of the sixth and went 2-for-3 with 4 RBI, together with a walk-off double within the eleventh inning. Except he misses 4 video games down the stretch run, he’s set to change into the thirty first participant ever to place up six seasons of not less than 158 video games performed.

Win an MVP Award

I believe it will be exhausting to argue that Lindor has deserved an MVP. Even in 2018, his 7.8 WAR ranked fourth within the AL, dwarfed by the ten.2 Mookie Betts put up. (Lindor positioned sixth that yr.) Lindor has obtained MVP votes in six seasons, however completed as excessive as fifth as soon as. He’s has been developing his Corridor of Fame case by piling up nice seasons yr after yr, however I don’t suppose it’s a slight to say that he’s by no means put collectively the one towering, simple marketing campaign that’s often required to snag an MVP.

I’m bringing it up as a result of he’s bought an actual likelihood this season. Lindor is at present tied with Ketel Marte for third within the Nationwide League with 5.2 WAR. They path Elly De La Cruz and Shohei Ohtani by a measly half a win. There’s a much bigger hole in keeping with Baseball Reference WAR, with Lindor at 4.6 and Marte and Ohtani at 5.9, however that’s nonetheless a detailed race, and the winner is nearly actually going to be whichever a type of 4 gamers can discover one other gear over the stretch run. As top-of-the-line gamers within the league for a full decade now, and with an opportunity to tug the Mets right into a Wild Card berth, Lindor may additionally have a case that appeals to voters who admire a very good narrative. This might be his likelihood.

Make the All-Star Group This Decade

Yeah, that one stunned me too. There have been solely 4 All-Star Video games within the final 5 years, but it surely’s nonetheless fairly surprising. Lindor began his profession by ending second within the AL Rookie of the 12 months voting, then went 4 years in a row with a Gold Glove, a top-15 end within the MVP voting, and an All-Star choice. After which after that, he’s gotten a pleasant, lengthy trip each July.

During the last 4 seasons, right here’s the place he’s ranked amongst NL shortstops going into the All-Star break.

Lindor within the First Half

12 months WAR SS Rank All-Star Choice
2021 2.5 4(T) No
2022 3.3 3 No
2023 2.9 1(T) Nonetheless No
2024 4.2 2 Critically?

Over the primary 5 years of his profession, he averaged 6.5 WAR per 162 video games. Over the previous 5, he’s averaged 6.0 and completed high 10 within the MVP voting twice, so it’s not like he’s fallen off exhausting. This decade, he has 22.9 WAR, the seventh most in baseball. He’s missed out on 4 All-Star choices, whereas the six gamers forward of him have mixed to overlook out on two. Perhaps he’s just a bit bit underrated in any case.



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