Giants Full Catcher Tandem With Tom Murphy

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Tom Murphy
Robert Edwards-USA TODAY Sports activities

The Giants shored up their catcher state of affairs late Monday, signing Tom Murphy, previously of the Mariners, to a two-year contract price $8 million. A 3rd-round choose by the Rockies, that membership had little taking part in time obtainable for him because of the presence of superstars like Tony Wolters and Nick Hundley. Vulnerable to changing into an organizational participant, he discovered a brand new dwelling with Seattle, which paired him with Omar Narváez and watched the house runs movement like alcohol in Belltown. In 4 seasons of timeshare catching there, Murphy hit .250/.324/.460 with 38 homers in 807 plate appearances. Patrick Bailey (rightly) stays the beginning catcher in San Francisco, however he now has a high-quality junior associate when relaxation or the occasional offensive oomph is required.

Since Murphy’s preliminary season with the Mariners (2019), his finest within the majors to-date, he’s suffered a run of accidents which have prevented him from seizing bigger parts of a beginning job. A damaged foot within the COVID-shortened 2020 ended his season earlier than it started, and a shoulder damage price him most of ’22. By the point he was wholesome once more, Cal Raleigh had turn into a key a part of the lineup and earned the lion’s share of the taking part in time.

Bailey is the no. 1 catcher in San Francisco, a deserving Gold Glove finalist in his rookie season. What he isn’t is an offensive powerhouse. ZiPS initiatives 2.4 WAR from him in 105 video games, however that’s largely pushed by a defensive projection of 13 runs higher than the common catcher, not a projected .226/.294/.361 triple-slash. And that’s the place Murphy is available in, each spelling Bailey on relaxation days and giving the Giants the tactical alternative to get a greater bat within the late innings once they’re dealing with a deficit and will use a further hitter. Additionally serving to Murphy in getting plate appearances is the Giants lengthy being a staff that has protected the well being of its beginning catchers; Buster Posey solely began 120 video games there as soon as in his profession.

So how a lot offense might Murphy provide in San Francisco?

ZiPS Projection – Tom Murphy

Yr BA OBP SLG AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB OPS+ DR WAR
2024 .254 .327 .430 193 25 49 10 0 8 25 21 60 0 108 -1 1.1
2025 .246 .320 .410 183 22 45 9 0 7 23 20 58 0 101 -1 0.9

2024 ZiPS Projection Percentiles – Tom Murphy

Percentile 2B HR BA OBP SLG OPS+ WAR
95% 15 13 .309 .385 .546 149 2.2
90% 14 12 .296 .373 .521 141 2.0
80% 13 10 .283 .357 .490 131 1.8
70% 11 9 .271 .348 .469 125 1.6
60% 11 9 .263 .338 .449 116 1.4
50% 10 8 .254 .327 .430 108 1.1
40% 10 8 .240 .319 .414 102 1.0
30% 9 7 .231 .310 .398 95 0.8
20% 8 6 .218 .295 .380 87 0.5
10% 7 5 .199 .279 .342 74 0.2
5% 6 5 .185 .265 .316 62 0.0

The projection is down a bit from his 116 OPS+ in Seattle, however he’s additionally going to show 33 the primary week of the 2023 season, and Oracle Park isn’t a very beneficiant dwelling for energy hitters. Nonetheless, that’s a useful complementary participant. Amusingly, that is really his second stint with the Giants; he was claimed off waivers from the Rockies throughout spring coaching in 2019 earlier than being traded to the Mariners just some days later.

This transfer additionally doubtless closes the quickly waning Joey Bart period in San Francisco. At one level the consensus finest catching prospect in baseball, he suffered his first setback within the minors very early, dropping a lot of his first full skilled season to a damaged hand. With the minor leagues not current in 2020, the Giants noticed the dangers of him being overmatched within the majors as lower than merely not taking part in him for a yr. I agreed with the calculation — it’s usually higher to problem your finest prospects, and dropping one other yr would have been big — however Bart struggled. He continued to struggle accidents in 2021, and whereas he hit higher for Triple-A Sacramento, ZiPS solely gave him a .263/.323/.390 translation for the season. Then he did not impress in 2022, and given the beginning job getting into ’23, he misplaced it in simply over a month. By the point Bailey turned the no-question starter, Bart had already been handed on the depth chart by Blake Sabol.

ZiPS Projection – Joey Bart

Yr BA OBP SLG AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB OPS+ DR WAR
2024 .228 .297 .351 302 39 69 13 0 8 37 23 103 1 80 -1 0.7
2025 .226 .295 .349 301 38 68 13 0 8 37 23 101 1 78 -1 0.6
2026 .226 .296 .350 297 38 67 13 0 8 36 23 98 1 79 -1 0.6
2027 .222 .295 .342 266 34 59 11 0 7 32 21 88 1 77 -2 0.4
2028 .216 .286 .338 222 27 48 9 0 6 26 17 73 0 73 -2 0.2

ZiPS Projection – Blake Sabol

Yr BA OBP SLG AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB OPS+ DR WAR
2024 .229 .296 .368 345 40 79 14 2 10 52 30 124 4 83 -9 0.2
2025 .226 .295 .365 345 40 78 14 2 10 52 31 120 4 82 -9 0.1
2026 .227 .297 .369 339 39 77 14 2 10 51 31 116 3 84 -8 0.2
2027 .231 .302 .380 321 38 74 14 2 10 48 30 109 3 88 -8 0.4
2028 .224 .296 .369 295 34 66 12 2 9 43 28 99 2 84 -8 0.1

There have been different choices obtainable in free company, however Mitch Garver would doubtless desire a bigger share of taking part in time than Murphy, and regardless of his superior place in our free-agent rankings, I like Gary Sánchez on the Giants lower than I like Murphy. And $4 million a yr to your lesser catcher in free company isn’t a nasty deal; even the skinflint Rays signal a participant like Mike Zunino or Wilson Ramos to the same sort of contract most years. Nor will $4 million hamstring San Francisco’s makes an attempt to signal one of many remaining elite free brokers obtainable.

Does Murphy make the Dodgers uncomfortable within the NL West? No, however San Francisco now enters the season with its finest catching outlook since Posey retired, and in Murphy, the Giants discovered their man at a really affordable value.



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