
I wish to make up statistics. Why? As a result of it’s enjoyable, principally. There’s a lot baseball evaluation on the web lately that with out shaking issues up, it’s onerous to say one thing really fascinating. Remoted energy? You’ve seen it one million occasions. Strikeout fee, and even strikeout fee implied by whiff fee? Boring. xWhatever, one thing with BACON in it? We’ve executed that earlier than.
Most of my random gimmick stats don’t actually catch on. However I’ve used two this 12 months that I believe have some actual analytical curiosity to them, they usually’re not precisely on the FanGraphs leaderboard web page. So I’m going to keep up some Google Sheets with them highlighted, and I’m additionally going to intermittently spotlight the perfect performers.
Keep in mind whomps per whiff? That one is simply enjoyable to say, and notably enjoyable to listen to Vinnie Pasquantino say. Additionally, it looks as if it’s doing one thing proper. Listed here are the highest 10 hitters in baseball by that statistic this 12 months, minimal 500 pitches seen:
Oh look, one other statistic that tells you Juan Soto is superb. What he’s doing this 12 months is really ridiculous. He’s completely clobbering the ball and but hardly ever swinging and lacking. He’s as far forward of Ryan O’Hearn in second as O’Hearn is forward of Taylor Ward in tenth. He has extra barrels and 30 fewer whiffs than Shohei Ohtani.
In the meantime, O’Hearn and Tyler Stephenson are fascinating in their very own proper. I highlighted Stephenson final time I checked out whomps per whiff, and he’s continued to hit the ball effectively since then. O’Hearn is completely demolishing righties, similar to he all the time does, and the Orioles merely don’t let him face lefties. He solely has eight plate appearances towards southpaws thus far this 12 months.
The following reduce of names on the record, the whole thing of which might be seen right here, has some fascinating contrasts, so let’s broaden to the highest 20:
Whomps Per Whiff Leaders
Participant | Whomps | Whiffs | Whomps Per Whiff | Pitches Seen |
---|---|---|---|---|
Juan Soto | 34 | 85 | 0.400 | 1030 |
Ryan O’Hearn | 13 | 39 | 0.333 | 510 |
Tyler Stephenson | 14 | 44 | 0.318 | 519 |
Kyle Tucker | 23 | 76 | 0.303 | 950 |
Aaron Decide | 40 | 152 | 0.263 | 1009 |
Mike Trout | 14 | 50 | 0.280 | 574 |
Shohei Ohtani | 32 | 115 | 0.278 | 936 |
Corey Seager | 24 | 88 | 0.273 | 725 |
Vinnie Pasquantino | 16 | 59 | 0.271 | 871 |
Taylor Ward | 22 | 82 | 0.268 | 850 |
Yordan Alvarez | 21 | 80 | 0.263 | 840 |
Bobby Witt Jr. | 29 | 112 | 0.259 | 935 |
Alex Verdugo | 11 | 43 | 0.256 | 817 |
Jung Hoo Lee | 6 | 24 | 0.250 | 569 |
Pete Alonso | 22 | 89 | 0.247 | 878 |
Lars Nootbaar | 10 | 41 | 0.244 | 650 |
Will Smith | 17 | 70 | 0.243 | 772 |
Rhys Hoskins | 16 | 66 | 0.242 | 701 |
Mookie Betts | 12 | 50 | 0.240 | 1013 |
Eloy Jiménez | 14 | 59 | 0.237 | 503 |
There are two kinds of hitters that get on right here: high-contact sorts with sneaky energy and mashers with a stable eye. It’s instructive to see Lars Nootbaar subsequent to Pete Alonso regardless of vastly differing approaches. The Nootbaar strategy – excessive endurance, to the purpose of passivity – can work in case you’re scalding the ball. However a number of the hitters practising that strategy simply don’t do sufficient injury to make it work. Cavan Biggio has an identical plan – and a .067 whomps per whiff, 1 / 4 the speed of Nootbaar. Edouard Julien and Evan Carter match into this group as effectively. Nootbaar has the perfect wRC+ of the bunch, and he has that regardless of massively underperforming his xStats. That’s as a result of he’s simply extra succesful than his friends – or at the least extra profitable than them this 12 months – relating to tattooing the pitches he deigns to swing at.
Alonso is kind of the other. His recreation is energy over selectivity, and even in a down 12 months, he’s within the prime 20 for ISO and tied for eleventh league-wide in homers. He’s a power-first hitter, in different phrases, and limiting the whiffs is what makes that work for him. Evaluate that to equally power-first hitters like Adolis García and Cal Raleigh. García has whomped (barreled) as many balls as Alonso, however he’s swung and missed 47 extra occasions. Raleigh is in the identical boat; he’s nonetheless doing injury when he connects, however he’s simply arising empty too typically.
The underside finish of the record has a couple of terrifying names for Cardinals followers: Masyn Winn and Nolan Arenado. Winn merely isn’t an influence hitter, and that’s high-quality; he’s going to go so far as his protection and BABIP carry him. Seeing his relative lack of energy on the large league stage shouldn’t be stunning; he by no means hit for a lot within the minors both. Arenado, however, used to place up common energy numbers with out a lot swing-and-miss in his recreation. He’s nonetheless not putting out a lot, however he simply isn’t hitting the ball onerous sufficient to make issues work proper now. Excellent news on this entrance, although; each Winn and Arenado smashed extra-base hits final evening, so that they’ll creep a bit increased on the record when that information hits.
There are a raft of Pirates in the direction of the underside of the record, which helps clarify why their offense feels so misplaced at occasions. Anthony Volpe and Luis Arraez are additionally in the direction of the underside of the record, they usually’re nice reminders that this statistic can’t seize each good hitter. A few of them merely aren’t attempting to max out on the factor it measures. However in case you’re questioning how your favourite hitter is doing on the fundamental job of hitting – hit ‘em onerous, however don’t miss – this leaderboard is a good first cross.
The opposite statistic I’m updating immediately isn’t truly mine, even in any case that opening-paragraph grandstanding about new stats. However I can’t discover its origin regardless of some motivated Googling, so I’ll simply name it a FanGraphs group invention. That statistic? Kimbrels, or appearances with a unfavorable FIP.
As a refresher, FIP estimates ERA with a easy system, and in case you’re putting out two-plus batters an inning with out strolling anybody or giving up a homer, it spits out a unfavorable quantity. It’s only a linear system, so there’s no particular “that means” to zero, nevertheless it’s enjoyable. A Kimbrel is shorthand for a completely dominant reduction outing. They’re nearly all the time video games the place the pitcher overwhelmed opposing hitters, and the pitchers who’re the perfect at racking them up are invariably strikeout artists, typically with good command in addition.
Who’s the perfect at it? Mason Miller, clearly:
In the event you’ve been following Miller’s season, this can hardly come as a shock. He’s steamrolling everybody in his path. He has fewer appearances than everybody round him – the A’s don’t want their nearer all that always – however he’s been downright overpowering when he will get a shot.
There are many nice closers within the prime 10 right here. Emmanuel Clase and Ryan Helsley are off to their customary wonderful begins. Josh Hader checks in at eleventh, and he’s been doing it for a very long time. The literal Craig Kimbrel is on the record regardless of a bumpy season thus far. When he’s on, he’s nonetheless untouchable, however his velocity and command are fading with time.
Extra fascinating, to me at the least, are the nice setup males. I used to be already enthralled by Fernando Cruz, however I like seeing his dominance expressed this fashion. Matt Strahm has been so good that I anticipate him to begin getting save alternatives. Cade Smith may be the following nice Cleveland reliever. Austin Adams and Ryan Walker are placing up wonderful seasons as specialists. And whereas Aroldis Chapman is having a completely abysmal season, he can nonetheless make the opposing lineup look silly if he can discover the strike zone (he normally can’t).
Wish to take a look at some extra choices? Right here’s the total record. And test again each week or so, as a result of I’m going to maintain updating these two leaderboards all year long. I’m unsure whether or not both is predictive, however I’m fairly positive they’re each enjoyable, and that’s adequate for me to maintain doing the background calculations to maintain them going.
All information on this article is thru video games performed Monday, Might 27.